GM: Theo Epstein
Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2007, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).
Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.
| Player | fWAR |
|---|---|
| Daisuke Matsuzaka | 2.8 |
| J.D. Drew | 2.0 |
| Jacoby Ellsbury | 1.2 |
| Hideki Okajima | 1.1 |
| Clay Buchholz | 0.7 |
| Brendan Donnelly | 0.5 |
| Player | 2006 fWAR |
|---|---|
| Trot Nixon | 1.7 |
| Álex González | 1.6 |
| Mark Loretta | 0.5 |
| Craig Breslow | 0.3 |
| Matt Clement | 0.3 |
| David Pauley | 0.2 |
WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Red Sox. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2007; everyone else is shown as a 2007 season snapshot.
| Player | Period | fWAR | Tier Market $M | Paid $M | Surplus $M | $ / WAR | Tier | Contract |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Beckett | 2007 | +5.7 | +114.3 | 6.7 | +107.7 | $1.2M | 2.50× | – |
| David Ortiz | 2007 | +6.3 | +86.1 | 13.2 | +72.9 | $2.1M | 1.71× | – |
| Coco Crisp | 2007 | +4.4 | +62.9 | 3.8 | +59.1 | $0.9M | 1.79× | – |
| Kevin Youkilis | 2007 | +4.1 | +39.2 | 0.4 | +38.7 | $0.1M | 1.20× | – |
| Daisuke Matsuzaka | 2007 | +2.8 | +44.0 | 6.3 | +37.6 | $2.3M | 1.96× | – |
| Mike Lowell | 2007 | +4.5 | +45.0 | 9.0 | +36.0 | $2.0M | 1.25× | – |
| Dustin Pedroia | 2007 | +3.7 | +35.9 | 0.4 | +35.5 | $0.1M | 1.20× | – |
| Jonathan Papelbon | 2007 | +2.1 | +32.4 | 0.4 | +32.0 | $0.2M | 1.95× | – |
| Tim Wakefield | 2007 | +1.9 | +22.2 | 4.0 | +18.2 | $2.1M | 1.49× | – |
| Curt Schilling | 2007 | +2.3 | +27.7 | 13.0 | +14.7 | $5.6M | 1.49× | – |
| Hideki Okajima | 2007 | +1.1 | +12.1 | 1.2 | +10.9 | $1.1M | 1.34× | – |
| Jason Varitek | 2007 | +2.6 | +21.2 | 11.0 | +10.2 | $4.2M | 1.00× | – |
| Jacoby Ellsbury | 2007 | +1.2 | +7.9 | 0.4 | +7.6 | $0.3M | 0.83× | – |
| Clay Buchholz | 2007 | +0.7 | +5.8 | 0.1 | +5.7 | $0.1M | 1.02× | – |
| J.D. Drew | 2007 | +2.0 | +19.1 | 14.0 | +5.1 | $7.1M | 1.22× | – |
| Julian Tavarez | 2007 | +0.9 | +7.1 | 3.4 | +3.8 | $3.8M | 1.02× | – |
| Brendan Donnelly | 2007 | +0.5 | +2.7 | 1.4 | +1.3 | $2.7M | 0.67× | – |
| Jon Lester | 2007 | +0.2 | +1.5 | 0.4 | +1.1 | $2.0M | 1.02× | – |
| Eric Gagne↔ | 2007 | +0.3 | +3.0 | 2.2 | +0.8 | $8.0M | 1.34× | – |
| Brandon Moss | 2007 | +0.1 | +0.9 | 0.4 | +0.5 | $2.8M | 0.83× | – |
| Alex Cora | 2007 | +0.5 | +2.1 | 2.0 | +0.1 | $4.3M | 0.56× | – |
| David Murphy↔ | 2007 | +0.0 | +0.1 | 0.0 | +0.1 | $1.1M | 0.83× | – |
| Javier López | 2007 | +0.1 | +0.5 | 0.4 | +0.1 | $4.1M | 0.67× | – |
| Bobby Kielty↔ | 2007 | +0.1 | +0.8 | 1.3 | -0.5 | $10.4M | 0.83× | – |
| Royce Clayton↔ | 2007 | -0.2 | -1.0 | 0.2 | -1.1 | – | 0.61× | – |
| Doug Mirabelli | 2007 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 0.8 | -1.2 | – | 0.52× | – |
| J.C. Romero↔ | 2007 | -0.3 | -1.4 | 0.5 | -1.9 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Mike Timlin | 2007 | +0.0 | +0.0 | 2.8 | -2.8 | $3017.8M | 0.67× | – |
| Joel Pineiro↔ | 2007 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 2.8 | -3.1 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Kyle Snyder | 2007 | -0.5 | -2.7 | 0.5 | -3.2 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Wily Mo Peña↔ | 2007 | -0.6 | -4.0 | 1.2 | -5.3 | – | 0.83× | – |
| Julio Lugo | 2007 | +0.4 | +1.8 | 8.2 | -6.4 | $22.0M | 0.61× | – |
| Eric Hinske | 2007 | -0.2 | -1.1 | 5.6 | -6.7 | – | 0.56× | – |
| Manny Ramirez | 2007 | +1.2 | +8.0 | 17.0 | -9.0 | $14.2M | 0.83× | – |
| Bryan Corey | 2007 | +0.1 | +0.5 | – | – | – | 0.67× | – |
| Devern Hansack | 2007 | -0.2 | -0.9 | – | – | – | 0.67× | – |
| Jeff Bailey | 2007 | -0.0 | -0.2 | – | – | – | 0.56× | – |
| Kason Gabbard↔ | 2007 | +0.4 | +3.1 | – | – | – | 1.02× | – |
| Kevin Cash | 2007 | -0.2 | -1.0 | – | – | – | 0.52× | – |
| Manny Delcarmen | 2007 | +0.4 | +1.9 | – | – | – | 0.67× | – |
| Total | — | +48.2 | +596.8 | 135.0 | +458.5 | — | ||
Every graded 2007 deal involving the Red Sox — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 4 total.
