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Red Sox BOS

202687–75 (0.537)Made Playoffs
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President of baseball ops: Craig Breslow · partial season

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2026, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$188M
Surplus $M
-10
Win %
0.537
TAB
+7.7
WAB
+3.2
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
43.7
Dead money %
50%
Depth Players
8.0
Dead WAR
-2.1
Farm System
Total Proj. WAR
49.4
Pitching Proj. WAR
19.5
Hitting Proj. WAR
29.9

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2026 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RConnor Wong73
RCarlos Narváez⇄61
BAdley Rutschman⇄26
BMickey Gasper15
RJake Rogers⇄3

1B

RWillson Contreras128
BNick Sogard26
RAndruw Monasterio11
BMickey Gasper10
RRomy Gonzalez5
RIsiah Kiner-Falefa1

2B

BAnthony Seigler46
RIsiah Kiner-Falefa43
BNick Sogard39
RAndruw Monasterio22
RRomy Gonzalez5
RCurtis Mead⇄1
REli White⇄1

3B

RCaleb Durbin151
BNick Sogard9
RIsiah Kiner-Falefa8
RAndruw Monasterio4
BAnthony Seigler1
RBrett Harris⇄1

SS

RTrevor Story62
RAndruw Monasterio54
LMarcelo Mayer⇄24
RIsiah Kiner-Falefa19
LTsung-Che Cheng14
BNick Sogard5

LF

LJarren Duran126
LRoman Anthony30
LMasataka Yoshida7
REli White⇄7
RNate Eaton6
RJahmai Jones⇄4

CF

RCeddanne Rafaela137
LJarren Duran19
RNate Eaton9
REli White⇄6

RF

LWilyer Abreu153
REli White⇄11
LRoman Anthony4
RNate Eaton3

DH

LMasataka Yoshida65
RJahmai Jones⇄33
BMickey Gasper33
LRoman Anthony21
RAndruw Monasterio12
LJarren Duran8
RRomy Gonzalez8
BAdley Rutschman⇄6
RNate Eaton4
LWilyer Abreu4
RConnor Wong3
RTrevor Story2
REli White⇄2
BAnthony Seigler2
RWillson Contreras2
RCarlos Narváez⇄1
RIsiah Kiner-Falefa1
BNick Sogard1

Starters

LPayton Tolle4.1 WAR
LRanger Suarez3.8 WAR
RSonny Gray3.4 WAR
LPatrick Sandoval1.3 WAR
RBrayan Bello1.0 WAR
LConnelly Early⇄0.7 WAR
LGarrett Crochet0.3 WAR
LErik Miller⇄0.3 WAR
LTyler Samaniego0.2 WAR
RJedixson Paez⇄0.1 WAR
LJovani Moran0.1 WAR
LEduardo Rivera0.1 WAR
RTanner Houck-0.2 WAR
Jake BennettNone WAR
Alec GamboaNone WAR

Bullpen

★ LAroldis Chapman35 sv
RGarrett Whitlock26 h
RTyron Guerrero19 h
RJustin Slaten17 h
RGreg Weissert8 h
LDanny Coulombe7 h
LJovani Moran5 h
RRyan Watson⇄0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2025)

PlayerfWAR
Willson Contreras4.0
Ranger Suarez3.8
Sonny Gray3.4
Caleb Durbin3.1
Patrick Sandoval1.3
Isiah Kiner-Falefa1.1

Key subtractions (gone from 2025)

Player2025 fWAR
Alex Bregman3.6
Rafael Devers2.1
Lucas Giolito1.9
Rob Refsnyder1.0
Justin Wilson1.0
Hunter Dobbins0.9

