Rosternomics
MF

Mike Flanagan

Dec 16, 1951 (Manchester, NH) – Aug 24, 2011 (Sparks, MD) · died at 59

General manager for the Orioles (2003–2007).

Across the full 5-season sample, the profile does not currently place a measured dimension in the top quartile of the site’s qualified executive pool. The clearest contrast is payroll-adjusted winning (10th percentile): the measured clubs have produced fewer wins relative to payroll-based expectations than most peers.

5 seasons with salary-era data across 1 stint. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

0 pennants · 0 playoff appearances · 362–448 (0.447)

Percentile Rankings

vs. execs with toyrs exp.
PoorAverageGreat
Trade Decision Quality
Roster Construction
Depth
6.4
Dead WAR
-6.0
Dead money %
46%
PoorAverageGreat
Talent Creation
Cheap-talent surplus
$16M
Drafted surplus
$11M
Traded-for surplus
$2M
Int'l surplus
$2M
Results & Efficiency
GM WAR
-0.4
TAB
-16.6
WAB
-39.9
$ / WAR
$1.9M
Net WAR/trade
-0.53

Overview

TeamRoleYear Pay
$M
Rel
Pay
Surp
$M
Surp
WAR
Dead
%
Cheap
$M
Draft
$M
Trd
$M
Int'l
$M
$ /
WAR
WAR Depth Dead
WAR
HG Trade Net/
Trd
FA R5 RFA PPA CPA WAB TAB W-L% POPenWS
Orioles GM 2003 71–91 $51 74 -18 -10.0 58% +6 +0 +2 +3 $1.6M 27.4 5.0 -4.0 +22.5 -2.0 -0.65 +13.7 -0.2 +0.06 0.34 0.08 -7.2 -3.3 0.438
Orioles GM 2004 78–84 $45 67 +9 +5.4 50% +17 +5 +12 +0 $1.0M 37.7 9.0 -5.4 +3.0 -0.8 -0.41 -0.0 +0.0 -0.20 2.41 0.20 +1.2 +8.3 0.481
Orioles GM 2005 74–88 $76 105 -20 -10.4 46% +20 +19 -1 +4 $2.0M 31.2 7.0 -6.6 +2.7 -7.8 -2.61 -6.5 +0.0 +0.12 2.26 0.20 -8.6 -3.6 0.457
Orioles GM 2006 70–92 $75 99 -27 -13.5 40% +12 +14 -5 +3 $2.3M 24.7 6.0 -8.3 +9.3 +2.6 +0.85 -10.3 +0.0 +0.04 0.27 0.07 -11.8 -9.4 0.432
Orioles GM 2007 69–93 $86 104 -30 -13.7 35% +22 +16 +4 +2 $2.7M 26.1 5.0 -5.7 +18.6 -0.4 -0.09 +3.0 +0.1 +0.14 0.26 0.07 -13.5 -8.7 0.426
Career total (1985+ data) $333 90 -85 -42.2 46% +16 +11 +2 +2 $1.9M 147.2 6.4 -6.0 +56.3 -8.5 -0.53 -0.0 -0.1 +0.07 1.22 0.13 -39.9 -16.6 0.447

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+56.3
Trade-8.5
Free agency-0.0
Rule 5 / minor draft-0.1
Sourcing mix: 57% draft · 37% FA · 5% trade · 0% R5

Trades

Trades made — 12 deals credited to Mike Flanagan, best expected value first; surplus is realized value in $M

