RRosternomics

Rockies COL

GM: Bill Schmidt

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.85× league · TAB -23.8
-23.8TAB — talent above budget29th/30
-18.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)29th/30
3.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars26th/30
-11.8dead WAR — sub-replacement drag29th/30
67%dead money %28th/30
0.377win %29th/30
8.5roster fWAR29th/30
-102surplus $M (value vs cost)26th/30
$138Mpayroll $M17th/30

Roster

CFBrenton Doyle 146GSam Hilliard 16GJake Cave 5G
LFNolan Jones 69GJordan Beck 37GJake Cave 32G
RFJake Cave 92GHunter Goodman 27GCharlie Blackmon 26G
SSEzequiel Tovar 157GAaron Schunk 4GAlan Trejo 2G
2BBrendan Rodgers 132GAaron Schunk 16GAlan Trejo 16G
3BRyan McMahon 152GAaron Schunk 13GAlan Trejo 7G
1BMichael Toglia 107GElehuris Montero 54GKris Bryant 10G
STARTERSRyan Feltner 2.5WARAustin Gomber 1.3WARKyle Freeland 0.9WARCal Quantrill 0.5WARBradley Blalock -0.0WAR
CJacob Stallings 76GHunter Goodman 23GDrew Romo 15G
DHCharlie Blackmon 89GElias Díaz 16GKris Bryant 15G
BULLPEN Victor Vodnik 9svTyler Kinley 14hAngel Chivilli 7hJustin Lawrence 5hJake Bird 4hAnthony Molina 2hLuis Peralta 2hPeter Lambert 1h
CJacob Stallings 76 · Hunter Goodman 23 · Drew Romo 15
1BMichael Toglia 107 · Elehuris Montero 54 · Kris Bryant 10
2BBrendan Rodgers 132 · Aaron Schunk 16 · Alan Trejo 16
3BRyan McMahon 152 · Aaron Schunk 13 · Alan Trejo 7
SSEzequiel Tovar 157 · Aaron Schunk 4 · Alan Trejo 2
LFNolan Jones 69 · Jordan Beck 37 · Jake Cave 32
CFBrenton Doyle 146 · Sam Hilliard 16 · Jake Cave 5
RFJake Cave 92 · Hunter Goodman 27 · Charlie Blackmon 26
DHCharlie Blackmon 89 · Elias Díaz 16 · Kris Bryant 15
SPRyan Feltner 2.5 · Austin Gomber 1.3 · Kyle Freeland 0.9 · Cal Quantrill 0.5 · Bradley Blalock -0.0
BP Victor Vodnik 9 · Tyler Kinley 14 · Angel Chivilli 7 · Justin Lawrence 5 · Jake Bird 4 · Anthony Molina 2 · Luis Peralta 2 · Peter Lambert 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2024 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Ezequiel Tovar 22 pre-arb 1573.7 1.7 +13.5
Brenton Doyle 26 pre-arb 1493.6 0.7 +14.1
Ryan Feltner 27 arb 302.5 0.7 +9.5
Ryan McMahon 29 FA-elig 1531.9 12.0 -4.0
Austin Gomber 30 FA-elig 301.3 3.1 +2.1
Nick Mears↔ MIL 27 arb 411.0 0.6 +3.6
Kyle Freeland 31 FA-elig 220.9 15.0 -11.1
Jacob Stallings 34 FA-elig 820.9 1.5 +2.3
Brendan Rodgers 27 arb 1350.8 3.2 -0.0
Sam Hilliard 30 arb 580.7 0.8 +2.0
Cal Quantrill 29 arb 290.5 6.5 -4.3
Michael Toglia 25 pre-arb 1160.4 0.7 +0.9
Elias Díaz↔ SDP 33 FA-elig 840.4 5.2 -3.8
Victor Vodnik 24 pre-arb 640.4 0.7 +0.7
Jalen Beeks↔ PIT 30 FA-elig 450.3 1.1 +0.3
Luis Peralta 23 150.3 0.2 +1.1
Anthony Molina 22 pre-arb 350.2 0.7 +0.2
Peter Lambert 27 arb 280.2 1.2 -0.4
Seth Halvorsen 24 120.2 0.1 +0.6
Greg Jones 26 pre-arb 60.1 0.7 -0.4
Charlie Blackmon 37 FA-elig 1240.0 13.0 -12.9
Dakota Hudson 29 FA-elig 180.0 1.5 -1.4
Aaron Schunk 26 390.0 0.4 -0.3
Chasen Shreve 33 10.0 0.0 +0.0
Noah Davis 27 pre-arb 90.0 0.7 -0.7
Geoff Hartlieb 30 arb 50.0 0.7 -0.7
Evan Justice 25 pre-arb 1-0.0 0.7 -0.8
Bradley Blalock↔ MIL 23 6-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Jeff Criswell 25 13-0.0 0.2 -0.2
Josh Rogers 29 FA-elig 6-0.0 0.7 -0.9
Germán Márquez 29 FA-elig 1-0.1 10.0 -10.3
Tyler Kinley 33 FA-elig 67-0.1 1.3 -1.7
Antonio Senzatela 29 FA-elig 3-0.1 12.0 -12.5
Lucas Gilbreath 28 arb 3-0.1 0.8 -1.3
Jaden Hill 24 9-0.1 0.1 -0.7
Matt Carasiti 32 7-0.2 0.1 -0.7
John Curtiss 31 arb 3-0.2 0.1 -0.8
Riley Pint 26 pre-arb 4-0.2 0.7 -1.6
Tanner Gordon 26 8-0.2 0.2 -1.2
Matt Koch 33 pre-arb 2-0.2 0.0 -1.1
Angel Chivilli 21 pre-arb 30-0.2 0.7 -1.8
Jake Cave 31 FA-elig 123-0.3 1.0 -2.4
Jake Bird 28 pre-arb 35-0.3 0.7 -2.2
Drew Romo 22 16-0.4 0.2 -1.8
Adael Amador 21 pre-arb 10-0.4 0.7 -2.4
Sean Bouchard 28 pre-arb 31-0.5 0.7 -2.9
Ty Blach 33 FA-elig 20-0.6 0.9 -3.5
Alan Trejo 28 arb 28-0.7 0.7 -3.6
Kris Bryant 32 FA-elig 37-0.8 28.0 -31.3
Justin Lawrence 29 arb 56-0.8 0.7 -4.2
Nolan Jones 26 pre-arb 79-0.8 0.7 -4.3
Jordan Beck 23 pre-arb 55-1.0 0.7 -4.8
Hunter Goodman 24 pre-arb 70-1.2 0.7 -5.9
Elehuris Montero 25 pre-arb 67-1.9 0.7 -8.6

