GM: Theo Epstein
Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2009, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).
Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.
| Player | fWAR |
|---|---|
| Brad Penny | 1.3 |
| Victor Martinez | 1.3 |
| Álex González | 0.9 |
| Daniel Bard | 0.7 |
| Rocco Baldelli | 0.5 |
| Takashi Saito | 0.3 |
| Player | 2008 fWAR |
|---|---|
| Manny Ramirez | 3.0 |
| Coco Crisp | 1.7 |
| Alex Cora | 0.6 |
| Bartolo Colon | 0.5 |
| Brandon Moss | 0.5 |
| Kevin Cash | 0.3 |
WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Red Sox. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2009; everyone else is shown as a 2009 season snapshot.
| Player | Period | fWAR | Tier Market $M | Paid $M | Surplus $M | $ / WAR | Tier | Contract |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Lester | 2009 | +5.3 | +106.1 | 1.0 | +105.1 | $0.2M | 2.50× | – |
| Josh Beckett | 2009 | +4.3 | +76.0 | 11.2 | +64.8 | $2.6M | 2.19× | – |
| Kevin Youkilis | 2009 | +5.9 | +64.8 | 6.2 | +58.5 | $1.1M | 1.37× | – |
| Jason Bay | 2009 | +4.6 | +66.1 | 7.8 | +58.3 | $1.7M | 1.79× | – |
| J.D. Drew | 2009 | +4.9 | +69.9 | 14.0 | +55.9 | $2.9M | 1.79× | – |
| Dustin Pedroia | 2009 | +4.7 | +45.0 | 1.8 | +43.3 | $0.4M | 1.20× | – |
| Jonathan Papelbon | 2009 | +1.9 | +29.6 | 6.2 | +23.3 | $3.3M | 1.95× | – |
| Jacoby Ellsbury | 2009 | +2.1 | +20.1 | 0.4 | +19.6 | $0.2M | 1.22× | – |
| Tim Wakefield | 2009 | +1.9 | +22.2 | 4.0 | +18.2 | $2.1M | 1.49× | – |
| Brad Penny↔ | 2009 | +1.3 | +10.7 | 4.0 | +6.7 | $3.0M | 1.02× | – |
| Clay Buchholz | 2009 | +0.7 | +5.9 | 0.4 | +5.5 | $0.6M | 1.02× | – |
| Justin Masterson↔ | 2009 | +0.8 | +4.4 | 0.3 | +4.1 | $0.4M | 0.67× | – |
| Daniel Bard | 2009 | +0.7 | +3.6 | 0.4 | +3.2 | $0.6M | 0.67× | – |
| Victor Martinez↔ | 2009 | +1.3 | +5.4 | 2.2 | +3.1 | $1.7M | 0.52× | – |
| Rocco Baldelli | 2009 | +0.5 | +3.3 | 0.5 | +2.8 | $1.0M | 0.83× | – |
| Álex González↔ | 2009 | +0.9 | +4.6 | 2.1 | +2.5 | $2.2M | 0.61× | – |
| Hideki Okajima | 2009 | +0.5 | +2.9 | 1.8 | +1.1 | $3.2M | 0.67× | – |
| Ramon E Ramirez | 2009 | +0.3 | +1.5 | 0.4 | +1.1 | $1.5M | 0.67× | – |
| Jonathan Van Every | 2009 | +0.2 | +1.1 | 0.4 | +0.7 | $2.4M | 0.83× | – |
| Dusty Brown | 2009 | +0.2 | +0.7 | 0.4 | +0.3 | $2.5M | 0.52× | – |
| Takashi Saito | 2009 | +0.3 | +1.7 | 1.5 | +0.2 | $4.6M | 0.67× | – |
| Joey Gathright↔ | 2009 | +0.1 | +0.5 | 0.4 | +0.1 | $5.3M | 0.83× | – |
| Adam LaRoche↔ | 2009 | +0.0 | +0.2 | 0.3 | -0.1 | $9.9M | 0.69× | – |
| Manny Delcarmen | 2009 | +0.0 | +0.2 | 0.5 | -0.3 | $16.6M | 0.67× | – |
| Dustin Richardson | 2009 | +0.0 | +0.0 | 0.4 | -0.4 | $46.5M | 0.67× | – |
| George Kottaras | 2009 | -0.0 | -0.0 | 0.4 | -0.4 | – | 0.52× | – |
| Aaron Bates | 2009 | -0.0 | -0.1 | 0.4 | -0.5 | – | 0.56× | – |
| Nick Green | 2009 | -0.0 | -0.0 | 0.6 | -0.6 | – | 0.61× | – |
| Michael Bowden | 2009 | -0.0 | -0.3 | 0.4 | -0.7 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Junichi Tazawa | 2009 | -0.1 | -0.6 | 0.5 | -1.0 | – | 1.02× | – |
| Casey Kotchman↔ | 2009 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 0.9 | -1.2 | – | 0.56× | – |
| Chris Carter | 2009 | -0.1 | -0.9 | 0.4 | -1.3 | – | 0.83× | – |
| Hunter Jones | 2009 | -0.2 | -1.0 | 0.4 | -1.4 | – | 0.67× | – |
| John Smoltz↔ | 2009 | +0.2 | +1.5 | 2.9 | -1.4 | $15.9M | 1.02× | – |
| Jed Lowrie | 2009 | -0.3 | -1.6 | 0.4 | -2.0 | – | 0.61× | – |
| Josh Reddick | 2009 | -0.3 | -1.9 | 0.4 | -2.3 | – | 0.83× | – |
| Javier López | 2009 | -0.2 | -1.1 | 1.4 | -2.4 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Mark Kotsay↔ | 2009 | -0.4 | -2.4 | 0.6 | -3.0 | – | 0.83× | – |
| Jason Varitek | 2009 | -0.3 | -1.1 | 5.0 | -6.1 | – | 0.52× | – |
| Daisuke Matsuzaka | 2009 | +0.3 | +2.0 | 8.3 | -6.3 | $33.2M | 1.02× | – |
| Julio Lugo↔ | 2009 | -0.4 | -2.4 | 3.9 | -6.3 | – | 0.69× | – |
| Billy Wagner↔ | 2009 | +0.3 | +1.6 | 9.3 | -7.7 | $31.9M | 0.67× | – |
| David Ortiz | 2009 | +0.3 | +1.7 | 13.0 | -11.3 | $41.3M | 0.69× | – |
| Mike Lowell | 2009 | -0.0 | -0.0 | 12.5 | -12.5 | – | 0.58× | – |
| Brian Anderson↔ | 2009 | +0.0 | +0.1 | 0.1 | +0.0 | $5.2M | 0.83× | – |
| Billy Traber | 2009 | -0.2 | -1.1 | – | – | – | 0.67× | – |
| Chris Woodward↔ | 2009 | -0.0 | -0.2 | – | – | – | 0.58× | – |
| Enrique Gonzalez | 2009 | -0.1 | -0.5 | – | – | – | 0.67× | – |
| Fernando Cabrera | 2009 | +0.1 | +0.3 | – | – | – | 0.67× | – |
| Gil Velazquez | 2009 | -0.0 | -0.0 | – | – | – | 0.61× | – |
| Jeff Bailey | 2009 | +0.3 | +1.3 | – | – | – | 0.56× | – |
| Paul Byrd | 2009 | +0.2 | +2.0 | – | – | – | 1.02× | – |
| Total | — | +42.4 | +541.5 | 130.4 | +409.2 | — | ||
Every graded 2009 deal involving the Red Sox — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 11 total.
