President of baseball ops: Craig Breslow
Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2025, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).
Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.
| Player | fWAR |
|---|---|
| Garrett Crochet | 5.7 |
| Alex Bregman | 3.6 |
| Roman Anthony | 2.8 |
| Carlos Narváez | 2.8 |
| Aroldis Chapman | 2.6 |
| Lucas Giolito | 1.9 |
| Player | 2024 fWAR |
|---|---|
| Tyler O'Neill | 2.5 |
| Nick Pivetta | 2.0 |
| Kenley Jansen | 1.4 |
| Chris Martin | 0.9 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.3 |
| James Paxton | 0.3 |
WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Red Sox. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2025; everyone else is shown as a 2025 season snapshot.
| Player | Period | fWAR | Tier Market $M | Paid $M | Surplus $M | $ / WAR | Tier | Contract |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Crochet | 2025 | +5.7 | +114.7 | 3.8 | +110.9 | $0.7M | 2.50× | Arb extension · 2026–2032 · $28.3M AAV |
| Jarren Duran | 2025 | +4.0 | +57.9 | 3.9 | +54.0 | $1.0M | 1.79× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $7.7M AAV |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 2024–2025 | +4.9 | +48.1 | 2.5 | +45.6 | $0.5M | 1.22× | Pre-arb extension · 2024–2032 · $6.2M AAV |
| Aroldis Chapman | 2025 | +2.6 | +54.1 | 10.8 | +43.4 | $4.1M | 2.57× | Extension · 2026–2027 · $13.3M AAV |
| Brayan Bello | 2024–2025 | +3.9 | +45.8 | 3.8 | +42.0 | $1.0M | 1.49× | Pre-arb extension · 2024–2030 · $9.2M AAV |
| Roman Anthony | 2025 | +2.8 | +35.6 | 0.5 | +35.1 | $0.2M | 1.60× | Pre-arb extension · 2026–2034 · $16.2M AAV |
| Rafael Devers↔ | 2023–2025 | +9.8 | +87.5 | 53.9 | +33.6 | $5.5M | 1.12× | Extension · 2023–2033 · $31.4M AAV |
| Wilyer Abreu | 2025 | +2.5 | +24.3 | 0.8 | +23.5 | $0.3M | 1.22× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Carlos Narváez | 2025 | +2.8 | +22.1 | 0.8 | +21.3 | $0.3M | 1.00× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Garrett Whitlock | 2023–2025 | +3.5 | +31.5 | 10.2 | +21.3 | $3.0M | 1.01× | Pre-arb extension · 2023–2026 · $4.7M AAV |
| Alex Bregman | 2025 | +3.6 | +36.2 | 25.0 | +11.2 | $6.9M | 1.25× | Free Agent · 2026–2030 · $35.0M AAV |
| Romy Gonzalez | 2025 | +1.5 | +9.9 | 0.8 | +9.1 | $0.5M | 0.81× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.6M AAV |
| Connelly Early | 2025 | +1.1 | +8.9 | 0.1 | +8.9 | $0.1M | 1.02× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Hunter Dobbins | 2025 | +0.9 | +7.6 | 0.6 | +7.0 | $0.7M | 1.02× | – |
| Greg Weissert | 2025 | +0.7 | +7.1 | 0.8 | +6.3 | $1.2M | 1.34× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Rob Refsnyder | 2025 | +1.0 | +6.9 | 2.1 | +4.8 | $2.0M | 0.83× | Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $6.2M AAV |
| Lucas Giolito | 2025 | +1.9 | +22.7 | 19.0 | +3.7 | $10.0M | 1.49× | Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $3.0M AAV |
| Sean Newcomb↔ | 2025 | +0.7 | +3.7 | 0.2 | +3.5 | $0.2M | 0.67× | Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $4.5M AAV |
| Justin Slaten | 2025 | +0.4 | +4.1 | 0.8 | +3.3 | $2.0M | 1.34× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Kyle Harrison↔ | 2025 | +0.4 | +2.9 | 0.0 | +2.9 | $0.1M | 1.02× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Brennan Bernardino | 2025 | +0.6 | +3.1 | 0.7 | +2.4 | $1.2M | 0.67× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.9M AAV |
| Justin Wilson | 2025 | +1.0 | +5.4 | 3.0 | +2.4 | $3.0M | 0.67× | – |
| Nate Eaton | 2025 | +0.3 | +2.3 | 0.3 | +2.0 | $0.8M | 0.83× | – |