Key additions (new vs 2023)

PlayerfWAR
Jacob Stallings0.9
Sam Hilliard0.7
Cal Quantrill0.5
Jalen Beeks0.3
Luis Peralta0.3
Anthony Molina0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 2023)

Player2023 fWAR
Brent Suter1.3
Randal Grichuk0.6
Brad Hand0.4
Pierce Johnson0.2
Mike Moustakas0.2
Chris Flexen0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2024 payroll
$137.7M
2025 guaranteed
$63.4M

What the front office was committed to as of 2024, 2024–2030. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2024; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2024202520262027202820292030
Kris Bryant328.171$28.0M$27.0M$27.0M$27.0M$27.0MFREE AGENT
Kyle Freeland316.144$15.0M$16.0M$16.0M$17.0MPLAYERFREE AGENT
Charlie Blackmon3711.102$13.0MFREE AGENT
Antonio Senzatela296.106$12.0M$12.0M$12.0M$14.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Ryan McMahon296.006$12.0M$4.2M$16.0M$16.0MFREE AGENT
Germán Márquez297.027$10.0MFREE AGENT
Elias Díaz337.088$5.2MFREE AGENT
Ezequiel Tovar221.014$1.7M$4.2M$5.2M$8.2M$11.2M$14.2M$16.2M
Chasen Shreve3310.000$16kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2024202520262027202820292030
Cal Quantrill294.132$6.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Brendan Rodgers274.075$3.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Gomber304.111$3.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jacob Stallings345.149$1.5MFREE AGENT
Dakota Hudson294.156$1.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Kinley335.014$1.3MFREE AGENT
Peter Lambert273.128$1.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jalen Beeks305.003$1.1MFREE AGENT
Jake Cave314.017$1.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Ty Blach333.135$910kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sam Hilliard303.094$800kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alan Trejo283.000$745kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Curtiss313.137$52kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (32)

PlayerAgeSvc2024202520262027202820292030
Lucas Gilbreath282.148$760kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Feltner271.143$745kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Bird281.117$745kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Lawrence291.167$745kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Elehuris Montero251.061$745kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Toglia250.103$742kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Victor Vodnik240.024$742kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brenton Doyle260.161$742kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Rogers291.104$740kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Bouchard281.068$740kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hunter Goodman240.036$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adael Amador210.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Riley Pint260.006$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Angel Chivilli210.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Jones260.016$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Noah Davis270.087$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Geoff Hartlieb301.137$740kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nolan Jones261.007$740kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Beck230.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony Molina220.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Evan Justice250.038$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Mears272.022$569kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Schunk260.000$374kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tanner Gordon260.000$187kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Romo220.000$179kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Criswell250.000$159kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Peralta230.000$151kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Seth Halvorsen240.000$123kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bradley Blalock230.000$116kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jaden Hill240.000$99kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Carasiti321.087$73kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Koch331.126$36kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Rockies 2024; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3