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Orioles BAL

200478–84 (0.481)
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GM: Jim Beattie

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2004, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$45M
Surplus $M
+9
Win %
0.481
TAB
+8.3
WAB
+1.2
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
37.7
Dead money %
50%
Depth Players
9.0
Dead WAR
-5.4

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2004 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RJavy Lopez132
RRobert Machado35
RGeronimo Gil11
RKeith Osik11
RKen Huckaby⇄8

1B

LRafael Palmeiro130
RJose Leon16
LJay Gibbons14
LB.J. Surhoff10
BLuis Lopez6
LDavid Newhan2
BDavid Segui2
LKarim Garcia⇄1

2B

BBrian Roberts150
RJerry Hairston Jr.12
BLuis Lopez6

3B

RMelvin Mora137
LDavid Newhan17
BLuis Lopez11
RJose Leon6
RJerry Hairston Jr.1

SS

RMiguel Tejada162
BLuis Lopez14
RMelvin Mora1

LF

LLarry Bigbie114
LB.J. Surhoff34
LDavid Newhan19
RJerry Hairston Jr.10
RChad Mottola3
RDarnell McDonald1
BTim Raines Jr.1

CF

RLuis Matos89
LLarry Bigbie30
BTim Raines Jr.27
RJerry Hairston Jr.15
LKarim Garcia⇄5
RDarnell McDonald4
LVal Majewski3

RF

LJay Gibbons66
LB.J. Surhoff38
RJerry Hairston Jr.27
LDavid Newhan24
LKarim Garcia⇄18
BTim Raines Jr.10
RDarnell McDonald8
RChad Mottola2
LVal Majewski1

DH

LDavid Newhan32
RJavy Lopez21
RJerry Hairston Jr.20
LRafael Palmeiro19
LB.J. Surhoff17
LJay Gibbons16
BDavid Segui13
BLuis Lopez6
BBrian Roberts5
RJose Leon3
BTim Raines Jr.1
LJack Cust1

Starters

RSidney Ponson2.9 WAR
RRodrigo Lopez2.7 WAR
LErik Bedard2.4 WAR
RDaniel Cabrera1.2 WAR
RDave Borkowski1.1 WAR
LBruce Chen0.6 WAR
RRick Bauer0.6 WAR
LJohn Parrish0.4 WAR
LMatt Riley0.3 WAR
LEric DuBose0.1 WAR
RJohn Maine-0.1 WAR
RKurt Ainsworth-0.2 WAR

Bullpen

★ RJorge Julio22 sv
LB.J. Ryan21 h
RJason Grimsley⇄16 h
LBuddy Groom8 h
RTodd Williams3 h
LJohn Parrish2 h
RMike DeJean⇄0 h
REddy Rodriguez0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2003)

PlayerfWAR
Miguel Tejada6.0
Javy Lopez4.4
Erik Bedard2.4
David Newhan2.1
Daniel Cabrera1.2
Dave Borkowski1.1

Key subtractions (gone from 2003)

Player2003 fWAR
Jason Johnson2.1
Omar Daal1.3
Jeff Conine1.2
Pat Hentgen1.1
Deivi Cruz0.7
Kerry Ligtenberg0.6

