RRosternomics

Rockies COL

GM: Bill Schmidt

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 2 in this regime · payroll 0.74× league · TAB -33.1
-33.1TAB — talent above budget30th/30
-35.0WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)30th/30
2.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars28th/30
-17.9dead WAR — sub-replacement drag30th/30
75%dead money %30th/30
0.265win %30th/30
-2.6roster fWAR30th/30
-124surplus $M (value vs cost)28th/30
$114Mpayroll $M20th/30

Roster

CFBrenton Doyle 131GMickey Moniak 38GSam Hilliard 5G
LFJordan Beck 139GMickey Moniak 15GSam Hilliard 7G
RFMickey Moniak 72GTyler Freeman 66GYanquiel Fernández 19G
SSEzequiel Tovar 95GRyan Ritter 30GOrlando Arcia 29G
2BAdael Amador 41GThairo Estrada 39GKyle Farmer 33G
3BKyle Karros 42GOrlando Arcia 20GKyle Farmer 10G
1BMichael Toglia 86GWarming Bernabel 37GBlaine Crim 17G
STARTERSKyle Freeland 2.5WARTanner Gordon 0.6WARRyan Feltner 0.4WARGermán Márquez 0.3WARChase Dollander 0.1WAR
CHunter Goodman 104GBraxton Fulford 32GAustin Nola 12G
DHHunter Goodman 39GTyler Freeman 28GYanquiel Fernández 25G
BULLPEN Victor Vodnik 10svJuan Mejia 12hJimmy Herget 9hSeth Halvorsen 4hJaden Hill 3hZach Agnos 3hAngel Chivilli 1hRyan Rolison 0h
CHunter Goodman 104 · Braxton Fulford 32 · Austin Nola 12
1BMichael Toglia 86 · Warming Bernabel 37 · Blaine Crim 17
2BAdael Amador 41 · Thairo Estrada 39 · Kyle Farmer 33
3BKyle Karros 42 · Orlando Arcia 20 · Kyle Farmer 10
SSEzequiel Tovar 95 · Ryan Ritter 30 · Orlando Arcia 29
LFJordan Beck 139 · Mickey Moniak 15 · Sam Hilliard 7
CFBrenton Doyle 131 · Mickey Moniak 38 · Sam Hilliard 5
RFMickey Moniak 72 · Tyler Freeman 66 · Yanquiel Fernández 19
DHHunter Goodman 39 · Tyler Freeman 28 · Yanquiel Fernández 25
SPKyle Freeland 2.5 · Tanner Gordon 0.6 · Ryan Feltner 0.4 · Germán Márquez 0.3 · Chase Dollander 0.1
BP Victor Vodnik 10 · Juan Mejia 12 · Jimmy Herget 9 · Seth Halvorsen 4 · Jaden Hill 3 · Zach Agnos 3 · Angel Chivilli 1 · Ryan Rolison 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2025 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Hunter Goodman 25 pre-arb 1443.4 0.8 +12.7
Kyle Freeland 32 FA-elig 312.5 16.0 -6.3
Ryan McMahon↔ NYY 30 1001.3 2.7 +2.5
Jimmy Herget 31 arb 591.3 0.8 +4.1
Jordan Beck 24 pre-arb 1480.9 0.7 +2.7
Ezequiel Tovar 23 pre-arb 950.8 4.2 -0.9
Jake Bird↔ NYY 29 450.7 0.5 +2.3
Juan Mejia 24 550.7 0.6 +2.2
Mickey Moniak 27 arb 1350.6 1.2 +1.3
Tanner Gordon 27 pre-arb 150.6 0.4 +1.8
Victor Vodnik 25 pre-arb 520.5 0.8 +1.3
Brenton Doyle 27 pre-arb 1380.4 0.8 +1.0
Ryan Feltner 28 pre-arb 60.4 1.2 +0.3
Germán Márquez 30 FA-elig 260.3 14.0 -12.8
Jaden Hill 25 pre-arb 280.3 0.3 +0.9
Tyler Kinley↔ ATL 34 490.3 1.8 -0.7
Ryan Ritter 24 600.1 0.5 -0.0
Blaine Crim↔ TEX 28 150.1 0.1 +0.4
Chase Dollander 23 210.1 0.6 -0.2
Owen Miller 28 pre-arb 90.0 0.1 +0.0
Kyle Karros 22 430.0 0.2 -0.2
Sam Hilliard 31 arb 20-0.0 1.0 -1.0
Nick Anderson 34 12-0.0 0.2 -0.2
Keston Hiura 28 arb 8-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Lucas Gilbreath 29 arb 1-0.0 0.0 -0.2
Dugan Darnell 28 9-0.0 0.2 -0.4
Drew Romo 23 pre-arb 3-0.1 0.1 -0.4
Antonio Senzatela 30 FA-elig 30-0.1 12.0 -12.3
Roansy Contreras↔ BAL 25 pre-arb 4-0.1 0.1 -0.5
Seth Halvorsen 25 pre-arb 42-0.3 0.8 -1.8
Thairo Estrada 29 arb 39-0.3 3.2 -4.3
Zac Veen 23 12-0.3 0.1 -1.3
Aaron Schunk 27 pre-arb 16-0.3 0.2 -1.5
McCade Brown 24 7-0.3 0.1 -1.5
Alan Trejo 29 14-0.4 0.1 -1.5
Austin Gomber 31 12-0.4 6.3 -7.8
Zach Agnos 24 30-0.4 0.6 -2.1
Warming Bernabel 23 40-0.4 0.3 -1.8
Nick Martini 35 pre-arb 43-0.5 0.8 -2.7
Scott Alexander↔ SFG 35 19-0.5 1.8 -3.6
Braxton Fulford 26 38-0.5 0.4 -2.2
Austin Nola 35 arb 15-0.5 0.2 -2.1
Kris Bryant 33 FA-elig 11-0.5 27.0 -29.0
Anthony Molina 23 pre-arb 17-0.6 0.3 -2.5
Orlando Arcia↔ ATL 30 FA-elig 62-0.6 1.6 -3.8
Carson Palmquist 24 9-0.6 0.2 -2.5
Ryan Rolison 27 pre-arb 31-0.7 0.5 -3.1
Angel Chivilli 22 pre-arb 43-0.7 0.5 -3.3
Sean Bouchard 29 pre-arb 32-0.7 0.3 -3.2
Yanquiel Fernández 22 52-0.7 0.4 -3.3
Luis Peralta 24 pre-arb 22-0.7 0.3 -3.2
Tyler Freeman 26 pre-arb 110-0.8 0.8 -3.8
Adael Amador 22 pre-arb 41-0.9 0.2 -3.7
Bradley Blalock 24 pre-arb 14-1.0 0.3 -4.2
Jacob Stallings↔ BAL 35 29-1.0 1.6 -5.7
Kyle Farmer 34 FA-elig 97-1.1 2.6 -7.0
Michael Toglia 26 pre-arb 88-2.2 0.6 -9.1