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Red Sox. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2026; everyone else is shown as a 2026 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Ceddanne Rafaela 2024–2026 +9.1 +116.2 4.8 +111.5 $0.5M 1.60× Pre-arb extension · 2024–2032 · $6.2M AAV
Payton Tolle 2026 +4.1 +72.6 0.7 +72.0 $0.2M 2.19× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Ranger Suarez 2026 +3.8 +66.6 7.6 +59.0 $2.0M 2.19× Free Agent · 2026–2031 · $26.0M AAV
Brayan Bello 2024–2026 +4.9 +53.9 10.0 +43.9 $2.0M 1.32× Pre-arb extension · 2024–2030 · $9.2M AAV
Sonny Gray 2026 +3.4 +52.7 11.0 +41.7 $3.3M 1.96× Free Agent · 2024–2027 · $25.0M AAV
Wilyer Abreu 2026 +3.3 +42.5 0.8 +41.7 $0.2M 1.60× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Garrett Whitlock 2023–2026 +5.4 +52.6 17.8 +34.8 $3.3M 1.09× Pre-arb extension · 2023–2026 · $4.7M AAV
Caleb Durbin 2026 +3.1 +27.3 0.8 +26.5 $0.3M 1.12× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Willson Contreras 2026 +4.0 +38.7 18.0 +20.7 $4.5M 1.20× Free Agent · 2023–2027 · $17.5M AAV
Aroldis Chapman 2026 +1.6 +25.0 13.0 +12.0 $8.1M 1.95× Extension · 2026–2027 · $13.3M AAV
Nick Sogard 2026 +1.2 +5.4 0.6 +4.9 $0.5M 0.56× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Connelly Early↔ 2026 +0.7 +5.3 0.7 +4.6 $1.1M 1.02× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Mickey Gasper 2026 +0.8 +4.7 0.6 +4.1 $0.7M 0.69× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Jahmai Jones↔ 2026 +0.6 +3.4 0.3 +3.1 $0.5M 0.69× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Erik Miller↔ 2026 +0.3 +3.3 0.3 +3.0 $0.9M 1.34× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Justin Slaten 2026 +0.6 +3.0 0.8 +2.3 $1.4M 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Roman Anthony 2026 +0.7 +5.0 2.6 +2.3 $3.5M 0.83× Pre-arb extension · 2026–2034 · $16.2M AAV
Anthony Seigler 2026 +0.4 +1.9 0.8 +1.1 $1.8M 0.56× –
Nate Eaton 2026 +0.1 +0.8 0.0 +0.8 $0.1M 0.83× –
Tyler Samaniego 2026 +0.2 +1.0 0.2 +0.8 $0.9M 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Greg Weissert 2026 +0.3 +1.5 0.8 +0.7 $2.8M 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Eduardo Rivera 2026 +0.1 +0.6 0.0 +0.6 $0.1M 1.02× –
Jake Rogers↔ 2026 +0.2 +0.8 0.2 +0.6 $0.8M 0.52× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $3.0M AAV
Zack Kelly 2026 +0.1 +0.8 0.2 +0.6 $1.5M 0.67× –
Adley Rutschman↔ 2026 +0.7 +2.7 2.3 +0.4 $3.6M 0.52× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $7.2M AAV
Eli White↔ 2026 +0.1 +0.6 0.3 +0.3 $3.0M 0.83× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.9M AAV
Curtis Mead↔ 2026 +0.0 +0.1 0.0 +0.1 $0.5M 0.56× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Jack Anderson↔ 2026 +0.0 +0.2 0.0 +0.1 $0.5M 0.67× –
Jovani Morán 2026 +0.1 +0.6 0.8 -0.1 $6.5M 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Joe La Sorsa 2026 -0.1 -0.4 0.0 -0.4 – 0.67× –
Ryan Watson↔ 2026 +0.0 +0.1 0.5 -0.4 $31.4M 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Tyler Uberstine 2026 -0.1 -0.4 0.0 -0.4 – 0.67× –
Tsung-Che Cheng 2026 +0.0 +0.2 0.8 -0.6 $18.3M 0.61× –
Marcelo Mayer↔ 2026 -0.1 -0.3 0.7 -1.0 – 0.61× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2026 +1.1 +4.8 6.0 -1.2 $5.6M 0.56× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $6.0M AAV
Tommy Kahnle 2026 -0.1 -0.6 0.5 -1.2 – 0.67× –
Carlos Narváez↔ 2026 -0.2 -1.1 0.5 -1.6 – 0.69× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Patrick Sandoval 2026 +1.3 +10.8 12.8 -2.0 $9.6M 1.02× Free Agent · 2025–2026 · $9.1M AAV
Connor Wong 2026 -0.2 -0.7 1.4 -2.1 – 0.52× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.4M AAV
Danny Coulombe 2026 -0.1 -0.7 1.5 -2.2 – 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.0M AAV
Johan Oviedo 2026 -0.1 -0.7 1.6 -2.2 – 0.67× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.6M AAV
Romy Gonzalez 2026 -0.2 -1.1 1.6 -2.7 – 0.69× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.6M AAV
Andruw Monasterio 2026 -0.8 -3.7 0.8 -4.5 – 0.61× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Jarren Duran 2026 +0.5 +3.2 7.7 -4.5 $15.8M 0.83× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $7.7M AAV
Tanner Houck 2026 -0.2 -1.2 4.2 -5.4 – 1.02× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $4.2M AAV
Garrett Crochet 2026 +0.3 +2.6 24.8 -22.2 $76.7M 1.02× Arb extension · 2026–2032 · $28.3M AAV
Masataka Yoshida 2023–2026 +2.0 +11.7 71.4 -59.7 $36.3M 0.73× Free agent · 2023–2027 · $18.0M AAV
Trevor Story 2022–2026 +7.0 +33.0 110.0 -77.0 $15.8M 0.60× Free Agent · 2022–2028 · $23.3M AAV
Brett Harris↔ 2026 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 – 0.58× –
Jedixson Paez↔ 2026 +0.1 +1.0 – – – 1.02× –
Raymond Burgos 2026 +0.2 +0.8 – – – 0.67× –
Seth Martinez 2026 -0.0 -0.0 – – – 0.67× –
Tyron Guerrero 2026 +1.0 +5.3 – – – 0.67× –
Total—+61.2+652.4342.8+302.8—

