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Cubs CHC

202592–70 (0.568)Made Playoffs
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President of baseball ops: Jed Hoyer · GM: Carter Hawkins

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2025, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$201M
Surplus $M
-22
Win %
0.568
TAB
+7.4
WAB
+6.8
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
44.8
Dead money %
20%
Depth Players
10.0
Dead WAR
-4.5

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2025 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RCarson Kelly105
LReese McGuire43
RMiguel Amaya27
LMoisés Ballesteros1

1B

LMichael Busch151
RJustin Turner39
BCarlos Santana⇄7
LMoisés Ballesteros2

2B

RNico Hoerner153
RJon Berti13
BWilli Castro⇄10
RMatt Shaw4
BVidal Bruján⇄3
LNicky Lopez⇄1

3B

RMatt Shaw124
RJon Berti28
RJustin Turner14
LNicky Lopez⇄11
LGage Workman⇄8
BWilli Castro⇄5

SS

RDansby Swanson159
RNico Hoerner8
LNicky Lopez⇄2

LF

BIan Happ146
RSeiya Suzuki15
BWilli Castro⇄8
BVidal Bruján⇄5
RKevin Alcántara2
LOwen Caissie2

CF

LPete Crow-Armstrong156
RKevin Alcántara4
RSeiya Suzuki1
BWilli Castro⇄1

RF

LKyle Tucker115
RSeiya Suzuki32
BWilli Castro⇄9
LOwen Caissie6
RKevin Alcántara1
RJon Berti1

DH

RSeiya Suzuki102
RJustin Turner19
LKyle Tucker19
LMoisés Ballesteros18
BIan Happ4
RCarson Kelly3
RKevin Alcántara2
LMichael Busch2
LGage Workman⇄1
BCarlos Santana⇄1
RMiguel Amaya1
LOwen Caissie1
LPete Crow-Armstrong1
BVidal Bruján⇄1

Starters

LMatthew Boyd3.4 WAR
RCade Horton2.1 WAR
RColin Rea1.8 WAR
RBrad Keller1.3 WAR
RJameson Taillon1.1 WAR
RBen Brown1.1 WAR
LShota Imanaga0.9 WAR
LDrew Pomeranz0.7 WAR
RJavier Assad0.3 WAR
RRyan Brasier0.3 WAR
LJustin Steele0.0 WAR
RMichael Soroka⇄-0.1 WAR
RChris Flexen-0.3 WAR

Bullpen

★ RDaniel Palencia22 sv
RBrad Keller25 h
LCaleb Thielbar25 h
RAndrew Kittredge⇄15 h
LDrew Pomeranz14 h
RPorter Hodge8 h
RRyan Pressly7 h
RRyan Brasier4 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2024)

PlayerfWAR
Kyle Tucker4.5
Matthew Boyd3.4
Carson Kelly2.7
Cade Horton2.1
Colin Rea1.8
Matt Shaw1.5

Key subtractions (gone from 2024)

Player2024 fWAR
Cody Bellinger2.1
Mark Leiter Jr.1.3
Mike Tauchman1.0
Christian Bethancourt0.6
Kyle Hendricks0.4
Isaac Paredes0.4

