RRosternomics

White Sox CHW

President of baseball ops: Kenny Williams · GM: Rick Hahn

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.03× league · TAB -13.4
-13.4TAB — talent above budget28th/30
-19.3WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)30th/30
5.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars19th/30
-7.2dead WAR — sub-replacement drag25th/30
65%dead money %28th/30
0.389win %28th/30
21.2roster fWAR28th/30
-49surplus $M (value vs cost)25th/30
$107Mpayroll $M11th/30

Roster

CFAlejandro De Aza 107GJordan Danks 47GAvisaíl García 31G
LFDayan Viciedo 109GAlejandro De Aza 79GCasper Wells 16G
RFAvisaíl García 41GJordan Danks 20GDewayne Wise 1G
SSAlexei Ramirez 158GLeury García 7GMarcus Semien 3G
2BGordon Beckham 103GJeff Keppinger 45GLeury García 21G
3BConor Gillaspie 113GJeff Keppinger 41GMarcus Semien 17G
1BPaul Konerko 76GAdam Dunn 71GJeff Keppinger 20G
STARTERSChris Sale 4.8WARJose Quintana 3.4WARHéctor Santiago 1.2WARGavin Floyd 0.2WARJohn Danks 0.1WAR
CTyler Flowers 84GJosh Phegley 64GHector Gimenez 23G
DHAdam Dunn 73GPaul Konerko 50GJeff Keppinger 16G
BULLPEN Addison Reed 40svMatt Lindstrom 20hJesse Crain 19hNate Jones 16hDonnie Veal 13hRamon Troncoso 1hDavid Purcey 0hJake Petricka 0h
CTyler Flowers 84 · Josh Phegley 64 · Hector Gimenez 23
1BPaul Konerko 76 · Adam Dunn 71 · Jeff Keppinger 20
2BGordon Beckham 103 · Jeff Keppinger 45 · Leury García 21
3BConor Gillaspie 113 · Jeff Keppinger 41 · Marcus Semien 17
SSAlexei Ramirez 158 · Leury García 7 · Marcus Semien 3
LFDayan Viciedo 109 · Alejandro De Aza 79 · Casper Wells 16
CFAlejandro De Aza 107 · Jordan Danks 47 · Avisaíl García 31
RFAvisaíl García 41 · Jordan Danks 20 · Dewayne Wise 1
DHAdam Dunn 73 · Paul Konerko 50 · Jeff Keppinger 16
SPChris Sale 4.8 · Jose Quintana 3.4 · Héctor Santiago 1.2 · Gavin Floyd 0.2 · John Danks 0.1
BP Addison Reed 40 · Matt Lindstrom 20 · Jesse Crain 19 · Nate Jones 16 · Donnie Veal 13 · Ramon Troncoso 1 · David Purcey 0 · Jake Petricka 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2013 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Chris Sale 24 arb 304.8 0.8 +12.0
Jose Quintana 24 pre-arb 333.4 0.5 +8.6
Alexei Ramirez 31 arb 1582.7 7.0 +0.4
Alejandro De Aza 29 FA-elig 1532.3 2.1 +4.1
Alex Rios↔ TEX 32 FA-elig 1092.2 8.7 -2.9
Nate Jones 27 pre-arb 701.9 0.5 +4.7
Jesse Crain 31 381.9 2.9 +2.2
Addison Reed 24 pre-arb 681.6 0.5 +3.7
Héctor Santiago 25 pre-arb 341.2 0.5 +2.6
Gordon Beckham 26 arb 1031.1 2.9 +0.0
Matt Lindstrom 33 FA-elig 760.9 2.3 +0.2
Jake Peavy↔ BOS 32 FA-elig 130.9 8.2 -5.8
Conor Gillaspie 25 arb 1340.8 0.5 +1.5
Dayan Viciedo 24 arb 1240.5 2.8 -1.5
Adam Dunn 33 FA-elig 1490.4 15.0 -13.9
Tyler Flowers 27 arb 840.4 0.5 +0.6
Avisaíl García↔ DET 22 pre-arb 420.4 0.3 +0.7
Hector Gimenez 30 FA-elig 260.2 0.5 +0.1
Daniel Webb 23 90.2 0.1 +0.5
Marcus Semien 22 210.2 0.1 +0.4
Gavin Floyd 30 FA-elig 50.2 9.5 -9.1
Donnie Veal 28 arb 500.1 0.5 -0.2
Jake Petricka 25 160.1 0.1 +0.1
Blake Tekotte 26 pre-arb 200.1 0.1 +0.1
John Danks 28 FA-elig 220.1 14.2 -14.0
Leury García↔ TEX 22 pre-arb 20-0.0 0.2 -0.2
Simon Castro 25 4-0.0
Jordan Danks 26 pre-arb 79-0.0 0.3 -0.4
Angel Sanchez 29 FA-elig 1-0.0 0.5 -0.6
Brian Omogrosso 29 pre-arb 12-0.1 0.5 -0.7
Dewayne Wise 35 FA-elig 30-0.1 0.7 -0.9
Erik Johnson 23 pre-arb 5-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Brent Morel 26 pre-arb 12-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Miguel Gonzalez 22 5-0.1 0.1 -0.3
David Purcey 31 24-0.1
Tyler Greene 29 22-0.1 0.5 -0.8
Matt Thornton↔ BOS 36 FA-elig 40-0.1 3.7 -4.0
Josh Phegley 25 65-0.1 0.5 -0.9
Charlie Leesman 26 pre-arb 8-0.3 0.1 -0.9
Deunte Heath 27 5-0.3
Ramon Troncoso 30 arb 29-0.3 0.3 -1.2
Bryan Anderson 26 pre-arb 10-0.4 0.1 -1.1
Dylan Axelrod 27 pre-arb 30-0.4 0.5 -1.6
André Rienzo 24 pre-arb 10-0.4 0.2 -1.4
Casper Wells↔ OAK 28 arb 38-0.9 0.4 -2.8
Paul Konerko 37 FA-elig 126-1.5 13.5 -17.4
Jeff Keppinger 33 FA-elig 117-1.7 3.5 -8.2

