Rosternomics
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Cubs CHC

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President of baseball ops: Jed Hoyer (since 2021) · GM: Carter Hawkins (since 2021)

2025 roster — every player, value & surplus

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+6.2
WAB — wins above budget
+6.5
TAB — roster Talent above budget
92–70 (0.568)
record · made playoffs
-31M
surplus $M (value/$)
44.5
roster fWAR
$201.1M
payroll
PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Pete Crow-Armstrong 23 pre-arb 157 5.4 0.8 +19.8
Nico Hoerner 28 arb 156 4.8 11.5 +6.9
Kyle Tucker 28 arb 136 4.5 16.5 +0.7
Michael Busch 27 pre-arb 155 3.5 0.8 +12.6
Matthew Boyd 34 FA-elig 31 3.4 10.5 +2.6
Dansby Swanson 31 FA-elig 159 3.3 28.0 -15.2
Ian Happ 30 FA-elig 150 2.8 21.0 -10.2
Carson Kelly 30 FA-elig 111 2.7 5.5 +4.7
Seiya Suzuki 30 arb 151 2.6 19.0 -9.1
Cade Horton 23 – 23 2.2 0.6 +7.7
Colin Rea 34 arb 32 1.9 4.2 +2.8
Matt Shaw 23 – 126 1.5 0.7 +4.9
Brad Keller 29 FA-elig 68 1.3 1.5 +3.4
Caleb Thielbar 38 FA-elig 67 1.1 2.8 +1.5
Jameson Taillon 33 FA-elig 23 1.1 18.0 -13.8
Ben Brown 25 pre-arb 25 1.1 0.7 +3.4
Daniel Palencia 25 pre-arb 54 1.0 0.7 +3.0
Shota Imanaga 31 pre-arb 25 0.9 13.5 -10.1
Miguel Amaya 26 pre-arb 28 0.8 0.8 +2.5
Drew Pomeranz 36 FA-elig 57 0.7 1.3 +1.3
Reese McGuire 30 arb 45 0.7 1.0 +1.6
Andrew Kittredge↔ BAL 35 FA-elig 23 0.6 2.6 -0.4
Javier Assad 27 pre-arb 8 0.3 0.8 +0.5
Ryan Brasier 37 FA-elig 28 0.3 3.0 -1.9
Moisés Ballesteros 21 – 20 0.3 0.1 +1.0
Jordan Wicks 25 pre-arb 8 0.1 0.1 +0.4
Kevin Alcántara 22 pre-arb 10 0.1 0.2 +0.1
Tom Cosgrove 29 pre-arb 2 0.1 0.2 +0.1
Justin Steele 29 arb 4 0.0 6.5 -6.4
Owen Caissie 22 – 12 0.0 0.1 +0.0
Michael Fulmer↔ BOS 32 FA-elig 2 0.0 0.0 +0.1
Brooks Kriske↔ MIN 31 – 4 -0.0 0.0 -0.1
Gavin Hollowell 27 pre-arb 7 -0.0 0.1 -0.2
Aaron Civale↔ CHW 30 arb 5 -0.0 1.0 -1.1
Luke Little 24 pre-arb 2 -0.0 0.0 -0.2
Michael Soroka↔ WSN 27 FA-elig 6 -0.1 1.7 -1.9
Taylor Rogers↔ CIN 34 FA-elig 17 -0.1 1.8 -2.0
Julian Merryweather 33 – 21 -0.1 1.2 -1.6
Gage Workman↔ CHW 25 – 9 -0.1 0.1 -0.5
Nicky Lopez↔ ANA 30 – 14 -0.1 0.1 -0.6
Nate Pearson 28 – 11 -0.2 1.4 -2.0
Vidal Bruján↔ ATL 27 – 36 -0.2 0.3 -1.2
Carlos Santana↔ CLE 39 FA-elig 8 -0.2 0.8 -1.7
Ethan Roberts 27 pre-arb 10 -0.2 0.2 -1.1
Chris Flexen 30 – 21 -0.3 0.8 -1.8
Eli Morgan 29 arb 7 -0.3 0.9 -2.0
Justin Turner 40 FA-elig 80 -0.3 4.5 -5.5
Génesis Cabrera↔ MIN 28 – 9 -0.3 0.1 -1.2
Ryan Pressly 36 – 44 -0.3 9.2 -10.5
Jon Berti 35 – 53 -0.5 2.0 -3.8
Willi Castro↔ MIN 28 arb 34 -0.5 1.2 -3.3
Porter Hodge 24 pre-arb 36 -0.6 0.7 -3.1

WAR = FanGraphs (fWAR). Green = produced more value than paid (bargain); red = paid more than produced. Service: pre-arb (<3 yr) / arb (3–6) / FA-eligible (6+). Click headers to sort.

History: front-office performance & develop-vs-buy (1985–2024)

Trade ledger (realized WAR, all-time)

Best acquisitions
PlayerYearWAR for CHC
Sammy Sosa199260.7
Ryne Sandberg198248.2
Anthony Rizzo201231.1
Aramis Ramírez200325.0
Kyle Hendricks201224.4
Derrek Lee200321.4
Jake Arrieta201319.6
Rick Sutcliffe198417.2
Ones that got away
PlayerYear tradedWAR elsewhere
Rafael Palmeiro198842.3
Dontrelle Willis200220.7
Dennis Eckersley198719.3
Ricky Nolasco200517.5
Jon Garland199817.2
Chris Archer201116.9
Gleyber Torres201615.9
Josh Donaldson200813.8
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.