Rosternomics
JK

Jeff Kingston

General manager for the Mariners (2015–2015).

Across the full 1-season sample, the measured profile stands out most for avoidance of dead payroll (96th percentile), and drafted-player surplus (86th percentile). The clearest contrast is traded-for surplus (0th percentile): players acquired by trade have created less surplus value than for most peers. Because the sample covers fewer than five seasons, those comparisons are descriptive rather than stable.

1 seasons with salary-era data across 1 stint. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

0 pennants · 0 playoff appearances · 76–86 (0.469)

Percentile Rankings

vs. execs with toyrs exp.
PoorAverageGreat
Trade Decision Quality
Roster Construction
Depth
6.0
Dead WAR
-8.8
Dead money %
19%
PoorAverageGreat
Talent Creation
Cheap-talent surplus
$0M
Drafted surplus
$16M
Traded-for surplus
$-13M
Int'l surplus
$-2M
Results & Efficiency
GM WAR
-1.9
TAB
-8.0
WAB
-6.2
$ / WAR
$3.5M
Net WAR/trade
-1.36

Overview

TeamRoleYear Pay
$M
Rel
Pay
Surp
$M
Surp
WAR
Dead
%
Cheap
$M
Draft
$M
Trd
$M
Int'l
$M
$ /
WAR
WAR Depth Dead
WAR
HG Trade Net/
Trd
FA R5 RFA PPA CPA WAB TAB W-L% POPenWS
Mariners GM 2015 76–86 $124 102 -40 -12.7 19% +0 +16 -13 -2 $3.5M 26.5 6.0 -8.8 -0.2 -19.1 -1.36 -4.8 +0.0 +0.05 0.48 0.09 -6.2 -8.0 0.469
Career total (1985+ data) $124 102 -40 -12.7 19% +0 +16 -13 -2 $3.5M 26.5 6.0 -8.8 -0.2 -19.1 -1.36 -4.8 +0.0 +0.05 0.48 0.09 -6.2 -8.0 0.469

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)-0.2
Trade-19.1
Free agency-4.8
Rule 5 / minor draft+0.0
Sourcing mix: 0% draft · 30% FA · 70% trade · 0% R5

Trades

Trades made — 20 deals credited to Jeff Kingston, best expected value first; surplus is realized value in $M

2015 · SEA / TEX
SEA · Jeff Kingston +$12.8M
Leonys Martín, Anthony Bass
TEX · Jon Daniels −$12.8M
Tom Wilhelmsen, James Jones, Patrick Kivlehan
SEA came out ahead by $12.8M
2015 · TBR / SEA
TBR · Matt Silverman +$2.4M
Erasmo Ramírez
SEA · Jeff Kingston −$2.4M
Mike Montgomery
TBR came out ahead by $2.4M
2015 · SEA / CHC
SEA · Jeff Kingston +$7.2M
cash / PTBNL
CHC · Theo Epstein −$7.2M
Fernando Rodney
SEA came out ahead by $7.2M
2015 · LAD / SEA
LAD · Andrew Friedman +$0.0M
Tyler Olson
SEA · Jeff Kingston +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Even trade
2015 · SEA / ATL
SEA · Jeff Kingston +$7.2M
Ryne Harper
ATL · John Hart −$7.2M
José Ramírez
SEA came out ahead by $7.2M
2015 · TOR / SEA
TOR · Alex Anthopoulos +$0.0M
Mark Lowe
SEA · Jeff Kingston +$0.0M
Jake Brentz, Nick Wells, Rob Rasmussen
Even trade
2015 · ARI / SEA
ARI · Dave Stewart +$6.4M
Welington Castillo, Dominic Leone, Gabriel Guerrero, Jack Reinheimer
SEA · Jeff Kingston −$6.4M
Mark Trumbo, Vidal Nuño
ARI came out ahead by $6.4M
2015 · CHC / SEA
CHC · Theo Epstein +$3.2M
Yoervis Medina
SEA · Jeff Kingston −$3.2M
Welington Castillo
CHC came out ahead by $3.2M
2015 · PIT / SEA
PIT · Neal Huntington +$17.6M
J. A. Happ
SEA · Jeff Kingston −$17.6M
Adrian Sampson
PIT came out ahead by $17.6M
2015 · TBR / SEA
TBR · Matt Silverman +$1.6M
Brad Miller, Logan Morrison, Danny Farquhar
SEA · Jeff Kingston −$1.6M
Nate Karns, C. J. Riefenhauser, Boog Powell
TBR came out ahead by $1.6M
2015 · BAL / SEA
BAL · Dan Duquette +$8.0M
Mark Trumbo, C. J. Riefenhauser
SEA · Jeff Kingston −$8.0M
Steve Clevenger
BAL came out ahead by $8.0M
2015 · CHC / SEA
CHC · Theo Epstein +$0.0M
Lars Huijer
SEA · Jeff Kingston +$0.0M
Mike Kickham
Even trade
2015 · OAK / SEA
OAK · Billy Beane +$0.8M
Trey Cochran-Gill
SEA · Jeff Kingston −$0.8M
Evan Scribner
OAK came out ahead by $0.8M
2015 · SEA / MIL
SEA · Jeff Kingston +$4.0M
Luis Sardiñas
MIL · Douglas Melvin −$4.0M
Ramón Flores
SEA came out ahead by $4.0M
2015 · SDP / SEA
SDP · AJ Preller +$0.8M
Nelson Ward, Enyel De Los Santos
SEA · Jeff Kingston −$0.8M
Joaquín Benoit
SDP came out ahead by $0.8M
2015 · MIL / SEA
MIL · Douglas Melvin +$120.0M
Carlos Herrera, Freddy Peralta, Daniel Missaki
SEA · Jeff Kingston −$120.0M
Adam Lind
MIL came out ahead by $120.0M
2015 · LAD / SEA
LAD · Andrew Friedman +$0.8M
Justin Ruggiano
SEA · Jeff Kingston −$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
LAD came out ahead by $0.8M
2015 · SEA / BOS
SEA · Jeff Kingston +$4.0M
Wade Miley, Jonathan Aro
BOS · Dave Dombrowski −$4.0M
Roenis Elías, Carson Smith
SEA came out ahead by $4.0M
2015 · SEA / CHC
SEA · Jeff Kingston +$9.6M
cash / PTBNL
CHC · Theo Epstein −$9.6M
Austin Jackson
SEA came out ahead by $9.6M
2015 · SEA / NYY
SEA · Jeff Kingston +$7.2M
Ramón Flores, José Ramírez
NYY · Brian Cashman −$7.2M
Dustin Ackley
SEA came out ahead by $7.2M

