Rosternomics

Red Sox BOS

201089–73 (0.549)
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GM: Theo Epstein

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2010, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$161M
Win %
0.549
TAB
-0.7
WAB
-0.2
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
40.4
Dead money %
26%
Depth Players
10.0
Dead WAR
-6.9

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2010 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

BVictor Martinez110
BJason Varitek39
RKevin Cash29
RDusty Brown7
BJarrod Saltalamacchia7
RGustavo Molina4

1B

RKevin Youkilis101
RMike Lowell43
LLars Anderson18
BVictor Martinez14
BJed Lowrie7
LDavid Ortiz4
BJarrod Saltalamacchia1
BNiuman Romero1
RRyan Shealy1

2B

RDustin Pedroia75
RBill Hall51
BJed Lowrie28
RMarco Scutaro16
LEric Patterson8
RYamaico Navarro3
BFelipe López1
BNiuman Romero1

3B

RAdrian Beltré154
RBill Hall5
RYamaico Navarro4
RMike Lowell4
BFelipe López2
RKevin Youkilis2
BJed Lowrie1

SS

RMarco Scutaro132
BJed Lowrie23
RYamaico Navarro15
RBill Hall6
BFelipe López1
RAngel Sanchez1

LF

RBill Hall55
BDaniel Nava54
RDarnell McDonald30
LEric Patterson26
LRyan Kalish12
LJacoby Ellsbury6
LJosh Reddick6
LJonathan Van Every3

CF

RDarnell McDonald69
RMike Cameron46
LRyan Kalish38
LJacoby Ellsbury13
LJonathan Van Every12
LEric Patterson11
RBill Hall7
LJosh Reddick6

RF

LJ.D. Drew133
RDarnell McDonald34
LJosh Reddick15
RBill Hall9
LJonathan Van Every6
LRyan Kalish2

DH

LDavid Ortiz135
RMike Lowell16
BVictor Martinez4
BJarrod Saltalamacchia2
LJ.D. Drew1
BDaniel Nava1
LJosh Reddick1
LJeremy Hermida1

Starters

LJon Lester4.8 WAR
RJohn Lackey3.4 WAR
RClay Buchholz3.1 WAR
RDaisuke Matsuzaka2.2 WAR
RTim Wakefield1.2 WAR
RJosh Beckett1.0 WAR
LFelix Doubront0.2 WAR
RScott Atchison-0.2 WAR

Bullpen

RJonathan Papelbon37 sv
RDaniel Bard32 h
LHideki Okajima11 h
RScott Atchison8 h
LDustin Richardson2 h
LScott Schoeneweis1 h
RManny Delcarmen0 h
RRamon Ramirez0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2009)

PlayerfWAR
Adrian Beltré6.4
John Lackey3.4
Marco Scutaro2.0
Darnell McDonald0.8
Ryan Kalish0.5
Bill Hall0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2009)

Player2009 fWAR
Jason Bay4.6
Brad Penny1.3
Álex González0.9
Justin Masterson0.8
Rocco Baldelli0.5
Takashi Saito0.3

