Rosternomics

Orioles BAL

200371–91 (0.438)
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GM: Jim Beattie

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2003, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$51M
Win %
0.438
TAB
-3.3
WAB
-7.2
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
27.4
Dead money %
58%
Depth Players
5.0
Dead WAR
-4.0

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2003 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RBrook Fordyce107
RGeronimo Gil53
RRobert Machado18
LB.J. Surhoff7

1B

RJeff Conine118
LB.J. Surhoff22
LJay Gibbons13
RCarlos Mendez9
BDavid Segui8
RJose Leon7
RMelvin Mora1

2B

BBrian Roberts107
RJerry Hairston Jr.48
BJose Morban12
RMelvin Mora6

3B

RTony Batista154
RJose Leon10
RJeff Conine1
BJose Morban1

SS

RDeivi Cruz147
BJose Morban14
RMelvin Mora11
BBrian Roberts2

LF

LLarry Bigbie76
RMelvin Mora56
LB.J. Surhoff24
LPedro Swann6
RMarty Cordova4
LJack Cust1
BTim Raines Jr.1

CF

RLuis Matos106
BTim Raines Jr.17
RMelvin Mora12
LLarry Bigbie2

RF

LJay Gibbons144
RMelvin Mora13
LLarry Bigbie5
RLuis Matos4
LB.J. Surhoff3
RJeff Conine2

DH

BDavid Segui51
LB.J. Surhoff37
LJack Cust20
RJerry Hairston Jr.8
RTony Batista7
RCarlos Mendez6
RMarty Cordova5
LJay Gibbons5
BJose Morban4
RDeivi Cruz4
BBrian Roberts3
RLuis Matos2
RJose Leon1
LPedro Swann1

Starters

RSidney Ponson3.4 WAR
RJason Johnson2.1 WAR
RRodrigo Lopez1.3 WAR
LOmar Daal1.3 WAR
RPat Hentgen1.1 WAR
LEric DuBose1.1 WAR
RRick Helling0.2 WAR
LMatt Riley0.2 WAR
LDamian Moss-0.7 WAR

Bullpen

RJorge Julio36 sv
LB.J. Ryan19 h
LBuddy Groom16 h
RKerry Ligtenberg14 h
RHector Carrasco8 h
RRick Bauer3 h
RWillis Roberts1 h
RTravis Driskill0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2002)

PlayerfWAR
Omar Daal1.3
Deivi Cruz0.7
Kerry Ligtenberg0.6
B.J. Surhoff0.5
Robert Machado0.5
Rick Helling0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 2002)

Player2002 fWAR
Chris Singleton1.7
Mike Bordick1.4
Scott Erickson0.6
John Stephens0.3
Howie Clark0.1
Erik Bedard0.1

