RRosternomics
AR

Al Rosen

Feb 29, 1924 (Spartanburg, SC) – Mar 13, 2015 (Rancho Mirage, CA) · died at 91

General manager for the Astros and Giants (1981–1992).

8 seasons with salary-era data across 2 stints. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

Overview

Titles0
Pennants1
Playoffs2
Record663–633
Win %0.512
+0.7GM WAR — wins above a replacement GM (org-adjusted, shrunk; per season) ±4.959th/195 execs
6.8Depth — 2+ WAR regulars per season (the breadth that drives TAB, not stars)67th/195 execs
-3.2Dead WAR — WAR/yr bled by sub-replacement players (closer to 0 = better)10th/195 execs
29%Dead money — payroll on <0.5-WAR players (lower = better)50th/195 execs
$3MCheap-talent surplus — $/yr of value from cost-controlled (pre-arb/arb) players above their pay; the selection engine, and the stickiest GM skill we track151st/195 execs
$2MDrafted surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own draftees (the develop-from-the-draft engine)138th/195 execs
$0MTraded-for surplus — cheap-talent surplus from cost-controlled players he acquired via trade132nd/195 execs
$0MInt'l surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own international signees120th/195 execs
+7.1TAB — talent above budget — roster-construction alpha (talent your budget bought above expectation), tenure total60th/195 execs
+6.3WAB — realized wins (TAB + the non-repeatable luck of converting talent to wins)53rd/195 execs
2.63Acquisition Leverage — playoff pts per acquired WAR, graded once in the year each deal's wins arrive (the repeatable decision skill)58th/195 execs
-28Roster surplus $M87th/195 execs

Tenure breakdown

TeamRoleYearsSzns WAB WAB/yr TAB WAR surp HG Trade FA R5 AcqLev W-L% POPenWS Surp $M
Giants GM 1986–1992 7 +4.2 +0.60 +8.1 -32.8 +64.2 +13.2 +90.0 +0.5 2.64 0.511 21 -27
Astros GM 1981–1985 1 +2.0 +2.05 -1.0 -5.9 +45.3 +58.3 -16.0 -5.5 1.76 0.512 -2
Career total (1985+ data) 8 +6.3 +7.1 -38.7 +109.6 +71.5 +74.0 -5.0 2.63 0.512 21 -28

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+109.6
Trade+71.5
Free agency+74.0
Rule 5 / minor draft-5.0
Sourcing mix: 30% draft · 43% FA · 26% trade · 0% R5

Roster value distribution — career average — depth vs. stars

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR, averaged across Al Rosen's seasons. Bars = his rosters; the black line = the league-average player at each slot. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge.