| Marcelo Mayer | 2025 | +0.5 | +2.2 | 0.5 | +1.6 | $1.1M | 0.58× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Zack Kelly | 2025 | +0.4 | +1.9 | 0.5 | +1.4 | $1.3M | 0.67× | – |
| José De León | 2025 | +0.1 | +0.8 | 0.0 | +0.8 | $0.1M | 1.02× | – |
| Jovani Morán | 2025 | +0.0 | +0.2 | 0.0 | +0.2 | $1.1M | 0.67× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| David Hamilton | 2025 | +0.2 | +0.8 | 0.7 | +0.1 | $4.1M | 0.56× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Josh Winckowski | 2025 | +0.1 | +0.8 | 0.7 | +0.1 | $4.4M | 0.67× | – |
| Ali Sánchez↔ | 2025 | -0.0 | -0.2 | 0.0 | -0.2 | – | 0.52× | – |
| Nathaniel Lowe↔ | 2025 | +0.5 | +2.0 | 2.3 | -0.2 | $5.0M | 0.56× | Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.8M AAV |
| Isaiah Campbell | 2025 | -0.0 | -0.1 | 0.2 | -0.3 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Michael Fulmer↔ | 2025 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 0.0 | -0.3 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Cooper Criswell | 2025 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 0.1 | -0.4 | – | 0.67× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Luis Guerrero | 2025 | -0.0 | -0.1 | 0.5 | -0.6 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Robert Stock | 2025 | -0.1 | -0.6 | 0.0 | -0.6 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Jorge Alcala↔ | 2025 | -0.1 | -0.6 | 0.2 | -0.8 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Nick Sogard | 2025 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 0.3 | -0.8 | – | 0.56× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Dustin May↔ | 2025 | -0.1 | -0.7 | 0.3 | -1.0 | – | 1.02× | Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $12.5M AAV |
| Blake Sabol | 2025 | -0.2 | -1.0 | 0.1 | -1.1 | – | 0.52× | – |
| Payton Tolle | 2025 | -0.2 | -1.1 | 0.1 | -1.2 | – | 0.67× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Chris Murphy | 2025 | -0.2 | -1.1 | 0.7 | -1.8 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Kristian Campbell | 2025 | -0.1 | -0.6 | 1.2 | -1.9 | – | 0.56× | – |
| Richard Fitts | 2025 | -0.3 | -2.7 | 0.6 | -3.3 | – | 1.02× | – |
| Triston Casas | 2025 | -0.6 | -2.7 | 0.8 | -3.4 | – | 0.56× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.6M AAV |
| Abraham Toro | 2025 | -0.6 | -2.9 | 0.6 | -3.5 | – | 0.56× | – |
| Connor Wong | 2025 | -0.7 | -2.7 | 0.8 | -3.5 | – | 0.52× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.4M AAV |
| Steven Matz↔ | 2025 | -0.1 | -0.8 | 3.4 | -4.2 | – | 1.34× | Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $7.5M AAV |
| Liam Hendriks | 2025 | -0.0 | -0.2 | 6.0 | -6.2 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Jordan Hicks↔ | 2025 | -0.4 | -2.2 | 4.5 | -6.7 | – | 0.67× | Free Agent · 2024–2024 · $11.0M AAV |
| Tanner Houck | 2025 | -0.4 | -3.0 | 4.0 | -6.9 | – | 1.02× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $4.2M AAV |
| Walker Buehler↔ | 2025 | -0.7 | -5.7 | 17.3 | -23.0 | – | 1.02× | Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.5M AAV |
| Trevor Story | 2022–2025 | +6.7 | +46.3 | 85.0 | -38.7 | $12.7M | 0.88× | Free Agent · 2022–2028 · $23.3M AAV |
| Masataka Yoshida | 2023–2025 | +1.6 | +9.6 | 52.8 | -43.2 | $33.5M | 0.74× | Free agent · 2023–2027 · $18.0M AAV |
| Jhostynxon Garcia | 2025 | +0.0 | +0.0 | 0.0 | -0.0 | $43.6M | 0.83× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Nick Burdi | 2025 | +0.1 | +0.4 | 0.4 | -0.0 | $5.5M | 0.67× | – |
| Total | — | +61.7 | +677.3 | 329.0 | +348.6 | — | ||
Every graded 2025 deal involving the Red Sox — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 23 total.
