GM: Jeff Kingston
Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2015, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).
Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.
| Player | fWAR |
|---|---|
| Nelson Cruz | 5.0 |
| Franklin Gutierrez | 2.3 |
| Seth Smith | 1.8 |
| Ketel Marte | 1.8 |
| J.A. Happ | 1.2 |
| Mark Lowe | 1.0 |
| Player | 2014 fWAR |
|---|---|
| Michael Saunders | 1.9 |
| Brandon Maurer | 0.6 |
| Endy Chavez | 0.1 |
| Abraham Almonte | 0.0 |
| Stephen Pryor | -0.0 |
| Chris Young | -0.0 |
WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Mariners. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2015; everyone else is shown as a 2015 season snapshot.
| Player | Period | fWAR | Tier Market $M | Paid $M | Surplus $M | $ / WAR | Tier | Contract |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nelson Cruz | 2015 | +5.0 | +82.5 | 14.2 | +68.2 | $2.8M | 2.05× | – |
| Kyle Seager | 2015 | +3.8 | +37.7 | 4.5 | +33.2 | $1.2M | 1.25× | – |
| Carson Smith | 2015 | +2.0 | +31.8 | 0.5 | +31.3 | $0.3M | 1.95× | – |
| Franklin Gutierrez | 2015 | +2.3 | +22.2 | 0.3 | +21.9 | $0.1M | 1.22× | – |
| Taijuan Walker | 2015 | +1.8 | +21.1 | 0.5 | +20.6 | $0.3M | 1.49× | – |
| Félix Hernández | 2015 | +2.6 | +41.0 | 24.9 | +16.2 | $9.5M | 1.96× | – |
| Hisashi Iwakuma | 2015 | +1.7 | +20.3 | 7.0 | +13.3 | $4.1M | 1.49× | – |
| Ketel Marte | 2015 | +1.8 | +12.8 | 0.2 | +12.6 | $0.1M | 0.89× | Extension · 2025–2025 · $19.4M AAV |
| Seth Smith | 2015 | +1.8 | +17.9 | 6.0 | +11.9 | $3.3M | 1.22× | – |
| Austin Jackson↔ | 2015 | +1.8 | +17.2 | 6.1 | +11.1 | $3.4M | 1.22× | – |
| Tom Wilhelmsen | 2015 | +0.7 | +7.5 | 1.4 | +6.1 | $2.0M | 1.34× | – |
| Brad Miller | 2015 | +1.3 | +6.4 | 0.5 | +5.9 | $0.4M | 0.61× | – |
| Mark Lowe↔ | 2015 | +1.0 | +5.5 | 0.2 | +5.2 | $0.2M | 0.67× | – |
| J.A. Happ↔ | 2015 | +1.2 | +9.5 | 4.4 | +5.1 | $3.8M | 1.02× | – |
| Roenis Elías | 2015 | +0.6 | +4.8 | 0.3 | +4.5 | $0.5M | 1.02× | – |
| James Paxton | 2015 | +0.4 | +3.4 | 0.5 | +2.9 | $1.2M | 1.02× | – |
| Tony Zych | 2015 | +0.6 | +3.0 | 0.1 | +2.9 | $0.2M | 0.67× | – |
| Shawn O'Malley | 2015 | +0.4 | +2.7 | 0.1 | +2.6 | $0.2M | 0.83× | – |
| Mike Zunino | 2015 | +0.7 | +3.0 | 0.5 | +2.5 | $0.7M | 0.52× | – |
| Mike Montgomery | 2015 | +0.2 | +1.5 | 0.2 | +1.2 | $1.4M | 1.02× | – |
| Vidal Nuño↔ | 2015 | +0.0 | +0.2 | 0.3 | -0.1 | $8.8M | 0.67× | – |
| Jesús Sucre | 2015 | +0.1 | +0.3 | 0.5 | -0.2 | $7.7M | 0.52× | – |
| Robinson Canó | 2015 | +2.8 | +23.8 | 24.0 | -0.2 | $8.7M | 1.07× | – |
| Rob Rasmussen↔ | 2015 | -0.0 | -0.2 | 0.2 | -0.4 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Stefen Romero | 2015 | -0.0 | -0.3 | 0.1 | -0.4 | – | 0.83× | – |
| Logan Kensing | 2015 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 0.1 | -0.5 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Charlie Furbush | 2015 | +0.1 | +0.7 | 1.3 | -0.6 | $9.6M | 0.67× | – |
| José Ramírez↔ | 2015 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 0.1 | -0.6 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Yoervis Medina↔ | 2015 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 0.4 | -0.8 | – | 0.67× | – |
| David Rollins | 2015 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 0.5 | -0.9 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Edgar Olmos | 2015 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 0.5 | -1.0 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Dominic Leone↔ | 2015 | -0.2 | -1.2 | 0.1 | -1.3 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Mark Trumbo↔ | 2015 | +0.5 | +3.3 | 4.7 | -1.3 | $9.3M | 0.83× | – |
| Danny Farquhar | 2015 | -0.2 | -1.3 | 0.5 | -1.8 | – | 0.67× | – |
| JC Ramírez↔ | 2015 | -0.3 | -1.7 | 0.0 | -1.8 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Welington Castillo↔ | 2015 | -0.5 | -1.9 | 0.1 | -2.0 | – | 0.52× | – |
| Jesus Montero | 2015 | -0.4 | -2.0 | 0.2 | -2.2 | – | 0.56× | – |
| Tyler Olson | 2015 | -0.4 | -2.3 | 0.1 | -2.3 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Chris Taylor | 2015 | -0.5 | -2.2 | 0.5 | -2.7 | – | 0.61× | – |
| John Hicks | 2015 | -0.6 | -2.6 | 0.1 | -2.7 | – | 0.52× | – |
| Logan Morrison | 2015 | +0.0 | +0.0 | 2.7 | -2.7 | $598.3M | 0.56× | – |
| Justin Ruggiano↔ | 2015 | -0.2 | -1.3 | 1.6 | -2.9 | – | 0.83× | – |
| Mayckol Guaipe | 2015 | -0.6 | -3.1 | 0.1 | -3.3 | – | 0.67× | – |
| James Jones | 2015 | -0.6 | -3.8 | 0.1 | -3.9 | – | 0.83× | – |
| Joe Beimel | 2015 | -0.8 | -4.2 | 0.5 | -4.7 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Rickie Weeks Jr. | 2015 | -0.6 | -3.9 | 2.0 | -5.9 | – | 0.83× | – |
| Dustin Ackley↔ | 2015 | -0.6 | -4.0 | 2.0 | -6.1 | – | 0.83× | – |
| Willie Bloomquist | 2015 | -0.7 | -3.1 | 3.0 | -6.1 | – | 0.56× | – |
| Fernando Rodney↔ | 2015 | -0.8 | -4.5 | 5.6 | -10.0 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Lucas Luetge | 2015 | -0.0 | -0.0 | 0.0 | -0.0 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Steven Baron | 2015 | -0.2 | -0.9 | – | – | – | 0.52× | – |
