RRosternomics
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Reds CIN

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GM: Jim Bowden

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.78× league · TAB -11.8
-11.8TAB — talent above budget26th/30
-12.7WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)27th/30
2.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars28th/30
-6.0dead WAR — sub-replacement drag21st/30
44%dead money %26th/30
0.407win %25th/30
19.4roster fWAR24th/30
-23surplus $M (value vs cost)24th/30
$49Mpayroll $M19th/30

Roster

CFKen Griffey Jr. 90GRuben Rivera 70GBrady Clark 7G
LFDmitri Young 86GAdam Dunn 30GBrady Clark 26G
RFAdam Dunn 38GRobin Jennings 27GRuben Rivera 21G
SSPokey Reese 78GJuan Castro 46GBarry Larkin 44G
2BTodd Walker 142GPokey Reese 51GJuan Castro 37G
3BAaron Boone 103GDmitri Young 36GJuan Castro 19G
1BSean Casey 136GDmitri Young 38GRobin Jennings 14G
STARTERSElmer Dessens 2.4WARChris Reitsma 2.0WARLance Davis 1.2WARJim Brower 0.6WARDennys Reyes 0.5WAR
CJason LaRue 107GKelly Stinnett 59GCorky Miller 17G
DHSean Casey 3GKen Griffey Jr. 2GDeion Sanders 2G
BULLPEN★ Danny Graves 32svScott Sullivan 20hHector Mercado 5hJohn Riedling 5hJustin Atchley 2hJose Rijo 2hScott MacRae 1hScott Winchester 1h
CJason LaRue 107 · Kelly Stinnett 59 · Corky Miller 17
1BSean Casey 136 · Dmitri Young 38 · Robin Jennings 14
2BTodd Walker 142 · Pokey Reese 51 · Juan Castro 37
3BAaron Boone 103 · Dmitri Young 36 · Juan Castro 19
SSPokey Reese 78 · Juan Castro 46 · Barry Larkin 44
LFDmitri Young 86 · Adam Dunn 30 · Brady Clark 26
CFKen Griffey Jr. 90 · Ruben Rivera 70 · Brady Clark 7
RFAdam Dunn 38 · Robin Jennings 27 · Ruben Rivera 21
DHSean Casey 3 · Ken Griffey Jr. 2 · Deion Sanders 2
SPElmer Dessens 2.4 · Chris Reitsma 2.0 · Lance Davis 1.2 · Jim Brower 0.6 · Dennys Reyes 0.5
BP★ Danny Graves 32 · Scott Sullivan 20 · Hector Mercado 5 · John Riedling 5 · Justin Atchley 2 · Jose Rijo 2 · Scott MacRae 1 · Scott Winchester 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2001 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Elmer Dessens 30 arb 352.4 0.5 +3.4
Adam Dunn 21 – 662.1 – –
Chris Reitsma 23 pre-arb 382.0 0.2 +3.0
Ken Griffey Jr. 31 FA-elig 1111.8 12.5 -9.6
Jason LaRue 27 pre-arb 1211.6 0.2 +2.3
Aaron Boone 28 arb 1031.6 0.4 +2.1
Sean Casey 26 arb 1451.3 3.0 -0.8
Dmitri Young 27 arb 1421.3 3.5 -1.4
Danny Graves 27 arb 661.3 2.1 -0.0
Lance Davis 24 – 211.2 – –
Ruben Rivera 27 FA-elig 1171.0 1.0 +0.7
Scott Sullivan 30 FA-elig 790.9 1.7 -0.2
Alex Ochoa↔ COL 29 FA-elig 900.9 1.0 +0.5
Jim Brower 28 – 480.6 – –
Osvaldo Fernandez 34 arb 200.5 0.6 +0.2
Dennys Reyes 24 arb 360.5 0.6 +0.2
Kelly Stinnett 31 FA-elig 630.5 0.5 +0.3
John Riedling 25 pre-arb 290.5 0.2 +0.6
Jose Acevedo 23 – 180.5 – –
Scott MacRae 26 – 240.4 – –
Hector Mercado 27 – 560.4 – –
Brady Clark 28 – 890.3 – –
D.T. Cromer 30 – 500.3 – –
Corky Miller 25 – 170.3 – –
Barry Larkin 37 FA-elig 450.3 9.0 -8.6
Chris Nichting↔ COL 35 – 360.2 – –
Robin Jennings↔ COL 29 arb 270.2 0.2 +0.1
Todd Walker↔ COL 28 arb 660.1 0.5 -0.3
Rob Bell↔ TEX 24 pre-arb 90.1 0.1 +0.1
Chris Piersoll 23 – 110.1 – –
Mark Wohlers↔ NYY 31 FA-elig 300.1 0.2 -0.1
Wilton Guerrero 26 arb 600.1 0.4 -0.3
Michael Tucker↔ CHC 30 FA-elig 860.0 1.0 -1.0
Frankie Rodriguez 28 – 70.0 – –
Jose Rijo 36 – 13-0.0 – –
Joey Hamilton↔ TOR 30 FA-elig 4-0.0 1.1 -1.1
Calvin Pickering↔ BOS 24 – 4-0.0 – –
Jared Fernandez 29 – 5-0.1 – –
Raul Gonzalez 27 – 11-0.1 – –
Scott Williamson 25 pre-arb 2-0.1 0.4 -0.6
Pete Harnisch 34 FA-elig 8-0.3 3.8 -4.2
Brandon Larson 25 – 14-0.3 – –
Pokey Reese 28 arb 133-0.4 3.2 -3.8
Justin Atchley 27 – 15-0.4 – –
Scott Winchester 28 arb 12-0.4 0.2 -0.9
Donnie Sadler↔ KCR 26 arb 39-0.5 0.1 -0.9
Bill Selby 31 – 36-0.5 – –
Brian Reith 23 – 9-0.6 – –
Deion Sanders 33 – 32-0.6 – –
Juan Castro 29 FA-elig 96-1.7 0.4 -3.1

