RRosternomics
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Rockies COL

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GM: Bill Schmidt

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.03× league · TAB -27.1
-27.1TAB — talent above budget30th/30
-23.3WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)30th/30
1.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars30th/30
-11.5dead WAR — sub-replacement drag30th/30
69%dead money %27th/30
0.364win %28th/30
7.5roster fWAR29th/30
-128surplus $M (value vs cost)28th/30
$157Mpayroll $M16th/30

Roster

CFBrenton Doyle 125GYonathan Daza 23GHarold Castro 11G
LFNolan Jones 60GHarold Castro 5GSean Bouchard 4G
RFKris Bryant 46GNolan Jones 34GCharlie Blackmon 30G
SSEzequiel Tovar 153GAlan Trejo 9GHarold Castro 4G
2BHarold Castro 68GAlan Trejo 49GBrendan Rodgers 43G
3BRyan McMahon 130GAlan Trejo 23GElehuris Montero 12G
1BElehuris Montero 55GMichael Toglia 26GNolan Jones 10G
STARTERSKyle Freeland 1.2WARAustin Gomber 0.9WARRyan Feltner 0.9WARPeter Lambert 0.2WARChase Anderson 0.1WAR
CElias Díaz 126GAustin Wynns 51GBrian Serven 10G
DHCharlie Blackmon 61GKris Bryant 25GElehuris Montero 16G
BULLPEN★ Justin Lawrence 11svJake Bird 13hBrent Suter 7hDaniel Bard 6hMatt Koch 6hGavin Hollowell 3hJustin Bruihl 1hTyler Kinley 1h
CElias Díaz 126 · Austin Wynns 51 · Brian Serven 10
1BElehuris Montero 55 · Michael Toglia 26 · Nolan Jones 10
2BHarold Castro 68 · Alan Trejo 49 · Brendan Rodgers 43
3BRyan McMahon 130 · Alan Trejo 23 · Elehuris Montero 12
SSEzequiel Tovar 153 · Alan Trejo 9 · Harold Castro 4
LFNolan Jones 60 · Harold Castro 5 · Sean Bouchard 4
CFBrenton Doyle 125 · Yonathan Daza 23 · Harold Castro 11
RFKris Bryant 46 · Nolan Jones 34 · Charlie Blackmon 30
DHCharlie Blackmon 61 · Kris Bryant 25 · Elehuris Montero 16
SPKyle Freeland 1.2 · Austin Gomber 0.9 · Ryan Feltner 0.9 · Peter Lambert 0.2 · Chase Anderson 0.1
BP★ Justin Lawrence 11 · Jake Bird 13 · Brent Suter 7 · Daniel Bard 6 · Matt Koch 6 · Gavin Hollowell 3 · Justin Bruihl 1 · Tyler Kinley 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2023 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Nolan Jones 25 pre-arb 1063.8 0.5 +14.5
Ryan McMahon 28 FA-elig 1521.8 9.0 -1.9
Ezequiel Tovar 21 pre-arb 1531.7 0.7 +5.9
Jake Bird 27 pre-arb 701.5 0.7 +5.1
Brent Suter 33 FA-elig 571.3 3.0 +2.2
Justin Lawrence 28 pre-arb 691.2 0.7 +4.0
Kyle Freeland 30 FA-elig 291.2 10.5 -5.8
Austin Gomber 29 arb 270.9 1.6 +2.0
Ryan Feltner 26 pre-arb 100.9 0.7 +2.9
Charlie Blackmon 36 FA-elig 960.8 15.0 -11.9
Randal Grichuk↔ ANA 31 – 640.6 5.6 -3.2
Sean Bouchard 27 pre-arb 210.5 0.7 +1.1
Brenton Doyle 25 – 1260.4 0.6 +1.1
Brad Hand↔ ATL 33 FA-elig 400.4 2.0 -0.4
Germán Márquez 28 FA-elig 40.2 15.3 -14.3
Pierce Johnson↔ ATL 32 FA-elig 430.2 3.2 -2.3
Peter Lambert 26 arb 250.2 0.8 +0.1
Brendan Rodgers 26 arb 460.2 2.7 -1.9
Victor Vodnik 23 – 60.2 0.1 +0.7
Nick Mears 26 pre-arb 160.2 0.4 +0.2
Mike Moustakas↔ ANA 34 FA-elig 470.2 0.3 +0.3
Chris Flexen↔ SEA 28 FA-elig 120.1 3.3 -2.7
Chase Anderson↔ TBR 35 FA-elig 170.1 0.5 +0.1
Ty Blach 32 FA-elig 200.1 1.1 -0.6
Cole Tucker 26 pre-arb 50.1 0.1 +0.3
Tyler Kinley 32 arb 180.1 1.2 -0.9
Austin Wynns↔ LAD 32 pre-arb 450.1 0.5 -0.3
Justin Bruihl↔ LAD 26 pre-arb 70.0 0.0 +0.0
Blair Calvo 27 – 10.0 0.0 +0.0
Noah Davis 26 pre-arb 8-0.0 0.2 -0.2
C.J. Cron↔ ANA 33 FA-elig 56-0.0 5.7 -5.8
Evan Justice 24 – 9-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Matt Carasiti 31 pre-arb 16-0.0 0.4 -0.5
Riley Pint 25 – 1-0.0 0.0 -0.2
Connor Kaiser 26 – 3-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Matt Koch 32 pre-arb 39-0.1 0.4 -0.6
Elias Díaz 32 FA-elig 141-0.1 5.5 -5.7
Connor Seabold 27 pre-arb 27-0.1 0.7 -1.3
Fernando Abad 37 FA-elig 6-0.1 0.1 -0.7
Antonio Senzatela 28 FA-elig 2-0.2 7.2 -7.9
Karl Kauffmann 25 – 11-0.2 0.2 -0.9
Dinelson Lamet↔ BOS 30 FA-elig 16-0.2 4.7 -5.6
Alan Trejo 27 pre-arb 83-0.2 0.7 -1.7
Jorge Alfaro↔ BOS 30 – 10-0.3 0.1 -1.1
Brian Serven 28 pre-arb 11-0.3 0.7 -1.8
Hunter Goodman 23 – 23-0.3 0.1 -1.4
Tommy Doyle 27 pre-arb 15-0.3 0.2 -1.4
Yonathan Daza 29 arb 24-0.4 0.7 -2.3
Coco Montes 26 – 18-0.4 0.1 -1.7
Gavin Hollowell 25 pre-arb 26-0.5 0.3 -2.2
Daniel Bard 38 FA-elig 50-0.5 9.5 -11.5
José Ureña↔ CHW 31 FA-elig 5-0.8 1.5 -4.6
Elehuris Montero 24 pre-arb 85-0.9 0.7 -4.2
Michael Toglia 24 pre-arb 45-1.1 0.3 -4.8
Kris Bryant 31 FA-elig 80-1.2 28.0 -32.6
Harold Castro 29 arb 99-1.5 1.3 -7.2
Jurickson Profar↔ SDP 30 FA-elig 111-1.7 6.9 -13.7

