Rosternomics

Padres SDP

200487–75 (0.537)
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GM: Kevin Towers

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2004, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$58M
Win %
0.537
TAB
+8.9
WAB
+6.9
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
41.4
Dead money %
25%
Depth Players
9.0
Dead WAR
-4.5

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2004 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RRamon Hernandez108
RMiguel Ojeda50
RHumberto Quintero21
RPhil Nevin1

1B

RPhil Nevin144
LRyan Klesko18
LDave Hansen14
LRobert Fick11
RJeff Cirillo10
LRamón Vázquez3
RRich Aurilia1

2B

RMark Loretta154
LRamón Vázquez10
RJeff Cirillo4
RRich Aurilia3

3B

LSean Burroughs125
RRich Aurilia13
RJeff Cirillo11
LRamón Vázquez9
LDave Hansen8

SS

RKhalil Greene136
RRich Aurilia35
LRamón Vázquez22
RAlex Gonzalez11

LF

LRyan Klesko104
LTerrence Long61
LKerry Robinson39
RXavier Nady18
RBrian Buchanan15
RJay Payton9
RJon Knott5
RJeff Cirillo1

CF

RJay Payton128
LTerrence Long28
BFreddy Guzman17
LKerry Robinson9
RXavier Nady4

RF

LBrian Giles159
LTerrence Long9
RBrian Buchanan3
LKerry Robinson2
RXavier Nady2

DH

LRyan Klesko3
RPhil Nevin2
LKerry Robinson1
RJay Payton1
LTerrence Long1
RXavier Nady1

Starters

RJake Peavy4.3 WAR
RAdam Eaton3.1 WAR
LDavid Wells3.0 WAR
RBrian Lawrence1.6 WAR
RDennis Tankersley0.6 WAR
RBrian Sweeney0.4 WAR
RJustin Germano-0.0 WAR
LSterling Hitchcock-0.2 WAR
RIsmael Valdez-0.2 WAR

Bullpen

RTrevor Hoffman41 sv
RAkinori Otsuka34 h
RScott Linebrink28 h
RRod Beck5 h
RBlaine Neal3 h
RJay Witasick2 h
RAntonio Osuna2 h
RRicky Stone1 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2003)

PlayerfWAR
Ramon Hernandez3.1
David Wells3.0
Akinori Otsuka1.8
Jay Payton1.7
Terrence Long0.8
Antonio Osuna0.6

Key subtractions (gone from 2003)

Player2003 fWAR
Mark Kotsay4.1
Gary Matthews Jr.1.9
Rondell White1.2
Matt Herges0.7
Lou Merloni0.6
Keith Lockhart0.4