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Cubs. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2025; everyone else is shown as a 2025 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Pete Crow-Armstrong 2025 +5.4 +88.5 0.8 +87.7 $0.1M 2.05× Pre-arb extension · 2027–2032 · $19.2M AAV
Seiya Suzuki 2022–2025 +11.1 +136.4 66.0 +70.4 $5.9M 1.53× Free agent · 2022–2026 · $17.0M AAV
Dansby Swanson 2023–2025 +12.4 +131.2 68.0 +63.2 $5.5M 1.32× Free Agent · 2023–2029 · $25.3M AAV
Kyle Tucker 2025 +4.5 +64.9 16.5 +48.4 $3.6M 1.79× Free Agent · 2026–2029 · $60.0M AAV
Matthew Boyd 2025 +3.4 +53.6 10.5 +43.1 $3.1M 1.96× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $14.5M AAV
Ian Happ 2024–2025 +6.4 +81.9 42.0 +39.9 $6.6M 1.60× Extension · 2024–2026 · $20.3M AAV
Nico Hoerner 2025 +4.8 +46.6 11.5 +35.1 $2.4M 1.20× Extension · 2027–2032 · $23.5M AAV
Michael Busch 2025 +3.5 +33.7 0.8 +32.9 $0.2M 1.20× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.9M AAV
Cade Horton 2025 +2.1 +25.5 0.6 +25.0 $0.3M 1.49× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Colin Rea 2025 +1.8 +21.9 4.2 +17.7 $2.3M 1.49× Extension · 2027–2027 · $6.5M AAV
Carson Kelly 2025 +2.7 +21.5 5.5 +16.0 $2.0M 1.00× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $5.8M AAV
Brad Keller 2025 +1.3 +13.7 1.5 +12.2 $1.2M 1.34× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $11.0M AAV
Daniel Palencia 2025 +0.9 +10.2 0.7 +9.5 $0.7M 1.34× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Jameson Taillon 2023–2025 +5.0 +59.2 50.0 +9.2 $10.0M 1.49× Free Agent · 2023–2026 · $17.0M AAV
Ben Brown 2025 +1.1 +8.7 0.7 +8.0 $0.6M 1.02× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Matt Shaw 2025 +1.5 +6.9 0.7 +6.2 $0.4M 0.58× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Andrew Kittredge↔ 2025 +0.6 +6.2 2.6 +3.6 $4.5M 1.34× Free Agent · 2025–2026 · $10.0M AAV
Caleb Thielbar 2025 +1.1 +5.9 2.8 +3.2 $2.5M 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $4.5M AAV
Miguel Amaya 2025 +0.9 +3.6 0.8 +2.8 $0.9M 0.52× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Drew Pomeranz 2025 +0.7 +3.6 1.3 +2.4 $1.9M 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $4.0M AAV
Javier Assad 2025 +0.3 +2.7 0.8 +2.0 $2.3M 1.02× –
Reese McGuire 2025 +0.7 +2.9 1.0 +1.8 $1.5M 0.52× –
Moisés Ballesteros 2025 +0.3 +1.6 0.1 +1.5 $0.4M 0.69× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Jordan Wicks 2025 +0.1 +0.7 0.1 +0.6 $1.0M 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Kevin Alcántara 2025 +0.1 +0.5 0.2 +0.3 $2.9M 0.83× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Michael Fulmer↔ 2025 +0.0 +0.2 0.0 +0.2 $0.6M 0.67× –
Owen Caissie 2025 +0.0 +0.3 0.1 +0.2 $2.9M 0.83× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Tom Cosgrove 2025 +0.1 +0.3 0.2 +0.1 $2.9M 0.67× –
Brooks Kriske↔ 2025 -0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 – 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Gavin Hollowell 2025 -0.0 -0.2 0.1 -0.2 – 0.67× –
Luke Little 2025 -0.0 -0.2 0.0 -0.3 – 0.67× –
Gage Workman↔ 2025 -0.1 -0.6 0.1 -0.7 – 0.69× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Nicky Lopez↔ 2025 -0.1 -0.6 0.1 -0.7 – 0.58× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Aaron Civale↔ 2025 -0.0 -0.2 1.0 -1.2 – 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $6.0M AAV
Ryan Brasier 2025 +0.3 +1.6 3.0 -1.4 $10.1M 0.67× –
Ethan Roberts 2025 -0.2 -1.3 0.2 -1.5 – 0.67× –
Génesis Cabrera↔ 2025 -0.3 -1.5 0.1 -1.6 – 0.67× –
Julian Merryweather 2025 -0.1 -0.5 1.2 -1.7 – 0.67× –
Carlos Santana↔ 2025 -0.2 -1.0 0.8 -1.8 – 0.56× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $2.0M AAV
Vidal Bruján↔ 2025 -0.2 -1.5 0.3 -1.8 – 0.83× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Michael Soroka↔ 2025 -0.1 -0.3 1.7 -2.0 – 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $7.5M AAV
Taylor Rogers↔ 2025 -0.1 -0.3 1.8 -2.1 – 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $2.0M AAV
Chris Flexen 2025 -0.3 -1.4 0.8 -2.2 – 0.67× –
Nate Pearson 2025 -0.2 -1.0 1.4 -2.3 – 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.4M AAV
Eli Morgan 2025 -0.3 -1.5 0.9 -2.4 – 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.0M AAV
Willi Castro↔ 2025 -0.5 -2.4 1.2 -3.6 – 0.56× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $6.4M AAV
Jon Berti 2025 -0.5 -2.1 2.0 -4.1 – 0.58× –
Justin Turner 2025 -0.3 -1.2 4.5 -5.7 – 0.56× –
Justin Steele 2025 +0.0 +0.4 6.5 -6.2 $136.0M 1.02× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $6.8M AAV
Shota Imanaga 2025 +0.9 +7.2 13.5 -6.3 $15.3M 1.02× Qualifying Offer · 2026–2026 · $22.0M AAV
Porter Hodge 2025 -0.6 -6.9 0.7 -7.5 – 1.34× –
Ryan Pressly 2025 -0.3 -3.7 9.2 -12.9 – 1.34× –
Total—+69.6+813.6341.1+472.9—

Trades

Every graded 2025 deal involving the Cubs — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 17 total.

