Rosternomics
BW

Bob Watson

Apr 10, 1946 (Los Angeles, CA) – May 14, 2020 (Houston, TX) · died at 74

Became the first Black general manager to win a World Series, building the 1996 champion New York Yankees after running the Houston Astros.

5 seasons with salary-era data across 2 stints. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

Titles2
Pennants2
Playoffs3
Record444–301
Win %0.596
+49.7WAB — wins above budget15th/195 execs
+49.1Talent above budget — roster-construction alpha (talent your budget bought above expectation)17th/195 execs
1.98Acquisition leverage — playoff pts each bought win added, given the roster it joined (did you buy where wins matter?)21st/195 execs
-26.3WAR surplus (era-neutral, win-equiv)90th/195 execs
-23Roster surplus $M79th/195 execs

How the roster was sourced

Share of gross-positive acquired fWAR by channel (vs. league average).

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+29.4
Trade-38.8
Free agency+5.8
Rule 5 / minor draft+0.8
Sourcing mix: 31% draft · 46% FA · 23% trade · 0% R5

Tenure breakdown

TeamRoleYearsSzns WAB WAB/yr TAB WAR surp HG Trade FA R5 AcqLev W-L% POPenWS Surp $M
Yankees GM 1996–1998 3 +38.8 +12.92 +26.0 -36.9 +20.1 -28.7 +8.1 +0.8 2.40 0.621 322 -35
Astros GM 1994–1995 2 +11.0 +5.48 +23.1 +10.7 +9.3 -10.2 -2.3 +0.0 1.11 0.548 +12
Career total (1985+ data) 5 +49.7 +49.1 -26.3 +29.4 -38.8 +5.8 +0.8 1.98 0.596 32 2 -23

Players acquired — 61 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year fWAR
David Wells P NYY Free agency 1996 +17.0
Orlando Hernández P NYY Intl FA 1998 +13.9
Derek Bell OF HOU Trade 1994 +12.2
Scott Brosius 3B NYY Free agency 1998 +8.7
Mike Stanton P NYY Free agency 1996 +7.5
Chuck Knoblauch 2B NYY Trade 1998 +7.0
Scott Elarton P HOU Draft 1994 +5.2
John Cangelosi OF HOU Free agency 1995 +3.5
Hideki Irabu P NYY Draft 1997 +3.2
Nick Johnson 1B NYY Draft 1996 +2.9
Dwight Gooden P NYY Free agency 1996 +2.4
Dave Veres P HOU Trade 1994 +2.2
Mitch Meluskey C HOU Trade 1995 +2.1
Dave Magadan 1B/3B HOU Free agency 1995 +1.9
Joe Girardi C NYY Free agency 1996 +1.9
Julio Lugo SS HOU Draft 1994 +1.7
Russ Johnson 2B/3B HOU Draft 1994 +1.3
Chili Davis DH/OF NYY Free agency 1997 +1.3
Sean Berry 3B HOU Trade 1995 +1.1
John Halama P HOU Draft 1994 +0.7
Derrick May OF HOU Trade 1995 +0.7
Marcus Thames DH/OF NYY Draft 1996 +0.7
Jeriome Robertson P HOU Draft 1995 +0.6
Tim Raines OF NYY Free agency 1998 +0.6
Sid Bream 1B HOU Free agency 1994 +0.4
Tony McKnight P HOU Draft 1995 +0.4
Darren Holmes P NYY Free agency 1997 +0.4
Willie Banks P NYY Free agency 1997 +0.3
Homer Bush 2B NYY Trade 1997 +0.3
Randy Choate P NYY Draft 1997 +0.3
Graeme Lloyd P NYY Trade 1996 +0.3
Brandon Claussen P NYY Draft 1998 +0.1
Juan Rivera OF NYY Intl FA 1996 +0.1
Ross Powell P HOU Trade 1994 +0.0
Mike Aldrete 1B/OF NYY Trade 1996 +0.0
Ryan Bradley P NYY Draft 1997 -0.0
Billy Brewer P NYY Trade 1996 +0.0
Michel Hernández C NYY Intl FA 1998 +0.0
Scott Seabol 3B NYY Draft 1996 -0.0
Mark Whiten OF NYY Free agency 1997 +0.0
Jerry Goff C HOU Free agency 1995 -0.1
John Johnstone P HOU Free agency 1995 -0.1
Craig McMurtry P HOU Free agency 1994 -0.1
Wilfredo Rodríguez P HOU Intl FA 1995 -0.1
Iván Cruz 1B NYY Trade 1997 -0.1
Drew Henson 3B NYY Draft 1998 -0.1
Tim McIntosh C/OF NYY Free agency 1996 -0.1
Mike Vento OF NYY Draft 1997 -0.1
Ken Ramos OF HOU Trade 1994 -0.2
Milt Thompson OF HOU Free agency 1994 -0.2
Luis Sojo 2B NYY Free agency 1997 -0.2
Doug Brocail P HOU Trade 1994 -0.3
Scott Pose OF NYY Free agency 1996 -0.3
Craig Shipley 3B/SS HOU Trade 1994 -0.4
Barry Wesson OF HOU Draft 1995 -0.4
Erick Almonte SS NYY Intl FA 1996 -0.4
Dale Polley P NYY Trade 1996 -0.4
Randy Keisler P NYY Draft 1998 -0.5
Matt Howard 2B NYY Trade 1996 -0.6
Dale Sveum 3B/SS NYY Free agency 1997 -0.7
Ricky Gutiérrez SS HOU Trade 1994 -2.0

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.