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Cubs CHC

202274–88 (0.457)
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President of baseball ops: Jed Hoyer · GM: Carter Hawkins

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2022, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$144M
Surplus $M
-48
Win %
0.457
TAB
-8.2
WAB
-8.0
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
26.1
Dead money %
46%
Depth Players
4.0
Dead WAR
-7.1

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2022 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RWillson Contreras72
RYan Gomes69
RP.J. Higgins34

1B

LAlfonso Rivas III92
RFrank Schwindel48
RP.J. Higgins38
RPatrick Wisdom18
RDavid Bote6
LJared Young2

2B

RNick Madrigal59
RChristopher Morel33
BJonathan Villar⇄29
LZach McKinstry⇄21
RAndrelton Simmons18
RDavid Bote18
LEsteban Quiroz12
BIldemaro Vargas⇄10

3B

RPatrick Wisdom105
LZach McKinstry⇄22
RChristopher Morel18
RDavid Bote16
RP.J. Higgins4
RNico Hoerner1

SS

RNico Hoerner133
RAndrelton Simmons18
RChristopher Morel13
LZach McKinstry⇄10
BJonathan Villar⇄2

LF

BIan Happ146
RNelson Velázquez14
LRafael Ortega11
RClint Frazier5
RPatrick Wisdom5
LAlfonso Rivas III2
RChristopher Morel1
RMichael Hermosillo1

CF

LRafael Ortega67
RChristopher Morel57
RNelson Velázquez32
RMichael Hermosillo28
LJason Heyward26
BIan Happ3
RPatrick Wisdom2
RNarciso Crook1

RF

RSeiya Suzuki106
RNelson Velázquez23
LJason Heyward21
LRafael Ortega19
RPatrick Wisdom7
RFranmil Reyes⇄5
RClint Frazier2
RNarciso Crook2
RMichael Hermosillo2
LAlfonso Rivas III1
LJared Young1

DH

RFranmil Reyes⇄42
RWillson Contreras39
RFrank Schwindel26
LRafael Ortega22
BIan Happ10
RYan Gomes9
RClint Frazier8
RNelson Velázquez6
LZach McKinstry⇄3
LAlfonso Rivas III3
RPatrick Wisdom3
LJared Young3
RAndrelton Simmons2
RChristopher Morel2
RDavid Bote1
BJonathan Villar⇄1
RP.J. Higgins1
RNico Hoerner1
RSeiya Suzuki1

Starters

LJustin Steele2.5 WAR
RMarcus Stroman2.0 WAR
RAdrian Sampson1.4 WAR
LDrew Smyly1.2 WAR
RScott Effross⇄1.2 WAR
RKeegan Thompson0.8 WAR
RHayden Wesneski0.7 WAR
LWade Miley0.5 WAR
RJavier Assad0.4 WAR
RKyle Hendricks0.3 WAR
RMark Leiter Jr.0.2 WAR
RLuke Farrell⇄0.0 WAR
RCaleb Kilian-0.0 WAR
LDaniel Norris⇄-0.4 WAR
RAlec Mills-0.6 WAR
LSean Newcomb⇄-0.7 WAR
RMatt Swarmer-0.8 WAR

Bullpen

★ RRowan Wick9 sv
LBrandon Hughes8 h
RMichael Rucker5 h
RMark Leiter Jr.4 h
RScott Effross⇄0 h
RMychal Givens⇄0 h
RDavid Robertson⇄0 h
RChris Martin⇄0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2021)

PlayerfWAR
Seiya Suzuki2.0
Marcus Stroman2.0
Christopher Morel1.7
Drew Smyly1.2
Yan Gomes0.9
Zach McKinstry0.8

Key subtractions (gone from 2021)

Player2021 fWAR
Kris Bryant2.6
Craig Kimbrel2.1
Javier Báez2.1
Anthony Rizzo1.7
Matt Duffy1.2
Ryan Tepera1.1

