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Orioles BAL

201775–87 (0.463)
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GM: Dan Duquette

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2017, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$175M
Surplus $M
-107
Win %
0.463
TAB
-17.6
WAB
-10.7
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
20.2
Dead money %
53%
Depth Players
3.0
Dead WAR
-7.2

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2017 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RWelington Castillo88
RCaleb Joseph79
LChance Sisco10
RFrancisco Peña5

1B

LChris Davis125
RTrey Mancini45
RMark Trumbo2
LPedro Álvarez2

2B

RJonathan Schoop159
LRyan Flaherty12
RJohnny Giavotella5
RRubén Tejada4

3B

RManny Machado156
RCaleb Joseph8
RRubén Tejada6
LPedro Álvarez5
LRyan Flaherty5
LChris Davis2
RMark Trumbo2

SS

RJ.J. Hardy71
RTim Beckham⇄50
RRubén Tejada36
RPaul Janish14
RJonathan Schoop5
LRyan Flaherty5

LF

RTrey Mancini88
RJoey Rickard43
RCraig Gentry30
LSeth Smith12
BAnthony Santander4
LRyan Flaherty1

CF

RAdam Jones147
RJoey Rickard21
RCraig Gentry9
RAustin Hays8

RF

LSeth Smith80
RJoey Rickard53
RMark Trumbo31
RCraig Gentry31
RAustin Hays14
BAnthony Santander8
LDavid Washington2
RTrey Mancini2
LRyan Flaherty1

DH

RMark Trumbo111
RTrey Mancini18
LSeth Smith7
LPedro Álvarez7
RWelington Castillo6
LChris Davis2
LDavid Washington1
RCraig Gentry1
RTim Beckham⇄1

Starters

RDylan Bundy2.8 WAR
RKevin Gausman2.5 WAR
LWade Miley0.9 WAR
RGabriel Ynoa0.5 WAR
RAlec Asher0.2 WAR
RUbaldo Jimenez0.1 WAR
LJayson Aquino-0.1 WAR
RMiguel Castro-0.1 WAR
RTyler Wilson-0.1 WAR
RJeremy Hellickson⇄-0.1 WAR
RChris Tillman-0.9 WAR

Bullpen

★ RBrad Brach18 sv
RMychal Givens21 h
RDarren O'Day17 h
LDonnie Hart5 h
LRichard Bleier3 h
RMiguel Castro1 h
LZack Britton0 h
RJimmy Yacabonis0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2016)

PlayerfWAR
Welington Castillo1.9
Tim Beckham1.7
Seth Smith0.9
Gabriel Ynoa0.5
Chance Sisco0.3
Craig Gentry0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 2016)

Player2016 fWAR
Matt Wieters1.4
Michael Bourn0.5
Tommy Hunter0.2
Aríel Miranda0.1
Steve Pearce0.1
Vance Worley0.1

