RRosternomics
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Red Sox BOS

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GM: Jed Hoyer

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.6× league · TAB -10.5
-10.5TAB — talent above budget29th/30
-2.1WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)20th/30
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars16th/30
-5.0dead WAR — sub-replacement drag21st/30
34%dead money %18th/30
0.531win %11th/30
29.5roster fWAR23rd/30
-65surplus $M (value vs cost)29th/30
$122Mpayroll $M2nd/30

Roster

CFCoco Crisp 103GWily Mo Peña 27GWillie Harris 24G
LFManny Ramirez 123GGabe Kapler 21GKevin Youkilis 18G
RFTrot Nixon 110GEric Hinske 40GWily Mo Peña 39G
SSÁlex González 111GAlex Cora 63GDustin Pedroia 6G
2BMark Loretta 138GDustin Pedroia 27GAlex Cora 18G
3BMike Lowell 153GKevin Youkilis 16GAlex Cora 11G
1BKevin Youkilis 127GJ.T. Snow 26GCarlos Pena 17G
STARTERSCurt Schilling 4.6WARTim Wakefield 1.2WARJosh Beckett 1.2WARJon Lester 0.9WARKyle Snyder 0.4WAR
CJason Varitek 99GDoug Mirabelli 66GJavy Lopez 38G
DHDavid Ortiz 138GEric Hinske 21GMark Loretta 6G
BULLPEN★ Jonathan Papelbon 35svMike Timlin 21hManny Delcarmen 14hKeith Foulke 14hCraig Hansen 8hJavier López 6hBryan Corey 3hMike Burns 1h
CJason Varitek 99 · Doug Mirabelli 66 · Javy Lopez 38
1BKevin Youkilis 127 · J.T. Snow 26 · Carlos Pena 17
2BMark Loretta 138 · Dustin Pedroia 27 · Alex Cora 18
3BMike Lowell 153 · Kevin Youkilis 16 · Alex Cora 11
SSÁlex González 111 · Alex Cora 63 · Dustin Pedroia 6
LFManny Ramirez 123 · Gabe Kapler 21 · Kevin Youkilis 18
CFCoco Crisp 103 · Wily Mo Peña 27 · Willie Harris 24
RFTrot Nixon 110 · Eric Hinske 40 · Wily Mo Peña 39
DHDavid Ortiz 138 · Eric Hinske 21 · Mark Loretta 6
SPCurt Schilling 4.6 · Tim Wakefield 1.2 · Josh Beckett 1.2 · Jon Lester 0.9 · Kyle Snyder 0.4
BP★ Jonathan Papelbon 35 · Mike Timlin 21 · Manny Delcarmen 14 · Keith Foulke 14 · Craig Hansen 8 · Javier López 6 · Bryan Corey 3 · Mike Burns 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2006 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
David Ortiz 30 FA-elig 1515.3 6.5 +4.1
Curt Schilling 39 FA-elig 314.6 13.0 -3.8
Jonathan Papelbon 25 pre-arb 593.1 0.3 +5.8
Manny Ramirez 34 FA-elig 1302.9 18.3 -12.5
Kevin Youkilis 27 pre-arb 1472.7 0.4 +4.9
Mike Lowell 32 FA-elig 1532.5 9.0 -4.0
Trot Nixon 32 FA-elig 1141.7 7.5 -4.2
Álex González 29 FA-elig 1111.6 2.7 +0.4
Josh Beckett 26 arb 331.2 4.3 -1.9
Tim Wakefield 39 FA-elig 231.2 4.0 -1.7
Manny Delcarmen 24 – 501.0 – –
Wily Mo Peña 24 arb 841.0 1.2 +0.7
Jon Lester 22 – 150.9 0.2 +1.6
Coco Crisp 26 arb 1050.9 2.8 -1.0
Jason Varitek 34 FA-elig 1030.6 10.0 -8.8
Mark Loretta 34 FA-elig 1550.5 3.2 -2.3
Kason Gabbard 24 – 70.4 – –
Kyle Snyder↔ KCR 28 – 160.4 – –
Craig Breslow 25 – 130.3 0.3 +0.2
Matt Clement 31 FA-elig 120.3 9.8 -9.3
Mike Timlin 40 FA-elig 680.2 3.0 -2.5
David Pauley 23 – 30.2 – –
Jason Johnson↔ CIN 32 FA-elig 60.2 0.9 -0.5
Kevin Jarvis↔ ARI 36 – 40.2 – –
Bryan Corey↔ TEX 32 – 160.2 – –
Mike Burns↔ CIN 27 pre-arb 70.1 0.1 +0.2
Devern Hansack 28 – 20.1 – –
Carlos Pena 28 – 180.1 – –
Gabe Kapler 30 – 720.1 – –
Keith Foulke 33 FA-elig 440.1 7.8 -7.6
Rudy Seanez↔ SDP 37 FA-elig 410.1 1.6 -1.5
David Wells↔ SDP 43 FA-elig 80.0 2.5 -2.5
Julian Tavarez 33 FA-elig 58-0.0 3.4 -3.4
Josh Bard↔ SDP 28 arb 7-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Craig Hansen 22 – 38-0.0 – –
Dustan Mohr 30 – 21-0.1 – –
Ken Huckaby 35 – 8-0.1 – –
Eric Hinske↔ TOR 28 arb 31-0.1 1.3 -1.4
Alex Cora 30 FA-elig 96-0.1 1.4 -1.6
Javier López 28 – 27-0.1 – –
Mike Holtz 33 – 3-0.1 – –
Corky Miller 30 – 1-0.1 – –
David Riske↔ CHW 29 FA-elig 8-0.1 0.4 -0.6
David Murphy 24 – 20-0.2 – –
Abe Alvarez 23 – 1-0.2 – –
Jermaine Van Buren 25 – 10-0.2 – –
Adam Stern 26 pre-arb 10-0.3 0.3 -0.9
Lenny DiNardo 26 pre-arb 13-0.3 0.3 -1.0
J.T. Snow 38 FA-elig 38-0.3 2.0 -2.7
Doug Mirabelli↔ SDP 35 FA-elig 59-0.5 1.2 -2.2
Javy Lopez↔ BAL 35 FA-elig 18-0.5 1.7 -2.8
Willie Harris 28 – 47-0.6 – –
Dustin Pedroia 22 – 31-1.0 0.2 -2.1

