RRosternomics
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Mariners SEA

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GM: Jack Zduriencik

Overview

REBUILD → steady
cheap & losing · year 5 in this regime · payroll 0.87× league · TAB -2.5
-2.5TAB — talent above budget19th/30
+6.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)9th/30
5.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars22nd/30
-6.1dead WAR — sub-replacement drag22nd/30
28%dead money %8th/30
0.537win %11th/30
30.0roster fWAR21st/30
-10surplus $M (value vs cost)17th/30
$98Mpayroll $M18th/30

Roster

CFAustin Jackson 154GJames Jones 85GMichael Saunders 12G
LFDustin Ackley 133GChris Denorfia 33GCole Gillespie 16G
RFChris Denorfia 76GMichael Saunders 68GEndy Chavez 46G
SSBrad Miller 107GChris Taylor 47GWillie Bloomquist 16G
2BRobinson Canó 150GBrad Miller 13GWillie Bloomquist 10G
3BKyle Seager 157GWillie Bloomquist 5GBrad Miller 2G
1BJustin Smoak 79GLogan Morrison 79GKendrys Morales 27G
STARTERSFélix Hernández 5.6WARHisashi Iwakuma 2.8WARJames Paxton 1.1WARRoenis Elías 1.0WARBrandon Maurer 0.6WAR
CMike Zunino 130GJesús Sucre 21GHumberto Quintero 3G
DHKendrys Morales 71GCorey Hart 55GEndy Chavez 13G
BULLPEN★ Fernando Rodney 48svYoervis Medina 21hCharlie Furbush 20hDanny Farquhar 13hJoe Beimel 10hTom Wilhelmsen 8hDominic Leone 7hLucas Luetge 0h
CMike Zunino 130 · Jesús Sucre 21 · Humberto Quintero 3
1BJustin Smoak 79 · Logan Morrison 79 · Kendrys Morales 27
2BRobinson Canó 150 · Brad Miller 13 · Willie Bloomquist 10
3BKyle Seager 157 · Willie Bloomquist 5 · Brad Miller 2
SSBrad Miller 107 · Chris Taylor 47 · Willie Bloomquist 16
LFDustin Ackley 133 · Chris Denorfia 33 · Cole Gillespie 16
CFAustin Jackson 154 · James Jones 85 · Michael Saunders 12
RFChris Denorfia 76 · Michael Saunders 68 · Endy Chavez 46
DHKendrys Morales 71 · Corey Hart 55 · Endy Chavez 13
SPFélix Hernández 5.6 · Hisashi Iwakuma 2.8 · James Paxton 1.1 · Roenis Elías 1.0 · Brandon Maurer 0.6
BP★ Fernando Rodney 48 · Yoervis Medina 21 · Charlie Furbush 20 · Danny Farquhar 13 · Joe Beimel 10 · Tom Wilhelmsen 8 · Dominic Leone 7 · Lucas Luetge 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2014 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Félix Hernández 28 FA-elig 345.6 22.9 -6.4
Robinson Canó 31 FA-elig 1575.6 24.0 -7.6
Kyle Seager 26 arb 1595.2 0.5 +14.5
Mike Zunino 23 pre-arb 1314.0 0.5 +11.1
Hisashi Iwakuma 33 pre-arb 282.8 6.5 +1.7
Michael Saunders 27 arb 781.9 2.3 +3.2
Dustin Ackley 26 arb 1431.3 1.7 +2.0
Brad Miller 24 pre-arb 1231.2 0.5 +3.1
James Paxton 25 pre-arb 131.1 0.5 +2.7
Fernando Rodney 37 FA-elig 691.0 7.0 -4.0
Roenis Elías 25 – 291.0 0.5 +2.5
Chris Taylor 23 – 471.0 0.2 +2.7
Logan Morrison 26 arb 990.8 1.8 +0.5
Danny Farquhar 27 arb 670.8 0.5 +1.8
Dominic Leone 22 – 570.6 0.5 +1.3
Brandon Maurer 23 pre-arb 380.6 0.5 +1.2
Charlie Furbush 28 arb 670.6 0.8 +0.9
Taijuan Walker 21 pre-arb 80.3 0.5 +0.4
Yoervis Medina 25 pre-arb 660.2 0.5 +0.1
Carson Smith 24 – 90.2 0.1 +0.4
Jesús Sucre 26 pre-arb 210.1 0.2 +0.2
Willie Bloomquist 36 FA-elig 470.1 2.8 -2.4
Tom Wilhelmsen 30 arb 570.1 0.5 -0.2
Endy Chavez 36 FA-elig 800.1 0.3 -0.1
Abraham Almonte↔ SDP 25 – 270.0 0.2 -0.0
Stephen Pryor 24 – 1-0.0 0.3 -0.4
Chris Young 35 FA-elig 30-0.0 1.2 -1.3
Jesus Montero 24 – 6-0.0 – –
Humberto Quintero 34 – 3-0.0 – –
Nick Franklin↔ TBR 23 pre-arb 17-0.1 0.3 -0.5
Hector Noesí↔ CHW 27 arb 2-0.1 0.0 -0.3
Cole Gillespie↔ TOR 30 – 34-0.2 0.5 -0.9
Justin Smoak 27 arb 80-0.2 2.6 -3.1
Blake Beavan 25 arb 1-0.2 0.5 -1.1
Joe Beimel 37 FA-elig 56-0.2 0.8 -1.5
James Jones 25 – 108-0.3 0.4 -1.1
Chris Denorfia↔ SDP 33 FA-elig 32-0.3 0.6 -1.5
Lucas Luetge 27 pre-arb 12-0.3 0.5 -1.4
John Buck↔ ANA 33 FA-elig 27-0.4 0.8 -2.0
Austin Jackson↔ DET 27 arb 54-0.6 2.1 -3.8
Erasmo Ramírez 24 pre-arb 17-0.6 0.5 -2.2
Kendrys Morales↔ MIN 31 FA-elig 59-0.6 4.5 -6.2
Corey Hart 32 FA-elig 68-0.9 6.0 -8.7
Stefen Romero 25 – 72-1.2 0.4 -3.9

