Rosternomics

Nationals WSN

200067–95 (0.414)
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GM: Jim Beattie

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2000, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$29M
Win %
0.414
TAB
-4.4
WAB
-6.8
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
22.1
Dead money %
12%
Depth Players
4.0
Dead WAR
-9.8

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2000 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RChris Widger86
LBrian Schneider43
RLenny Webster32
RMichael Barrett28
RCharlie O'Brien9
RYohanny Valera7

1B

LLee Stevens123
BFernando Seguignol30
LAndy Tracy27
LTalmadge Nunnari14
BGeoff Blum11
RMike Mordecai3

2B

BJose Vidro153
BGeoff Blum13
RMike Mordecai9
RTrace Coquillette8
ROrlando Cabrera1
BWilton Guerrero1

3B

RMike Mordecai58
RMichael Barrett55
BGeoff Blum55
LAndy Tracy34
RTrace Coquillette19

SS

ROrlando Cabrera124
BGeoff Blum44
RTomas De La Rosa29
RMike Mordecai10

LF

BTerry Jones55
BWilton Guerrero42
LPeter Bergeron32
BFernando Seguignol16
RTrace Coquillette2

CF

LPeter Bergeron117
BMilton Bradley40
BTerry Jones26
BWilton Guerrero13

RF

RVladimir Guerrero151
BWilton Guerrero24
BFernando Seguignol14
BTerry Jones7
RTrace Coquillette1

DH

BWilton Guerrero6
RVladimir Guerrero2
BFernando Seguignol1

Starters

RJavier Vazquez5.6 WAR
RCarl Pavano1.7 WAR
RDustin Hermanson1.4 WAR
RTony Armas Jr.0.7 WAR
RMike Thurman0.7 WAR
RHideki Irabu0.7 WAR
RFelipe Lira0.7 WAR
RJeremy Powell0.1 WAR
RJulio Santana0.0 WAR
LScott Downs-0.0 WAR
LTrey Moore-0.2 WAR
RMike Johnson-0.3 WAR
RT.J. Tucker-0.4 WAR

Bullpen

LSteve Kline14 sv
RAnthony Telford11 h
RScott Strickland6 h
RGuillermo Mota5 h
LScott Forster4 h
RJulio Santana1 h
LMatt Blank0 h
RUgueth Urbina0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 1999)

PlayerfWAR
Lee Stevens1.0
Felipe Lira0.7
Hideki Irabu0.7
Tomas De La Rosa0.3
Talmadge Nunnari0.2
Andy Tracy0.1

Key subtractions (gone from 1999)

Player1999 fWAR
Dan Smith0.9
Orlando Merced0.9
Bobby Ayala0.5
J.D. Smart0.2
James Mouton0.1
Darron Cox0.0