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Cubs. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2022; everyone else is shown as a 2022 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Ian Happ 2022 +3.7 +53.3 6.8 +46.4 $1.8M 1.79× Extension · 2024–2026 · $20.3M AAV
Nico Hoerner 2022 +4.3 +45.2 0.7 +44.5 $0.2M 1.32× Extension · 2027–2032 · $23.5M AAV
Justin Steele 2022 +2.5 +39.6 0.7 +38.9 $0.3M 1.96× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $6.8M AAV
Willson Contreras 2022 +3.5 +28.0 9.6 +18.3 $2.8M 1.00× Free Agent · 2023–2027 · $17.5M AAV
Christopher Morel 2022 +1.7 +16.3 0.5 +15.7 $0.3M 1.22× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $2.0M AAV
Adrian Sampson 2022 +1.4 +11.4 0.1 +11.3 $0.1M 1.02× –
Seiya Suzuki 2022 +2.0 +19.1 8.0 +11.1 $4.1M 1.22× Free agent · 2022–2026 · $17.0M AAV
Scott Effross↔ 2022 +1.2 +6.3 0.4 +6.0 $0.3M 0.67× –
Drew Smyly 2022 +1.2 +9.9 4.2 +5.6 $3.5M 1.02× –
Keegan Thompson 2022 +0.8 +6.2 0.7 +5.5 $0.9M 1.02× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.3M AAV
Hayden Wesneski 2022 +0.7 +5.5 0.1 +5.4 $0.2M 1.02× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.0M AAV
Patrick Wisdom 2022 +1.2 +5.7 0.7 +5.0 $0.6M 0.58× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.0M AAV
Rafael Ortega 2022 +0.7 +4.8 0.7 +4.0 $1.0M 0.83× –
Zach McKinstry↔ 2022 +0.8 +3.6 0.2 +3.4 $0.3M 0.58× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $4.2M AAV
Javier Assad 2022 +0.4 +3.2 0.7 +2.5 $1.8M 1.02× –
Adbert Alzolay 2022 +0.5 +2.7 0.7 +1.9 $1.4M 0.67× –
Mark Leiter Jr. 2022 +0.2 +2.3 0.5 +1.8 $2.1M 1.34× –
P.J. Higgins 2022 +0.3 +1.5 0.5 +1.0 $1.5M 0.56× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Nelson Velázquez 2022 +0.2 +1.3 0.4 +0.8 $2.2M 0.83× –
Chris Martin↔ 2022 +0.4 +2.2 1.4 +0.7 $3.5M 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $4.0M AAV
Nick Madrigal 2022 +0.3 +1.4 0.7 +0.7 $2.3M 0.56× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Esteban Quiroz 2022 +0.2 +0.7 0.1 +0.6 $0.4M 0.56× –
Jared Young 2022 +0.1 +0.4 0.0 +0.3 $0.7M 0.69× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.1M AAV
David Robertson↔ 2022 +0.4 +2.4 2.2 +0.2 $4.9M 0.67× –
Ildemaro Vargas↔ 2022 +0.0 +0.1 0.0 +0.1 $0.7M 0.56× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.2M AAV
Caleb Kilian 2022 -0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 – 1.02× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Jeremiah Estrada 2022 -0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.1 – 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
David Bote 2022 +0.5 +2.3 2.5 -0.2 $4.8M 0.56× –
Nicholas Padilla 2022 -0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.2 – 0.67× –
Robert Gsellman 2022 -0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.2 – 0.67× –
Steven Brault 2022 +0.1 +0.5 0.7 -0.2 $7.5M 0.67× –
Narciso Crook 2022 -0.0 -0.3 0.0 -0.3 – 0.83× –
Jesse Chavez↔ 2022 -0.1 -0.4 0.0 -0.5 – 0.67× –
Locke St. John 2022 -0.1 -0.5 0.0 -0.5 – 0.67× –
Michael Rucker 2022 +0.0 +0.1 0.5 -0.5 $37.0M 0.67× –
Rowan Wick 2022 +0.0 +0.1 0.7 -0.6 $92.1M 1.34× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $0.9M AAV
Alfonso Rivas III 2022 -0.1 -0.5 0.6 -1.1 – 0.56× –
Mychal Givens↔ 2022 +0.2 +1.1 2.4 -1.2 $11.2M 0.67× –
Brendon Little 2022 -0.2 -1.3 0.0 -1.3 – 0.67× –
Kervin Castro↔ 2022 -0.3 -1.3 0.1 -1.4 – 0.67× –
Erich Uelmen 2022 -0.2 -1.3 0.3 -1.6 – 0.67× –
Marcus Stroman 2022 +2.0 +23.2 25.0 -1.8 $12.8M 1.49× –
Clint Frazier 2022 -0.1 -0.6 1.5 -2.1 – 0.69× –
Michael Hermosillo 2022 -0.2 -1.6 0.6 -2.2 – 0.83× –
Franmil Reyes↔ 2022 -0.1 -0.4 1.9 -2.3 – 0.69× –
Yan Gomes 2022 +0.9 +3.6 6.0 -2.4 $7.0M 0.52× –
Ethan Roberts 2022 -0.3 -1.8 0.7 -2.5 – 0.67× –
Manuel Rodríguez 2022 -0.2 -2.2 0.5 -2.7 – 1.34× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Anderson Espinoza 2022 -0.5 -2.6 0.1 -2.8 – 0.67× –
Daniel Norris↔ 2022 -0.4 -2.0 1.2 -3.2 – 0.67× –
Frank Schwindel 2022 -0.7 -2.9 0.5 -3.4 – 0.56× –
Alec Mills 2022 -0.6 -3.1 0.7 -3.8 – 0.67× –
Brandon Hughes 2022 -0.3 -3.5 0.5 -4.1 – 1.34× –
Sean Newcomb↔ 2022 -0.7 -3.5 0.8 -4.3 – 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $4.5M AAV
Matt Swarmer 2022 -0.8 -4.2 0.2 -4.4 – 0.67× –
Andrelton Simmons 2022 -0.2 -0.9 4.0 -4.9 – 0.56× –
Wade Miley 2022 +0.5 +4.1 10.0 -5.9 $19.7M 1.02× –
Jonathan Villar↔ 2022 -0.6 -2.7 4.7 -7.4 – 0.56× –
Kyle Hendricks 2022 +0.3 +2.4 14.0 -11.6 $46.5M 1.02× –
Jason Heyward 2022 -0.3 -1.8 22.0 -23.8 – 0.83× –
Conner Menez 2022 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 – 0.67× –
Eric Stout↔ 2022 +0.0 +0.0 0.0 +0.0 $3.1M 0.67× –
Luke Farrell↔ 2022 +0.0 +0.1 0.0 +0.0 $3.9M 1.02× –
Matt Dermody 2022 -0.0 -0.1 – – – 0.67× –
Total—+26.2+270.7143.5+126.1—

