Rosternomics
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Cubs CHC

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President of baseball ops: Jed Hoyer (since 2021) · GM: Carter Hawkins (since 2021)

2026 roster — every player, value & surplus

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-1.6 pace
WAB — wins above budget (162-game pace)
-1.6 pace
TAB — roster Talent above budget (162-game pace)
32–29 (0.525)
record
+134M
surplus $M (value/$)
37.0
roster fWAR
$208.2M
payroll
PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Pete Crow-Armstrong 24 pre-arb 61 6.3 0.9 +57.4
Nico Hoerner 29 FA-elig 60 4.7 12.0 +31.4
Ben Brown 26 pre-arb 17 4.2 0.8 +38.5
Ian Happ 31 FA-elig 57 4.2 19.0 +20.1
Michael Busch 28 pre-arb 60 3.6 0.9 +32.6
Alex Bregman 32 FA-elig 60 3.0 20.0 +7.7
Dansby Swanson 32 FA-elig 58 2.8 28.0 -2.0
Matthew Boyd 35 FA-elig 5 2.2 17.0 +3.5
Seiya Suzuki 31 arb 47 2.0 19.0 -0.8
Shota Imanaga 32 pre-arb 12 1.8 22.0 -4.9
Carson Kelly 31 FA-elig 45 1.6 5.0 +9.8
Michael Conforto 33 FA-elig 38 1.5 2.0 +11.8
Miguel Amaya 27 pre-arb 34 1.4 0.8 +12.2
Edward Cabrera 28 arb 10 1.2 4.5 +6.5
Colin Rea 35 FA-elig 12 0.7 5.5 +1.0
Jacob Webb 32 arb 25 0.7 1.5 +4.6
Riley Martin 28 – 8 0.5 0.7 +3.7
Hoby Milner 35 FA-elig 27 0.4 3.8 -0.3
Ethan Roberts 28 pre-arb 12 0.3 0.7 +2.2
Jordan Wicks 26 pre-arb 2 0.2 0.5 +0.9
Daniel Palencia 26 pre-arb 14 0.1 0.8 +0.6
Ty Blach 35 arb 1 0.1 0.0 +1.1
Moisés Ballesteros 22 pre-arb 49 0.1 0.8 +0.2
Yacksel Ríos 33 arb 1 0.1 0.0 +0.8
Cade Horton 24 pre-arb 2 0.1 0.8 -0.1
Vince Velasquez 34 – 1 0.1 – –
Pedro Ramírez 22 – 5 0.0 0.5 -0.5
Charlie Barnes↔ LAD 30 – 1 -0.1 0.0 -0.8
Matt Shaw 24 pre-arb 42 -0.1 0.8 -1.7
Luke Little 25 pre-arb 1 -0.1 0.0 -1.4
Javier Assad 28 arb 8 -0.2 1.8 -3.5
Caleb Thielbar 39 FA-elig 15 -0.2 4.0 -6.0
Nicky Lopez↔ TEX 31 – 4 -0.3 0.2 -2.9
Gavin Hollowell 28 pre-arb 1 -0.3 0.0 -2.8
Trent Thornton 32 arb 10 -0.3 0.8 -3.8
Scott Kingery 32 arb 8 -0.3 1.2 -4.4
Kevin Alcántara 23 pre-arb 7 -0.4 0.5 -3.9
Phil Maton 33 FA-elig 21 -0.4 5.5 -9.2
Dylan Carlson 27 arb 3 -0.4 2.0 -5.7
Hunter Harvey 31 FA-elig 4 -0.4 5.0 -9.2
Ryan Rolison 28 pre-arb 15 -0.5 0.7 -5.2
Corbin Martin 30 pre-arb 7 -0.6 0.1 -6.0
Jameson Taillon 34 FA-elig 12 -2.0 18.0 -36.9

43 players appeared (WAR is complete); salary & surplus are on record for 42 of them (98%). Players without a salary show "–" — no single historical salary source is fully complete (especially 2020–2022).

WAR = FanGraphs (fWAR), annualized to full-season pace. Green = produced more value than paid (bargain); red = paid more than produced. Service: pre-arb (<3 yr) / arb (3–6) / FA-eligible (6+). Click headers to sort.

History: front-office performance & develop-vs-buy (1985–2024)

Trade ledger (realized WAR, all-time)

Best acquisitions
PlayerYearWAR for CHC
Sammy Sosa199260.7
Ryne Sandberg198248.2
Anthony Rizzo201231.1
Aramis Ramírez200325.0
Kyle Hendricks201224.4
Derrek Lee200321.4
Jake Arrieta201319.6
Rick Sutcliffe198417.2
Ones that got away
PlayerYear tradedWAR elsewhere
Rafael Palmeiro198842.3
Dontrelle Willis200220.7
Dennis Eckersley198719.3
Ricky Nolasco200517.5
Jon Garland199817.2
Chris Archer201116.9
Gleyber Torres201615.9
Josh Donaldson200813.8
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.