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Orioles. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2003; everyone else is shown as a 2003 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Melvin Mora 2003 +5.0 +71.4 1.7 +69.7 $0.3M 1.79×
Sidney Ponson 2003 +3.4 +53.4 2.9 +50.5 $0.8M 1.96×
Jason Johnson 2003 +2.1 +25.1 2.9 +22.2 $1.4M 1.49×
B.J. Ryan 2003 +1.6 +12.4 0.8 +11.7 $0.5M 0.98×
Rodrigo Lopez 2003 +1.3 +10.6 0.3 +10.3 $0.2M 1.02×
Pat Hentgen 2003 +1.1 +8.7 1.2 +7.5 $1.1M 1.02×
Omar Daal 2003 +1.3 +10.3 3.0 +7.3 $2.4M 1.02×
Jay Gibbons 2003 +0.9 +5.8 0.4 +5.5 $0.4M 0.83×
Deivi Cruz 2003 +0.7 +3.5 1.0 +2.5 $1.4M 0.61×
Rick Bauer 2003 +0.5 +2.6 0.3 +2.3 $0.7M 0.67×
Jerry Hairston Jr. 2003 +0.8 +3.7 1.6 +2.2 $1.8M 0.56×
Jeff Conine 2003 +1.2 +5.4 3.5 +1.9 $2.9M 0.56×
B.J. Surhoff 2003 +0.5 +2.8 1.0 +1.8 $2.0M 0.69×
Kerry Ligtenberg 2003 +0.6 +3.0 1.2 +1.8 $2.1M 0.67×
Geronimo Gil 2003 +0.3 +1.1 0.3 +0.8 $1.2M 0.52×
Rick Helling 2003 +0.2 +1.4 0.7 +0.8 $3.9M 1.02×
Kurt Ainsworth 2003 -0.0 -0.2 0.1 -0.3 0.67×
Brook Fordyce 2003 +0.4 +1.6 3.5 -1.9 $9.2M 0.52×
Jose Leon 2003 -0.4 -1.8 0.3 -2.1 0.58×
Jose Morban 2003 -0.4 -2.1 0.3 -2.4 0.61×
Gary Matthews Jr. 2003 -0.4 -2.4 0.3 -2.6 0.83×
Marty Cordova 2003 +0.1 +0.5 3.1 -2.6 $37.7M 0.69×
Buddy Groom 2003 -0.0 -0.2 3.0 -3.2 0.67×
Jorge Julio 2003 -0.4 -4.7 0.3 -5.1 1.34×
Willis Roberts 2003 -0.5 -2.5 3.5 -6.0 0.67×
Damian Moss 2003 -0.7 -6.0 0.5 -6.5 1.02×
David Segui 2003 -0.0 -0.0 7.0 -7.0 0.69×
Tony Batista 2003 -0.2 -0.9 6.4 -7.3 0.58×
Brian Roberts 2003 +2.9 +25.1 1.07×
Carlos Mendez 2003 -0.4 -1.6 0.56×
Eric DuBose 2003 +1.1 +8.8 1.02×
Hector Carrasco 2003 -0.1 -0.7 0.67×
Jack Cust 2003 +0.2 +0.9 0.69×
John Parrish 2003 +0.2 +0.8 0.67×
Larry Bigbie 2003 +0.7 +4.8 0.83×
Luis Matos 2003 +3.6 +51.9 1.79×
Matt Riley 2003 +0.2 +1.4 1.02×
Pedro Swann 2003 -0.0 -0.2 0.83×
Robert Machado 2003 +0.5 +2.1 0.52×
Sean Douglass 2003 -0.2 -0.8 0.67×
Tim Raines Jr. 2003 -0.3 -1.7 0.83×
Travis Driskill 2003 +0.2 +1.2 0.67×
Total+27.6+294.551.1+151.8

Trades

Every graded 2003 deal involving the Orioles — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 3 total.

Current & Historical Payroll

2003 payroll
$51.1M

What the front office was committed to as of 2003, 2003–2009. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2003200420052006200720082009
David Segui3613.000$7.0M$7.0MFREE AGENT
Tony Batista297.000$6.4MFREE AGENT
Jeff Conine3713.000$3.5MFREE AGENT$1.4M
Brook Fordyce338.000$3.5MFREE AGENT
Marty Cordova338.000$3.1MFREE AGENT
Omar Daal3110.000$3.0MFREE AGENT
Buddy Groom3711.000$3.0M$3.0MFREE AGENT
Jason Johnson296.000$2.9MFREE AGENT
Pat Hentgen3412.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Kerry Ligtenberg326.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
B.J. Surhoff3816.000$1.0M$800k$1.1MFREE AGENT
Deivi Cruz306.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Rick Helling329.000$686kFREE AGENT
Hector Carrasco339.000FREE AGENT
Robert Machado307.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2003200420052006200720082009
Willis Roberts284.000$3.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Sidney Ponson265.000$2.9MFREE AGENT
Melvin Mora314.000$1.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jerry Hairston Jr.275.000$1.6MFREE AGENT
B.J. Ryan274.000$762kARB 3FREE AGENT
Rodrigo Lopez273.000$325kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gary Matthews Jr.284.000$256kARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Riley234.000ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Matos243.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Parrish253.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (17)

PlayerAgeSvc2003200420052006200720082009
Damian Moss262.000$500kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jay Gibbons262.000$375kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge Julio242.000$350kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Geronimo Gil272.000$330kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rick Bauer262.000$325kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Leon261.000$305kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Morban230.000$300kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kurt Ainsworth242.000$60kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Swann32
Travis Driskill31
Eric DuBose271.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Mendez29
Sean Douglass242.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jack Cust242.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Raines Jr.23
Brian Roberts252.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Larry Bigbie252.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2003 acquisition stacked onto Orioles's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.