RRosternomics
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Nationals WSN

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GM: Jim Beattie

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 2 in this regime · payroll 0.55× league · TAB -11.8
-11.8TAB — talent above budget25th/30
-6.1WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)20th/30
5.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars21st/30
-12.2dead WAR — sub-replacement drag30th/30
55%dead money %28th/30
0.420win %23rd/30
15.0roster fWAR29th/30
-8surplus $M (value vs cost)12th/30
$34Mpayroll $M25th/30

Roster

CFPeter Bergeron 101GTerry Jones 13GMark Smith 6G
LFMark Smith 54GBrad Wilkerson 38GGeoff Blum 35G
RFVladimir Guerrero 158GFernando Seguignol 7GRob Ducey 4G
SSOrlando Cabrera 162GGeoff Blum 4GMike Mordecai 4G
2BJose Vidro 121GMike Mordecai 32GGeoff Blum 25G
3BGeoff Blum 72GMike Mordecai 42GFernando Tatis 41G
1BLee Stevens 152GGeoff Blum 14GFernando Seguignol 7G
STARTERSJavier Vazquez 6.7WARTony Armas 3.4WARMike Thurman 1.0WARTomo Ohka 0.7WARBritt Reames 0.5WAR
CMichael Barrett 131GRandy Knorr 27GBrian Schneider 14G
DHRob Ducey 2GCurtis Pride 2GAndy Tracy 2G
BULLPEN★ Scott Strickland 9svGuillermo Mota 12hGraeme Lloyd 9hScott Stewart 7hJoey Eischen 2hDarwin Cubillán 1hMike Johnson 1hBob Scanlan 0h
CMichael Barrett 131 · Randy Knorr 27 · Brian Schneider 14
1BLee Stevens 152 · Geoff Blum 14 · Fernando Seguignol 7
2BJose Vidro 121 · Mike Mordecai 32 · Geoff Blum 25
3BGeoff Blum 72 · Mike Mordecai 42 · Fernando Tatis 41
SSOrlando Cabrera 162 · Geoff Blum 4 · Mike Mordecai 4
LFMark Smith 54 · Brad Wilkerson 38 · Geoff Blum 35
CFPeter Bergeron 101 · Terry Jones 13 · Mark Smith 6
RFVladimir Guerrero 158 · Fernando Seguignol 7 · Rob Ducey 4
DHRob Ducey 2 · Curtis Pride 2 · Andy Tracy 2
SPJavier Vazquez 6.7 · Tony Armas 3.4 · Mike Thurman 1.0 · Tomo Ohka 0.7 · Britt Reames 0.5
BP★ Scott Strickland 9 · Guillermo Mota 12 · Graeme Lloyd 9 · Scott Stewart 7 · Joey Eischen 2 · Darwin Cubillán 1 · Mike Johnson 1 · Bob Scanlan 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2001 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Javier Vazquez 24 arb 326.7 2.0 +8.8
Vladimir Guerrero 26 arb 1594.8 6.0 +1.7
Tony Armas 23 pre-arb 343.4 0.2 +5.2
Orlando Cabrera 26 arb 1623.1 0.3 +4.7
Jose Vidro 26 arb 1242.5 2.5 +1.5
Mike Thurman 27 arb 281.0 0.3 +1.3
Tomo Ohka↔ BOS 25 pre-arb 100.7 0.1 +1.1
Scott Strickland 25 pre-arb 770.6 0.2 +0.8
Graeme Lloyd 34 FA-elig 840.5 3.0 -2.1
Tim Raines Sr.↔ BAL 41 FA-elig 470.5 0.3 +0.5
Britt Reames 27 pre-arb 410.5 0.2 +0.6
Scott Stewart 25 pre-arb 620.5 0.2 +0.6
Brian Schneider 24 – 270.4 – –
Masato Yoshii 36 – 420.4 – –
Hideki Irabu 32 arb 30.3 2.5 -2.0
Carl Pavano 25 arb 80.3 1.3 -0.8
Darwin Cubillan 28 – 290.3 – –
Ugueth Urbina↔ BOS 27 FA-elig 450.3 3.0 -2.5
Troy Mattes 25 – 80.2 – –
Rob Ducey↔ PHI 36 FA-elig 270.1 0.2 +0.0
Curtis Pride 32 – 360.1 – –
Bob Scanlan 34 – 180.1 – –
Henry Mateo 24 – 50.0 – –
Sandy Martinez 30 FA-elig 1-0.0 0.3 -0.4
Tomas De La Rosa 23 – 1-0.0 – –
Mark Smith 31 – 80-0.0 – –
Felipe Lira 29 – 4-0.0 – –
Matt Blank 25 – 5-0.1 – –
Terry Jones 30 arb 30-0.1 0.2 -0.4
Joey Eischen 31 – 24-0.1 – –
Anthony Telford 35 FA-elig 8-0.2 1.2 -1.5
Bobby Munoz 33 – 15-0.2 – –
Mike Johnson 25 arb 10-0.2 0.2 -0.5
Milton Bradley↔ CLE 23 pre-arb 67-0.2 0.2 -0.6
Guillermo Mota 27 pre-arb 53-0.3 0.2 -0.7
Chris Peters 29 arb 13-0.4 0.5 -1.1
Randy Knorr 32 FA-elig 34-0.4 0.3 -1.0
Mike Mordecai 33 FA-elig 96-0.5 0.4 -1.1
Lee Stevens 33 FA-elig 152-0.5 4.0 -4.8
Brad Wilkerson 24 – 47-0.6 – –
Andy Tracy 27 pre-arb 38-0.7 0.2 -1.3
Fernando Seguignol 26 arb 46-0.8 0.2 -1.5
Fernando Tatis 26 arb 41-0.8 2.8 -4.1
Michael Barrett 24 arb 132-1.2 0.3 -2.2
Ryan Minor 27 – 55-1.2 – –
Geoff Blum 28 pre-arb 148-1.3 0.3 -2.3
Peter Bergeron 23 pre-arb 102-2.4 0.2 -4.2

