RRosternomics

Giants SFG

President of baseball ops: Farhan Zaidi · GM: Scott Harris

Overview

CONTEND ↗ rising
expensive & winning · year 2 in this regime · payroll 1.08× league · TAB +0.8
+0.8TAB — talent above budget15th/30
-2.0WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)15th/30
7.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars11th/30
-4.5dead WAR — sub-replacement drag12th/30
33%dead money %19th/30
0.500win %15th/30
36.0roster fWAR13th/30
-20surplus $M (value vs cost)15th/30
$155Mpayroll $M12th/30

Roster

CFAustin Slater 106GMike Yastrzemski 93GLewis Brinson 15G
LFJoc Pederson 102GLuis González 52GLaMonte Wade Jr. 19G
RFMike Yastrzemski 104GLuis González 69GLaMonte Wade Jr. 33G
SSBrandon Crawford 116GThairo Estrada 37GDonovan Walton 12G
2BThairo Estrada 102GWilmer Flores 61GDonovan Walton 14G
3BEvan Longoria 68GWilmer Flores 34GJ.D. Davis 30G
1BBrandon Belt 63GWilmer Flores 45GLaMonte Wade Jr. 22G
STARTERSCarlos Rodón 6.2WARLogan Webb 4.2WARAlex Cobb 3.7WARAlex Wood 1.7WARJakob Junis 1.3WAR
CJoey Bart 93GAustin Wynns 57GAndrew Knapp 16G
DHJ.D. Davis 56GTommy La Stella 43GWilmer Flores 26G
BULLPEN Camilo Doval 27svTyler Rogers 15hDominic Leone 11hZack Littell 5hAlex Young 5hJarlín García 4hYunior Marte 2hJharel Cotton 2h
CJoey Bart 93 · Austin Wynns 57 · Andrew Knapp 16
1BBrandon Belt 63 · Wilmer Flores 45 · LaMonte Wade Jr. 22
2BThairo Estrada 102 · Wilmer Flores 61 · Donovan Walton 14
3BEvan Longoria 68 · Wilmer Flores 34 · J.D. Davis 30
SSBrandon Crawford 116 · Thairo Estrada 37 · Donovan Walton 12
LFJoc Pederson 102 · Luis González 52 · LaMonte Wade Jr. 19
CFAustin Slater 106 · Mike Yastrzemski 93 · Lewis Brinson 15
RFMike Yastrzemski 104 · Luis González 69 · LaMonte Wade Jr. 33
DHJ.D. Davis 56 · Tommy La Stella 43 · Wilmer Flores 26
SPCarlos Rodón 6.2 · Logan Webb 4.2 · Alex Cobb 3.7 · Alex Wood 1.7 · Jakob Junis 1.3
BP Camilo Doval 27 · Tyler Rogers 15 · Dominic Leone 11 · Zack Littell 5 · Alex Young 5 · Jarlín García 4 · Yunior Marte 2 · Jharel Cotton 2

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2022 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Carlos Rodón 29 FA-elig 316.2 21.5 +1.3
Logan Webb 25 pre-arb 324.2 0.7 +14.8
Alex Cobb 34 FA-elig 283.7 9.0 +4.5
Thairo Estrada 26 pre-arb 1402.8 0.7 +9.4
Joc Pederson 30 FA-elig 1342.4 6.0 +2.6
Austin Slater 29 arb 1252.1 1.9 +5.9
Brandon Crawford 35 FA-elig 1182.1 16.0 -8.5
Alex Wood 31 FA-elig 261.7 12.5 -6.2
Mike Yastrzemski 31 arb 1481.5 3.7 +1.8
Evan Longoria 36 FA-elig 891.4 19.7 -14.5
Wilmer Flores 30 FA-elig 1511.3 3.5 +1.4
Jakob Junis 29 arb 231.3 1.8 +3.1
Camilo Doval 24 pre-arb 681.2 0.7 +3.8
J.D. Davis↔ NYM 29 arb 491.0 1.2 +2.5
David Villar 25 520.9 0.3 +3.1
John Brebbia 32 arb 760.9 0.8 +2.5
Curt Casali↔ SEA 33 FA-elig 410.6 1.9 +0.4
Tyler Rogers 31 pre-arb 680.6 0.7 +1.5
Jason Vosler 28 pre-arb 360.5 0.2 +1.8
Austin Wynns 31 pre-arb 660.5 0.5 +1.4
Luis González 26 pre-arb 980.5 0.6 +1.3
Alex Young↔ CLE 28 pre-arb 240.4 0.2 +1.2
Shelby Miller 31 FA-elig 40.4 0.0 +1.4
Joey Bart 25 pre-arb 970.4 0.6 +0.7
Scott Alexander 32 arb 170.3 0.2 +1.0
Darin Ruf↔ NYM 35 FA-elig 900.2 2.3 -1.5
Jharel Cotton↔ MIN 30 FA-elig 50.2 0.1 +0.5
Mauricio Dubón↔ HOU 27 210.2 0.1 +0.4
Sean Hjelle 25 80.1 0.1 +0.5
LaMonte Wade Jr. 28 770.1 0.7 -0.4
Luis Ortiz 26 pre-arb 60.1 0.0 +0.3
Thomas Szapucki↔ NYM 26 pre-arb 100.1 0.1 +0.3
Mauricio Llovera 26 pre-arb 170.1 0.5 -0.1
Austin Dean 28 pre-arb 30.1 0.0 +0.3
Andrew Vasquez↔ TOR 28 pre-arb 10.1 0.0 +0.2
Andrew Knapp↔ PIT 30 arb 30.1 0.2 +0.1
Dixon Machado 30 pre-arb 50.0 0.0 +0.1
Brandon Belt 34 FA-elig 780.0 18.4 -18.2
Luke Williams↔ MIA 25 80.0 0.0 +0.1
Kervin Castro↔ CHC 23 20.0 0.0 +0.1
Dominic Leone 30 FA-elig 550.0 2.2 -2.2
Anthony DeSclafani 32 FA-elig 50.0 12.0 -12.0
Lewis Brinson 28 arb 16-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Jake McGee↔ MIL 35 FA-elig 24-0.0 1.7 -1.7
Gregory Santos 22 pre-arb 2-0.0 0.2 -0.2
Ka'ai Tom 28 1-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Steven Duggar↔ ANA 28 12-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Jason Krizan 33 3-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Mike Ford↔ ANA 29 arb 1-0.0 0.0 -0.2
Tyler Beede↔ PIT 29 6-0.1 0.1 -0.4
Ford Proctor 25 7-0.1 0.0 -0.3
Jarlín García 29 arb 58-0.1 1.7 -2.0
Cole Waites 24 7-0.1 0.0 -0.4
Yunior Marte 27 39-0.1 0.5 -0.9
Willie Calhoun↔ TEX 27 arb 4-0.1 0.2 -0.7
Bryce Johnson 26 11-0.1 0.1 -0.6
Stuart Fairchild↔ CIN 26 5-0.2 0.0 -0.6
Yermín Mercedes 29 pre-arb 31-0.2 0.2 -1.0
Michael Papierski↔ CIN 26 5-0.2 0.0 -0.8
Zack Littell 26 pre-arb 39-0.3 0.6 -1.5
Sam Long 26 pre-arb 28-0.3 0.5 -1.6
Kevin Padlo↔ PIT 25 4-0.3 0.0 -1.1
Jose Alvarez 33 FA-elig 21-0.4 1.5 -2.9
Heliot Ramos 22 9-0.4 0.0 -1.7
Donovan Walton↔ SEA 28 24-0.7
Tommy La Stella 33 FA-elig 60-0.7 5.2 -7.9

