Rosternomics

Red Sox BOS

200686–76 (0.531)
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GM: Jed Hoyer

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2006, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$122M
Win %
0.531
TAB
-10.4
WAB
-1.9
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
29.5
Dead money %
34%
Depth Players
6.0
Dead WAR
-5.0

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2006 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

BJason Varitek99
RDoug Mirabelli66
RJavy Lopez18
RKen Huckaby8
BJosh Bard7
RCorky Miller1

1B

RKevin Youkilis127
LJ.T. Snow26
LCarlos Pena17
RMark Loretta11
LDavid Ortiz10
LEric Hinske6

2B

RMark Loretta138
RDustin Pedroia27
LAlex Cora18
LWillie Harris1

3B

RMike Lowell153
RKevin Youkilis16
LAlex Cora11

SS

RÁlex González111
LAlex Cora63
RDustin Pedroia6

LF

RManny Ramirez123
RGabe Kapler21
RKevin Youkilis18
RWily Mo Peña18
LWillie Harris11
RDustan Mohr7
LDavid Murphy6
LAdam Stern2
LEric Hinske2
LCarlos Pena1

CF

BCoco Crisp103
RWily Mo Peña27
LWillie Harris24
RGabe Kapler14
RDustan Mohr13
LDavid Murphy8
LAdam Stern8

RF

LTrot Nixon110
RWily Mo Peña39
RGabe Kapler37
LEric Hinske15
RDustan Mohr5
LDavid Murphy2
LWillie Harris1

DH

LDavid Ortiz138
LEric Hinske8
RMark Loretta6
RManny Ramirez5
RWily Mo Peña4
LAlex Cora1
LDavid Murphy1
RDoug Mirabelli1
RGabe Kapler1
LJ.T. Snow1

Starters

RCurt Schilling4.6 WAR
RTim Wakefield1.2 WAR
RJosh Beckett1.2 WAR
LJon Lester0.9 WAR
LKason Gabbard0.4 WAR
RKyle Snyder0.4 WAR
RMatt Clement0.3 WAR
RDavid Pauley0.2 WAR
RJason Johnson0.2 WAR
RKevin Jarvis0.2 WAR
RDevern Hansack0.1 WAR
LDavid Wells0.0 WAR
RJulian Tavarez-0.0 WAR
LLenny DiNardo-0.3 WAR

Bullpen

RJonathan Papelbon35 sv
RMike Timlin21 h
RManny Delcarmen14 h
RKeith Foulke14 h
RCraig Hansen8 h
LJavier Lopez6 h
RBryan Corey3 h
RRudy Seanez0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2005)

PlayerfWAR
Mike Lowell2.5
Álex González1.6
Josh Beckett1.2
Wily Mo Peña1.0
Jon Lester0.9
Coco Crisp0.9

Key subtractions (gone from 2005)

Player2005 fWAR
Bill Mueller3.5
Johnny Damon2.7
Bronson Arroyo2.4
Edgar Renteria1.8
Tony Graffanino1.3
Wade Miller1.1