Players acquired — 146 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr Lev
Barry Bonds OF SFG Free agency 1992 15 +116.0 +7.7 63.1
Matt Williams 3B SFG Draft 1986 9 +31.9 +3.5
Mike Scott P HOU Trade 1982 6 +21.9 +3.6
Ken Caminiti 3B HOU Draft 1984 8 +19.2 +2.4
Kevin Mitchell OF SFG Trade 1987 5 +18.7 +3.7 10.1
Glenn Davis 1B HOU Draft 1981 6 +18.1 +3.0
Kevin Bass OF HOU Trade 1982 7 +17.5 +2.5
Nolan Ryan P HOU Trade 1985 4 +16.2 +4.1
Brett Butler OF SFG Free agency 1987 3 +12.4 +4.1 19.7
Bill Swift P SFG Trade 1992 3 +10.0 +3.3 0.4
Marvin Benard OF SFG Draft 1992 7 +8.5 +1.2
Kirt Manwaring C SFG Draft 1986 8 +8.3 +1.0
Don Robinson P SFG Trade 1987 5 +7.9 +1.6 3.1
Mike LaCoss P SFG Free agency 1986 6 +7.6 +1.3 9.2
Rick Reuschel P SFG Trade 1987 4 +7.0 +1.8 5.4
Tony Eusebio C HOU Intl FA 1985 8 +6.9 +0.9
Royce Clayton SS SFG Draft 1988 4 +6.9 +1.7
Willie McGee OF SFG Free agency 1990 4 +5.9 +1.5 0.9
Rod Beck P SFG Trade 1988 6 +5.7 +0.9
Candy Maldonado OF SFG Trade 1986 4 +5.6 +1.4 7.0
Jim Deshaies P HOU Trade 1985 7 +5.4 +0.8
Billy Hatcher OF HOU Trade 1985 4 +4.6 +1.1 8.4
Terry Kennedy C SFG Free agency 1989 3 +4.5 +1.5 11.5
Gerald Young OF HOU Trade 1984 4 +4.4 +1.1
Ernie Riles 3B/SS SFG Trade 1988 3 +3.8 +1.3 6.5
William VanLandingham P SFG Draft 1991 3 +3.5 +1.2
Chris Speier SS SFG Free agency 1986 3 +3.1 +1.0
Bob Melvin C SFG Trade 1986 3 +2.9 +1.0 3.6
Mike Felder OF SFG Free agency 1991 2 +2.8 +1.4 0.6
Mike Jackson P SFG Trade 1991 3 +2.5 +0.8 0.1
Mark Bailey C HOU Draft 1982 3 +2.4 +0.8
Darren Lewis OF SFG Trade 1990 4 +2.4 +0.6 0.3
Phil Garner 2B/3B HOU Trade 1981 3 +2.2 +0.7
Dickie Thon SS HOU Trade 1981 3 +2.0 +0.7
Mike Benjamin 3B/SS SFG Draft 1987 5 +2.0 +0.4
Doug Mirabelli C SFG Draft 1992 3 +1.8 +0.6
Bryan Hickerson P SFG Trade 1987 3 +1.6 +0.5
Gary Carter C SFG Free agency 1990 1 +1.5 +1.5 1.1
Dave Burba P SFG Trade 1991 4 +1.4 +0.4 0.1
Calvin Murray OF SFG Draft 1992 4 +1.4 +0.4
Kevin Rogers P SFG Draft 1988 2 +1.3 +0.6
Cory Snyder OF SFG Free agency 1992 1 +1.3 +1.3 0.2
Donell Nixon OF SFG Trade 1988 2 +1.2 +0.6 3.7
Jerry Mumphrey OF HOU Trade 1983 1 +1.1 +1.1
Mark Leonard OF SFG Draft 1986 5 +1.1 +0.2
Aaron Fultz P SFG Draft 1992 2 +1.0 +0.5
Craig Lefferts P SFG Trade 1987 3 +1.0 +0.3 0.0
Buddy Black P SFG Free agency 1990 2 +0.9 +0.5 0.4
Ken Oberkfell 2B/3B SFG Trade 1989 1 +0.9 +0.9 6.0
Mike Simms OF HOU Draft 1985 3 +0.8 +0.3
Rick Leach 1B/OF SFG Free agency 1990 1 +0.8 +0.8 0.6
Eddie Milner OF SFG Trade 1987 1 +0.8 +0.8 2.8
Tony Walker OF HOU Trade 1983 1 +0.7 +0.7
Joe Niekro P HOU Trade 1985 1 +0.7 +0.7 1.3
Juan Berenguer P SFG Trade 1986 1 +0.7 +0.7 2.7
Dave Anderson 3B/SS SFG Free agency 1989 1 +0.6 +0.6 0.8
Steve Decker C SFG Draft 1988 1 +0.5 +0.5
Charlie Kerfeld P HOU Draft 1982 2 +0.4 +0.2
Kevin Bass OF SFG Free agency 1989 2 +0.4 +0.2 0.3
Gil Heredia P SFG Draft 1987 1 +0.4 +0.4
Joe Price P SFG Free agency 1987 2 +0.4 +0.2 1.0
Tom Herr 2B SFG Trade 1991 1 +0.4 +0.4 0.2
Bill Bathe C SFG Free agency 1988 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.2
Dave Dravecky P SFG Trade 1987 3 +0.3 +0.1 8.8
Mike Laga 1B SFG Free agency 1989 2 +0.3 +0.1 0.8
Mark Wasinger 2B/3B SFG Trade 1987 1 +0.3 +0.3 1.1
Dave Henderson OF SFG Trade 1987 1 +0.3 +0.3 1.0
Pat Sheridan OF SFG Trade 1989 1 +0.3 +0.3 2.2
Chuck Jackson 3B HOU Draft 1984 1 +0.2 +0.2
Jamie Brewington P SFG Draft 1992 1 +0.2 +0.2
Mark Dewey P SFG Draft 1987 2 +0.2 +0.1
Marcus Jensen C SFG Draft 1990 1 +0.2 +0.2
Randy O'Neal P SFG Free agency 1990 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.2