Key additions (new vs 2022)

PlayerfWAR
Nolan Jones3.8
Brent Suter1.3
Brenton Doyle0.4
Brad Hand0.4
Pierce Johnson0.2
Peter Lambert0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 2022)

Player2022 fWAR
Jose Iglesias1.3
Chad Kuhl0.4
Carlos Estévez0.3
Connor Joe0.3
Robert Stephenson0.0
Jordan Sheffield0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

2023 payroll
$157.3M
2024 guaranteed
$67.0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2023, 2023–2029. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2023; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (16)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Kris Bryant317.171$28.0M$28.0M$27.0M$27.0M$27.0M$27.0MFREE AGENT
Germán Márquez286.027$15.3MFREE AGENT
Charlie Blackmon3610.102$15.0MFREE AGENT
Kyle Freeland305.144$10.5M$15.0M$16.0M$16.0M$17.0MPLAYERFREE AGENT
Daniel Bard386.103$9.5MFREE AGENT
Ryan McMahon285.006$9.0M$12.0M$4.2M$16.0M$16.0MFREE AGENT
Antonio Senzatela285.106$7.2M$12.0M$12.0M$12.0M$14.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Jurickson Profar308.165$6.9MFREE AGENT
C.J. Cron338.097$5.7MFREE AGENT
Randal Grichuk318.033$5.6MFREE AGENT
Elias Díaz326.088$5.5MFREE AGENT
Brad Hand339.092$2.0MFREE AGENT
José Ureña316.165$1.5MFREE AGENT
Chase Anderson357.161$492kFREE AGENT
Mike Moustakas3411.111$302kFREE AGENT
Fernando Abad3713.000$100kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Dinelson Lamet305.070$4.7MFREE AGENT
Pierce Johnson323.137$3.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brent Suter335.161$3.0MFREE AGENT
Brendan Rodgers263.075$2.7MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Gomber293.111$1.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Harold Castro293.141$1.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Kinley324.014$1.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Ty Blach323.077$1.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge Alfaro305.083$56kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (32)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Chris Flexen282.107$3.3MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Peter Lambert262.166$770kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yonathan Daza292.101$730kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Elehuris Montero240.097$722kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Feltner260.143$722kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ezequiel Tovar210.014$722kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Lawrence280.167$722kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Connor Seabold270.058$722kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alan Trejo270.119$722kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Serven280.142$722kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Bird270.117$722kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Bouchard270.068$652kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brenton Doyle250.000$623kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nolan Jones250.045$511kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Wynns322.090$509kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Mears261.079$437kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Koch321.029$372kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Carasiti310.087$352kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gavin Hollowell250.018$263kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Toglia240.037$255kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Noah Davis260.020$236kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Karl Kauffmann25–$163k
Tommy Doyle270.014$155kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hunter Goodman230.000$139kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Coco Montes260.000$116kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Evan Justice240.000$93kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Victor Vodnik230.000$89kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Connor Kaiser260.000$54kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cole Tucker262.009$50kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Bruihl260.146$44kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Riley Pint250.000$23kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Blair Calvo27–$4k

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Rockies 2023; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.