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Cubs CHC

202383–79 (0.512)
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President of baseball ops: Jed Hoyer · GM: Carter Hawkins

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2023, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$159M
Surplus $M
+5
Win %
0.512
TAB
+6.7
WAB
+0.6
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
41.4
Dead money %
17%
Depth Players
8.0
Dead WAR
-3.6

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2023 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RYan Gomes103
LTucker Barnhart42
RMiguel Amaya41

1B

LCody Bellinger59
RTrey Mancini51
LMatt Mervis27
LEric Hosmer15
RPatrick Wisdom14
LJared Young14
BJeimer Candelario⇄6
LEdwin Rios3

2B

RNico Hoerner135
RChristopher Morel19
RNick Madrigal14
LMiles Mastrobuoni7
RPatrick Wisdom1

3B

RNick Madrigal72
RPatrick Wisdom61
BJeimer Candelario⇄33
LMiles Mastrobuoni29
LEdwin Rios5
RChristopher Morel5

SS

RDansby Swanson147
RNico Hoerner20
LMiles Mastrobuoni4
RChristopher Morel2

LF

BIan Happ154
RChristopher Morel8
RPatrick Wisdom5
LMike Tauchman4
RAlexander Canario1
RLuis Torrens⇄1
LMiles Mastrobuoni1

CF

LCody Bellinger84
LMike Tauchman81
LPete Crow-Armstrong13
RChristopher Morel12
RNelson Velázquez⇄3
RAlexander Canario1

RF

RSeiya Suzuki132
LMike Tauchman10
RChristopher Morel8
LMiles Mastrobuoni6
RTrey Mancini5
RPatrick Wisdom4
RAlexander Canario1

DH

RChristopher Morel61
RTrey Mancini22
LEric Hosmer14
RYan Gomes12
LMike Tauchman12
RPatrick Wisdom11
LEdwin Rios10
RMiguel Amaya9
RSeiya Suzuki5
RAlexander Canario4
LMiles Mastrobuoni4
RNick Madrigal4
BIan Happ4
LCody Bellinger3
LJared Young2
BJeimer Candelario⇄2
RNico Hoerner1

Starters

LJustin Steele4.8 WAR
RKyle Hendricks2.7 WAR
RMarcus Stroman2.7 WAR
RJameson Taillon1.5 WAR
LDrew Smyly0.9 WAR
RJavier Assad0.9 WAR
RMichael Fulmer0.4 WAR
LJordan Wicks0.3 WAR
RCaleb Kilian0.0 WAR
RJose Cuas⇄-0.1 WAR
RHayden Wesneski-0.3 WAR

Bullpen

★ RAdbert Alzolay22 sv
RMark Leiter Jr.28 h
RJulian Merryweather17 h
RMichael Fulmer11 h
RJose Cuas⇄10 h
RDaniel Palencia2 h
RBrad Boxberger1 h
RMichael Rucker0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2022)

PlayerfWAR
Dansby Swanson4.8
Cody Bellinger4.4
Mike Tauchman1.7
Jameson Taillon1.5
Julian Merryweather0.9
Miguel Amaya0.7

Key subtractions (gone from 2022)

Player2022 fWAR
Willson Contreras3.5
Scott Effross1.2
Zach McKinstry0.8
Rafael Ortega0.7
Wade Miley0.5
David Robertson0.4