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Red Sox. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2010; everyone else is shown as a 2010 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Jon Lester 2010 +4.8 +84.8 3.8 +81.1 $0.8M 2.19×
Adrian Beltré 2010 +6.4 +73.4 9.0 +64.4 $1.4M 1.43×
Clay Buchholz 2010 +3.1 +48.4 0.4 +47.9 $0.1M 1.96×
John Lackey 2010 +3.4 +53.9 18.7 +35.2 $5.4M 1.96×
Kevin Youkilis 2010 +4.2 +40.6 9.4 +31.2 $2.2M 1.20×
Victor Martinez 2010 +3.7 +33.0 7.7 +25.3 $2.1M 1.12×
Dustin Pedroia 2010 +3.2 +27.7 3.8 +23.9 $1.2M 1.07×
Daisuke Matsuzaka 2010 +2.2 +26.1 8.3 +17.7 $3.8M 1.49×
David Ortiz 2010 +2.5 +27.2 13.0 +14.2 $5.1M 1.33×
Daniel Bard 2010 +1.3 +14.3 0.4 +13.8 $0.3M 1.34×
Jed Lowrie 2010 +2.0 +13.0 0.4 +12.6 $0.2M 0.82×
Marco Scutaro 2010 +2.0 +14.1 5.5 +8.6 $2.8M 0.89×
J.D. Drew 2010 +2.3 +22.3 14.0 +8.3 $6.1M 1.22×
Tim Wakefield 2010 +1.2 +9.5 3.5 +6.0 $3.0M 1.02×
Ryan Kalish 2010 +0.5 +3.0 0.4 +2.6 $0.9M 0.83×
Jonathan Papelbon 2010 +0.9 +9.8 9.3 +0.5 $10.2M 1.34×
Josh Reddick 2010 +0.1 +0.8 0.4 +0.4 $3.1M 0.83×
Felipe Lopez 2010 +0.1 +0.3 0.0 +0.2 $0.6M 0.58×
Jarrod Saltalamacchia 2010 +0.1 +0.5 0.3 +0.2 $2.7M 0.52×
Boof Bonser 2010 -0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.2 0.67×
Michael Bowden 2010 +0.0 +0.2 0.4 -0.2 $8.9M 0.67×
Ramon E Ramirez 2010 -0.1 -0.4 0.7 -1.2 0.67×
Scott Atchison 2010 -0.2 -0.8 0.4 -1.2 0.67×
Daniel Nava 2010 -0.2 -1.0 0.2 -1.3 0.83×
Scott Schoeneweis 2010 -0.1 -0.8 0.5 -1.3 0.67×
Eric Patterson 2010 -0.2 -1.3 0.2 -1.5 0.83×
Jason Varitek 2010 +0.4 +1.5 3.0 -1.5 $8.2M 0.52×
Jacoby Ellsbury 2010 -0.2 -1.1 0.5 -1.6 0.83×
Hideki Okajima 2010 +0.1 +0.5 2.8 -2.3 $29.6M 0.67×
Manny Delcarmen 2010 -0.6 -3.4 0.8 -4.2 0.67×
Josh Beckett 2010 +1.0 +7.8 12.1 -4.3 $12.6M 1.02×
Bill Hall 2010 +0.4 +2.9 8.5 -5.6 $19.5M 0.83×
Jeremy Hermida 2010 -0.8 -4.7 2.4 -7.0 0.69×
Mike Cameron 2010 -0.2 -1.5 7.8 -9.2 0.83×
Mike Lowell 2010 -0.5 -2.1 12.5 -14.6 0.56×
Angel Sanchez 2010 -0.1 -0.7 0.61×
Darnell McDonald 2010 +0.8 +5.5 0.83×
Dustin Richardson 2010 -0.3 -1.7 0.67×
Dusty Brown 2010 -0.1 -0.4 0.52×
Fernando Cabrera 2010 -0.3 -1.8 0.67×
Félix Doubront 2010 +0.2 +1.2 0.67×
Gustavo Molina 2010 -0.2 -0.8 0.52×
Joe Nelson 2010 -0.1 -0.6 0.67×
Jonathan Van Every 2010 +0.0 +0.2 0.83×
Kevin Cash 2010 -1.0 -4.0 0.52×
Lars Anderson 2010 -0.0 -0.1 0.56×
Matt Fox 2010 -0.0 -0.1 0.67×
Niuman Romero 2010 -0.1 -0.3 0.56×
Rich Hill 2010 +0.1 +0.5 0.67×
Robert Coello 2010 +0.1 +0.3 0.67×
Robert Manuel 2010 -0.6 -3.4 0.67×
Ryan Shealy 2010 -0.2 -0.7 0.56×
Yamaico Navarro 2010 -0.8 -3.7 0.61×
Total+40.2+487.8161.2+336.9

Trades

Every graded 2010 deal involving the Red Sox — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 11 total.