Trades

Every graded 2026 deal involving the Red Sox — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 13 total.

2026 · BOS / CHW Feb 1, 2026
BOS · Craig Breslow +$5.6M
Gage Ziehl
CHW · Chris Getz −$5.6M
Jordan Hicks, David Sandlin
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · BOS / MIN Jan 21, 2026
BOS · Craig Breslow +$2.4M
Nate Baez
MIN · Derek Falvey −$2.4M
Tristan Gray
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · BOS / DET Jul 14, 2026
BOS · Craig Breslow +$3.2M
Jahmai Jones
DET · Scott Harris −$3.2M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · PIT / BOS Jun 4, 2026
PIT · Ben Cherington +$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
BOS · Craig Breslow −$0.8M
Joe La Sorsa
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · OAK / BOS Jul 1, 2026
OAK · David Forst +$0.0M
Ben Hansen
BOS · Craig Breslow +$0.0M
Brett Harris
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · DET / BOS Aug 1, 2026
DET · Scott Harris +$0.0M
Jojo Ingrassia
BOS · Craig Breslow +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · STL / BOS Apr 5, 2026
STL · Chaim Bloom +$0.0M
Patrick Galle
BOS · Craig Breslow +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · BOS / SFG Aug 3, 2026
BOS · Craig Breslow +$2.4M
Carlos Gutierrez, Erik Miller
SFG · Buster Posey −$2.4M
Marcelo Mayer
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · BAL / BOS Aug 12, 2026
BAL · Mike Elias +$0.0M
Harold Rivas
BOS · Craig Breslow +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · MIL / BOS Feb 9, 2026
MIL · Matt Arnold +$20.0M
Shane Drohan, David Hamilton, Kyle Harrison
BOS · Craig Breslow −$20.0M
Caleb Durbin, Anthony Seigler, Andruw Monasterio
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · BOS / ATL Aug 3, 2026
BOS · Craig Breslow +$0.8M
Eli White
ATL · Alex Anthopoulos −$0.8M
Tyler Uberstine
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · BOS / BAL Aug 3, 2026
BOS · Craig Breslow +$6.4M
Adley Rutschman, Jake Rogers
BAL · Mike Elias −$6.4M
Kyson Witherspoon, Enddy Azocar, Anthony Eyanson#36.3, Carlos Narváez
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · WSN / BOS Jul 26, 2026
WSN · Paul Toboni +$0.8M
Connelly Early
BOS · Craig Breslow −$0.8M
Curtis Mead
Too soon to call unsettled