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Red Sox. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2006; everyone else is shown as a 2006 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Curt Schilling 2006 +4.6 +80.6 13.0 +67.6 $2.8M 2.19×
David Ortiz 2006 +5.3 +72.6 6.5 +66.1 $1.2M 1.71×
Jonathan Papelbon 2006 +3.1 +63.3 0.3 +63.0 $0.1M 2.57×
Kevin Youkilis 2006 +2.7 +22.7 0.4 +22.3 $0.1M 1.07×
Manny Ramirez 2006 +2.9 +37.2 18.3 +18.9 $6.3M 1.60×
Mike Lowell 2006 +2.5 +22.5 9.0 +13.5 $3.6M 1.12×
Trot Nixon 2006 +1.7 +16.2 7.5 +8.7 $4.5M 1.22×
Álex González 2006 +1.6 +11.2 2.7 +8.5 $1.7M 0.89×
Jon Lester 2006 +0.9 +7.3 0.2 +7.1 $0.2M 1.02×
Josh Beckett 2006 +1.2 +9.8 4.3 +5.4 $3.6M 1.02×
Tim Wakefield 2006 +1.2 +9.4 4.0 +5.4 $3.5M 1.02×
Wily Mo Peña 2006 +1.0 +6.6 1.2 +5.3 $1.3M 0.83×
Coco Crisp 2006 +0.9 +5.8 2.8 +3.0 $3.2M 0.83×
Craig Breslow 2006 +0.3 +1.4 0.3 +1.1 $1.2M 0.67×
Jason Johnson 2006 +0.2 +1.6 0.9 +0.8 $4.3M 1.02×
Mike Burns 2006 +0.1 +0.8 0.1 +0.7 $0.9M 0.67×
Josh Bard 2006 -0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 0.52×
Mike Timlin 2006 +0.2 +2.7 3.0 -0.4 $12.2M 1.34×
David Riske 2006 -0.1 -0.7 0.4 -1.1 0.67×
Mark Loretta 2006 +0.5 +2.1 3.2 -1.1 $6.8M 0.56×
Rudy Seanez 2006 +0.1 +0.3 1.6 -1.3 $25.2M 0.67×
Alex Cora 2006 -0.1 -0.4 1.4 -1.8 0.61×
Eric Hinske 2006 -0.1 -0.5 1.3 -1.8 0.83×
Lenny DiNardo 2006 -0.3 -1.7 0.3 -2.0 0.67×
Adam Stern 2006 -0.3 -1.8 0.3 -2.2 0.83×
David Wells 2006 +0.0 +0.2 2.5 -2.3 $94.6M 1.02×
Doug Mirabelli 2006 -0.5 -2.1 1.2 -3.3 0.52×
Julian Tavarez 2006 -0.0 -0.1 3.4 -3.4 0.67×
J.T. Snow 2006 -0.3 -1.5 2.0 -3.5 0.56×
Javy Lopez 2006 -0.5 -2.3 1.7 -4.0 0.52×
Dustin Pedroia 2006 -1.0 -4.3 0.2 -4.4 0.56×
Jason Varitek 2006 +0.6 +2.6 10.0 -7.4 $16.3M 0.52×
Keith Foulke 2006 +0.1 +0.4 7.8 -7.4 $113.8M 0.67×
Matt Clement 2006 +0.3 +2.2 9.8 -7.7 $36.9M 1.02×
Abe Alvarez 2006 -0.2 -1.2 0.67×
Bryan Corey 2006 +0.2 +0.9 0.67×
Carlos Pena 2006 +0.1 +0.4 0.56×
Corky Miller 2006 -0.1 -0.4 0.52×
Craig Hansen 2006 -0.0 -0.3 0.67×
David Murphy 2006 -0.2 -1.2 0.83×
David Pauley 2006 +0.2 +1.9 1.02×
Devern Hansack 2006 +0.1 +0.9 1.02×
Dustan Mohr 2006 -0.1 -0.4 0.83×
Gabe Kapler 2006 +0.1 +0.6 0.83×
Javier López 2006 -0.1 -0.4 0.67×
Jermaine Van Buren 2006 -0.2 -1.3 0.67×
Kason Gabbard 2006 +0.4 +3.2 1.02×
Ken Huckaby 2006 -0.1 -0.3 0.52×
Kevin Jarvis 2006 +0.2 +1.5 1.02×
Kyle Snyder 2006 +0.4 +2.8 1.02×
Manny Delcarmen 2006 +1.0 +5.6 0.67×
Mike Holtz 2006 -0.1 -0.4 0.67×
Willie Harris 2006 -0.6 -4.2 0.83×
Total+29.8+371.7121.6+242.2

Trades

Every graded 2006 deal involving the Red Sox — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 10 total.

Current & Historical Payroll

2006 payroll
$121.6M

What the front office was committed to as of 2006, 2006–2012. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (25)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Manny Ramirez3413.000$18.3M$17.0M$12.4MFREE AGENT
Curt Schilling3918.000$13.0M$13.0MFREE AGENT
Jason Varitek349.000$10.0M$11.0M$10.4M$5.0M$3.0M$2.0MFREE AGENT
Matt Clement318.000$9.8MFREE AGENT
Mike Lowell328.000$9.0M$9.0M$12.5M$12.5M$12.5MFREE AGENT
Keith Foulke339.000$7.8MFREE AGENT
Trot Nixon3210.000$7.5MFREE AGENT
David Ortiz309.000$6.5M$13.2M$13.0M$13.0M$13.0M$12.5M$14.6M
Tim Wakefield3914.000$4.0M$4.0M$4.0M$4.0M$3.5M$2.0MFREE AGENT
Julian Tavarez3313.000$3.4M$3.4M$2.7MFREE AGENT
Mark Loretta3411.000$3.2MFREE AGENT
Mike Timlin4015.000$3.0M$2.8M$3.0MFREE AGENT
Álex González298.000$2.7MFREE AGENT$3.3M
David Wells4319.000$2.5MFREE AGENT
J.T. Snow3814.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Javy Lopez3514.000$1.7MFREE AGENT
Rudy Seanez3717.000$1.6MFREE AGENT
Alex Cora308.000$1.4M$2.0M$2.0MFREE AGENT
Doug Mirabelli3510.000$1.2M$750kFREE AGENT
Jason Johnson329.000$875kFREE AGENT
David Riske297.000$351kFREE AGENT
Mike Holtz3310.000FREE AGENT
Kevin Jarvis3612.000FREE AGENT
Bryan Corey328.000FREE AGENT$343k
Gabe Kapler308.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Josh Beckett265.000$4.3MFREE AGENT
Coco Crisp264.000$2.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Hinske284.000$1.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Wily Mo Peña244.000$1.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Bard284.000$25kARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Pena285.000FREE AGENT
Kyle Snyder283.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ken Huckaby355.000FREE AGENT
Corky Miller305.000FREE AGENT
Dustan Mohr305.000FREE AGENT
Willie Harris285.000FREE AGENT
Javier López283.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (16)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Kevin Youkilis272.000$355kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lenny DiNardo262.000$336kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Papelbon251.000$335kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Stern261.000$335kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Craig Breslow251.000$327kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jon Lester220.000$197kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dustin Pedroia220.000$154kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Burns271.000$129kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Abe Alvarez23
Manny Delcarmen241.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jermaine Van Buren25
Kason Gabbard240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Pauley230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Murphy240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Devern Hansack28
Craig Hansen221.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2006 acquisition stacked onto Red Sox's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.