2025 · CHC / SEA Jan 14, 2025
CHC · Jed Hoyer +$1.6M
cash / PTBNL
SEA · Jerry Dipoto −$1.6M
Miles Mastrobuoni
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · MIN / CHC Jul 31, 2025
MIN · Derek Falvey +$7.2M
Ryan Gallagher, Sam Armstrong
CHC · Jed Hoyer −$7.2M
Willi Castro
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · SEA / CHC Apr 21, 2025
SEA · Jerry Dipoto +$3.2M
cash / PTBNL
CHC · Jed Hoyer −$3.2M
Drew Pomeranz
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · CHC / BAL Jan 31, 2025
CHC · Jed Hoyer +$2.4M
cash / PTBNL
BAL · Mike Elias −$2.4M
Luis Vázquez
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · CHC / BAL Nov 4, 2025
CHC · Jed Hoyer +$6.4M
cash / PTBNL
BAL · Mike Elias −$6.4M
Andrew Kittredge
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · CHC / BAL Mar 29, 2025
CHC · Jed Hoyer +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
BAL · Mike Elias +$0.0M
Cody Poteet
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · CHC / LAD Feb 4, 2025
CHC · Jed Hoyer +$0.0M
Ryan Brasier
LAD · Andrew Friedman +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · CHC / TEX Jan 9, 2025
CHC · Jed Hoyer +$0.0M
Matt Festa
TEX · Chris Young +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · CHC / SDP Apr 10, 2025
CHC · Jed Hoyer +$0.8M
Tom Cosgrove
SDP · AJ Preller −$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · CHC / HOU Dec 4, 2025
CHC · Jed Hoyer +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Nico Zeglin
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · CHC / CHW Apr 26, 2025
CHC · Jed Hoyer +$1.6M
cash / PTBNL
CHW · Chris Getz −$1.6M
Gage Workman
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · HOU / CHC Jan 28, 2025
HOU · Dana Brown +$7.2M
Juan Bello
CHC · Jed Hoyer −$7.2M
Ryan Pressly
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · CHC / NYY Jan 15, 2025
CHC · Jed Hoyer +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
NYY · Brian Cashman +$0.0M
Michael Arias
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · PIT / CHC Jul 31, 2025
PIT · Ben Cherington +$6.4M
Ivan Brethowr
CHC · Jed Hoyer −$6.4M
Taylor Rogers
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · WSN / CHC Jul 31, 2025
WSN · Mike DeBartolo +$6.4M
Ronny Cruz, Christian Franklin
CHC · Jed Hoyer −$6.4M
Michael Soroka
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · NYM / CHC Feb 25, 2025
NYM · David Stearns +$0.0M
Alexander Canario
CHC · Jed Hoyer +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · CHC / BAL Jul 31, 2025
CHC · Jed Hoyer +$0.0M
Andrew Kittredge
BAL · Mike Elias +$0.0M
Wilfri De La Cruz
Too soon to call unsettled

Current & Historical Payroll

2025 payroll
$201.1M
2026 guaranteed
$115.0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2025, 2025–2031. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2025; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (17)

PlayerAgeSvc2025202620272028202920302031
Dansby Swanson318.047$28.0M$28.0M$28.0M$27.0M$26.0MFREE AGENT
Ian Happ307.036$21.0M$19.0MFREE AGENT
Seiya Suzuki303.000$19.0M$19.0MFREE AGENT
Jameson Taillon338.110$18.0M$18.0MFREE AGENT
Matthew Boyd348.057$10.5M$17.0M$15.0MMUTUALFREE AGENT
Ryan Pressly3611.039$9.2MFREE AGENT
Carson Kelly306.161$5.5M$5.0M$7.5MMUTUALFREE AGENT
Justin Turner4014.045$4.5MFREE AGENT
Ryan Brasier377.094$3.0MFREE AGENT
Caleb Thielbar386.131$2.8MFREE AGENT
Andrew Kittredge356.070$2.6M$9.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Taylor Rogers348.145$1.8MFREE AGENT
Michael Soroka276.009$1.7MFREE AGENT
Brad Keller296.062$1.5MFREE AGENT
Drew Pomeranz3611.021$1.3MFREE AGENT
Carlos Santana3914.115$767kFREE AGENT
Michael Fulmer327.157$25kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2025202620272028202920302031
Kyle Tucker285.079$16.5MFREE AGENT
Nico Hoerner285.014$11.5MFREE AGENT
Justin Steele293.143$6.5MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Colin Rea345.057$4.2MFREE AGENT
Jon Berti355.168$2.0MFREE AGENT
Nate Pearson284.005$1.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Willi Castro285.017$1.2MFREE AGENT
Julian Merryweather334.109$1.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Reese McGuire304.155$1.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Civale305.058$1.0MFREE AGENT
Eli Morgan293.091$950kARB 2FREE AGENT
Chris Flexen304.107$774kARB 3FREE AGENT
Nicky Lopez305.139$98kFREE AGENT
Génesis Cabrera285.011$78kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (21)

PlayerAgeSvc2025202620272028202920302031
Shota Imanaga311.000$13.5MPre-ArbFREE AGENT
Miguel Amaya261.130$782kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Busch271.045$780kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Javier Assad272.027$773kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pete Crow-Armstrong230.170$771kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ben Brown251.000$693kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Palencia250.159$682kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Porter Hodge240.125$676kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Shaw230.000$662kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cade Horton230.000$580kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Vidal Bruján272.014$323kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ethan Roberts272.075$229kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Alcántara220.005$223kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tom Cosgrove291.085$163kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Owen Caissie220.000$139kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Wicks251.037$135kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Moisés Ballesteros210.000$123kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gage Workman25–$95k
Gavin Hollowell270.095$61kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brooks Kriske311.121$41kPre-ArbFREE AGENT
Luke Little241.020$16kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2025 acquisition stacked onto Cubs's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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