Key additions (new vs 2012)

PlayerfWAR
Matt Lindstrom0.9
Conor Gillaspie0.8
Avisaíl García0.4
Daniel Webb0.2
Marcus Semien0.2
Jake Petricka0.1

Key subtractions (gone from 2012)

Player2012 fWAR
A.J. Pierzynski3.7
Dan Johnson0.7
Francisco Liriano0.5
Eric Stults0.1
Brian Bruney0.0
Jhan Mariñez0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

2013 payroll
$106.9M

What the front office was committed to as of 2013, 2013–2019. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2013201420152016201720182019
Adam Dunn3311.074$15.0M$12.1MFREE AGENT
John Danks286.000$14.2M$14.2M$15.8M$15.8MFREE AGENT
Paul Konerko3714.141$13.5M$2.5MFREE AGENT
Gavin Floyd3010.045$9.5MFREE AGENT
Alex Rios328.130$8.7MFREE AGENT
Jake Peavy3210.101$8.2MFREE AGENT
Matt Thornton368.129$3.7MFREE AGENT
Jeff Keppinger336.052$3.5MFREE AGENT
Jesse Crain318.039$2.9MFREE AGENT
Matt Lindstrom338.000$2.3M$4.0MFREE AGENT
Alejandro De Aza296.000$2.1M$3.7MFREE AGENT
Dewayne Wise356.065$700kFREE AGENT
Angel Sanchez297.000$505kFREE AGENT
Hector Gimenez307.000$493kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (5)

PlayerAgeSvc2013201420152016201720182019
Alexei Ramirez315.000$7.0MFREE AGENT
Gordon Beckham263.123$2.9MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Casper Wells283.040$362kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ramon Troncoso303.087$311kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Purcey315.000FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (28)

PlayerAgeSvc2013201420152016201720182019
Dayan Viciedo241.123$2.8MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Sale242.061$850kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Addison Reed241.027$520kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Flowers271.148$510kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nate Jones271.000$507kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Héctor Santiago251.024$505kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Quintana240.133$500kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Greene292.097$500kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Donnie Veal281.056$498kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dylan Axelrod271.143$493kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Omogrosso290.056$492kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Conor Gillaspie250.069$490kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Phegley250.000$490kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Danks260.119$316kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Avisaíl García220.034$286kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Leury García220.000$218kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
André Rienzo241.084$169kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Petricka250.000$147kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Charlie Leesman260.030$139kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Blake Tekotte260.052$126kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryan Anderson260.171$80kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marcus Semien220.000$75kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Gonzalez22$75k
Daniel Webb230.000$75kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Erik Johnson230.089$75kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brent Morel261.151$59kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Deunte Heath271.078Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Simon Castro251.063Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = White Sox 2013; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3