2007 · BAL / HOU
BAL · Mike Flanagan +$70.4M
Matt Albers, Dennis Sarfate, Troy Patton, Luke Scott, Mike Costanzo
HOU · Tal Smith −$70.4M
Miguel Tejada
BAL came out ahead by $70.4M
2006 · NYM / BAL
NYM · Omar Minaya +$24.8M
Jorge Julio, John Maine
BAL · Mike Flanagan −$24.8M
Kris Benson
NYM came out ahead by $24.8M
2007 · CHC / BAL
CHC · Jim Hendry +$3.2M
Steve Trachsel
BAL · Mike Flanagan −$3.2M
Rocky Cherry, Scott Moore
CHC came out ahead by $3.2M
2006 · BAL / CHC
BAL · Mike Flanagan +$52.0M
Corey Patterson
CHC · Jim Hendry −$52.0M
Nate Spears, Carlos Perez
BAL came out ahead by $52.0M
2007 · BAL / SEA
BAL · Mike Flanagan +$0.8M
Sebastien Boucher
SEA · Bill Bavasi −$0.8M
John Parrish
BAL came out ahead by $0.8M
2006 · BAL / PHI
BAL · Mike Flanagan +$2.4M
Ángel Chávez
PHI · Pat Gillick −$2.4M
Jeff Conine
BAL came out ahead by $2.4M
2006 · PHI / BAL
PHI · Pat Gillick +$0.0M
Alfredo Simón
BAL · Mike Flanagan +$0.0M
Adam Donachie
Even trade
2007 · BOS / BAL
BOS · Theo Epstein +$0.8M
Cory Keylor
BAL · Mike Flanagan −$0.8M
Alberto Castillo
BOS came out ahead by $0.8M
2006 · CHC / BAL
CHC · Jim Hendry +$3.2M
Kevin Hart
BAL · Mike Flanagan −$3.2M
Freddie Bynum
CHC came out ahead by $3.2M
2006 · BAL / BOS
BAL · Mike Flanagan +$20.8M
Adam Stern
BOS · Jed Hoyer −$20.8M
Javy López
BAL came out ahead by $20.8M
2006 · NYY / BAL
NYY · Brian Cashman +$11.2M
Chris Britton
BAL · Mike Flanagan −$11.2M
Jaret Wright
NYY came out ahead by $11.2M
2007 · BAL / COL
BAL · Mike Flanagan +$3.2M
Jim Miller, Jason Burch
COL · Daniel O'Dowd −$3.2M
Rodrigo López
BAL came out ahead by $3.2M

