RRosternomics

Rockies COL

GM: Bill Schmidt

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 2 in this regime · payroll 0.89× league · TAB -11.5
-11.5TAB — talent above budget26th/30
-12.4WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)26th/30
2.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars26th/30
-3.5dead WAR — sub-replacement drag6th/30
44%dead money %22nd/30
0.420win %23rd/30
21.3roster fWAR24th/30
-49surplus $M (value vs cost)22nd/30
$127Mpayroll $M19th/30

Roster

CFYonathan Daza 92GRandal Grichuk 52GGarrett Hampson 36G
LFSam Hilliard 59GConnor Joe 50GKris Bryant 30G
RFRandal Grichuk 106GCharlie Blackmon 51GMichael Toglia 17G
SSJose Iglesias 116GGarrett Hampson 32GAlan Trejo 20G
2BBrendan Rodgers 134GAlan Trejo 13GRyan McMahon 10G
3BRyan McMahon 145GElehuris Montero 23GGarrett Hampson 7G
1BC.J. Cron 121GConnor Joe 24GElehuris Montero 16G
STARTERSKyle Freeland 2.5WARAntonio Senzatela 1.4WARGermán Márquez 1.3WARAustin Gomber 0.9WARJosé Ureña 0.8WAR
CElias Díaz 104GBrian Serven 59GDom Nuñez 14G
DHCharlie Blackmon 80GC.J. Cron 28GConnor Joe 27G
BULLPEN Daniel Bard 34svCarlos Estévez 13hLucas Gilbreath 12hAlex Colomé 7hJustin Lawrence 7hJake Bird 5hDinelson Lamet 4hJhoulys Chacín 2h
CElias Díaz 104 · Brian Serven 59 · Dom Nuñez 14
1BC.J. Cron 121 · Connor Joe 24 · Elehuris Montero 16
2BBrendan Rodgers 134 · Alan Trejo 13 · Ryan McMahon 10
3BRyan McMahon 145 · Elehuris Montero 23 · Garrett Hampson 7
SSJose Iglesias 116 · Garrett Hampson 32 · Alan Trejo 20
LFSam Hilliard 59 · Connor Joe 50 · Kris Bryant 30
CFYonathan Daza 92 · Randal Grichuk 52 · Garrett Hampson 36
RFRandal Grichuk 106 · Charlie Blackmon 51 · Michael Toglia 17
DHCharlie Blackmon 80 · C.J. Cron 28 · Connor Joe 27
SPKyle Freeland 2.5 · Antonio Senzatela 1.4 · Germán Márquez 1.3 · Austin Gomber 0.9 · José Ureña 0.8
BP Daniel Bard 34 · Carlos Estévez 13 · Lucas Gilbreath 12 · Alex Colomé 7 · Justin Lawrence 7 · Jake Bird 5 · Dinelson Lamet 4 · Jhoulys Chacín 2

