RRosternomics

White Sox CHW

President of baseball ops: Kenny Williams · GM: Rick Hahn

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.72× league · TAB -5.5
-5.5TAB — talent above budget23rd/30
-4.7WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)22nd/30
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars15th/30
-7.6dead WAR — sub-replacement drag27th/30
53%dead money %27th/30
0.451win %22nd/30
24.7roster fWAR25th/30
-8surplus $M (value vs cost)15th/30
$81Mpayroll $M24th/30

Roster

CFAdam Eaton 121GJordan Danks 28GLeury García 14G
LFDayan Viciedo 55GJordan Danks 12GMoisés Sierra 9G
RFDayan Viciedo 84GMoisés Sierra 70GAvisaíl García 46G
SSAlexei Ramirez 158GLeury García 9GMarcus Semien 3G
2BYolmer Sánchez 27GMarcus Semien 26GLeury García 14G
3BConor Gillaspie 127GMarcus Semien 33GLeury García 15G
1BJosé Abreu 109GPaul Konerko 23GAdam Dunn 23G
STARTERSChris Sale 5.0WARJose Quintana 4.8WARChris Bassitt 0.7WARJohn Danks 0.6WARHector Noesí 0.2WAR
CTyler Flowers 124GAdrian Nieto 46GJosh Phegley 11G
DHJosé Abreu 35GPaul Konerko 33GDayan Viciedo 10G
BULLPEN Jake Petricka 14svZach Putnam 16hRonald Belisario 12hJavy Guerra 7hEric Surkamp 7hDaniel Webb 4hMaikel Cleto 4hMatt Lindstrom 0h
CTyler Flowers 124 · Adrian Nieto 46 · Josh Phegley 11
1BJosé Abreu 109 · Paul Konerko 23 · Adam Dunn 23
2BYolmer Sánchez 27 · Marcus Semien 26 · Leury García 14
3BConor Gillaspie 127 · Marcus Semien 33 · Leury García 15
SSAlexei Ramirez 158 · Leury García 9 · Marcus Semien 3
LFDayan Viciedo 55 · Jordan Danks 12 · Moisés Sierra 9
CFAdam Eaton 121 · Jordan Danks 28 · Leury García 14
RFDayan Viciedo 84 · Moisés Sierra 70 · Avisaíl García 46
DHJosé Abreu 35 · Paul Konerko 33 · Dayan Viciedo 10
SPChris Sale 5.0 · Jose Quintana 4.8 · Chris Bassitt 0.7 · John Danks 0.6 · Hector Noesí 0.2
BP Jake Petricka 14 · Zach Putnam 16 · Ronald Belisario 12 · Javy Guerra 7 · Eric Surkamp 7 · Daniel Webb 4 · Maikel Cleto 4 · Matt Lindstrom 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2014 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
José Abreu 27 pre-arb 1455.3 7.0 +8.4
Chris Sale 25 arb 265.0 3.5 +11.1
Jose Quintana 25 pre-arb 324.8 0.8 +13.2
Adam Eaton 25 pre-arb 1233.7 0.5 +10.3
Alexei Ramirez 32 FA-elig 1583.3 9.5 +0.1
Tyler Flowers 28 arb 1273.0 0.9 +7.9
Conor Gillaspie 26 FA-elig 1301.7 0.5 +4.5
Zach Putnam 26 pre-arb 490.7 0.4 +1.7
Chris Bassitt 25 60.7 0.1 +2.0
John Danks 29 FA-elig 320.6 14.2 -12.5
Moisés Sierra↔ TOR 25 pre-arb 830.6 0.4 +1.3
Marcus Semien 23 pre-arb 640.5 0.5 +0.9
Jake Petricka 26 pre-arb 670.5 0.5 +0.8
Adam Dunn↔ OAK 34 FA-elig 1060.4 12.1 -10.9
Ronald Belisario 31 arb 620.4 3.0 -1.8
Alejandro De Aza↔ BAL 30 FA-elig 1220.3 3.7 -2.8
Jordan Danks 27 pre-arb 510.2 0.5 +0.1
Hector Noesí↔ SEA 27 arb 280.2 0.4 +0.2
Erik Johnson 24 pre-arb 50.2 0.5 -0.0
Scott Carroll 29 260.1 0.4 +0.0
Scott Downs↔ KCR 38 FA-elig 380.1 2.6 -2.4
Javy Guerra 28 pre-arb 420.1 0.4 -0.2
Michael Taylor 28 pre-arb 110.0 0.1 +0.0
Nate Jones 28 pre-arb 20.0 0.5 -0.5
Donnie Veal 29 arb 7-0.0 0.5 -0.6
Josh Phegley 26 pre-arb 11-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Avisaíl García 23 pre-arb 46-0.1 0.5 -0.7
Scott Snodgress 24 4-0.1
Charlie Leesman 27 1-0.1
Yolmer Sánchez 22 28-0.1 0.1 -0.5
Taylor Thompson 27 5-0.1 0.0 -0.4
Frank Francisco 34 4-0.2
Matt Lindstrom 34 FA-elig 35-0.2 4.0 -4.6
Maikel Cleto 25 arb 28-0.2 0.5 -1.2
Eric Surkamp 26 pre-arb 35-0.2 0.2 -0.9
Daniel Webb 24 pre-arb 57-0.4 0.5 -1.5
Gordon Beckham↔ ANA 27 arb 101-0.4 3.3 -4.5
André Rienzo 25 pre-arb 19-0.5 0.3 -1.7
Andy Wilkins 25 17-0.5 0.1 -1.6
Adrian Nieto 24 pre-arb 48-0.5 0.5 -2.0
Felipe Paulino 30 FA-elig 4-0.6 1.8 -3.4
Dayan Viciedo 25 arb 145-0.9 2.8 -5.4
Paul Konerko 38 FA-elig 81-1.0 2.5 -5.5
Leury García 23 pre-arb 74-1.4 0.5 -4.5