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Orioles. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2017; everyone else is shown as a 2017 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Dylan Bundy 2017 +2.8 +43.5 1.6 +41.8 $0.6M 1.96× –
Jonathan Schoop 2017 +4.5 +43.5 3.5 +40.0 $0.8M 1.20× –
Kevin Gausman 2017 +2.5 +39.7 3.5 +36.2 $1.4M 1.96× Free Agent · 2022–2026 · $22.0M AAV
Trey Mancini 2017 +1.8 +18.0 0.5 +17.4 $0.3M 1.22× –
Mychal Givens 2017 +1.2 +12.9 0.5 +12.3 $0.5M 1.34× –
Tim Beckham↔ 2017 +1.7 +12.0 0.3 +11.6 $0.2M 0.89× –
Brad Brach 2017 +1.2 +12.5 3.0 +9.4 $2.6M 1.34× –
Welington Castillo 2017 +1.9 +11.6 6.0 +5.6 $3.1M 0.76× –
Caleb Joseph 2017 +1.1 +4.6 0.7 +3.9 $0.6M 0.52× –
Gabriel Ynoa 2017 +0.5 +2.4 0.2 +2.3 $0.4M 0.67× –
Chance Sisco 2017 +0.3 +1.4 0.1 +1.3 $0.3M 0.52× –
Francisco Peña 2017 +0.3 +1.3 0.1 +1.2 $0.2M 0.52× –
Craig Gentry 2017 +0.3 +1.9 0.8 +1.1 $3.0M 0.83× –
Alec Asher 2017 +0.2 +1.2 0.2 +0.9 $1.1M 0.67× –
Richard Bleier 2017 +0.2 +1.0 0.4 +0.6 $2.2M 0.67× –
Joey Rickard 2017 +0.1 +0.9 0.5 +0.4 $4.0M 0.83× –
Manny Machado 2017 +1.7 +11.8 11.5 +0.3 $6.6M 0.85× Extension · 2023–2033 · $31.8M AAV
Donnie Hart 2017 +0.1 +0.7 0.5 +0.2 $4.1M 0.67× –
Oliver Drake↔ 2017 +0.0 +0.1 0.0 +0.1 $1.7M 0.67× –
Stefan Crichton 2017 -0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.3 – 0.67× –
Jayson Aquino 2017 -0.1 -0.5 0.1 -0.6 – 1.02× –
Miguel Castro 2017 -0.1 -0.4 0.3 -0.7 – 0.67× –
Jimmy Yacabonis 2017 -0.1 -0.7 0.1 -0.8 – 0.67× –
Tyler Wilson 2017 -0.1 -0.4 0.5 -0.9 – 0.67× –
Anthony Santander 2017 -0.1 -0.5 0.5 -1.0 – 0.83× Free Agent · 2030–2030 · $18.5M AAV
David Washington 2017 -0.2 -1.0 0.1 -1.1 – 0.83× –
Seth Smith 2017 +0.9 +5.8 7.0 -1.2 $8.0M 0.83× –
Edwin Jackson↔ 2017 -0.2 -1.0 0.3 -1.3 – 0.67× –
Logan Verrett 2017 -0.2 -1.3 0.0 -1.3 – 0.67× –
Richard Rodríguez 2017 -0.3 -1.6 0.0 -1.7 – 0.67× –
Wade Miley 2017 +0.9 +7.1 8.9 -1.8 $10.2M 1.02× –
Pedro Álvarez 2017 -0.0 -0.2 2.0 -2.2 – 0.69× –
Johnny Giavotella 2017 -0.3 -1.2 1.1 -2.3 – 0.56× –
Rubén Tejada 2017 -0.2 -0.9 1.4 -2.3 – 0.61× –
Austin Hays 2017 -0.4 -2.3 0.1 -2.4 – 0.83× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $6.0M AAV
Paul Janish 2017 -0.5 -2.3 0.1 -2.4 – 0.61× –
Darren O'Day 2017 +0.8 +4.5 7.0 -2.5 $8.3M 0.67× –
Ryan Flaherty 2017 -0.3 -1.2 1.8 -3.0 – 0.56× –
Vidal Nuño 2017 -0.5 -2.7 1.1 -3.8 – 0.67× –
Hyun Soo Kim↔ 2017 -0.3 -1.8 2.5 -4.3 – 0.83× –
Zack Britton 2017 +0.6 +6.7 11.4 -4.7 $18.3M 1.34× –
Adam Jones 2017 +1.4 +9.6 16.3 -6.8 $11.4M 0.83× –
Jeremy Hellickson↔ 2017 -0.1 -1.1 5.7 -6.9 – 1.02× –
Ubaldo Jiménez 2017 +0.1 +1.0 13.5 -12.5 $111.9M 1.02× –
J.J. Hardy 2017 -0.3 -1.4 14.0 -15.4 – 0.61× –
Chris Tillman 2017 -0.9 -7.6 10.1 -17.6 – 1.02× –
Mark Trumbo 2017 -1.8 -10.1 11.5 -21.6 – 0.69× –
Chris Davis 2017 -0.4 -1.7 23.0 -24.7 – 0.56× –
Mike Wright Jr. 2017 +0.0 +0.2 0.2 -0.0 $5.6M 0.67× –
Tanner Scott 2017 +0.0 +0.0 0.0 -0.0 $16.9M 0.67× Free Agent · 2029–2029 · $18.0M AAV
Total—+19.7+213.9174.6+38.5—

Trades

Every graded 2017 deal involving the Orioles — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 17 total.