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2022 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Ryan McMahon 27 arb 1533.1 5.0 +6.2
Kyle Freeland 29 arb 312.5 7.0 +2.1
Brendan Rodgers 25 pre-arb 1371.8 0.7 +6.0
Daniel Bard 37 FA-elig 571.8 4.4 +2.2
Antonio Senzatela 27 arb 191.4 7.2 -2.2
C.J. Cron 32 FA-elig 1501.4 7.2 -2.3
Jose Iglesias 32 FA-elig 1181.3 5.0 -0.1
Germán Márquez 27 FA-elig 311.3 11.3 -6.5
Sean Bouchard 26 270.9 0.3 +3.2
Tyler Kinley 31 arb 250.9 1.0 +2.4
Yonathan Daza 28 pre-arb 1130.9 0.7 +2.5
Austin Gomber 28 pre-arb 330.9 0.7 +2.4
José Ureña↔ MIL 30 FA-elig 170.8 1.0 +2.0
Kris Bryant 30 FA-elig 420.6 18.0 -15.7
Lucas Gilbreath 26 pre-arb 470.6 0.7 +1.5
Ryan Feltner 25 pre-arb 200.6 0.4 +1.7
Brian Serven 27 620.6 0.5 +1.5
Justin Lawrence 27 pre-arb 380.6 0.4 +1.6
Randal Grichuk 30 FA-elig 1410.5 10.3 -8.6
Chad Kuhl 29 FA-elig 270.4 3.0 -1.4
Alan Trejo 26 pre-arb 350.4 0.3 +1.3
Carlos Estévez 29 FA-elig 620.3 3.0 -1.8
Connor Joe 29 pre-arb 1110.3 0.7 +0.4
Ty Blach 31 pre-arb 240.3 0.5 +0.6
Dinelson Lamet↔ SDP 29 arb 190.3 2.8 -1.8
Elehuris Montero 23 530.2 0.4 +0.4
Charlie Blackmon 35 FA-elig 1350.2 21.0 -20.4
Robert Stephenson↔ PIT 29 FA-elig 450.0 1.0 -0.9
Gavin Hollowell 24 60.0 0.1 -0.1
Jordan Sheffield 27 pre-arb 20.0 0.1 -0.1
Wynton Bernard 31 120.0 0.1 -0.1
Ashton Goudeau 29 pre-arb 12-0.0 0.2 -0.3
Noah Davis 25 1-0.1 0.0 -0.3
Chad Smith 27 15-0.1 0.2 -0.5
Alex Colomé 33 FA-elig 53-0.1 4.1 -4.5
Michael Toglia 23 31-0.1 0.1 -0.6
Ezequiel Tovar 20 9-0.1 0.0 -0.6
Garrett Hampson 27 arb 90-0.2 1.9 -2.6
Jhoulys Chacín 34 FA-elig 35-0.2 1.2 -2.1
Jake Bird 26 38-0.3 0.4 -1.5
Dom Nuñez 27 pre-arb 14-0.4 0.2 -1.5
Sam Hilliard 28 pre-arb 70-0.7 0.5 -3.1
Elias Díaz 31 FA-elig 105-1.2 3.0 -7.3

Key additions (new vs 2021)

PlayerfWAR
Jose Iglesias1.3
Sean Bouchard0.9
José Ureña0.8
Kris Bryant0.6
Brian Serven0.6
Randal Grichuk0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 2021)

Player2021 fWAR
Trevor Story2.2
Jon Gray2.0
Raimel Tapia0.5
Chris Owings0.5
Chi Chi González0.3
Antonio Santos0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2022 payroll
$126.9M
2023 guaranteed
$54.8M

What the front office was committed to as of 2022, 2022–2028. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2022; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Charlie Blackmon359.102$21.0MFREE AGENT
Kris Bryant306.171$18.0M$28.0M$28.0M$27.0M$27.0M$27.0M$27.0M
Randal Grichuk307.033$10.3MFREE AGENT
C.J. Cron327.097$7.2MFREE AGENT
Antonio Senzatela274.106$7.2M$7.2M$12.0M$12.0M$12.0M$14.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Kyle Freeland294.144$7.0M$10.5M$15.0M$16.0M$16.0M$17.0MPLAYERFREE AGENT
Ryan McMahon274.006$5.0M$9.0M$12.0M$4.2M$16.0M$16.0MFREE AGENT
Jose Iglesias329.036$5.0MFREE AGENT
Alex Colomé337.118$4.1MFREE AGENT
Jhoulys Chacín3413.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
José Ureña306.040$1.0MFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Germán Márquez275.027$11.3MFREE AGENT
Daniel Bard375.103$4.4MFREE AGENT
Carlos Estévez295.022$3.0MFREE AGENT
Chad Kuhl295.079$3.0MFREE AGENT
Elias Díaz315.088$3.0MFREE AGENT
Dinelson Lamet294.130$2.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Garrett Hampson273.030$1.9MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Kinley313.014$1.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robert Stephenson294.049$993kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (23)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Brendan Rodgers252.075$710kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Gomber282.111$710kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yonathan Daza281.101$705kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Connor Joe290.136$702kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lucas Gilbreath260.148$675kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Serven270.000$542kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ty Blach312.065$515kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sam Hilliard281.144$473kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Bird260.000$446kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Feltner250.029$429kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Lawrence270.064$404kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Elehuris Montero230.000$362kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alan Trejo260.055$258kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Bouchard260.000$254kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ashton Goudeau291.000$217kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dom Nuñez271.048$209kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Smith270.000$192kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Toglia230.000$139kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Sheffield271.000$77kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wynton Bernard31$69k
Gavin Hollowell240.000$65kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ezequiel Tovar200.000$50kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Noah Davis250.000$42kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Rockies 2022; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3