Players acquired — 24 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr RFA PPA CPA
Nelson Cruz DH/OF SEA Trade 2015 4 +16.1 +4.0 2.1% 0.43%
Seth Smith OF SEA Trade 2015 2 +2.7 +1.3 1.0% 0.16%
Nate Karns P SEA Trade 2015 1 +1.4 +1.4 -0.07 4.0% 0.31%
Nori Aoki OF SEA Free agency 2015 1 +1.3 +1.3 3.6% 0.28%
Austin Jackson OF SEA Trade 2015 1 +1.2 +1.2 -0.31 0.9% 0.16%
J. A. Happ P SEA Trade 2015 1 +1.2 +1.2 0.6% 0.11%
Tony Zych P SEA Trade 2015 3 +1.1 +0.4
Steve Cishek P SEA Free agency 2015 1 +1.0 +1.0 2.9% 0.22%
Anthony Misiewicz P SEA Draft 2015 2 +0.9 +0.4
Shawn O'Malley SS/OF SEA Free agency 2015 2 +0.5 +0.2 0.2% 0.04%
Mark Trumbo 1B/DH/OF SEA Trade 2015 1 +0.5 +0.5 -0.64 0.3% 0.05%
Evan Scribner P SEA Trade 2015 1 +0.3 +0.3 -0.22 1.3% 0.10%
Mike Montgomery P SEA Trade 2015 2 +0.2 +0.1 +0.25
Vidal Nuño P SEA Trade 2015 2 +0.1 +0.0 -0.64 0.0% 0.00%
Art Warren P SEA Draft 2015 1 +0.1 +0.1
Jonathan Aro P SEA Trade 2015 -0.0 -1.28
Adam Lind 1B/DH SEA Trade 2015 -0.1
Andrew Moore P SEA Draft 2015 -0.1
Ljay Newsome P SEA Draft 2015 -0.1
Donn Roach P SEA Free agency 2015 -0.1
Adrian Sampson P SEA Trade 2015 -0.1 +0.20
Rickie Weeks 2B SEA Free agency 2015 -0.6
Chris Iannetta C SEA Free agency 2015 -0.7
Braden Bishop OF SEA Draft 2015 -0.9

Trade-side columns: RFA is playoff-readiness percentage points added to the future roster foundation. It grades the franchise's entire side of a trade, so the same score repeats for every player acquired in that package. PPA/CPA remain player-level arrival-year probability points.

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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