Rosternomics

Nationals WSN

199968–94 (0.420)
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GM: Jim Beattie

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 1999, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$18M
Win %
0.420
TAB
+3.4
WAB
-1.2
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
25.5
Dead money %
34%
Depth Players
6.0
Dead WAR
-4.8

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

1999 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RChris Widger117
RMichael Barrett59
RRobert Machado17
RDarron Cox14

1B

LBrad Fullmer94
LRyan McGuire58
BFernando Seguignol23
RShane Andrews18
BJose Vidro14
LOrlando Merced7
RMike Mordecai1

2B

BJose Vidro121
BWilton Guerrero54
RMike Mordecai38
RTrace Coquillette6
BGeoff Blum2

3B

RMichael Barrett66
RMike Mordecai32
RTrace Coquillette11
RJose Fernandez6
BJose Vidro2

SS

ROrlando Cabrera102
BGeoff Blum42
RMike Mordecai38
RMichael Barrett2

LF

RRondell White102
LOrlando Merced44
RJames Mouton32
BWilton Guerrero22
LRyan McGuire16
LPeter Bergeron13
BFernando Seguignol6
BTerry Jones5
BJose Vidro3

CF

RManny Martinez126
RRondell White73
RJames Mouton16
BTerry Jones12
LPeter Bergeron3
LChris Stowers1
LRyan McGuire1

RF

RVladimir Guerrero160
RJames Mouton11
LRyan McGuire7
BFernando Seguignol3
LChris Stowers1
RManny Martinez1

DH

BWilton Guerrero5
LOrlando Merced2
RJames Mouton1
RShane Andrews1

Starters

RDustin Hermanson3.4 WAR
RJavier Vazquez2.7 WAR
RMiguel Batista2.3 WAR
RCarl Pavano1.8 WAR
RMike Thurman1.2 WAR
RDan Smith0.9 WAR
RJeremy Powell0.2 WAR
RTony Armas Jr.0.1 WAR
LTed Lilly-0.1 WAR
RMike Johnson-0.1 WAR
RShayne Bennett-0.3 WAR

Bullpen

RUgueth Urbina41 sv
RAnthony Telford18 h
LSteve Kline16 h
RGuillermo Mota3 h
RScott Strickland2 h
RBobby Ayala0 h
RJ.D. Smart0 h
LTed Lilly0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 1998)

PlayerfWAR
Dan Smith0.9
Orlando Merced0.9
Bobby Ayala0.5
Peter Bergeron0.5
J.D. Smart0.2
Guillermo Mota0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 1998)

Player1998 fWAR
Carlos Perez3.3
Bob Henley1.2
Trey Moore1.1
F.P. Santangelo0.8
Derrick May0.2
Tim Young0.1