Trades

Every graded 2022 deal involving the Cubs — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 11 total.

2022 · SFG / CHC Apr 21, 2022
SFG · Farhan Zaidi +$0.0M
Cory Abbott
CHC · Jed Hoyer +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2022 · ATL / CHC Apr 21, 2022
ATL · Alex Anthopoulos +$8.0M
Jesse Chavez
CHC · Jed Hoyer −$8.0M
Sean Newcomb
Too soon to call unsettled
2022 · CHC / PIT Jun 21, 2022
CHC · Jed Hoyer +$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
PIT · Ben Cherington −$0.8M
Eric Stout
Too soon to call unsettled
2022 · CHC / SFG Jul 31, 2022
CHC · Jed Hoyer +$0.0M
Raynel Espinal
SFG · Farhan Zaidi +$0.0M
Dixon Machado
Too soon to call unsettled
2022 · CHC / NYM Aug 2, 2022
CHC · Jed Hoyer +$0.8M
Saul Gonzalez
NYM · Billy Eppler −$0.8M
Mychal Givens
Too soon to call unsettled
2022 · CHC / NYY Aug 1, 2022
CHC · Jed Hoyer +$2.4M
Hayden Wesneski
NYY · Brian Cashman −$2.4M
Scott Effross
Too soon to call unsettled
2022 · TBR / CHC Mar 25, 2022
TBR · Erik Neander +$11.2M
Harold Ramírez
CHC · Jed Hoyer −$11.2M
Esteban Quiroz
Too soon to call unsettled
2022 · CHC / PHI Aug 2, 2022
CHC · Jed Hoyer +$26.4M
Ben Brown
PHI · Dave Dombrowski −$26.4M
David Robertson
Too soon to call unsettled
2022 · LAD / CHC Jul 30, 2022
LAD · Andrew Friedman +$0.8M
Chris Martin
CHC · Jed Hoyer −$0.8M
Zach McKinstry
Too soon to call unsettled
2022 · TBR / CHC Nov 15, 2022
TBR · Erik Neander +$3.2M
Alfredo Zarraga
CHC · Jed Hoyer −$3.2M
Miles Mastrobuoni
Too soon to call unsettled
2022 · ARI / CHC Mar 27, 2022
ARI · Mike Hazen +$1.6M
Sergio Alcántara
CHC · Jed Hoyer −$1.6M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled

