RRosternomics
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Nationals WSN

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GM: Jim Beattie

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.53× league · TAB -4.2
-4.2TAB — talent above budget23rd/30
-6.6WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)24th/30
4.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars27th/30
-9.8dead WAR — sub-replacement drag30th/30
12%dead money %5th/30
0.414win %28th/30
22.1roster fWAR26th/30
+5surplus $M (value vs cost)9th/30
$29Mpayroll $M26th/30

Roster

CFPeter Bergeron 117GMilton Bradley 40GTerry Jones 26G
LFTerry Jones 55GWilton Guerrero 42GPeter Bergeron 32G
RFVladimir Guerrero 151GWilton Guerrero 24GFernando Seguignol 14G
SSOrlando Cabrera 124GGeoff Blum 44GTomas De La Rosa 29G
2BJose Vidro 153GGeoff Blum 13GMike Mordecai 9G
3BMike Mordecai 58GMichael Barrett 55GGeoff Blum 55G
1BLee Stevens 123GFernando Seguignol 30GAndy Tracy 27G
STARTERSJavier Vazquez 5.6WARCarl Pavano 1.7WARDustin Hermanson 1.4WARTony Armas 0.7WARFelipe Lira 0.7WAR
CBrian Schneider 43GLenny Webster 32GMichael Barrett 28G
DHWilton Guerrero 6GVladimir Guerrero 2GFernando Seguignol 1G
BULLPEN★ Steve Kline 14svAnthony Telford 11hScott Strickland 6hGuillermo Mota 5hScott Forster 4hJim Poole 2hJulio Santana 1hUgueth Urbina 0h
CBrian Schneider 43 · Lenny Webster 32 · Michael Barrett 28
1BLee Stevens 123 · Fernando Seguignol 30 · Andy Tracy 27
2BJose Vidro 153 · Geoff Blum 13 · Mike Mordecai 9
3BMike Mordecai 58 · Michael Barrett 55 · Geoff Blum 55
SSOrlando Cabrera 124 · Geoff Blum 44 · Tomas De La Rosa 29
LFTerry Jones 55 · Wilton Guerrero 42 · Peter Bergeron 32
CFPeter Bergeron 117 · Milton Bradley 40 · Terry Jones 26
RFVladimir Guerrero 151 · Wilton Guerrero 24 · Fernando Seguignol 14
DHWilton Guerrero 6 · Vladimir Guerrero 2 · Fernando Seguignol 1
SPJavier Vazquez 5.6 · Carl Pavano 1.7 · Dustin Hermanson 1.4 · Tony Armas 0.7 · Felipe Lira 0.7
BP★ Steve Kline 14 · Anthony Telford 11 · Scott Strickland 6 · Guillermo Mota 5 · Scott Forster 4 · Jim Poole 2 · Julio Santana 1 · Ugueth Urbina 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2000 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Vladimir Guerrero 25 arb 1546.2 3.5 +5.4
Javier Vazquez 23 pre-arb 335.6 0.3 +7.6
Jose Vidro 25 arb 1534.3 0.3 +5.8
Rondell White↔ CHC 28 FA-elig 752.1 3.2 -0.2
Carl Pavano 24 pre-arb 151.7 0.3 +2.1
Dustin Hermanson 27 arb 381.4 3.6 -1.7
Geoff Blum 27 pre-arb 1241.4 0.2 +1.7
Scott Strickland 24 pre-arb 491.2 0.2 +1.5
Lee Stevens 32 FA-elig 1231.0 3.5 -2.0
Steve Kline 27 arb 831.0 0.4 +1.1
Felipe Lira 28 – 540.7 – –
Anthony Telford 34 FA-elig 640.7 0.7 +0.3
Tony Armas 22 pre-arb 170.7 0.2 +0.8
Hideki Irabu 31 arb 110.7 4.1 -3.2
Mike Thurman 26 arb 170.7 0.3 +0.7
Chris Widger↔ SEA 29 arb 860.6 1.2 -0.3
Ugueth Urbina 26 arb 130.6 3.2 -2.3
Tomas De La Rosa 22 – 320.3 – –
Mike Mordecai 32 FA-elig 860.2 0.3 -0.0
Guillermo Mota 26 – 290.2 – –
Talmadge Nunnari 25 – 180.2 – –
Jeremy Powell 24 pre-arb 110.1 0.2 -0.0
Andy Tracy 26 – 830.1 – –
Julio Santana 26 – 360.0 – –
David Moraga↔ COL 24 – 30.0 – –
Matt Blank 24 pre-arb 130.0 0.2 -0.2
Brad Rigby↔ KCR 27 arb 60.0 0.1 -0.1
Scott Downs↔ CHC 24 – 1-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Fernando Seguignol 25 – 76-0.0 – –
Yovanny Lara 24 – 6-0.1 – –
Matt Skrmetta↔ PIT 27 – 6-0.1 – –
Sean Spencer 25 – 8-0.1 – –
Miguel Batista↔ KCR 29 FA-elig 4-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Jim Poole↔ DET 34 FA-elig 5-0.1 0.0 -0.2
Trey Moore 27 – 8-0.2 – –
Trace Coquillette 26 pre-arb 34-0.2 0.2 -0.4
Charlie O'Brien 40 – 9-0.2 – –
Yohanny Valera 23 – 7-0.3 – –
Mike Johnson 24 – 41-0.3 – –
T.J. Tucker 21 – 2-0.4 – –
Scott Forster 28 – 42-0.4 – –
Orlando Cabrera 25 arb 125-0.4 0.3 -0.8
Lenny Webster 35 FA-elig 39-0.7 0.6 -1.6
Wilton Guerrero 25 arb 127-0.7 0.8 -1.8
Brian Schneider 23 – 45-0.7 – –
Milton Bradley 22 – 42-0.8 – –
Terry Jones 29 arb 108-0.8 0.2 -1.4
Peter Bergeron 22 pre-arb 148-1.5 0.2 -2.3
Michael Barrett 23 pre-arb 89-1.8 0.3 -2.8