Key additions (new vs 2000)

PlayerfWAR
Adam Dunn2.1
Chris Reitsma2.0
Lance Davis1.2
Ruben Rivera1.0
Jim Brower0.6
Kelly Stinnett0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 2000)

Player2000 fWAR
Chris Stynes2.5
Denny Neagle1.8
Steve Parris1.7
Dante Bichette1.1
Brian L. Hunter0.4
Mike Bell0.3

Current & Historical Payroll

2001 payroll
$48.6M

What the front office was committed to as of 2001, 2001–2007. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2001200220032004200520062007
Ken Griffey Jr.3112.000$12.5M$8.6M$12.5M$12.5M$12.5M$10.5M$8.4M
Barry Larkin3715.000$9.0M$9.0M$9.0M$700kFREE AGENT
Pete Harnisch3413.000$3.8MFREE AGENT
Scott Sullivan306.000$1.7M$2.2M$2.2MFREE AGENT
Joey Hamilton307.000$1.1M$500kFREE AGENT
Michael Tucker306.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Ruben Rivera276.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Alex Ochoa296.000$973kFREE AGENT
Kelly Stinnett317.000$500k$1.0M$1.2MFREE AGENT
Juan Castro296.000$400k$400k$800k$1.0MFREE AGENT$519k$925k
Mark Wohlers3110.000$246kFREE AGENT
Chris Nichting356.000—FREE AGENT
Jose Rijo3617.000—$500kFREE AGENT
Frankie Rodriguez286.000—FREE AGENT
Deion Sanders3312.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2001200220032004200520062007
Dmitri Young275.000$3.5MFREE AGENT
Pokey Reese284.000$3.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Casey264.000$3.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Danny Graves275.000$2.1MFREE AGENT
Dennys Reyes244.000$625kARB 3FREE AGENT
Osvaldo Fernandez345.000$600kFREE AGENT
Elmer Dessens305.000$475kFREE AGENT
Todd Walker285.000$459kFREE AGENT
Wilton Guerrero265.000$400kFREE AGENT
Aaron Boone284.000$400kARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Winchester284.000$202kARB 3FREE AGENT
Robin Jennings295.000$163kFREE AGENT
Donnie Sadler263.000$94kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bill Selby315.000—FREE AGENT
Calvin Pickering243.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (20)

PlayerAgeSvc2001200220032004200520062007
Scott Williamson252.000$400kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason LaRue272.000$235kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Riedling251.000$214kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Reitsma230.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rob Bell241.000$83kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jim Brower282.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jared Fernandez290.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
D.T. Cromer301.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Larson250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brady Clark281.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Dunn210.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Raul Gonzalez27–—
Justin Atchley27–—
Hector Mercado271.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Corky Miller250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Reith230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lance Davis24–—
Jose Acevedo230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Piersoll23–—
Scott MacRae26–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Reds 2001; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.