2010 · BOS / MIA
BOS · Theo Epstein +$8.0M
Andrew Miller
MIA · Larry Beinfest −$8.0M
Dustin Richardson
BOS came out ahead by $8.0M
2010 · PIT / BOS
PIT · Neal Huntington +$0.0M
Jonathan Van Every
BOS · Theo Epstein +$0.0M
Josue Peley
Even trade
2010 · PIT / BOS
PIT · Neal Huntington +$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
BOS · Theo Epstein −$0.8M
Jonathan Van Every
PIT came out ahead by $0.8M
2010 · BOS / COL
BOS · Theo Epstein +$1.6M
Chris Balcom-Miller
COL · Daniel O'Dowd −$1.6M
Manny Delcarmen
BOS came out ahead by $1.6M
2010 · DET / BOS
DET · Dave Dombrowski +$0.0M
Pedro Perez
BOS · Theo Epstein +$0.0M
Brent Dlugach
Even trade
2010 · HOU / BOS
HOU · Ed Wade +$3.2M
Ángel Sánchez
BOS · Theo Epstein −$3.2M
Kevin Cash
HOU came out ahead by $3.2M
2010 · SFG / BOS
SFG · Brian Sabean +$0.0M
Ramón Ramírez
BOS · Theo Epstein +$0.0M
Daniel Turpen
Even trade
2010 · OAK / BOS
OAK · Billy Beane +$1.6M
Fabian Williamson
BOS · Theo Epstein −$1.6M
Eric Patterson
OAK came out ahead by $1.6M
2010 · BOS / TEX
BOS · Theo Epstein +$44.0M
Jarrod Saltalamacchia
TEX · Jon Daniels −$44.0M
Chris McGuiness, Román Méndez, Michael Thomas
BOS came out ahead by $44.0M
2010 · BOS / SEA
BOS · Theo Epstein +$0.8M
Miguel Celestino, Bill Hall
SEA · Jack Zduriencik −$0.8M
Casey Kotchman
BOS came out ahead by $0.8M
2010 · BOS / SDP
BOS · Theo Epstein +$63.2M
Adrián González
SDP · Jed Hoyer −$63.2M
Casey Kelly, Anthony Rizzo, Rey Fuentes, Eric Patterson
BOS came out ahead by $63.2M

Current & Historical Payroll

2010 payroll
$161.3M

What the front office was committed to as of 2010, 2010–2016. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (19)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
John Lackey318.000$18.7M$15.9MFREE AGENT$15.2M$10.3M
J.D. Drew3412.000$14.0M$14.0MFREE AGENT
David Ortiz3413.000$13.0M$12.5M$14.6M$14.0M$15.0M$16.0M$16.0M
Mike Lowell3612.000$12.5MFREE AGENT
Josh Beckett309.000$12.1M$17.0M$12.8MFREE AGENT
Kevin Youkilis316.000$9.4M$12.2M$8.0MFREE AGENT
Adrian Beltré3112.000$9.0MFREE AGENT
Bill Hall308.000$8.5MFREE AGENT
Mike Cameron3715.000$7.8M$4.5MFREE AGENT
Victor Martinez318.000$7.7MFREE AGENT
Marco Scutaro348.000$5.5M$5.5MFREE AGENT
Tim Wakefield4318.000$3.5M$2.0MFREE AGENT
Jason Varitek3813.000$3.0M$2.0MFREE AGENT
Scott Schoeneweis3611.000$500kFREE AGENT
Scott Atchison346.000$420k$440k$510kFREE AGENT
Felipe Lopez309.000$35kFREE AGENT
Joe Nelson359.000FREE AGENT
Kevin Cash328.000FREE AGENT
Fernando Cabrera286.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (16)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Jonathan Papelbon295.000$9.3MFREE AGENT
Daisuke Matsuzaka293.000$8.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jon Lester264.000$3.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Dustin Pedroia264.000$3.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Hideki Okajima343.000$2.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeremy Hermida265.000$2.4MFREE AGENT
Manny Delcarmen285.000$762kFREE AGENT
Ramon E Ramirez284.000$737kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jacoby Ellsbury263.000$496kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Clay Buchholz253.000$443kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jarrod Saltalamacchia253.000$349kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Patterson273.000$202kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Boof Bonser284.000$87kARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Shealy305.000FREE AGENT
Angel Sanchez264.000ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rich Hill305.000FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (18)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Jed Lowrie262.000$434kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Bard251.000$416kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Kalish221.117$400kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Bowden232.000$400kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Reddick231.000$400kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Nava270.000$248kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darnell McDonald311.143Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gustavo Molina280.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robert Coello25
Dustin Richardson261.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dusty Brown281.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Van Every302.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Fox27
Niuman Romero25
Félix Doubront220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robert Manuel261.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yamaico Navarro220.001Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lars Anderson220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2010 acquisition stacked onto Red Sox's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.