RRosternomics
BS

Bill Schmidt

General manager for the Rockies (2022–2025).

4 seasons with salary-era data across 1 stint. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

Overview

Titles0
Pennants0
Playoffs0
Record231–417
Win %0.356
-10.9GM WAR — wins above a replacement GM (org-adjusted, shrunk; per season) ±6.1191st/195 execs
2.0Depth — 2+ WAR regulars per season (the breadth that drives TAB, not stars)193rd/195 execs
-11.2Dead WAR — WAR/yr bled by sub-replacement players (closer to 0 = better)192nd/195 execs
64%Dead money — payroll on <0.5-WAR players (lower = better)192nd/195 execs
$-3MCheap-talent surplus — $/yr of value from cost-controlled (pre-arb/arb) players above their pay; the selection engine, and the stickiest GM skill we track191st/195 execs
$4MDrafted surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own draftees (the develop-from-the-draft engine)115th/195 execs
$-2MTraded-for surplus — cheap-talent surplus from cost-controlled players he acquired via trade181st/195 execs
$-0MInt'l surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own international signees179th/195 execs
-95.5TAB — talent above budget — roster-construction alpha (talent your budget bought above expectation), tenure total195th/195 execs
-89.6WAB — realized wins (TAB + the non-repeatable luck of converting talent to wins)195th/195 execs
0.02Acquisition Leverage — playoff pts per acquired WAR, graded once in the year each deal's wins arrive (the repeatable decision skill)188th/195 execs
-403Roster surplus $M182nd/195 execs

Tenure breakdown

TeamRoleYearsSzns WAB WAB/yr TAB WAR surp HG Trade FA R5 AcqLev W-L% POPenWS Surp $M
Rockies GM 2022–2025 4 -89.6 -22.39 -95.5 -101.5 +2.1 -0.7 -7.9 -0.0 0.02 0.356 -403
Career total (1985+ data) 4 -89.6 -95.5 -101.5 +2.1 -0.7 -7.9 -0.0 0.02 0.356 -403

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+2.1
Trade-0.7
Free agency-7.9
Rule 5 / minor draft-0.0
Sourcing mix: 63% draft · 0% FA · 37% trade · 0% R5

Roster value distribution — career average — depth vs. stars

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR, averaged across Bill Schmidt's seasons. Bars = his rosters; the black line = the league-average player at each slot. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge.