What the front office was committed to as of 2009, 2009–2015. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.
| Player | Age | Svc | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.D. Drew | 33 | 11.000 | $14.0M | $14.0M | $14.0M | FREE AGENT | |||
| David Ortiz | 33 | 12.000 | $13.0M | $13.0M | $12.5M | $14.6M | $14.0M | $15.0M | $16.0M |
| Mike Lowell | 35 | 11.000 | $12.5M | $12.5M | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Josh Beckett | 29 | 8.000 | $11.2M | $12.1M | $17.0M | $12.8M | FREE AGENT | ||
| Billy Wagner | 37 | 14.000 | $9.3M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Jason Bay | 30 | 6.000 | $7.8M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Jason Varitek | 37 | 12.000 | $5.0M | $3.0M | $2.0M | FREE AGENT | |||
| Tim Wakefield | 42 | 17.000 | $4.0M | $3.5M | $2.0M | FREE AGENT | |||
| Brad Penny | 31 | 9.000 | $4.0M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Julio Lugo | 33 | 9.000 | $3.9M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| John Smoltz | 42 | 21.000 | $2.9M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Victor Martinez | 30 | 7.000 | $2.2M | $7.7M | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Álex González | 32 | 11.000 | $2.1M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Javier López | 31 | 6.000 | $1.4M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Mark Kotsay | 33 | 12.000 | $604k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Rocco Baldelli | 27 | 6.000 | $500k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Paul Byrd | 38 | 14.000 | — | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Chris Woodward | 33 | 10.000 | — | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Billy Traber | 29 | 6.000 | — | FREE AGENT |
| Player | Age | Svc | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Youkilis | 30 | 5.000 | $6.2M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Jonathan Papelbon | 28 | 4.000 | $6.2M | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Dustin Pedroia | 25 | 3.000 | $1.8M | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Takashi Saito | 39 | 3.000 | $1.5M | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Jon Lester | 25 | 3.000 | $1.0M | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Casey Kotchman | 26 | 5.000 | $893k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Nick Green | 30 | 5.000 | $550k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Manny Delcarmen | 27 | 4.000 | $476k | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Ramon E Ramirez | 27 | 3.000 | $441k | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Joey Gathright | 28 | 5.000 | $368k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Adam LaRoche | 29 | 5.000 | $282k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Brian Anderson | 27 | 4.000 | $107k | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Fernando Cabrera | 27 | 5.000 | — | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Enrique Gonzalez | 26 | 3.000 | — | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Player | Age | Svc | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daisuke Matsuzaka | 28 | 2.000 | $8.3M | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Hideki Okajima | 33 | 2.000 | $1.8M | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Junichi Tazawa | 23 | 0.000 | $450k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Jacoby Ellsbury | 25 | 2.000 | $450k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Jed Lowrie | 25 | 1.000 | $414k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Clay Buchholz | 24 | 2.000 | $414k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Jonathan Van Every | 29 | 1.000 | $400k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Michael Bowden | 22 | 1.000 | $400k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| George Kottaras | 26 | 1.000 | $400k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Dustin Richardson | 25 | 0.000 | $400k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Dusty Brown | 27 | 0.000 | $400k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Chris Carter | 26 | 1.000 | $400k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Hunter Jones | 25 | 0.000 | $400k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Aaron Bates | 25 | 0.000 | $400k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Josh Reddick | 22 | 0.000 | $400k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Daniel Bard | 24 | 0.000 | $400k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Justin Masterson | 24 | 1.000 | $307k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Jeff Bailey | 30 | – | — | ||||||
| Gil Velazquez | 29 | 0.000 | — | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
How each 2009 acquisition stacked onto Red Sox's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.