Current & Historical Payroll

2022 payroll
$143.8M
2023 guaranteed
$18.0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2022, 2022–2028. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2022; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Marcus Stroman317.026$25.0MFREE AGENT
Jason Heyward3212.000$22.0MFREE AGENT
Kyle Hendricks327.081$14.0MFREE AGENT
Wade Miley3510.025$10.0MFREE AGENT
Seiya Suzuki270.000$8.0M$18.0M$21.0M$19.0M$19.0MFREE AGENT
Yan Gomes349.083$6.0MFREE AGENT
Jonathan Villar319.000$4.7MFREE AGENT
Drew Smyly339.143$4.2MFREE AGENT
Andrelton Simmons3210.000$4.0MFREE AGENT
Mychal Givens326.069$2.4MFREE AGENT
David Robertson3712.104$2.2MFREE AGENT
Daniel Norris296.073$1.2MFREE AGENT
Robert Gsellman286.000$100kFREE AGENT
Jesse Chavez3814.000$35kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Willson Contreras305.108$9.6MFREE AGENT
Ian Happ274.036$6.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
David Bote293.100$2.5MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Franmil Reyes263.115$1.9MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Clint Frazier273.149$1.5MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Martin364.133$1.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Newcomb293.121$765kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steven Brault304.085$668kARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Leiter Jr.315.000$458kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (41)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Alec Mills302.097$741kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rafael Ortega311.145$738kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Patrick Wisdom301.058$730kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rowan Wick292.114$724kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nico Hoerner252.014$720kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adbert Alzolay271.050$718kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Madrigal251.164$716kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Keegan Thompson270.131$706kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2FREE AGENT
Justin Steele260.143$705kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Javier Assad240.000$700kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ethan Roberts240.000$700kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Hermosillo271.064$600kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alfonso Rivas III250.037$563kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Rucker280.066$548kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Christopher Morel230.000$542kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2FREE AGENT
Brandon Hughes260.000$538kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
P.J. Higgins290.138$523kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2FREE AGENT
Frank Schwindel301.015$496kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Manuel Rodríguez250.074$485kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nelson Velázquez230.000$419kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Effross280.037$353kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Erich Uelmen260.000$308kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zach McKinstry270.148$216kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Swarmer28–$173k
Hayden Wesneski240.000$115kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anderson Espinoza241.000$108kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adrian Sampson302.009$100kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeremiah Estrada230.000$88kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Esteban Quiroz30–$69k
Kervin Castro230.028$68kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jared Young260.000$50kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luke Farrell312.108$36kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Conner Menez271.092$31kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Caleb Kilian250.000$31kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2FREE AGENT
Eric Stout290.008$20kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Narciso Crook26–$19k
Ildemaro Vargas302.097$16kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brendon Little250.000$12kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Locke St. John29–$8k
Nicholas Padilla250.000$4kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Dermody310.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2022 acquisition stacked onto Cubs's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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