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Orioles. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2004; everyone else is shown as a 2004 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Melvin Mora 2004 +6.2 +71.2 2.3 +68.8 $0.4M 1.43× –
Miguel Tejada 2004 +6.0 +72.4 5.0 +67.4 $0.8M 1.51× –
B.J. Ryan 2004 +3.3 +67.5 1.3 +66.2 $0.4M 2.57× –
Sidney Ponson 2004 +2.9 +45.5 3.0 +42.5 $1.0M 1.96× –
Rodrigo Lopez 2004 +2.7 +42.7 0.4 +42.3 $0.1M 1.96× –
Javy Lopez 2004 +4.4 +39.7 6.0 +33.7 $1.4M 1.12× –
Brian Roberts 2004 +2.6 +22.0 0.3 +21.6 $0.1M 1.07× –
B.J. Surhoff 2004 +1.6 +15.9 0.8 +15.1 $0.5M 1.22× –
Larry Bigbie 2004 +1.5 +15.0 0.3 +14.7 $0.2M 1.22× –
Jerry Hairston Jr. 2004 +1.1 +7.0 1.6 +5.4 $1.6M 0.83× –
Bruce Chen 2004 +0.6 +5.1 0.7 +4.4 $1.1M 1.02× –
Rick Bauer 2004 +0.6 +2.9 0.3 +2.6 $0.6M 0.67× –
John Parrish 2004 +0.4 +2.3 0.3 +2.0 $0.7M 0.67× –
Matt Riley 2004 +0.3 +2.1 0.3 +1.8 $1.2M 1.02× –
Eric DuBose 2004 +0.1 +1.2 0.3 +0.8 $2.2M 1.02× –
Jorge Julio 2004 +0.0 +0.5 0.4 +0.1 $7.9M 1.34× –
Mike DeJean↔ 2004 +0.2 +0.9 1.0 -0.2 $6.3M 0.67× –
Jack Cust 2004 -0.0 -0.1 0.3 -0.4 – 0.69× –
Jason Grimsley↔ 2004 -0.0 -0.1 0.6 -0.7 – 1.34× –
John Maine 2004 -0.1 -0.6 0.2 -0.8 – 1.02× –
José Bautista↔ 2004 -0.1 -0.7 0.1 -0.8 – 0.83× –
Buddy Groom 2004 +0.4 +2.0 3.0 -1.0 $8.0M 0.67× –
Kurt Ainsworth 2004 -0.2 -1.6 0.3 -1.9 – 1.02× –
Keith Osik 2004 -0.4 -1.7 0.5 -2.2 – 0.52× –
Rafael Palmeiro 2004 +0.2 +0.9 4.0 -3.1 $19.8M 0.56× –
Jay Gibbons 2004 -0.2 -1.5 2.6 -4.1 – 0.83× –
Karim Garcia↔ 2004 -0.7 -4.6 0.2 -4.8 – 0.83× –
Luis Lopez 2004 -1.1 -5.3 0.4 -5.6 – 0.61× –
David Segui 2004 +0.1 +0.4 7.0 -6.6 $89.3M 0.69× –
Luis Matos 2004 -1.0 -7.0 1.0 -8.0 – 0.83× –
Aaron Rakers 2004 +0.1 +0.3 – – – 0.67× –
Chad Mottola 2004 -0.1 -0.4 – – – 0.83× –
Daniel Cabrera 2004 +1.2 +9.8 – – – 1.02× –
Darnell McDonald 2004 -0.1 -0.6 – – – 0.83× –
Darwin Cubillan 2004 -0.2 -1.3 – – – 0.67× –
Dave Borkowski 2004 +1.1 +5.7 – – – 0.67× –
David Newhan 2004 +2.1 +17.3 – – – 1.01× –
Denny Bautista↔ 2004 -0.1 -0.6 – – – 0.67× –
Eddy Rodriguez 2004 -0.2 -1.2 – – – 0.67× –
Erik Bedard 2004 +2.4 +28.8 – – – 1.49× –
Geronimo Gil 2004 +0.2 +0.9 – – – 0.52× –
Jose Leon 2004 -0.5 -2.1 – – – 0.56× –
Ken Huckaby↔ 2004 -0.1 -0.3 – – – 0.52× –
Robert Machado 2004 -0.2 -0.8 – – – 0.52× –
Tim Raines Jr. 2004 +0.7 +4.6 – – – 0.83× –
Todd Williams 2004 +0.1 +0.5 – – – 0.67× –
Val Majewski 2004 -0.0 -0.3 – – – 0.83× –
Total—+37.8+454.344.5+349.2—

Trades

Every graded 2004 deal involving the Orioles — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 2 total.

2004 · NYM / BAL
NYM · Jim Duquette +$0.8M
Mike DeJean
BAL · Jim Beattie −$0.8M
Karim García
NYM came out ahead by $0.8M
2004 · KCR / BAL
KCR · Allard Baird +$11.2M
Denny Bautista
BAL · Jim Beattie −$11.2M
Jason Grimsley
KCR came out ahead by $11.2M

Current & Historical Payroll

2004 payroll
$44.6M

What the front office was committed to as of 2004, 2004–2010. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (16)

PlayerAgeSvc2004200520062007200820092010
David Segui3714.000$7.0MFREE AGENT
Javy Lopez3312.000$6.0M$7.5M$7.3MFREE AGENT
Miguel Tejada307.000$5.0M$11.0M$11.8M$13.8MFREE AGENT$3.7M
Rafael Palmeiro3918.000$4.0M$3.0MFREE AGENT
Sidney Ponson276.000$3.0M$8.5MFREE AGENT
Buddy Groom3812.000$3.0MFREE AGENT
Jerry Hairston Jr.286.000$1.6MFREE AGENT
Mike DeJean337.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
B.J. Surhoff3917.000$800k$1.1MFREE AGENT
Bruce Chen276.000$700k$550k$3.8MFREE AGENT
Jason Grimsley3615.000$562k$2.0MFREE AGENT
Keith Osik358.000$500kFREE AGENT
Luis Lopez3311.000$365kFREE AGENT
Karim Garcia289.000$216kFREE AGENT
Robert Machado318.000—FREE AGENT
Todd Williams339.000—$348k$775kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (17)

PlayerAgeSvc2004200520062007200820092010
Jay Gibbons273.000$2.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Melvin Mora325.000$2.3MFREE AGENT
B.J. Ryan285.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
Luis Matos254.000$975kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge Julio253.000$385kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rodrigo Lopez284.000$365kARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Roberts263.000$345kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Larry Bigbie263.000$340kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rick Bauer273.000$335kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Parrish264.000$320kARB 3FREE AGENT
Kurt Ainsworth253.000$315kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Riley245.000$310kFREE AGENT
Jack Cust253.000$305kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dave Borkowski275.000—FREE AGENT
David Newhan305.000—FREE AGENT
Ken Huckaby333.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Geronimo Gil283.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2004200520062007200820092010
Eric DuBose282.000$305kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Maine230.000$151kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Bautista230.000$75kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Mottola32–—
Darnell McDonald250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Leon272.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darwin Cubillan31–—
Tim Raines Jr.24–—
Erik Bedard252.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Cabrera230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Denny Bautista230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eddy Rodriguez22–—
Aaron Rakers27–—
Val Majewski23–—

Graphs

How each 2004 acquisition stacked onto Orioles's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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