What the front office was committed to as of 2025, 2025–2031. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2025; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.
| Player | Age | Svc | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 31 | 8.070 | $25.0M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Trevor Story | 32 | 9.000 | $22.5M | $25.0MOPT-OUT | $25.0M | $25.0MCLUB | FREE AGENT | ||
| Lucas Giolito | 30 | 7.080 | $19.0MPLAYER | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Masataka Yoshida | 31 | 2.000 | $18.6M | $18.6M | $18.6M | FREE AGENT | |||
| Walker Buehler | 30 | 6.168 | $17.3M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Aroldis Chapman | 37 | 14.009 | $10.8M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Rafael Devers | 28 | 7.070 | $6.9M | $27.0M | $28.5M | $28.5M | $28.5M | $28.5M | $28.5M |
| Liam Hendriks | 36 | 10.164 | $6.0M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Garrett Whitlock | 29 | 4.000 | $5.5M | $7.5M | $8.2MCLUB | $10.5MCLUB | FREE AGENT | ||
| Jordan Hicks | 28 | 7.000 | $4.5M | $8.5M | $8.5M | FREE AGENT | |||
| Steven Matz | 34 | 9.099 | $3.4M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Justin Wilson | 37 | 12.035 | $3.0M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Brayan Bello | 26 | 2.082 | $2.7M | $6.2M | $8.7M | $16.2M | $19.2M | $21.0MCLUB | FREE AGENT |
| Rob Refsnyder | 34 | 6.048 | $2.1MCLUB | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 24 | 1.035 | $1.2M | $2.2M | $3.8M | $5.8M | $7.8M | $10.8M | $13.2M |
| Michael Fulmer | 32 | 7.157 | $13k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| José De León | 32 | 9.000 | $5k | FREE AGENT |
| Player | Age | Svc | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Houck | 29 | 3.100 | $4.0M | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Garrett Crochet | 26 | 4.028 | $3.8M | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Nathaniel Lowe | 29 | 4.145 | $2.3M | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Abraham Toro | 28 | 3.165 | $597k | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Nick Burdi | 32 | 4.095 | $407k | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Dustin May | 27 | 5.059 | $350k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Jorge Alcala | 29 | 4.165 | $189k | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Sean Newcomb | 32 | 5.041 | $168k | FREE AGENT |
| Player | Age | Svc | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarren Duran | 28 | 2.155 | $3.9M | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Kristian Campbell | 23 | 0.000 | $1.2M | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Connor Wong | 29 | 2.079 | $790k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Wilyer Abreu | 26 | 1.041 | $780k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Justin Slaten | 27 | 1.000 | $776k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Romy Gonzalez | 28 | 2.083 | $774k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Triston Casas | 25 | 2.032 | $774k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Greg Weissert | 30 | 1.079 | $774k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Carlos Narváez | 26 | 0.038 | $764k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Brennan Bernardino | 33 | 1.153 | $703k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| David Hamilton | 27 | 1.020 | $684k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Chris Murphy | 27 | 1.081 | $664k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Josh Winckowski | 27 | 2.045 | $654k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Hunter Dobbins | 25 | 0.000 | $621k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Richard Fitts | 25 | 0.022 | $580k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Luis Guerrero | 24 | 0.024 | $535k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Marcelo Mayer | 22 | 0.000 | $523k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Zack Kelly | 30 | 2.017 | $485k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Roman Anthony | 21 | 0.000 | $458k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Nick Sogard | 27 | 0.050 | $282k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Nate Eaton | 28 | 0.125 | $274k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Isaiah Campbell | 27 | 1.011 | $152k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Blake Sabol | 27 | 1.023 | $146k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Cooper Criswell | 28 | 1.117 | $140k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Payton Tolle | 22 | 0.000 | $127k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Connelly Early | 23 | 0.000 | $82k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Kyle Harrison | 23 | 1.041 | $45k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Jovani Morán | 28 | 1.090 | $41k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Robert Stock | 35 | 2.030 | $38k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Jhostynxon Garcia | 22 | 0.000 | $37k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Ali Sánchez | 28 | 1.000 | $33k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
How each 2025 acquisition stacked onto Red Sox's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.