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Cubs. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2023; everyone else is shown as a 2023 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Justin Steele 2023 +4.8 +84.5 0.7 +83.8 $0.2M 2.19× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $6.8M AAV
Cody Bellinger 2023 +4.4 +62.6 12.5 +50.1 $2.9M 1.79× Free Agent · 2026–2030 · $32.5M AAV
Nico Hoerner 2023 +4.5 +43.1 2.5 +40.6 $0.6M 1.20× Extension · 2027–2032 · $23.5M AAV
Seiya Suzuki 2022–2023 +5.0 +64.2 26.0 +38.2 $5.2M 1.60× Free agent · 2022–2026 · $17.0M AAV
Dansby Swanson 2023 +4.8 +51.0 14.0 +37.0 $2.9M 1.32× Free Agent · 2023–2029 · $25.3M AAV
Ian Happ 2023 +3.2 +41.5 10.8 +30.7 $3.3M 1.60× Extension · 2024–2026 · $20.3M AAV
Kyle Hendricks 2023 +2.7 +42.5 14.0 +28.5 $5.2M 1.96× –
Marcus Stroman 2023 +2.7 +42.3 25.0 +17.3 $9.2M 1.96× –
Mike Tauchman 2023 +1.7 +16.2 0.5 +15.6 $0.3M 1.22× –
Adbert Alzolay 2023 +1.5 +15.9 0.7 +15.1 $0.5M 1.34× –
Christopher Morel 2023 +1.6 +12.9 0.6 +12.3 $0.4M 1.01× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $2.0M AAV
Mark Leiter Jr. 2023 +0.6 +6.5 0.8 +5.7 $1.4M 1.34× –
Jameson Taillon 2023 +1.5 +18.3 14.0 +4.3 $9.1M 1.49× Free Agent · 2023–2026 · $17.0M AAV
Nick Madrigal 2023 +1.2 +5.4 1.2 +4.2 $1.0M 0.58× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Javier Assad 2023 +0.9 +4.7 0.7 +4.0 $0.8M 0.67× –
Julian Merryweather 2023 +0.9 +4.6 0.7 +3.9 $0.8M 0.67× –
Miguel Amaya 2023 +0.7 +2.8 0.5 +2.3 $0.7M 0.52× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Patrick Wisdom 2023 +0.6 +3.0 0.8 +2.2 $1.2M 0.58× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.0M AAV
Jordan Wicks 2023 +0.3 +2.2 0.1 +2.0 $0.5M 1.02× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Daniel Palencia 2023 +0.3 +1.4 0.3 +1.0 $1.4M 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Nelson Velázquez↔ 2023 +0.2 +1.0 0.1 +1.0 $0.6M 0.83× –
Michael Fulmer 2023 +0.4 +4.4 4.0 +0.4 $9.8M 1.34× –
Luke Little 2023 +0.1 +0.8 0.5 +0.2 $3.7M 0.67× –
Shane Greene 2023 +0.0 +0.1 0.0 +0.1 $1.4M 0.67× –
Tyler Duffey 2023 -0.0 -0.0 0.1 -0.1 – 0.67× –
Anthony Kay↔ 2023 -0.1 -0.4 0.2 -0.5 – 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2028 · $6.0M AAV
Keegan Thompson 2023 +0.1 +0.3 0.7 -0.5 $14.4M 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.3M AAV
Nick Burdi 2023 +0.0 +0.1 0.5 -0.5 $39.4M 0.67× –
Jeimer Candelario↔ 2023 +0.2 +0.9 1.5 -0.6 $7.9M 0.58× –
Miles Mastrobuoni 2023 +0.0 +0.1 0.7 -0.6 $25.4M 0.58× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Drew Smyly 2023 +0.9 +7.3 8.0 -0.7 $8.9M 1.02× –
Jose Cuas↔ 2023 -0.1 -0.4 0.3 -0.7 – 0.67× –
Jared Young 2023 -0.2 -0.7 0.1 -0.8 – 0.56× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.1M AAV
Brandon Hughes 2023 -0.0 -0.2 0.7 -1.0 – 0.67× –
Michael Rucker 2023 -0.1 -0.4 0.7 -1.1 – 0.67× –
Pete Crow-Armstrong 2023 -0.2 -1.2 0.1 -1.3 – 0.83× Pre-arb extension · 2027–2032 · $19.2M AAV
Luis Torrens↔ 2023 -0.1 -0.5 0.9 -1.4 – 0.83× Extension · 2027–2028 · $5.8M AAV
Yan Gomes 2023 +1.0 +4.2 6.0 -1.8 $5.9M 0.52× –
Eric Hosmer 2023 -0.3 -1.3 0.7 -2.0 – 0.56× –
Tucker Barnhart 2023 +0.2 +0.9 3.2 -2.3 $14.7M 0.52× –
Edwin Rios 2023 -0.3 -1.5 1.0 -2.5 – 0.69× –
Jeremiah Estrada 2023 -0.4 -2.3 0.2 -2.5 – 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Hayden Wesneski 2023 -0.3 -1.8 0.7 -2.6 – 0.67× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.0M AAV
Brad Boxberger 2023 -0.2 -0.9 2.0 -2.9 – 0.67× –
Matt Mervis 2023 -0.7 -2.9 0.2 -3.1 – 0.56× –
Trey Mancini 2023 -0.8 -3.5 7.0 -10.5 – 0.56× –
Alexander Canario 2023 +0.0 +0.1 0.1 -0.0 $6.6M 0.69× –
Caleb Kilian 2023 +0.0 +0.1 0.0 +0.0 $3.7M 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Total—+43.2+527.9166.6+360.5—

Trades

Every graded 2023 deal involving the Cubs — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 10 total.