Current & Historical Payroll

2026 payroll
$188.2M
luxury tax $238M
2027 guaranteed
$173.3M

What the front office was committed to as of 2026, 2026–2032. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2026; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Summary — luxury-tax (CBT) basis

2026202720282029203020312032
Tax threshold$244M$247M$250M$253M$256M$259M$262M
Guaranteed contracts$200M$191M$120M$86M$86M$51M
Proj. arbitration$21M$8M$8M$8M
Proj. pre-arbitration$17M$8M$8M$26M
Player benefits$18M$18M$18M$18M$18M$18M
Total CBT payroll$256M$217M$145M$112M$112M$102M
Tax space−$-12M+$30M+$105M+$142M+$144M+$157M
Est. tax bill$2M—————

Luxury-tax (CBT) basis: contract AAV + ~$18M benefits/bonus-pool — distinct from the base-salary payroll above. Threshold is the CBA line. Tier-1 payor rates on the overage. Forward years show only guaranteed deals (arb/pre-arb not yet set). Figures are estimates.

Guaranteed / signed (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2026202720282029203020312032
Trevor Story3310.000$25.0MOPT-OUT$25.0M$25.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Garrett Crochet275.028$24.8M$28.8M$28.8M$28.8M$28.8M$30.0MOPT-OUTFREE AGENT
Masataka Yoshida323.000$18.6M$18.6MFREE AGENT
Willson Contreras349.108$18.0M$17.0M$20.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Aroldis Chapman3815.009$13.0M$13.0MMUTUALFREE AGENT
Sonny Gray3612.061$11.0M$30.0MMUTUALFREE AGENT
Ranger Suarez306.112$7.6M$15.6M$30.6M$30.6M$35.6M$35.0MMUTUALFREE AGENT
Garrett Whitlock305.000$7.5M$8.2MCLUB$10.5MCLUBFREE AGENT
Brayan Bello273.082$6.2M$8.7M$16.2M$19.2M$21.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Isiah Kiner-Falefa318.000$6.0MFREE AGENT
Roman Anthony220.112$2.6M$4.6M$8.6M$15.6M$19.6M$23.6M$25.6M
Ceddanne Rafaela252.035$2.2M$3.8M$5.8M$7.8M$10.8M$13.2M$16.0MCLUB
Danny Coulombe367.008$1.5MFREE AGENT
Tommy Kahnle3610.131$523kFREE AGENT
Tyron Guerrero3510.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2026202720282029203020312032
Patrick Sandoval295.149$12.8MFREE AGENT
Jarren Duran293.155$7.7MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tanner Houck304.100$4.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Adley Rutschman284.000$2.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Romy Gonzalez293.083$1.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Johan Oviedo284.078$1.6MARB 3FREE AGENT
Connor Wong303.079$1.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eli White323.140$253kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Rogers315.040$152kFREE AGENT
Seth Martinez313.077—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (28)

PlayerAgeSvc2026202720282029203020312032
Tsung-Che Cheng240.010$820kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wilyer Abreu272.041$810kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andruw Monasterio292.099$808kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Weissert312.079$808kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Caleb Durbin260.164$796kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Slaten282.000$792kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jovani Morán291.100$790kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony Seigler270.090$782kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Connelly Early240.020$746kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marcelo Mayer230.128$722kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Payton Tolle230.031$655kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mickey Gasper300.149$596kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Sogard280.119$559kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Narváez271.038$522kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Watson28–$515k
Jahmai Jones281.148$328kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Erik Miller282.000$270kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zack Kelly312.134$215kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Samaniego27–$163k
Jack Anderson26–$16k
Tyler Uberstine27–$13k
Joe La Sorsa28–$13k
Nate Eaton291.020$9kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Curtis Mead251.094$9kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eduardo Rivera23–$8k
Brett Harris280.105$3kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Raymond Burgos27–—
Jedixson Paez22–—

Graphs

How each 2026 acquisition stacked onto Red Sox's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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