Key additions (new vs 2000)

PlayerfWAR
Tomo Ohka0.7
Graeme Lloyd0.5
Tim Raines Sr.0.5
Britt Reames0.5
Scott Stewart0.5
Masato Yoshii0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2000)

Player2000 fWAR
Rondell White2.1
Dustin Hermanson1.4
Steve Kline1.0
Chris Widger0.6
Talmadge Nunnari0.2
Jeremy Powell0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2001 payroll
$34.0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2001, 2001–2007. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2001200220032004200520062007
Lee Stevens3311.000$4.0M$2.2MFREE AGENT
Graeme Lloyd348.000$3.0M$1.9MFREE AGENT
Ugueth Urbina276.000$3.0MFREE AGENT
Anthony Telford3511.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Mike Mordecai337.000$375k$296kFREE AGENT
Tim Raines Sr.4122.000$323kFREE AGENT
Sandy Martinez306.000$320kFREE AGENT
Randy Knorr3210.000$310kFREE AGENT
Rob Ducey3614.000$237kFREE AGENT
Joey Eischen317.000—FREE AGENT$750k$1.3M$1.0M$1.3M
Felipe Lira296.000—FREE AGENT
Bobby Munoz338.000—FREE AGENT
Curtis Pride328.000—FREE AGENT
Bob Scanlan3410.000—FREE AGENT
Mark Smith317.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2001200220032004200520062007
Vladimir Guerrero265.000$6.0MFREE AGENT
Fernando Tatis264.000$2.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Hideki Irabu324.000$2.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Vidro264.000$2.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Javier Vazquez243.000$2.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carl Pavano253.000$1.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Peters295.000$450kFREE AGENT
Orlando Cabrera264.000$340kARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Thurman274.000$300kARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Barrett243.000$285kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Fernando Seguignol263.000$232kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Terry Jones305.000$225kFREE AGENT
Mike Johnson254.000$220kARB 3FREE AGENT
Masato Yoshii363.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Minor273.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (17)

PlayerAgeSvc2001200220032004200520062007
Geoff Blum282.000$260kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Strickland252.000$250kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Peter Bergeron232.000$242kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Guillermo Mota272.000$233kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Armas232.000$230kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andy Tracy271.000$218kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Britt Reames271.000$212kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Stewart250.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Milton Bradley231.000$180kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tomo Ohka252.000$102kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Blank251.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tomas De La Rosa23–—
Brian Schneider241.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Wilkerson240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darwin Cubillan28–—
Troy Mattes25–—
Henry Mateo240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Nationals 2001; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.