RRosternomics
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Giants SFG

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President of baseball ops: Farhan Zaidi · GM: Pete Putila

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.15× league · TAB -7.3
-7.3TAB — talent above budget22nd/30
-4.7WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)20th/30
5.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars18th/30
-4.3dead WAR — sub-replacement drag11th/30
41%dead money %17th/30
0.488win %18th/30
28.7roster fWAR20th/30
-62surplus $M (value vs cost)23rd/30
$176Mpayroll $M12th/30

Roster

CFLuis Matos 57GMike Yastrzemski 51GAustin Slater 39G
LFMitch Haniger 46GBlake Sabol 43GAustin Slater 34G
RFMichael Conforto 96GMike Yastrzemski 56GLuis Matos 15G
SSPaul DeJong 110GBrandon Crawford 92GCasey Schmitt 42G
2BThairo Estrada 102GBrett Wisely 37GDavid Villar 21G
3BJ.D. Davis 116GCasey Schmitt 35GWilmer Flores 22G
1BLaMonte Wade Jr. 116GWilmer Flores 61GJ.D. Davis 15G
STARTERSLogan Webb 4.9WARAlex Cobb 1.8WARSean Manaea 1.2WARAnthony DeSclafani 1.0WARRyan Walker 0.7WAR
CPatrick Bailey 94GBlake Sabol 55GJoey Bart 30G
DHJoc Pederson 79GWilmer Flores 41GJ.D. Davis 14G
BULLPEN★ Camilo Doval 39svTyler Rogers 30hTaylor Rogers 12hLuke Jackson 4hTristan Beck 4hJakob Junis 2hSean Hjelle 0hCole Waites 0h
CPatrick Bailey 94 · Blake Sabol 55 · Joey Bart 30
1BLaMonte Wade Jr. 116 · Wilmer Flores 61 · J.D. Davis 15
2BThairo Estrada 102 · Brett Wisely 37 · David Villar 21
3BJ.D. Davis 116 · Casey Schmitt 35 · Wilmer Flores 22
SSPaul DeJong 110 · Brandon Crawford 92 · Casey Schmitt 42
LFMitch Haniger 46 · Blake Sabol 43 · Austin Slater 34
CFLuis Matos 57 · Mike Yastrzemski 51 · Austin Slater 39
RFMichael Conforto 96 · Mike Yastrzemski 56 · Luis Matos 15
DHJoc Pederson 79 · Wilmer Flores 41 · J.D. Davis 14
SPLogan Webb 4.9 · Alex Cobb 1.8 · Sean Manaea 1.2 · Anthony DeSclafani 1.0 · Ryan Walker 0.7
BP★ Camilo Doval 39 · Tyler Rogers 30 · Taylor Rogers 12 · Luke Jackson 4 · Tristan Beck 4 · Jakob Junis 2 · Sean Hjelle 0 · Cole Waites 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2023 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Logan Webb 26 arb 334.9 4.6 +15.0
Thairo Estrada 27 arb 1203.5 2.2 +11.6
Patrick Bailey 24 – 972.7 0.5 +10.1
Wilmer Flores 31 FA-elig 1262.3 6.5 +2.6
J.D. Davis 30 FA-elig 1442.1 4.2 +4.3
Camilo Doval 25 pre-arb 691.9 0.7 +6.9
LaMonte Wade Jr. 29 arb 1351.9 1.4 +6.0
Alex Cobb 35 FA-elig 281.8 9.0 -1.7
Mike Yastrzemski 32 arb 1061.7 6.1 +0.7
Sean Manaea 31 FA-elig 371.2 10.0 -5.4
Anthony DeSclafani 33 FA-elig 191.0 12.0 -8.0
Michael Conforto 30 FA-elig 1250.8 18.0 -14.9
Jakob Junis 30 FA-elig 400.8 2.8 +0.2
Joc Pederson 31 FA-elig 1210.7 19.6 -16.7
Scott Alexander 33 FA-elig 550.7 1.2 +1.5
Austin Slater 30 FA-elig 890.7 3.2 -0.5
Ryan Walker 27 – 490.7 0.5 +2.1
Tyler Rogers 32 arb 680.6 1.7 +0.7
Tristan Beck 27 – 330.5 0.5 +1.4
Blake Sabol 25 – 1100.4 0.7 +0.8
Brandon Crawford 36 FA-elig 940.4 16.0 -14.5
Luke Jackson 31 FA-elig 330.4 3.0 -1.6
John Brebbia 33 FA-elig 400.3 1.1 +0.2
Taylor Rogers 32 FA-elig 600.3 9.0 -7.8
Alex Wood 32 FA-elig 290.2 12.5 -11.6
Keaton Winn 25 – 90.2 0.2 +0.7
Tyler Fitzgerald 25 – 100.2 0.0 +0.7
Marco Luciano 21 – 140.1 0.1 +0.4
Sean Hjelle 26 pre-arb 150.1 0.1 +0.1
Darin Ruf↔ MIL 36 FA-elig 90.0 1.4 -1.2
Cole Waites 25 pre-arb 30.0 0.3 -0.3
Joey Bart 26 arb 30-0.0 0.7 -0.8
Austin Wynns↔ COL 32 – 1-0.0 0.0 -0.2
Mauricio Llovera↔ BOS 27 – 5-0.1 0.0 -0.2
Matt Beaty↔ KCR 30 arb 4-0.1 0.2 -0.4
Cal Stevenson 26 – 6-0.1 0.0 -0.3
Roberto Pérez 34 FA-elig 5-0.1 2.5 -2.8
Mark Mathias↔ PIT 28 pre-arb 5-0.1 0.0 -0.4
Bryce Johnson 27 pre-arb 30-0.1 0.2 -0.6
Kyle Harrison 21 – 7-0.1 0.1 -0.5
Heliot Ramos 23 pre-arb 25-0.1 0.4 -1.0
Wade Meckler 23 – 20-0.2 0.1 -0.8
Johan Camargo 29 arb 8-0.2 0.0 -0.7
Paul DeJong↔ STL 29 FA-elig 18-0.2 1.5 -2.2
Ross Stripling 33 FA-elig 22-0.2 10.0 -10.8
AJ Pollock↔ SEA 35 FA-elig 5-0.3 0.6 -1.7
Isan Díaz↔ DET 27 – 6-0.3 0.0 -1.1
David Villar 26 pre-arb 46-0.3 0.7 -1.8
Luis Matos 21 – 76-0.4 0.4 -2.0
Brett Wisely 24 – 51-0.4 0.3 -2.0
Casey Schmitt 24 – 90-0.6 0.5 -2.7
Mitch Haniger 32 FA-elig 61-0.7 8.0 -10.6