Key additions (new vs 2024)

PlayerfWAR
Jimmy Herget1.3
Juan Mejia0.7
Mickey Moniak0.6
Ryan Ritter0.1
Blaine Crim0.1
Chase Dollander0.1

Key subtractions (gone from 2024)

Player2024 fWAR
Nick Mears1.0
Brendan Rodgers0.8
Cal Quantrill0.5
Elias Díaz0.4
Jalen Beeks0.3
Peter Lambert0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2025 payroll
$114.1M
2026 guaranteed
$76.2M

What the front office was committed to as of 2025, 2025–2031. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2025; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2025202620272028202920302031
Kris Bryant339.171$27.0M$27.0M$27.0M$27.0MFREE AGENT
Kyle Freeland327.144$16.0M$16.0M$17.0MPLAYERFREE AGENT
Germán Márquez308.027$14.0MFREE AGENT
Antonio Senzatela307.106$12.0M$12.0M$14.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Ezequiel Tovar232.014$4.2M$5.2M$8.2M$11.2M$14.2M$16.2M$23.0MCLUB
Ryan McMahon307.006$2.7M$16.0M$16.0MFREE AGENT
Kyle Farmer346.129$2.6MFREE AGENT
Tyler Kinley346.014$1.8MFREE AGENT
Scott Alexander357.080$1.8MFREE AGENT
Jacob Stallings356.149$1.6MFREE AGENT
Orlando Arcia307.114$1.6MFREE AGENT
Nick Anderson346.000$188kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2025202620272028202920302031
Austin Gomber315.111$6.3MFREE AGENT
Thairo Estrada294.153$3.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Mickey Moniak273.027$1.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sam Hilliard314.023$1.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jimmy Herget313.069$850kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Nola354.051$220kARB 3FREE AGENT
Keston Hiura283.032$92kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alan Trejo294.000$92kARB 3FREE AGENT
Lucas Gilbreath293.148$8kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (36)

PlayerAgeSvc2025202620272028202920302031
Ryan Feltner282.143$1.2MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Martini352.118$850kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Freeman262.046$776kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brenton Doyle271.161$765kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Victor Vodnik251.024$765kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hunter Goodman251.010$765kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Seth Halvorsen250.031$762kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Beck240.153$713kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zach Agnos240.000$592kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Mejia240.000$588kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chase Dollander230.000$576kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Toglia261.077$551kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Angel Chivilli220.082$516kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Bird292.092$493kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Ritter240.000$470kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Rolison272.000$466kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tanner Gordon270.047$445kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Braxton Fulford260.000$396kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yanquiel Fernández22$368k
Bradley Blalock240.057$315kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony Molina231.000$302kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Bouchard291.147$298kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jaden Hill250.025$294kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Peralta240.038$279kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Warming Bernabel23$266k
Adael Amador220.024$249kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dugan Darnell28$241k
Kyle Karros220.000$212kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Schunk270.094$192kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carson Palmquist24$159k
McCade Brown240.000$147kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Romo230.045$114kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Owen Miller282.108$104kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Roansy Contreras252.039$87kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Blaine Crim28$77k
Zac Veen23$61k

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Rockies 2025; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3