Key additions (new vs 2013)

PlayerfWAR
José Abreu5.3
Adam Eaton3.7
Zach Putnam0.7
Chris Bassitt0.7
Moisés Sierra0.6
Ronald Belisario0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2013)

Player2013 fWAR
Alex Rios2.2
Jesse Crain1.9
Addison Reed1.6
Héctor Santiago1.2
Jake Peavy0.9
Hector Gimenez0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2014 payroll
$81.4M

What the front office was committed to as of 2014, 2014–2020. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2014201520162017201820192020
John Danks297.000$14.2M$15.8M$15.8MFREE AGENT
Adam Dunn3412.074$12.1MFREE AGENT
Alexei Ramirez326.000$9.5M$10.0MFREE AGENT
Matt Lindstrom348.000$4.0MFREE AGENT
Alejandro De Aza307.000$3.7MFREE AGENT
Scott Downs3811.121$2.6MFREE AGENT
Paul Konerko3815.141$2.5MFREE AGENT
Frank Francisco349.053FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (5)

PlayerAgeSvc2014201520162017201820192020
Chris Sale253.061$3.5MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gordon Beckham274.123$3.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Ronald Belisario313.151$3.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Felipe Paulino305.163$1.8MFREE AGENT
Javy Guerra283.000$361kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (31)

PlayerAgeSvc2014201520162017201820192020
José Abreu270.000$7.0MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dayan Viciedo252.123$2.8MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Flowers282.148$950kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Quintana251.133$850kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nate Jones282.000$545kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Donnie Veal292.000$516kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Conor Gillaspie261.069$512kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Eaton251.030$511kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Avisaíl García230.167$510kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Leury García230.116$505kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Maikel Cleto250.169$501kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Webb240.027$500kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Erik Johnson240.089$500kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Danks271.064$500kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adrian Nieto241.000$500kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marcus Semien230.027$500kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Petricka260.044$484kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Moisés Sierra251.105$436kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hector Noesí272.006$435kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Carroll290.000$415kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zach Putnam260.142$363kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
André Rienzo251.084$276kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Surkamp261.123$221kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andy Wilkins250.000$126kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yolmer Sánchez220.000$120kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Bassitt250.000$76kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Phegley260.087$74kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Taylor280.038$69kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Taylor Thompson270.015$41kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Charlie Leesman271.030Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Snodgress24

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = White Sox 2014; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3