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Nationals. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2000; everyone else is shown as a 2000 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Javier Vazquez 2000 +5.6 +111.8 0.3 +111.5 $0.1M 2.50×
Vladimir Guerrero 2000 +6.2 +102.3 3.5 +98.8 $0.6M 2.05×
Jose Vidro 2000 +4.3 +41.7 0.3 +41.4 $0.1M 1.20×
Carl Pavano 2000 +1.7 +19.6 0.3 +19.4 $0.2M 1.49×
Rondell White 2000 +2.1 +20.3 3.2 +17.1 $1.5M 1.22×
Scott Strickland 2000 +1.2 +12.6 0.2 +12.3 $0.2M 1.34×
Steve Kline 2000 +1.0 +11.0 0.4 +10.7 $0.3M 1.34×
Dustin Hermanson 2000 +1.4 +11.2 3.6 +7.5 $2.6M 1.02×
Anthony Telford 2000 +0.7 +7.6 0.7 +6.9 $1.0M 1.34×
Geoff Blum 2000 +1.4 +6.3 0.2 +6.1 $0.2M 0.58×
Tony Armas 2000 +0.7 +5.7 0.2 +5.5 $0.3M 1.02×
Mike Thurman 2000 +0.7 +5.5 0.3 +5.3 $0.4M 1.02×
Ugueth Urbina 2000 +0.6 +6.7 3.2 +3.5 $5.1M 1.34×
Chris Widger 2000 +0.6 +2.6 1.2 +1.4 $1.9M 0.52×
Hideki Irabu 2000 +0.7 +5.6 4.1 +1.4 $6.0M 1.02×
Lee Stevens 2000 +1.0 +4.6 3.5 +1.1 $3.4M 0.56×
Mike Mordecai 2000 +0.2 +1.1 0.3 +0.7 $1.5M 0.58×
Jeremy Powell 2000 +0.1 +0.8 0.2 +0.5 $1.5M 0.67×
Brad Rigby 2000 +0.0 +0.0 0.1 -0.1 $16.1M 0.67×
Matt Blank 2000 +0.0 +0.1 0.2 -0.1 $16.3M 0.67×
Scott Downs 2000 -0.0 -0.3 0.0 -0.3 1.02×
Jim Poole 2000 -0.1 -0.6 0.0 -0.7 0.67×
Miguel Batista 2000 -0.1 -0.6 0.1 -0.7 0.67×
Trace Coquillette 2000 -0.2 -0.8 0.2 -1.0 0.58×
Orlando Cabrera 2000 -0.4 -1.9 0.3 -2.2 0.61×
Lenny Webster 2000 -0.7 -2.8 0.6 -3.4 0.52×
Wilton Guerrero 2000 -0.7 -4.7 0.8 -5.5 0.83×
Terry Jones 2000 -0.8 -5.6 0.2 -5.8 0.83×
Michael Barrett 2000 -1.8 -8.3 0.3 -8.5 0.58×
Peter Bergeron 2000 -1.5 -9.8 0.2 -10.0 0.83×
Andy Tracy 2000 +0.1 +0.6 0.58×
Brian Schneider 2000 -0.7 -3.0 0.52×
Charlie O'Brien 2000 -0.2 -0.8 0.52×
David Moraga 2000 +0.0 +0.1 0.67×
Felipe Lira 2000 +0.7 +3.9 0.67×
Fernando Seguignol 2000 -0.0 -0.2 0.56×
Guillermo Mota 2000 +0.2 +1.1 0.67×
Julio Santana 2000 +0.0 +0.2 0.67×
Matt Skrmetta 2000 -0.1 -0.5 0.67×
Mike Johnson 2000 -0.3 -1.6 0.67×
Milton Bradley 2000 -0.8 -5.2 0.83×
Scott Forster 2000 -0.4 -2.1 0.67×
Sean Spencer 2000 -0.1 -0.6 0.67×
T.J. Tucker 2000 -0.4 -2.9 1.02×
Talmadge Nunnari 2000 +0.2 +0.8 0.56×
Tomas De La Rosa 2000 +0.3 +1.5 0.61×
Trey Moore 2000 -0.2 -1.3 1.02×
Yohanny Valera 2000 -0.3 -1.1 0.52×
Yovanny Lara 2000 -0.1 -0.3 0.67×
Total+21.8+330.328.7+312.8

Trades

Every graded 2000 deal involving the Nationals — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 7 total.

Current & Historical Payroll

2000 payroll
$28.8M

What the front office was committed to as of 2000, 2000–2006. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2000200120022003200420052006
Lee Stevens3210.000$3.5M$4.0M$2.2MFREE AGENT
Rondell White287.000$3.2MFREE AGENT
Anthony Telford3410.000$700k$1.2MFREE AGENT
Lenny Webster3511.000$600kFREE AGENT
Mike Mordecai326.000$350k$375k$296kFREE AGENT
Miguel Batista298.000$72kFREE AGENT
Jim Poole3410.000$43kFREE AGENT
Charlie O'Brien4015.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2000200120022003200420052006
Hideki Irabu313.000$4.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dustin Hermanson275.000$3.6MFREE AGENT
Vladimir Guerrero254.000$3.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Ugueth Urbina265.000$3.2MFREE AGENT
Chris Widger295.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Wilton Guerrero254.000$825kARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Kline273.000$355kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Vidro253.000$340kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Thurman263.000$268kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Orlando Cabrera253.000$265kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Terry Jones294.000$225kARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Rigby273.000$132kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Johnson243.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Felipe Lira285.000FREE AGENT
Julio Santana273.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (26)

PlayerAgeSvc2000200120022003200420052006
Javier Vazquez232.000$280kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Barrett232.000$265kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carl Pavano242.000$255kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeremy Powell242.000$218kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Geoff Blum271.000$210kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Strickland241.000$202kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trace Coquillette261.000$202kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Peter Bergeron221.000$202kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Blank240.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Armas221.000$200kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Downs240.000$11kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trey Moore272.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Fernando Seguignol252.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Milton Bradley220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tomas De La Rosa22
Guillermo Mota261.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Schneider230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Spencer25
Talmadge Nunnari25
Yovanny Lara24
Matt Skrmetta27
Yohanny Valera23
Andy Tracy260.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Moraga24
T.J. Tucker210.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Forster28

Graphs

How each 2000 acquisition stacked onto Nationals's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.