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Reds CIN

200278–84 (0.481)
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GM: Jim Bowden

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2002, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$48M
Surplus $M
-10
Win %
0.481
TAB
-2.5
WAB
+0.1
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
27.9
Dead money %
60%
Depth Players
5.0
Dead WAR
-4.1

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2002 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RJason LaRue110
RCorky Miller38
RKelly Stinnett30

1B

LSean Casey108
LAdam Dunn44
LRussell Branyan⇄13
RBrandon Larson2
RJuan Castro1

2B

LTodd Walker154
RJuan Castro17
RGookie Dawkins3

3B

RAaron Boone154
LRussell Branyan⇄18
RBrandon Larson5
RJuan Castro1

SS

RBarry Larkin135
RJuan Castro25
RGookie Dawkins21
RAaron Boone16
BWilton Guerrero⇄7

LF

LAdam Dunn112
LRussell Branyan⇄49
LReggie Taylor34
RAustin Kearns13
RBrandon Larson9
RJose Guillen⇄3
RWily Mo Peña3
LKen Griffey Jr.1

CF

LReggie Taylor68
LKen Griffey Jr.54
RAustin Kearns6
RRuben Mateo2

RF

RAustin Kearns95
RJose Guillen⇄28
RRuben Mateo23
LAdam Dunn17
LReggie Taylor5
LKen Griffey Jr.1
RWily Mo Peña1

DH

LRussell Branyan⇄4
LAdam Dunn1
LSean Casey1

Starters

RJimmy Haynes2.1 WAR
RElmer Dessens1.8 WAR
RJoey Hamilton1.8 WAR
RDanny Graves1.2 WAR
RChris Reitsma1.0 WAR
RJared Fernandez0.6 WAR
RRyan Dempster⇄0.4 WAR
LShawn Estes⇄0.1 WAR
RJose Rijo0.1 WAR
RCarlos Almanzar0.1 WAR
LBruce Chen⇄-0.1 WAR
RBrian Moehler⇄-0.2 WAR
RLuis Pineda-0.2 WAR
RJose Acevedo-0.4 WAR

Bullpen

★ RDanny Graves32 sv
LGabe White19 h
RScott Sullivan17 h
RScott Williamson8 h
RJohn Riedling8 h
LBruce Chen⇄4 h
RLuis Pineda4 h
RJim Brower⇄0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2001)

PlayerfWAR
Austin Kearns5.0
Jimmy Haynes2.1
Gabe White1.3
Juan Encarnacion1.1
Russell Branyan0.7
Ryan Dempster0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2001)

Player2001 fWAR
Dmitri Young1.3
Lance Davis1.2
Ruben Rivera1.0
Alex Ochoa0.9
Osvaldo Fernandez0.5
Dennys Reyes0.5

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Reds. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2002; everyone else is shown as a 2002 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Adam Dunn 2002 +4.1 +59.4 0.2 +59.1 $0.1M 1.79× –
Jimmy Haynes 2002 +2.1 +25.0 0.5 +24.5 $0.2M 1.49× –
Aaron Boone 2002 +2.8 +24.8 2.1 +22.7 $0.8M 1.12× –
Elmer Dessens 2002 +1.8 +20.8 1.8 +19.0 $1.0M 1.49× –
Scott Williamson 2002 +1.4 +15.2 0.4 +14.8 $0.3M 1.34× –
Joey Hamilton 2002 +1.8 +13.7 0.5 +13.2 $0.3M 0.98× –
Todd Walker 2002 +2.2 +14.5 2.0 +12.5 $0.9M 0.82× –
Danny Graves 2002 +1.2 +12.9 3.5 +9.3 $2.9M 1.34× –
Chris Reitsma 2002 +1.0 +8.5 0.3 +8.2 $0.2M 1.02× –
Juan Encarnacion↔ 2002 +1.1 +7.2 0.8 +6.4 $0.8M 0.83× –
Jason LaRue 2002 +1.4 +5.8 0.3 +5.5 $0.2M 0.52× –
Russell Branyan↔ 2002 +0.7 +4.9 0.2 +4.7 $0.2M 0.83× –
Gabe White 2002 +1.3 +7.0 2.5 +4.5 $1.9M 0.67× –
Reggie Taylor 2002 +0.4 +2.5 0.2 +2.3 $0.5M 0.83× –
Ryan Dempster↔ 2002 +0.4 +3.2 1.2 +2.0 $3.1M 1.02× –
Jim Brower↔ 2002 +0.4 +1.9 0.1 +1.8 $0.3M 0.67× –
John Riedling 2002 +0.1 +0.7 0.2 +0.4 $1.9M 0.67× –
Kelly Stinnett 2002 +0.3 +1.1 1.0 +0.1 $3.7M 0.52× –
Jose Rijo 2002 +0.1 +0.3 0.5 -0.2 $8.2M 0.67× –
Juan Castro 2002 -0.0 -0.0 0.4 -0.4 – 0.61× –
Bruce Chen↔ 2002 -0.1 -0.6 0.2 -0.8 – 0.67× –
Luis Pineda 2002 -0.2 -1.1 0.2 -1.3 – 0.67× –
Sean Casey 2002 +0.5 +2.2 4.0 -1.8 $8.0M 0.56× –
Jose Silva 2002 -0.3 -1.4 0.7 -2.0 – 0.67× –
Wilton Guerrero↔ 2002 -0.4 -1.9 0.5 -2.4 – 0.61× –
Jose Guillen↔ 2002 -0.4 -2.8 0.2 -3.0 – 0.83× –
Brian Moehler↔ 2002 -0.2 -1.2 1.8 -3.1 – 1.02× –
Scott Sullivan 2002 -0.2 -1.0 2.2 -3.2 – 0.67× –
Jose Acevedo 2002 -0.4 -3.4 0.2 -3.7 – 1.02× –
Brady Clark↔ 2002 -0.9 -5.9 0.2 -6.1 – 0.83× –
Ken Griffey Jr. 2002 +0.2 +1.5 8.6 -7.0 $37.4M 0.83× –
Barry Larkin 2002 -0.1 -0.5 9.0 -9.5 – 0.61× –
Shawn Estes↔ 2002 +0.1 +1.2 1.2 -0.0 $8.3M 1.02× –
Austin Kearns 2002 +5.0 +71.1 – – – 1.79× –
Brandon Larson 2002 +0.3 +2.2 – – – 0.83× –
Carlos Almánzar 2002 +0.1 +0.6 – – – 0.67× –
Corky Miller 2002 +0.6 +2.5 – – – 0.52× –
Gookie Dawkins 2002 -0.6 -2.8 – – – 0.61× –
Jared Fernandez 2002 +0.6 +4.5 – – – 1.02× –
Luke Hudson 2002 -0.1 -0.4 – – – 0.67× –
Raul Gonzalez↔ 2002 -0.0 -0.3 – – – 0.83× –
Ruben Mateo 2002 -0.2 -1.3 – – – 0.83× –
Wily Mo Peña 2002 -0.0 -0.2 – – – 0.83× –
Total—+27.9+290.447.7+166.5—