Key additions (new vs 2013)

PlayerfWAR
Robinson Canó5.6
Fernando Rodney1.0
Roenis Elías1.0
Chris Taylor1.0
Logan Morrison0.8
Dominic Leone0.6

Key subtractions (gone from 2013)

Player2013 fWAR
Oliver Pérez0.8
Raul Ibanez0.8
Joe Saunders0.4
Jason Bay0.2
Bobby LaFromboise0.2
Carlos Peguero0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2014 payroll
$98.4M

What the front office was committed to as of 2014, 2014–2020. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2014201520162017201820192020
Robinson Canó318.153$24.0M$24.0M$24.0M$24.0M$12.3MFREE AGENT
Félix Hernández288.060$22.9M$24.9M$25.9M$26.9M$26.9M$27.9MFREE AGENT
Fernando Rodney3710.137$7.0M$5.6MFREE AGENT
Corey Hart328.038$6.0MFREE AGENT
Kendrys Morales316.057$4.5MFREE AGENT
Willie Bloomquist3611.027$2.8M$3.0MFREE AGENT
Chris Young3510.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Joe Beimel379.018$850k$502kFREE AGENT
John Buck3310.064$844kFREE AGENT
Chris Denorfia336.041$595kFREE AGENT
Endy Chavez3610.012$333kFREE AGENT
Humberto Quintero348.085—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (4)

PlayerAgeSvc2014201520162017201820192020
Justin Smoak273.113$2.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Saunders273.138$2.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Jackson274.000$2.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Logan Morrison263.069$1.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (28)

PlayerAgeSvc2014201520162017201820192020
Hisashi Iwakuma332.000$6.5MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dustin Ackley262.087$1.7MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Charlie Furbush282.121$750kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Seager262.085$540kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tom Wilhelmsen302.091$529kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Blake Beavan252.069$519kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yoervis Medina252.079$513kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Erasmo Ramírez241.020$512kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Danny Farquhar270.158$511kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Miller240.094$510kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lucas Luetge271.121$509kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Maurer230.124$505kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Zunino230.111$504kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
James Paxton250.027$503kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Taijuan Walker210.031$502kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dominic Leone220.000$486kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cole Gillespie301.003$486kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Roenis Elías250.000$475kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Stefen Romero250.000$374kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
James Jones250.000$352kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Stephen Pryor241.144$321kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Franklin230.126$310kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesús Sucre260.086$227kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Taylor230.000$183kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Abraham Almonte250.031$154kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carson Smith240.000$77kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hector Noesí272.006$31kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesus Montero242.167—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Mariners 2014; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.