Key additions (new vs 2021)

PlayerfWAR
Carlos Rodón6.2
Alex Cobb3.7
Joc Pederson2.4
Jakob Junis1.3
J.D. Davis1.0
David Villar0.9

Key subtractions (gone from 2021)

Player2021 fWAR
Buster Posey5.3
Kevin Gausman5.0
Johnny Cueto1.5
Donovan Solano1.4
Tony Watson0.6
Kris Bryant0.5

Current & Historical Payroll

2022 payroll
$154.6M
2023 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2022, 2022–2028. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2022; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Carlos Rodón296.168$21.5MFREE AGENT
Evan Longoria3613.170$19.7MFREE AGENT
Brandon Belt3410.128$18.4MFREE AGENT
Brandon Crawford3510.094$16.0MFREE AGENT
Alex Wood318.123$12.5MFREE AGENT
Anthony DeSclafani327.062$12.0MFREE AGENT
Alex Cobb3410.061$9.0MFREE AGENT
Joc Pederson307.028$6.0MFREE AGENT
Tommy La Stella338.000$5.2MFREE AGENT
Wilmer Flores308.003$3.5MFREE AGENT
Dominic Leone308.000$2.2MFREE AGENT
Jake McGee3512.000$1.7MFREE AGENT
Jose Alvarez337.035$1.5MFREE AGENT
Shelby Miller317.002$50kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Darin Ruf354.138$2.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Curt Casali335.151$1.9MFREE AGENT
Austin Slater293.147$1.9MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jakob Junis295.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
Jarlín García294.114$1.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
J.D. Davis293.137$1.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Brebbia324.057$838kARB 3FREE AGENT
LaMonte Wade Jr.283.000$730kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Willie Calhoun273.033$236kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Alexander325.039$154kFREE AGENT
Andrew Knapp305.000$150kFREE AGENT
Jharel Cotton303.052$117kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lewis Brinson283.084$81kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Ortiz264.000$50kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (38)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Mike Yastrzemski312.128$3.7MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Logan Webb252.044$730kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Rogers312.034$730kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Thairo Estrada261.158$715kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Camilo Doval240.071$704kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joey Bart250.112$614kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zack Littell262.059$590kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis González260.094$585kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sam Long260.086$518kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Wynns311.142$458kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yunior Marte270.000$458kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mauricio Llovera260.036$454kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Villar250.000$262kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yermín Mercedes290.100$240kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Young282.060$236kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gregory Santos220.006$185kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Vosler280.061$181kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steven Duggar282.147$129kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mauricio Dubón271.162$114kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Beede292.106$98kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Thomas Szapucki260.022$77kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryce Johnson260.000$58kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Hjelle250.000$54kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luke Williams250.118$47kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cole Waites240.000$46kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ford Proctor25$42k
Heliot Ramos220.000$38kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Papierski26$28k
Dixon Machado302.005$27kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Vasquez280.045$27kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Stuart Fairchild260.048$27kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kervin Castro230.028$17kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Padlo250.023$12kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Dean281.165$12kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Krizan33$12k
Mike Ford291.117$5kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ka'ai Tom28$4k
Donovan Walton28

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Giants 2022; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3