Key additions (new vs 2022)

PlayerfWAR
Patrick Bailey2.7
Sean Manaea1.2
Michael Conforto0.8
Ryan Walker0.7
Tristan Beck0.5
Blake Sabol0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2022)

Player2022 fWAR
Carlos Rodón6.2
Evan Longoria1.4
Curt Casali0.6
Jason Vosler0.5
Alex Young0.4
Shelby Miller0.4

Current & Historical Payroll

2023 payroll
$175.7M
2024 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2023, 2023–2029. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2023; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (16)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Joc Pederson318.028$19.6MFREE AGENT
Michael Conforto306.043$18.0MFREE AGENT
Brandon Crawford3611.094$16.0MFREE AGENT
Alex Wood329.123$12.5MFREE AGENT
Anthony DeSclafani338.062$12.0MFREE AGENT
Ross Stripling336.115$10.0MFREE AGENT
Sean Manaea316.157$10.0MFREE AGENT
Taylor Rogers326.145$9.0MFREE AGENT
Alex Cobb3511.061$9.0MFREE AGENT
Mitch Haniger326.048$8.0MFREE AGENT
Wilmer Flores319.003$6.5MFREE AGENT
Luke Jackson316.019$3.0MFREE AGENT
Jakob Junis306.000$2.8MFREE AGENT
Roberto Pérez348.083$2.5MFREE AGENT
Paul DeJong296.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
AJ Pollock3511.000$648kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Mike Yastrzemski323.128$6.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Logan Webb263.044$4.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.D. Davis304.137$4.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Slater304.147$3.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Rogers323.034$1.7MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
LaMonte Wade Jr.294.000$1.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Darin Ruf365.138$1.4MFREE AGENT
Scott Alexander335.080$1.2MFREE AGENT
John Brebbia335.078$1.1MFREE AGENT
Matt Beaty303.086$167kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Johan Camargo294.104$35kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (25)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Thairo Estrada272.169$2.2MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joey Bart261.094$735kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Camilo Doval251.071$735kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Villar260.067$724kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Blake Sabol250.000$720kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Walker270.000$523kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Patrick Bailey240.000$523kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tristan Beck270.000$492kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Casey Schmitt240.000$457kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Heliot Ramos230.027$379kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Matos210.000$372kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cole Waites250.024$329kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brett Wisely240.000$290kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryce Johnson270.017$244kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Keaton Winn250.000$197kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Hjelle260.025$147kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Harrison210.000$135kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wade Meckler230.000$89kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marco Luciano210.000$62kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mauricio Llovera270.155$43kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Mathias281.153$39kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Fitzgerald250.000$39kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cal Stevenson260.028$31kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Isan Díaz272.131$23kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Wynns322.090$11kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Giants 2023; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.