Trades

Every graded 2002 deal involving the Reds — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 8 total.

2002 · CIN / MIA
CIN · Jim Bowden +$4.8M
Ryan Dempster
MIA · Dave Dombrowski −$4.8M
Juan Encarnación, Wilton Guerrero, Ryan Snare
CIN came out ahead by $4.8M
2002 · NYM / CIN
NYM · Steve Phillips +$15.2M
Pedro Feliciano, Elvin Beltre, Raúl González, Brady Clark
CIN · Jim Bowden −$15.2M
Shawn Estes
NYM came out ahead by $15.2M
2002 · DET / CIN
DET · Randy Smith +$7.2M
David Espinosa#90, Noochie Varner, Jorge Cordova
CIN · Jim Bowden −$7.2M
Brian Moehler, Matt Boone
DET came out ahead by $7.2M
2002 · CIN / PHI
CIN · Jim Bowden +$1.6M
Reggie Taylor
PHI · Ed Wade −$1.6M
Héctor Mercado
CIN came out ahead by $1.6M
2002 · CIN / WSN
CIN · Jim Bowden +$0.0M
Bruce Chen
WSN · Larry Beinfest +$0.0M
Jim Brower
Even trade
2002 · CLE / CIN
CLE · Mark Shapiro +$12.8M
Ben Broussard
CIN · Jim Bowden −$12.8M
Russell Branyan
CLE came out ahead by $12.8M
2002 · CIN / BOS
CIN · Jim Bowden +$4.8M
Josh Thigpen, Tony Blanco
BOS · Mike Port −$4.8M
Todd Walker
CIN came out ahead by $4.8M
2002 · ARI / OAK / CIN / TOR
ARI · Joe Garagiola +$22.4M
Elmer Dessens
OAK · Billy Beane +$1.6M
Erubiel Durazo
CIN · Jim Bowden −$5.6M
Felipe López
TOR · JP Ricciardi −$18.4M
Jason Arnold#97
ARI came out ahead by $22.4M 4-team

Current & Historical Payroll

2002 payroll
$47.9M

What the front office was committed to as of 2002, 2002–2008. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (16)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
Barry Larkin3816.000$9.0M$9.0M$700kFREE AGENT
Ken Griffey Jr.3213.000$8.6M$12.5M$12.5M$12.5M$10.5M$8.4M$5.9M
Danny Graves286.000$3.5M$5.0M$6.0M$3.1MFREE AGENT
Gabe White308.000$2.5M$2.5M$1.2MFREE AGENT
Scott Sullivan317.000$2.2M$2.2MFREE AGENT
Todd Walker296.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Brian Moehler306.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
Elmer Dessens316.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
Shawn Estes297.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Kelly Stinnett328.000$1.0M$1.2MFREE AGENT
Jose Silva286.000$650kFREE AGENT
Joey Hamilton318.000$500kFREE AGENT
Jimmy Haynes297.000$500k$2.5M$2.5MFREE AGENT
Jose Rijo3718.000$500kFREE AGENT
Wilton Guerrero276.000$487kFREE AGENT
Juan Castro307.000$400k$800k$1.0MFREE AGENT$519k$925k$863k

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
Sean Casey275.000$4.0MFREE AGENT
Aaron Boone295.000$2.1MFREE AGENT
Ryan Dempster254.000$1.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Encarnacion265.000$846kFREE AGENT
Scott Williamson263.000$400kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason LaRue283.000$305kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bruce Chen254.000$213kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Guillen265.000$182kFREE AGENT
Russell Branyan264.000$157kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jim Brower293.000$106kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Almánzar285.000—FREE AGENT
Ruben Mateo243.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
Chris Reitsma241.000$252kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Dunn221.000$250kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Riedling262.000$240kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Acevedo241.000$233kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Pineda271.000$208kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Reggie Taylor252.000$200kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brady Clark292.000$195kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jared Fernandez301.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gookie Dawkins23–—
Brandon Larson261.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wily Mo Peña200.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Raul Gonzalez28–—
Corky Miller261.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luke Hudson250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Kearns220.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2002 acquisition stacked onto Reds's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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