Lary Sorensen P SFG Free agency 1988 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.6
Rusty Tillman OF SFG Free agency 1987 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.6
Brad Komminsk OF SFG Trade 1990 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.1
Mark Knudson P HOU Draft 1982 1 +0.1 +0.1
Mike Madden P HOU Trade 1982 2 +0.1 +0.1
Mike Kingery OF SFG Free agency 1990 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.2
Rick Parker OF SFG Trade 1989 1 +0.1 +0.1
Dave Righetti P SFG Free agency 1990 2 +0.1 +0.0 0.2
José Segura P SFG Free agency 1990 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Salomón Torres P SFG Intl FA 1989 1 +0.1 +0.1
Cameron Drew OF HOU Draft 1985 1 +0.0 +0.0
John Fishel OF HOU Draft 1985 -0.0
Louie Meadows OF HOU Draft 1982 2 +0.0 +0.0
Rafael Montalvo P HOU Trade 1985 -0.0
Mark Bailey C SFG Free agency 1989 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Greg Booker P SFG Free agency 1990 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Ernie Camacho P SFG Free agency 1989 1 -0.0 -0.0 0.0
Craig Colbert C SFG Draft 1986 1 -0.0 -0.0
Rich Gossage P SFG Free agency 1989 -0.0
Eric Gunderson P SFG Draft 1987 2 +0.0 +0.0
Chris Jones OF SFG Free agency 1986 -0.0
Dax Jones OF SFG Draft 1991 -0.0
Jim Pena P SFG Draft 1986 -0.0
J. R. Phillips 1B SFG Trade 1992 1 -0.0 -0.0
Pat Rapp P SFG Draft 1989 -0.0
Steve Reed P SFG Intl FA 1988 1 +0.0 +0.0
Rick Rodriguez P SFG Free agency 1990 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Steve Carlton P SFG Trade 1986 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.1
Francisco Meléndez 1B SFG Trade 1987 1 -0.0 -0.0 0.3
Jeff Baldwin OF HOU Draft 1985 -0.1
Germán Rivera 3B HOU Trade 1985 -0.1
Darnell Coles 3B/OF SFG Free agency 1991 -0.1
Phil Garner 2B/3B SFG Free agency 1988 -0.1
Bob Knepper P SFG Free agency 1989 1 -0.1 -0.1
Jim McNamara C SFG Draft 1986 -0.1
Jon Perlman P SFG Free agency 1986 -0.1
Carlos Valdez P SFG Intl FA 1990 -0.1
Rob Wilfong 2B SFG Free agency 1987 -0.1
Troy Afenir C HOU Draft 1983 -0.2
Tom Funk P HOU Draft 1983 -0.2
Dave Meads P HOU Draft 1984 1 -0.2 -0.2
Greg Brummett P SFG Draft 1989 -0.2
Chuck Hensley P SFG Trade 1986 -0.2
Chris James OF SFG Free agency 1992 -0.2
Ed Jurak 3B/SS SFG Free agency 1988 -0.2
Dave Martinez OF SFG Free agency 1992 1 -0.2 -0.2 1.4
Rafael Novoa P SFG Draft 1989 -0.2
Dan Quisenberry P SFG Free agency 1990 -0.2
Harry Spilman 1B SFG Free agency 1986 1 -0.2 -0.2 2.3
James Steels OF SFG Free agency 1989 -0.2
Ed Vosberg P SFG Free agency 1990 -0.2
Larry Carter P SFG Trade 1992 -0.3
Ron Davis P SFG Free agency 1988 -0.3
Erik Johnson 2B/SS SFG Draft 1987 1 -0.3 -0.3
Mike Remlinger P SFG Draft 1987 -0.3
Bill Dawley P HOU Trade 1983 -0.4
Ron Mathis P HOU Trade 1985 -0.4
Dan Carlson P SFG Draft 1989 -0.4
Brad Gulden C SFG Trade 1986 -0.4
Steve Hosey OF SFG Draft 1989 1 -0.4 -0.4
Paul McClellan P SFG Draft 1986 -0.4
Gino Minutelli P SFG Free agency 1992 -0.4
John Patterson 2B SFG Draft 1988 1 -0.4 -0.4
Joe Rosselli P SFG Draft 1990 -0.4
Harry Spilman 1B HOU Trade 1981 1 -0.5 -0.5
Robbie Wine C HOU Draft 1983 -0.5
Russ Swan P SFG Draft 1986 -0.5
Eric Bullock OF HOU Draft 1981 -0.6
Ted Wood OF SFG Draft 1988 -0.6
Rikkert Faneyte OF SFG Draft 1990 1 -0.7 -0.7
Rob Mallicoat P HOU Draft 1984 1 -0.8 -0.8
Frank DiPino P HOU Trade 1982 -0.9
Francisco Oliveras P SFG Trade 1990 1 -1.0 -1.0 0.1

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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