2017 · BAL / TBR
BAL · Dan Duquette +$3.2M
Tim Beckham
TBR · Erik Neander −$3.2M
Tobias Myers
BAL came out ahead by $3.2M
2017 · BAL / PHI
BAL · Dan Duquette +$0.8M
Alec Asher
PHI · Matt Klentak −$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
BAL came out ahead by $0.8M
2017 · BAL / ANA
BAL · Dan Duquette +$0.0M
Jordan Kipper
ANA · Billy Eppler +$0.0M
Damien Magnifico
Even trade
2017 · ANA / BAL
ANA · Billy Eppler +$4.0M
Parker Bridwell
BAL · Dan Duquette −$4.0M
cash / PTBNL
ANA came out ahead by $4.0M
2017 · LAD / BAL
LAD · Andrew Friedman +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
BAL · Dan Duquette +$0.0M
Jason Wheeler
Even trade
2017 · NYY / BAL
NYY · Brian Cashman +$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
BAL · Dan Duquette −$0.8M
Matt Wotherspoon
NYY came out ahead by $0.8M
2017 · COL / BAL
COL · Jeff Bridich +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
BAL · Dan Duquette +$0.0M
Konner Wade
Even trade
2017 · MIL / BAL
MIL · David Stearns +$3.2M
Oliver Drake
BAL · Dan Duquette −$3.2M
cash / PTBNL
MIL came out ahead by $3.2M
2017 · BAL / SEA
BAL · Dan Duquette +$9.6M
Paul Fry
SEA · Jerry Dipoto −$9.6M
cash / PTBNL
BAL came out ahead by $9.6M
2017 · BAL / NYY
BAL · Dan Duquette +$7.2M
Richard Bleier
NYY · Brian Cashman −$7.2M
cash / PTBNL
BAL came out ahead by $7.2M
2017 · BAL / MIL
BAL · Dan Duquette +$0.0M
Damien Magnifico
MIL · David Stearns +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Even trade
2017 · BAL / SEA
BAL · Dan Duquette +$8.8M
Seth Smith
SEA · Jerry Dipoto −$8.8M
Yovani Gallardo
BAL came out ahead by $8.8M
2017 · LAD / BAL
LAD · Andrew Friedman +$4.0M
Ryan Moseley
BAL · Dan Duquette −$4.0M
Vidal Nuño
LAD came out ahead by $4.0M
2017 · TEX / BAL
TEX · Jon Daniels +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
BAL · Dan Duquette +$0.0M
Andrew Faulkner
Even trade
2017 · OAK / BAL
OAK · Billy Beane +$0.0M
Jake Bray
BAL · Dan Duquette +$0.0M
Jaycob Brugman
Even trade
2017 · BAL / COL
BAL · Dan Duquette +$0.8M
Miguel Castro
COL · Jeff Bridich −$0.8M
Jon Keller
BAL came out ahead by $0.8M
2017 · PHI / BAL
PHI · Matt Klentak +$9.6M
Hyun Soo Kim, Garrett Cleavinger
BAL · Dan Duquette −$9.6M
Jeremy Hellickson
PHI came out ahead by $9.6M

Current & Historical Payroll

2017 payroll
$175.1M
2018 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2017, 2017–2023. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2017; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2017201820192020202120222023
Chris Davis317.061$23.0MFREE AGENT
Adam Jones319.139$16.3MFREE AGENT
J.J. Hardy3412.164$14.0MFREE AGENT
Ubaldo Jiménez339.087$13.5MFREE AGENT
Mark Trumbo316.027$11.5MFREE AGENT
Darren O'Day348.103$7.0MFREE AGENT
Seth Smith348.119$7.0MFREE AGENT
Jeremy Hellickson306.045$5.7MFREE AGENT
Pedro Álvarez306.085$2.0MFREE AGENT
Edwin Jackson3311.031$334kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2017201820192020202120222023
Manny Machado244.056$11.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Zack Britton294.158$11.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Tillman295.113$10.1MFREE AGENT
Wade Miley305.044$8.9MFREE AGENT
Welington Castillo305.009$6.0MFREE AGENT
Jonathan Schoop253.027$3.5MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Brach314.063$3.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Flaherty305.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
Rubén Tejada275.089$1.4MFREE AGENT
Vidal Nuño293.015$1.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Craig Gentry335.103$850kFREE AGENT
Paul Janish345.048$99kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (28)

PlayerAgeSvc2017201820192020202120222023
Kevin Gausman262.151$3.5MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hyun Soo Kim292.000$2.5MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dylan Bundy241.026$1.6MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Johnny Giavotella292.055$1.1MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Caleb Joseph312.145$700kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mychal Givens271.069$546kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Wilson271.037$545kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joey Rickard261.000$539kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Donnie Hart260.080$538kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trey Mancini250.015$536kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony Santander220.000$535kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Richard Bleier301.000$424kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Castro220.139$327kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Beckham272.134$323kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Wright Jr.271.027$237kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alec Asher250.144$231kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gabriel Ynoa240.038$161kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Stefan Crichton250.000$132kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jimmy Yacabonis250.000$111kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jayson Aquino240.034$99kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chance Sisco220.000$91kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Hays210.000$79kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Francisco Peña270.145$73kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Washington26–$64k
Richard Rodríguez270.000$47kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tanner Scott220.000$44kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Logan Verrett271.079$29kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Oliver Drake300.094$25kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2017 acquisition stacked onto Orioles's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

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Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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