Key additions (new vs 2005)

PlayerfWAR
Mike Lowell2.5
Álex González1.6
Josh Beckett1.2
Wily Mo Peña1.0
Jon Lester0.9
Coco Crisp0.9

Key subtractions (gone from 2005)

Player2005 fWAR
Bill Mueller3.5
Johnny Damon2.7
Bronson Arroyo2.4
Edgar Renteria1.8
Tony Graffanino1.3
Wade Miller1.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2006 payroll
$121.6M

What the front office was committed to as of 2006, 2006–2012. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (25)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Manny Ramirez3413.000$18.3M$17.0M$12.4MFREE AGENT
Curt Schilling3918.000$13.0M$13.0MFREE AGENT
Jason Varitek349.000$10.0M$11.0M$10.4M$5.0M$3.0M$2.0MFREE AGENT
Matt Clement318.000$9.8MFREE AGENT
Mike Lowell328.000$9.0M$9.0M$12.5M$12.5M$12.5MFREE AGENT
Keith Foulke339.000$7.8MFREE AGENT
Trot Nixon3210.000$7.5MFREE AGENT
David Ortiz309.000$6.5M$13.2M$13.0M$13.0M$13.0M$12.5M$14.6M
Tim Wakefield3914.000$4.0M$4.0M$4.0M$4.0M$3.5M$2.0MFREE AGENT
Julian Tavarez3313.000$3.4M$3.4M$2.7MFREE AGENT
Mark Loretta3411.000$3.2MFREE AGENT
Mike Timlin4015.000$3.0M$2.8M$3.0MFREE AGENT
Álex González298.000$2.7MFREE AGENT$3.3M
David Wells4319.000$2.5MFREE AGENT
J.T. Snow3814.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Javy Lopez3514.000$1.7MFREE AGENT
Rudy Seanez3717.000$1.6MFREE AGENT
Alex Cora308.000$1.4M$2.0M$2.0MFREE AGENT
Doug Mirabelli3510.000$1.2M$750kFREE AGENT
Jason Johnson329.000$875kFREE AGENT
David Riske297.000$351kFREE AGENT
Mike Holtz3310.000—FREE AGENT
Kevin Jarvis3612.000—FREE AGENT
Bryan Corey328.000—FREE AGENT$343k
Gabe Kapler308.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Josh Beckett265.000$4.3MFREE AGENT
Coco Crisp264.000$2.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Hinske284.000$1.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Wily Mo Peña244.000$1.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Bard284.000$25kARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Pena285.000—FREE AGENT
Kyle Snyder283.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ken Huckaby355.000—FREE AGENT
Corky Miller305.000—FREE AGENT
Dustan Mohr305.000—FREE AGENT
Willie Harris285.000—FREE AGENT
Javier López283.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (16)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Kevin Youkilis272.000$355kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lenny DiNardo262.000$336kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Papelbon251.000$335kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Stern261.000$335kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Craig Breslow251.000$327kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jon Lester220.000$197kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dustin Pedroia220.000$154kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Burns271.000$129kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Abe Alvarez23–—
Manny Delcarmen241.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jermaine Van Buren25–—
Kason Gabbard240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Pauley230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Murphy240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Devern Hansack28–—
Craig Hansen221.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Red Sox 2006; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.