Players acquired — 90 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr Lev
Ezequiel Tovar SS COL Draft 2022 3 +5.1 +1.7
Brenton Doyle OF COL Draft 2023 3 +3.9 +1.3
Hunter Goodman C COL Draft 2023 2 +3.8 +1.9
Nolan Jones OF COL Trade 2022 1 +2.9 +2.9 0.0
Mickey Moniak OF COL Free agency 2025 2 +1.8 +0.9 0.0
Kyle Karros 3B COL Draft 2025 2 +1.7 +0.8
Jimmy Herget P COL Trade 2025 2 +1.5 +0.8 0.0
Jose Iglesias SS COL Free agency 2022 1 +1.3 +1.3 0.1
Brent Suter P COL Trade 2023 1 +1.3 +1.3 0.0
Juan Mejia P COL Draft 2025 2 +1.2 +0.6
Nick Mears P COL Trade 2023 2 +1.2 +0.6 0.0
Victor Vodnik P COL Trade 2023 3 +1.0 +0.3
Jacob Stallings C COL Free agency 2024 1 +0.9 +0.9 0.0
Jake Bird P COL Draft 2022 2 +0.8 +0.4
Chase Dollander P COL Draft 2025 2 +0.5 +0.3
Randal Grichuk OF COL Trade 2022 2 +0.5 +0.2 0.0
Cal Quantrill P COL Trade 2024 1 +0.5 +0.5 0.0
Tanner Gordon P COL Trade 2023 2 +0.4 +0.2
Jaden Hill P COL Draft 2024 2 +0.4 +0.2
Chad Kuhl P COL Free agency 2022 1 +0.4 +0.4 0.0
Brad Hand P COL Trade 2023 1 +0.4 +0.4 0.0
Brian Serven C COL Draft 2022 1 +0.3 +0.3
Jalen Beeks P COL Trade 2024 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.0
Mike Moustakas 3B COL Trade 2023 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.0
Pierce Johnson P COL Trade 2023 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.0
Sean Bouchard OF COL Draft 2022 2 +0.1 +0.1
Greg Jones OF COL Trade 2024 1 +0.1 +0.1
Ryan Ritter 2B/SS COL Draft 2025 1 +0.1 +0.1
Cole Tucker SS/OF COL Free agency 2022 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Chase Anderson P COL Trade 2023 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Chris Flexen P COL Trade 2023 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Austin Wynns C COL Trade 2023 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Dinelson Lamet P COL Trade 2022 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Nick Anderson P COL Free agency 2025 -0.0
Wynton Bernard OF COL Draft 2022 1 +0.0 +0.0
Blair Calvo P COL Draft 2023 1 +0.0 +0.0
Dugan Darnell P COL Draft 2025 -0.0
Geoff Hartlieb P COL Free agency 2023 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Keston Hiura 1B/2B COL Free agency 2025 -0.0
Dakota Hudson P COL Free agency 2024 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Evan Justice P COL Draft 2023 -0.0
Connor Kaiser 2B COL Draft 2023 -0.0
Owen Miller 1B/2B COL Free agency 2025 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Josh Rogers P COL Free agency 2023 -0.0
Chasen Shreve P COL Free agency 2024 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
José Ureña P COL Trade 2022 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Justin Bruihl P COL Trade 2023 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Fernando Abad P COL Free agency 2023 -0.1
John Brebbia P COL Free agency 2025 -0.1
Alex Colomé P COL Free agency 2022 -0.1
Noah Davis P COL Draft 2022 1 -0.1 -0.1
Connor Seabold P COL Trade 2023 -0.1
Chad Smith P COL Draft 2022 -0.1
Ty Blach P COL Free agency 2022 2 -0.2 -0.1 0.0
Jeff Criswell P COL Trade 2022 -0.2
John Curtiss P COL Free agency 2024 -0.2
Karl Kauffmann P COL Draft 2023 -0.2
Riley Pint P COL Draft 2023 -0.2
McCade Brown P COL Draft 2025 -0.3
Thairo Estrada 2B COL Free agency 2025 -0.3
Seth Halvorsen P COL Draft 2024 1 -0.3 -0.3
Matt Koch P COL Free agency 2022 -0.3
Anthony Molina P COL Draft 2024 1 -0.3 -0.3
Aaron Schunk 2B/3B/SS COL Draft 2024 1 -0.3 -0.3
Chad Stevens 2B/3B COL Free agency 2025 -0.3
Brett Sullivan C COL Free agency 2025 -0.3
Zac Veen OF COL Draft 2025 -0.3
Zach Agnos P COL Draft 2025 -0.4
Warming Bernabel 1B COL Draft 2025 -0.4
Coco Montes 2B COL Draft 2023 -0.4
Alan Trejo 2B/SS COL Trade 2025 1 -0.4 -0.4
Gavin Hollowell P COL Draft 2022 1 -0.5 -0.5
Nick Martini DH/OF COL Free agency 2025 -0.5
Austin Nola C COL Free agency 2024 -0.5
Luis Peralta P COL Trade 2024 1 -0.5 -0.5
Drew Romo C COL Draft 2024 -0.5
Carson Palmquist P COL Draft 2025 -0.6
Yanquiel Fernández DH/OF COL Draft 2025 -0.7
Braxton Fulford C/DH COL Draft 2025 -0.7
Ryan Rolison P COL Draft 2025 -0.7
Jordan Beck OF COL Draft 2024 1 -0.8 -0.8
Bradley Blalock P COL Trade 2024 -1.0
Angel Chivilli P COL Draft 2024 -1.0
Kyle Farmer 2B/SS COL Free agency 2024 -1.1
Adael Amador 2B COL Draft 2024 -1.3
Harold Castro 2B COL Free agency 2023 -1.5
Tyler Freeman OF COL Trade 2025 -1.5
Kris Bryant 3B/OF COL Free agency 2022 1 -1.8 -1.8 0.0
Elehuris Montero 1B COL Draft 2022 1 -2.5 -2.5
Michael Toglia 1B COL Draft 2022 1 -3.0 -3.0

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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