Key additions (new vs 1999)

PlayerfWAR
Lee Stevens1.0
Felipe Lira0.7
Hideki Irabu0.7
Tomas De La Rosa0.3
Talmadge Nunnari0.2
Andy Tracy0.1

Key subtractions (gone from 1999)

Player1999 fWAR
Dan Smith0.9
Orlando Merced0.9
Bobby Ayala0.5
J.D. Smart0.2
James Mouton0.1
Darron Cox0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

2000 payroll
$28.8M

What the front office was committed to as of 2000, 2000–2006. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2000200120022003200420052006
Lee Stevens3210.000$3.5M$4.0M$2.2MFREE AGENT
Rondell White287.000$3.2MFREE AGENT
Anthony Telford3410.000$700k$1.2MFREE AGENT
Lenny Webster3511.000$600kFREE AGENT
Mike Mordecai326.000$350k$375k$296kFREE AGENT
Miguel Batista298.000$72kFREE AGENT
Jim Poole3410.000$43kFREE AGENT
Charlie O'Brien4015.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2000200120022003200420052006
Hideki Irabu313.000$4.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dustin Hermanson275.000$3.6MFREE AGENT
Vladimir Guerrero254.000$3.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Ugueth Urbina265.000$3.2MFREE AGENT
Chris Widger295.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Wilton Guerrero254.000$825kARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Kline273.000$355kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Vidro253.000$340kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Thurman263.000$268kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Orlando Cabrera253.000$265kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Terry Jones294.000$225kARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Rigby273.000$132kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Johnson243.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Felipe Lira285.000—FREE AGENT
Julio Santana263.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (26)

PlayerAgeSvc2000200120022003200420052006
Javier Vazquez232.000$280kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Barrett232.000$265kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carl Pavano242.000$255kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeremy Powell242.000$218kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Geoff Blum271.000$210kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Strickland241.000$202kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trace Coquillette261.000$202kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Peter Bergeron221.000$202kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Blank240.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Armas221.000$200kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Downs240.000$11kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trey Moore272.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Fernando Seguignol252.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Milton Bradley220.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tomas De La Rosa22–—
Guillermo Mota261.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Schneider230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Spencer25–—
Talmadge Nunnari25–—
Yovanny Lara24–—
Matt Skrmetta27–—
Yohanny Valera23–—
Andy Tracy260.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Moraga24–—
T.J. Tucker210.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Forster28–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Nationals 2000; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.