RRosternomics
PD

Paul DePodesta

General manager for the Dodgers and Padres (2005–2009).

2 seasons with salary-era data across 2 stints. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

Overview

Titles0
Pennants0
Playoffs0
Record146–178
Win %0.451
-1.6GM WAR — wins above a replacement GM (org-adjusted, shrunk; per season) ±7.1118th/195 execs
6.5Depth — 2+ WAR regulars per season (the breadth that drives TAB, not stars)86th/195 execs
-7.6Dead WAR — WAR/yr bled by sub-replacement players (closer to 0 = better)178th/195 execs
42%Dead money — payroll on <0.5-WAR players (lower = better)149th/195 execs
$16MCheap-talent surplus — $/yr of value from cost-controlled (pre-arb/arb) players above their pay; the selection engine, and the stickiest GM skill we track91st/195 execs
$3MDrafted surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own draftees (the develop-from-the-draft engine)120th/195 execs
$13MTraded-for surplus — cheap-talent surplus from cost-controlled players he acquired via trade35th/195 execs
$-0MInt'l surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own international signees172nd/195 execs
-8.4TAB — talent above budget — roster-construction alpha (talent your budget bought above expectation), tenure total108th/195 execs
-8.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + the non-repeatable luck of converting talent to wins)111th/195 execs
0.28Acquisition Leverage — playoff pts per acquired WAR, graded once in the year each deal's wins arrive (the repeatable decision skill)159th/195 execs
-4Roster surplus $M48th/195 execs

Tenure breakdown

TeamRoleYearsSzns WAB WAB/yr TAB WAR surp HG Trade FA R5 AcqLev W-L% POPenWS Surp $M
Padres GM 2009–2009 1 +2.1 +2.11 +1.0 +9.7 -0.7 +10.1 +12.1 +0.0 0.65 0.463 +23
Dodgers GM 2005–2005 1 -11.0 -10.97 -9.4 -14.3 +2.3 +21.9 +27.7 +0.0 0.08 0.438 -27
Career total (1985+ data) 2 -8.9 -8.4 -4.6 +1.6 +32.0 +39.8 +0.0 0.28 0.451 -4

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+1.6
Trade+32.0
Free agency+39.8
Rule 5 / minor draft+0.0
Sourcing mix: 2% draft · 54% FA · 44% trade · 0% R5

Roster value distribution — career average — depth vs. stars

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR, averaged across Paul DePodesta's seasons. Bars = his rosters; the black line = the league-average player at each slot. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge.

Players acquired — 51 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr Lev
Andre Ethier OF LAD Trade 2005 10 +24.4 +2.4
Rafael Furcal SS LAD Free agency 2005 5 +14.3 +2.9 10.1
Derek Lowe P LAD Free agency 2005 4 +14.3 +3.6 0.2
Brad Penny P LAD Trade 2005 3 +12.2 +4.1 0.3
Jeff Kent 2B LAD Trade 2005 4 +8.4 +2.1 0.3
Chris Denorfia OF SDP Free agency 2009 5 +7.4 +1.5 4.2
J. D. Drew OF LAD Trade 2005 2 +6.9 +3.5 0.2
Luke Gregerson P SDP Trade 2009 5 +5.7 +1.1
Clayton Richard P SDP Trade 2009 7 +5.4 +0.8 0.1
Tony Gwynn OF SDP Trade 2009 2 +4.5 +2.2 1.5
Scott Van Slyke OF LAD Draft 2005 3 +3.8 +1.3
Kevin Correia P SDP Trade 2009 2 +3.1 +1.5 1.8
José Cruz OF LAD Trade 2005 2 +2.7 +1.4 0.2
David Eckstein SS SDP Free agency 2009 2 +2.2 +1.1 0.5
Henry Blanco C SDP Free agency 2009 1 +1.6 +1.6 1.0
Chad Gaudin P SDP Trade 2009 1 +1.5 +1.5 1.0
Odalis Pérez P LAD Free agency 2005 5 +1.4 +0.3 13.1
Nomar Garciaparra SS LAD Free agency 2005 2 +1.2 +0.6 5.7
Kenny Lofton OF LAD Free agency 2005 1 +1.0 +1.0 3.0
Antonio Pérez 2B/3B LAD Trade 2005 1 +0.8 +0.8 0.1
Ricky Ledée OF LAD Trade 2005 1 +0.7 +0.7 0.1
Hee-Seop Choi 1B LAD Trade 2005 1 +0.7 +0.7 0.1
Dioner Navarro C LAD Trade 2005 2 +0.7 +0.3 0.1
Ryan Webb P SDP Trade 2009 1 +0.6 +0.6
Cody Ross OF LAD Trade 2005 2 +0.5 +0.3 0.0
Edward Mujica P SDP Trade 2009 1 +0.5 +0.5 0.3
Adam Russell P SDP Trade 2009 2 +0.4 +0.2 0.1
Paul Bako C LAD Free agency 2005 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.0
Shawn Hill P SDP Free agency 2009 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.1
José Valentín SS LAD Trade 2005 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Kelly Wunsch P LAD Trade 2005 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Tayron Guerrero P SDP Intl FA 2009 -0.0
Chris Stewart C SDP Free agency 2009 -0.0
Jon Meloan P LAD Draft 2005 -0.1
Walter Silva P SDP Draft 2009 -0.1
Brent Leach P LAD Draft 2005 -0.2
Bill Mueller 3B LAD Free agency 2005 -0.2
Óscar Robles 3B/SS LAD Trade 2005 1 -0.2 -0.2
Cliff Floyd OF SDP Free agency 2009 -0.2
Oscar Salazar OF SDP Trade 2009 1 -0.2 -0.2 0.1
Josh Wall P LAD Draft 2005 -0.3
Chris Burke 2B/OF SDP Free agency 2009 -0.3
Cody Decker 1B SDP Draft 2009 -0.3
Edwin Moreno P SDP Trade 2009 -0.3
Norihiro Nakamura 3B LAD Draft 2005 -0.4
Miles Mikolas P SDP Draft 2009 -0.4
Iván De Jesús 2B LAD Draft 2005 1 -0.5 -0.5
Duaner Sánchez P SDP Free agency 2009 -0.6
Luis Perdomo P SDP Trade 2009 -0.7
Scott Erickson P LAD Free agency 2005 -0.9
Jason Phillips C/1B LAD Trade 2005 -1.0

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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