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Nationals. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 1999; everyone else is shown as a 1999 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Vladimir Guerrero 1999 +4.5 +64.6 1.1 +63.5 $0.2M 1.79×
Dustin Hermanson 1999 +3.4 +52.7 2.1 +50.6 $0.6M 1.96×
Javier Vazquez 1999 +2.7 +42.9 0.2 +42.7 $0.1M 1.96×
Rondell White 1999 +3.1 +39.4 3.0 +36.4 $1.0M 1.60×
Ugueth Urbina 1999 +2.2 +33.9 2.2 +31.7 $1.0M 1.95×
Anthony Telford 1999 +1.7 +27.2 0.3 +26.9 $0.2M 1.95×
Carl Pavano 1999 +1.8 +20.9 0.2 +20.7 $0.1M 1.49×
Miguel Batista 1999 +2.3 +17.8 0.2 +17.5 $0.1M 0.98×
Mike Thurman 1999 +1.2 +9.9 0.2 +9.7 $0.2M 1.02×
Jose Vidro 1999 +1.5 +9.8 0.2 +9.6 $0.1M 0.82×
Dan Smith 1999 +0.9 +7.3 0.2 +7.1 $0.2M 1.02×
Orlando Merced 1999 +0.9 +5.8 0.6 +5.3 $0.6M 0.83×
Chris Widger 1999 +0.9 +3.7 0.9 +2.8 $1.0M 0.52×
Steve Kline 1999 +0.6 +3.0 0.3 +2.8 $0.5M 0.67×
Orlando Cabrera 1999 +0.4 +2.2 0.2 +2.0 $0.5M 0.61×
Fernando Seguignol 1999 +0.3 +1.4 0.2 +1.2 $0.6M 0.56×
Jeremy Powell 1999 +0.2 +1.3 0.2 +1.1 $1.3M 1.02×
Guillermo Mota 1999 +0.2 +0.9 0.2 +0.7 $1.2M 0.67×
James Mouton 1999 +0.1 +0.8 0.2 +0.5 $2.1M 0.83×
Darron Cox 1999 +0.0 +0.1 0.2 -0.1 $6.4M 0.52×
Robert Machado 1999 -0.0 -0.1 0.2 -0.3 0.52×
Michael Barrett 1999 -0.0 -0.2 0.2 -0.4 0.58×
Mike Maddux 1999 -0.1 -0.3 0.0 -0.4 0.67×
Mike Mordecai 1999 -0.0 -0.1 0.3 -0.4 0.56×
Geoff Blum 1999 -0.1 -0.5 0.2 -0.7 0.61×
Terry Jones 1999 -0.1 -0.8 0.2 -1.0 0.83×
Ryan McGuire 1999 -0.2 -0.8 0.2 -1.1 0.56×
Mel Rojas 1999 -0.0 -0.2 1.1 -1.2 0.67×
Shayne Bennett 1999 -0.3 -1.5 0.2 -1.8 0.67×
Manny Martinez 1999 -0.4 -2.6 0.2 -2.8 0.83×
Wilton Guerrero 1999 -0.8 -3.5 0.3 -3.8 0.56×
Brad Fullmer 1999 -0.9 -3.9 0.3 -4.2 0.56×
Shane Andrews 1999 -1.2 -5.3 1.0 -6.3 0.56×
Scott Strickland 1999 +0.0 +0.2 0.2 +0.0 $4.7M 0.67×
Bobby Ayala 1999 +0.5 +2.7 0.67×
Chris Stowers 1999 -0.1 -0.3 0.83×
J.D. Smart 1999 +0.2 +1.1 0.67×
Jose Fernandez 1999 -0.2 -1.1 0.58×
Mike Johnson 1999 -0.1 -0.5 0.67×
Peter Bergeron 1999 +0.5 +3.3 0.83×
Rick DeHart 1999 -0.2 -1.3 0.67×
Ted Lilly 1999 -0.1 -0.5 0.67×
Tony Armas 1999 +0.1 +1.0 1.02×
Trace Coquillette 1999 +0.1 +0.5 0.58×
Total+25.5+330.917.5+308.3

Trades

Every graded 1999 deal involving the Nationals — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 3 total.

Current & Historical Payroll

1999 payroll
$17.8M

What the front office was committed to as of 1999, 1999–2005. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (7)

PlayerAgeSvc1999200020012002200320042005
Rondell White276.000$3.0M$3.2MFREE AGENT
Mel Rojas329.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Orlando Merced329.000$560kFREE AGENT
Anthony Telford339.000$320k$700k$1.2MFREE AGENT
Miguel Batista287.000$250k$253kFREE AGENT
Mike Maddux3713.000$46kFREE AGENT
Bobby Ayala297.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (11)

PlayerAgeSvc1999200020012002200320042005
Ugueth Urbina254.000$2.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Dustin Hermanson264.000$2.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Vladimir Guerrero243.000$1.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shane Andrews274.000$1.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Widger284.000$900kARB 3FREE AGENT
Wilton Guerrero243.000$340kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Mordecai315.000$325kFREE AGENT
James Mouton305.000$250kFREE AGENT
Manny Martinez283.000$225kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Terry Jones283.000$215kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robert Machado263.000$200kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (26)

PlayerAgeSvc1999200020012002200320042005
Brad Fullmer242.000$270kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Kline262.000$260kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Javier Vazquez221.000$235kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shayne Bennett272.000$230kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Orlando Cabrera242.000$225kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Vidro242.000$225kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carl Pavano231.000$225kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan McGuire272.000$225kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Thurman252.000$212kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Fernando Seguignol241.000$202kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeremy Powell231.000$201kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Barrett221.000$200kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Geoff Blum260.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dan Smith230.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Guillermo Mota250.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darron Cox310.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Strickland230.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rick DeHart292.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Johnson232.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Armas210.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Peter Bergeron210.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trace Coquillette250.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Fernandez24
Ted Lilly230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.D. Smart25
Chris Stowers24

Graphs

How each 1999 acquisition stacked onto Nationals's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.