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Padres. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2004; everyone else is shown as a 2004 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Jake Peavy 2004 +4.3 +76.2 0.3 +75.8 $0.1M 2.19×
Brian Giles 2004 +5.0 +82.1 8.8 +73.3 $1.8M 2.05×
Mark Loretta 2004 +5.8 +64.4 2.5 +61.9 $0.4M 1.38×
Adam Eaton 2004 +3.1 +49.1 1.9 +47.1 $0.6M 1.96×
David Wells 2004 +3.0 +47.4 1.2 +46.1 $0.4M 1.96×
Khalil Greene 2004 +3.2 +29.8 0.3 +29.4 $0.1M 1.18×
Akinori Otsuka 2004 +1.8 +28.5 0.7 +27.8 $0.4M 1.95×
Trevor Hoffman 2004 +1.8 +28.2 2.5 +25.7 $1.4M 1.95×
Ramon Hernandez 2004 +3.1 +24.5 2.9 +21.5 $1.0M 1.00×
Brian Lawrence 2004 +1.6 +18.7 0.9 +17.8 $0.6M 1.49×
Jay Payton 2004 +1.7 +16.4 1.5 +14.9 $0.9M 1.22×
Sean Burroughs 2004 +2.2 +15.1 0.3 +14.8 $0.2M 0.85×
Scott Linebrink 2004 +1.3 +14.1 0.3 +13.8 $0.2M 1.34×
Ryan Klesko 2004 +1.7 +16.3 6.0 +10.3 $3.6M 1.22×
Phil Nevin 2004 +2.5 +16.1 8.5 +7.6 $3.4M 0.81×
Miguel Ojeda 2004 +0.8 +3.4 0.3 +3.1 $0.4M 0.52×
Antonio Osuna 2004 +0.6 +3.3 0.8 +2.6 $1.2M 0.67×
Terrence Long 2004 +0.8 +5.2 3.6 +1.6 $4.6M 0.83×
Robert Fick 2004 -0.0 -0.0 0.1 -0.1 0.56×
Rich Aurilia 2004 +0.2 +1.1 1.3 -0.2 $6.0M 0.61×
Ramón Vázquez 2004 -0.1 -0.5 0.3 -0.8 0.61×
Alex Gonzalez 2004 -0.0 -0.2 0.8 -1.0 0.61×
Ricky Stone 2004 -0.3 -1.5 0.2 -1.7 0.67×
Jay Witasick 2004 -0.0 -0.0 1.8 -1.8 0.67×
Dave Hansen 2004 -0.4 -1.8 0.3 -2.0 0.56×
Kerry Robinson 2004 -0.3 -1.7 0.5 -2.1 0.83×
Eddie Oropesa 2004 -0.3 -1.7 0.6 -2.3 0.67×
Ismael Valdez 2004 -0.2 -1.9 0.5 -2.5 1.02×
Jason Szuminski 2004 -0.4 -2.2 0.3 -2.5 0.67×
Brian Buchanan 2004 -0.6 -3.9 0.6 -4.6 0.83×
Jeff Cirillo 2004 -0.3 -1.5 7.0 -8.5 0.58×
Andy Ashby 2004 +0.1 +0.4 0.67×
Blaine Neal 2004 +0.1 +0.6 0.67×
Brandon Puffer 2004 -0.2 -1.0 0.67×
Brian Sweeney 2004 +0.4 +1.9 0.67×
Darren Bragg 2004 +0.0 +0.1 0.83×
Dennis Tankersley 2004 +0.6 +5.0 1.02×
Freddy Guzman 2004 +0.0 +0.3 0.83×
Humberto Quintero 2004 +0.1 +0.3 0.52×
Jon Knott 2004 +0.0 +0.2 0.83×
Justin Germano 2004 -0.0 -0.1 1.02×
Marty McLeary 2004 -0.1 -0.6 0.67×
Mike Bynum 2004 -0.1 -0.4 0.67×
Rod Beck 2004 -0.6 -3.4 0.67×
Sterling Hitchcock 2004 -0.2 -1.6 1.02×
Steve Watkins 2004 -0.2 -1.0 0.67×
Xavier Nady 2004 -0.1 -0.5 0.83×
Total+41.4+523.257.6+465.0

Trades

Every graded 2004 deal involving the Padres — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 10 total.

Current & Historical Payroll

2004 payroll
$57.8M

What the front office was committed to as of 2004, 2004–2010. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (20)

PlayerAgeSvc2004200520062007200820092010
Brian Giles339.000$8.8M$8.3M$7.7M$9.7M$9.7M$9.0MFREE AGENT
Phil Nevin339.000$8.5M$6.9MFREE AGENT
Jeff Cirillo3410.000$7.0MFREE AGENT
Ryan Klesko3312.000$6.0M$9.0M$9.0MFREE AGENT
Trevor Hoffman3611.000$2.5M$5.0M$4.5M$7.0M$7.5MFREE AGENT
Mark Loretta329.000$2.5M$2.8MFREE AGENT
Jay Witasick318.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
Jay Payton316.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Rich Aurilia329.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
David Wells4117.000$1.2MFREE AGENT$2.5M$2.3M
Alex Gonzalez3110.000$762kFREE AGENT
Antonio Osuna319.000$750kFREE AGENT
Ismael Valdez3010.000$541kFREE AGENT
Kerry Robinson306.000$450kFREE AGENT
Dave Hansen3514.000$253kFREE AGENT
Robert Fick306.000$117kFREE AGENT
Andy Ashby3613.000FREE AGENT
Rod Beck3513.000FREE AGENT
Darren Bragg3410.000FREE AGENT
Sterling Hitchcock3312.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2004200520062007200820092010
Terrence Long285.000$3.6MFREE AGENT
Ramon Hernandez285.000$2.9MFREE AGENT
Adam Eaton264.000$1.9MARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Lawrence283.000$925kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Buchanan304.000$617kARB 3FREE AGENT
Eddie Oropesa323.000$600kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ramón Vázquez273.000$342kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Linebrink274.000$326kARB 3FREE AGENT
Ricky Stone293.000$248kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Xavier Nady254.000ARB 3FREE AGENT
Blaine Neal263.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (16)

PlayerAgeSvc2004200520062007200820092010
Akinori Otsuka320.000$700kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Peavy232.000$350kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Burroughs232.000$340kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Ojeda291.000$305kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Khalil Greene241.000$300kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Szuminski250.000$300kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marty McLeary29
Humberto Quintero241.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Watkins25
Mike Bynum262.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dennis Tankersley25
Brandon Puffer28
Brian Sweeney301.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Germano210.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Freddy Guzman23
Jon Knott25

Graphs

How each 2004 acquisition stacked onto Padres's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.