What the front office was committed to as of 2007, 2007–2013. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.
| Player | Age | Svc | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manny Ramirez | 35 | 14.000 | $17.0M | $12.4M | FREE AGENT | ||||
| J.D. Drew | 31 | 9.000 | $14.0M | $14.0M | $14.0M | $14.0M | $14.0M | FREE AGENT | |
| David Ortiz | 31 | 10.000 | $13.2M | $13.0M | $13.0M | $13.0M | $12.5M | $14.6M | $14.0M |
| Curt Schilling | 40 | 19.000 | $13.0M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Jason Varitek | 35 | 10.000 | $11.0M | $10.4M | $5.0M | $3.0M | $2.0M | FREE AGENT | |
| Mike Lowell | 33 | 9.000 | $9.0M | $12.5M | $12.5M | $12.5M | FREE AGENT | ||
| Julio Lugo | 31 | 7.000 | $8.2M | $9.2M | $5.4M | FREE AGENT | |||
| Josh Beckett | 27 | 6.000 | $6.7M | $10.2M | $11.2M | $12.1M | $17.0M | $12.8M | FREE AGENT |
| Tim Wakefield | 40 | 15.000 | $4.0M | $4.0M | $4.0M | $3.5M | $2.0M | FREE AGENT | |
| Julian Tavarez | 34 | 14.000 | $3.4M | $2.7M | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Mike Timlin | 41 | 16.000 | $2.8M | $3.0M | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Joel Pineiro | 28 | 7.000 | $2.8M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Eric Gagne | 31 | 8.000 | $2.2M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Alex Cora | 31 | 9.000 | $2.0M | $2.0M | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Bobby Kielty | 30 | 6.000 | $1.3M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Doug Mirabelli | 36 | 11.000 | $750k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| J.C. Romero | 31 | 8.000 | $497k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Royce Clayton | 37 | 16.000 | $156k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Bryan Corey | 33 | 9.000 | — | $343k | FREE AGENT |
| Player | Age | Svc | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Hinske | 29 | 5.000 | $5.6M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Coco Crisp | 27 | 5.000 | $3.8M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Brendan Donnelly | 35 | 5.000 | $1.4M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Wily Mo Peña | 25 | 5.000 | $1.2M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Kyle Snyder | 29 | 4.000 | $535k | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Kevin Youkilis | 28 | 3.000 | $424k | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Javier López | 29 | 4.000 | $402k | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Kevin Cash | 29 | 5.000 | — | FREE AGENT |
| Player | Age | Svc | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daisuke Matsuzaka | 26 | 0.000 | $6.3M | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Hideki Okajima | 31 | 0.000 | $1.2M | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Jonathan Papelbon | 26 | 2.000 | $426k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Jon Lester | 23 | 1.000 | $384k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Brandon Moss | 23 | 0.000 | $380k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Jacoby Ellsbury | 23 | 0.000 | $380k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Dustin Pedroia | 23 | 1.000 | $380k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Clay Buchholz | 22 | 0.000 | $91k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| David Murphy | 25 | 1.000 | $25k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Jeff Bailey | 28 | – | — | ||||||
| Manny Delcarmen | 25 | 2.000 | — | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Kason Gabbard | 25 | 1.000 | — | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Devern Hansack | 29 | – | — |
How each 2007 acquisition stacked onto Red Sox's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.