| Total | — | +26.5 | +333.6 | 124.3 | +209.8 | — | ||
Every graded 2015 deal involving the Mariners — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 20 total.
What the front office was committed to as of 2015, 2015–2021. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2015; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.
| Player | Age | Svc | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Félix Hernández | 29 | 9.060 | $24.9M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Robinson Canó | 32 | 9.153 | $24.0M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Nelson Cruz | 34 | 7.081 | $14.2M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Seth Smith | 32 | 6.119 | $6.0M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Fernando Rodney | 38 | 11.137 | $5.6M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| J.A. Happ | 32 | 6.047 | $4.4M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Willie Bloomquist | 37 | 13.000 | $3.0M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Rickie Weeks Jr. | 32 | 12.000 | $2.0M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Joe Beimel | 38 | 10.018 | $502k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Franklin Gutierrez | 32 | 7.080 | $286k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Mike Montgomery | 25 | 6.089 | $247k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Mark Lowe | 32 | 7.005 | $233k | FREE AGENT |
| Player | Age | Svc | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hisashi Iwakuma | 34 | 3.000 | $7.0M | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Austin Jackson | 28 | 5.000 | $6.1M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Mark Trumbo | 29 | 4.027 | $4.7M | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Kyle Seager | 27 | 3.085 | $4.5M | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Logan Morrison | 27 | 4.069 | $2.7M | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Dustin Ackley | 27 | 3.087 | $2.0M | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Justin Ruggiano | 33 | 4.019 | $1.6M | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Tom Wilhelmsen | 31 | 3.091 | $1.4M | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Charlie Furbush | 29 | 3.121 | $1.3M | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Logan Kensing | 32 | 4.086 | $119k | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Welington Castillo | 28 | 3.009 | $115k | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Player | Age | Svc | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Miller | 25 | 1.094 | $528k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Danny Farquhar | 28 | 1.158 | $527k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Mike Zunino | 24 | 1.111 | $524k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| James Paxton | 26 | 1.027 | $519k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Taijuan Walker | 22 | 0.142 | $513k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Edgar Olmos | 25 | 0.016 | $512k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Chris Taylor | 24 | 0.067 | $512k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Carson Smith | 25 | 0.028 | $509k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Jesús Sucre | 27 | 0.169 | $509k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| David Rollins | 25 | 0.100 | $507k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Yoervis Medina | 26 | 2.079 | $372k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Roenis Elías | 26 | 1.000 | $311k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Vidal Nuño | 27 | 1.055 | $306k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Jesus Montero | 25 | 1.167 | $194k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Ketel Marte | 21 | 0.000 | $180k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Rob Rasmussen | 26 | 0.096 | $163k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Mayckol Guaipe | 24 | 0.054 | $144k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| James Jones | 26 | 0.131 | $103k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| John Hicks | 25 | 0.000 | $103k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Shawn O'Malley | 27 | 0.028 | $92k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Tony Zych | 24 | 0.000 | $92k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Stefen Romero | 26 | 0.136 | $92k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Tyler Olson | 25 | 0.000 | $83k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Dominic Leone | 23 | 1.000 | $61k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| José Ramírez | 25 | 1.000 | $57k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| JC Ramírez | 26 | 0.080 | $35k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Lucas Luetge | 28 | 2.000 | $8k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Steven Baron | 24 | – | — |
How each 2015 acquisition stacked onto Mariners's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.