2023 · PHI / CHC Jan 4, 2023
PHI · Dave Dombrowski +$0.0M
Erich Uelmen
CHC · Jed Hoyer +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2023 · CHC / BAL May 3, 2023
CHC · Jed Hoyer +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
BAL · Mike Elias +$0.0M
Luis Torrens
Too soon to call unsettled
2023 · NYM / CHC Jun 2, 2023
NYM · Billy Eppler +$0.8M
Vinny Nittoli
CHC · Jed Hoyer −$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2023 · PHI / CHC Mar 23, 2023
PHI · Dave Dombrowski +$0.0M
Esteban Quiroz
CHC · Jed Hoyer +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2023 · WSN / CHC Jul 31, 2023
WSN · Michael Rizzo +$22.4M
DJ Herz, Kevin Made
CHC · Jed Hoyer −$22.4M
Jeimer Candelario
Too soon to call unsettled
2023 · CHC / ARI Jul 15, 2023
CHC · Jed Hoyer +$0.0M
P. J. Higgins
ARI · Mike Hazen +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2023 · TOR / CHC Nov 6, 2023
TOR · Mark Shapiro +$1.6M
Brendon Little
CHC · Jed Hoyer −$1.6M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2023 · TBR / CHC Aug 1, 2023
TBR · Erik Neander +$2.4M
Manuel Rodríguez, Adrian Sampson
CHC · Jed Hoyer −$2.4M
Josh Roberson
Too soon to call unsettled
2023 · DET / CHC Mar 27, 2023
DET · Scott Harris +$19.2M
Zach McKinstry
CHC · Jed Hoyer −$19.2M
Carlos Guzman
Too soon to call unsettled
2023 · KCR / CHC Jul 31, 2023
KCR · J.J. Picollo +$3.2M
Nelson Velázquez
CHC · Jed Hoyer −$3.2M
José Cuas
Too soon to call unsettled

Current & Historical Payroll

2023 payroll
$159.1M
2024 guaranteed
$65.0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2023, 2023–2029. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2023; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Marcus Stroman328.026$25.0MFREE AGENT
Seiya Suzuki281.000$18.0M$21.0M$19.0M$19.0MFREE AGENT
Dansby Swanson296.047$14.0M$26.0M$28.0M$28.0M$28.0M$27.0M$26.0M
Kyle Hendricks338.081$14.0MFREE AGENT
Jameson Taillon316.110$14.0M$18.0M$18.0M$18.0MFREE AGENT
Drew Smyly3410.143$8.0MFREE AGENT
Trey Mancini317.000$7.0MFREE AGENT
Yan Gomes3510.083$6.0MFREE AGENT
Michael Fulmer306.157$4.0MFREE AGENT
Tucker Barnhart329.000$3.2MFREE AGENT
Brad Boxberger359.033$2.0MFREE AGENT
Mark Leiter Jr.326.000$850kFREE AGENT
Eric Hosmer3312.000$720kFREE AGENT
Tyler Duffey326.026$100kFREE AGENT
Shane Greene347.021$27kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Cody Bellinger275.160$12.5MFREE AGENT
Ian Happ285.036$10.8MFREE AGENT
Nico Hoerner263.014$2.5MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeimer Candelario295.038$1.5MFREE AGENT
Edwin Rios293.003$1.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Torrens273.091$867kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Burdi303.000$538kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Tauchman323.007$523kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (25)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Nick Madrigal262.164$1.2MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Patrick Wisdom312.058$763kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adbert Alzolay282.050$745kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Keegan Thompson281.131$740kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2FREE AGENT
Justin Steele271.143$740kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Julian Merryweather312.109$737kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Rucker291.033$737kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Hughes270.141$728kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hayden Wesneski250.031$722kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Javier Assad250.044$722kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miles Mastrobuoni270.014$720kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Christopher Morel240.142$561kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1FREE AGENT
Luke Little220.000$542kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Amaya240.000$495kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Palencia230.000$348kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Cuas290.123$272kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony Kay281.101$179kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeremiah Estrada240.037$163kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Mervis250.000$159kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Wicks230.000$143kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jared Young270.022$124kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alexander Canario230.000$116kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nelson Velázquez240.111$96kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pete Crow-Armstrong210.000$81kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Caleb Kilian260.008$39kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2023 acquisition stacked onto Cubs's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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