Players acquired — 95 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr RFA PPA CPA
Nick Markakis OF BAL Draft 2003 9 +23.0 +2.6
Miguel Tejada SS BAL Free agency 2003 4 +17.5 +4.4 13.7% 1.14%
Matt Wieters C BAL Draft 2007 8 +16.5 +2.1
Jeremy Guthrie P BAL Trade 2007 5 +10.0 +2.0 0.5% 0.15%
Zack Britton P BAL Draft 2006 8 +9.2 +1.1
Ramón Hernández C BAL Free agency 2005 3 +6.1 +2.0 1.1% 0.28%
Javy López C BAL Free agency 2004 2 +6.1 +3.1 10.7% 0.87%
Corey Patterson OF BAL Trade 2006 3 +5.2 +1.7 -0.22 1.0% 0.26%
Aubrey Huff 1B BAL Free agency 2007 2 +4.7 +2.4 0.2% 0.05%
Brad Bergesen P BAL Draft 2004 3 +2.5 +0.8
Jake Arrieta P BAL Draft 2007 3 +2.3 +0.8
Brian Burres P BAL Trade 2006 3 +1.7 +0.6
Nolan Reimold OF BAL Draft 2005 4 +1.6 +0.4
Bruce Chen P BAL Trade 2004 2 +1.6 +0.8 1.7% 0.13%
Omar Daal P BAL Free agency 2003 1 +1.3 +1.3 0.4% 0.10%
Dave Borkowski P BAL Free agency 2003 1 +1.1 +1.1 2.8% 0.22%
Chad Bradford P BAL Free agency 2006 2 +1.1 +0.5 0.3% 0.07%
Sal Fasano C BAL Free agency 2004 1 +0.9 +0.9 2.0% 0.18%
Garrett Olson P BAL Draft 2005 1 +0.9 +0.9
David Newhan OF BAL Free agency 2004 1 +0.7 +0.7 5.5% 0.43%
Chris Ray P BAL Draft 2003 3 +0.7 +0.2
Deivi Cruz SS BAL Trade 2003 1 +0.7 +0.7 0.2% 0.06%
LaTroy Hawkins P BAL Trade 2006 1 +0.7 +0.7 +0.00 0.2% 0.05%
Kris Benson P BAL Trade 2006 1 +0.6 +0.6 +0.00 0.2% 0.04%
Jason Berken P BAL Draft 2006 2 +0.6 +0.3
Jeff Fiorentino OF BAL Draft 2004 2 +0.6 +0.3
Kerry Ligtenberg P BAL Free agency 2003 1 +0.6 +0.6 0.2% 0.05%
Oscar Salazar OF BAL Free agency 2006 2 +0.5 +0.3 0.1% 0.04%
Kevin Millar 1B/OF BAL Free agency 2006 1 +0.4 +0.4 0.2% 0.04%
Todd Williams P BAL Free agency 2004 2 +0.4 +0.2 0.3% 0.02%
Robert Machado C BAL Free agency 2003 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.2% 0.04%
Jay Payton OF BAL Free agency 2006 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.2% 0.06%
Eli Marrero C/OF BAL Trade 2005 1 +0.3 +0.3 +0.00 0.7% 0.06%
David Hernandez P BAL Draft 2005 1 +0.2 +0.2
Luis Hernández SS BAL Trade 2006 1 +0.2 +0.2
Jon Leicester P BAL Free agency 2006 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.1% 0.01%
Tike Redman OF BAL Free agency 2007 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.1% 0.01%
Scott Williamson P BAL Free agency 2006 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.0% 0.01%
Mike DeJean P BAL Trade 2004 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.4% 0.03%
Rick Helling P BAL Trade 2003 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.1% 0.01%
Ramón Nivar OF BAL Trade 2005 1 +0.2 +0.2 +0.00 0.5% 0.05%
Randor Bierd P BAL Rule 5 2007 1 +0.1 +0.1
Jack Cust DH/OF BAL Trade 2003 1 +0.1 +0.1 -0.02 0.1% 0.01%
Jim Miller P BAL Trade 2007 1 +0.1 +0.1 +0.10
Guillermo Quiroz C BAL Free agency 2007 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0% 0.00%
Brandon Snyder 1B/3B BAL Draft 2005 1 +0.1 +0.1
Fernando Tatís 3B BAL Free agency 2005 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0% 0.01%
Winston Abreu P BAL Trade 2006 -0.0
Alberto Castillo C BAL Trade 2007 -0.0
Bernie Castro 2B BAL Trade 2005 -0.0
Zach Clark P BAL Intl FA 2006 -0.0
Midre Cummings OF BAL Free agency 2005 -0.0
Blake Davis 2B BAL Draft 2006 1 +0.0 +0.0
Chris Gomez SS BAL Free agency 2004 2 +0.0 +0.0 0.2% 0.04%
J. R. House C BAL Free agency 2006 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0% 0.00%
Jon Knott DH/OF BAL Free agency 2007 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0% 0.00%
Scott Moore 1B/3B BAL Trade 2007 2 +0.0 +0.0 +0.20 0.0% 0.00%
Dennis Sarfate P BAL Trade 2007 -0.0 +0.58
Pedro Swann OF BAL Free agency 2003 -0.0
Walter Young 1B BAL Trade 2003 1 +0.0 +0.0
James Baldwin P BAL Trade 2005 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.1% 0.01%
Jaret Wright P BAL Trade 2007 1 +0.0 +0.0 -0.36 0.0% 0.00%
Adam Stern OF BAL Trade 2007 1 +0.0 +0.0 +0.13 0.0% 0.00%
Matt Angle OF BAL Draft 2007 -0.1
Tim Byrdak P BAL Free agency 2004 1 -0.1 -0.1 0.7% 0.06%
Héctor Carrasco P BAL Free agency 2003 -0.1
Cory Doyne P BAL Trade 2007 -0.1
Pedro Florimón SS BAL Intl FA 2004 -0.1
Joe Mahoney 1B BAL Draft 2007 -0.1
Chad Mottola OF BAL Free agency 2003 -0.1
Rob Bell P BAL Free agency 2006 -0.2
Ryan Bukvich P BAL Free agency 2007 -0.2
Jim Hoey P BAL Draft 2003 -0.2
Steve Reed P BAL Free agency 2005 -0.2
Paul Shuey P BAL Free agency 2007 -0.2
Luis Terrero OF BAL Free agency 2006 -0.2
Alejandro Freire 1B/DH BAL Trade 2005 -0.3
John Halama P BAL Free agency 2006 -0.3
Julio Mañón P BAL Free agency 2005 -0.3
Rocky Cherry P BAL Trade 2007 -0.4 +0.20
Jason Grimsley P BAL Trade 2004 -0.4 -0.20
Bob McCrory P BAL Draft 2003 -0.4
Carlos Méndez 1B/DH BAL Trade 2003 -0.4
José Morban 2B/SS/DH BAL Trade 2003 -0.4
Keith Osik C BAL Free agency 2004 -0.4
Ryan Adams 2B BAL Draft 2006 -0.5
Paul Bako C BAL Free agency 2006 -0.5
Fernando Cabrera P BAL Free agency 2007 -0.5
Jamie Walker P BAL Free agency 2006 1 -0.5 -0.5 0.2% 0.06%
Radhames Liz P BAL Intl FA 2003 -0.6
Freddie Bynum SS/OF BAL Trade 2007 1 -0.6 -0.6 -0.06 0.1% 0.03%
Danys Báez P BAL Free agency 2006 1 -0.7 -0.7 0.0% 0.01%
Steve Kline P BAL Free agency 2004 -0.7
Steve Trachsel P BAL Free agency 2007 1 -0.8 -0.8 0.1% 0.02%
Sammy Sosa OF BAL Trade 2005 -1.4 -3.08

Trade-side columns: RFA is playoff-readiness percentage points added to the future roster foundation. It grades the franchise's entire side of a trade, so the same score repeats for every player acquired in that package. PPA/CPA remain player-level arrival-year probability points.

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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