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Orioles BAL

201689–73 (0.549)Made Playoffs
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GM: Dan Duquette

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2016, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$153M
Surplus $M
-32
Win %
0.549
TAB
+0.6
WAB
+4.5
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
37.2
Dead money %
14%
Depth Players
6.0
Dead WAR
-2.1

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2016 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

BMatt Wieters117
RCaleb Joseph48
RFrancisco Peña14

1B

LChris Davis152
RSteve Pearce⇄12
LRyan Flaherty7
RMark Trumbo6
RCaleb Joseph2
RTrey Mancini1

2B

RJonathan Schoop162
RSteve Pearce⇄5
LRyan Flaherty1

3B

RManny Machado114
LRyan Flaherty40
LPedro Álvarez12
RPaul Janish9

SS

RJ.J. Hardy115
RManny Machado45
LRyan Flaherty13
RPaul Janish6

LF

LHyun Soo Kim91
RNolan Reimold62
RJoey Rickard31
RDrew Stubbs⇄7
LMichael Bourn⇄4
LRyan Flaherty3
LJulio Borbon3
RSteve Pearce⇄2
RMark Trumbo1

CF

RAdam Jones152
LMichael Bourn⇄16
RJoey Rickard13
RNolan Reimold8
RDrew Stubbs⇄5
LJulio Borbon3

RF

RMark Trumbo95
RJoey Rickard51
RNolan Reimold32
RDrew Stubbs⇄7
LRyan Flaherty6
LMichael Bourn⇄4
LChris Davis3
RSteve Pearce⇄2
RDariel Álvarez1

DH

LPedro Álvarez85
RMark Trumbo59
RSteve Pearce⇄4
RTrey Mancini4
LChris Davis2
BMatt Wieters2
RNolan Reimold2
RDrew Stubbs⇄1

Starters

RKevin Gausman3.1 WAR
RChris Tillman2.4 WAR
RUbaldo Jimenez1.6 WAR
LWade Miley⇄1.0 WAR
RDylan Bundy0.9 WAR
RYovani Gallardo0.8 WAR
RTyler Wilson0.4 WAR
RMike Wright Jr.0.2 WAR
RVance Worley0.1 WAR

Bullpen

★ LZack Britton47 sv
RBrad Brach24 h
RMychal Givens13 h
RDarren O'Day10 h
LDonnie Hart4 h
LT.J. McFarland1 h
RVance Worley0 h
ROdrisamer Despaigne⇄0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2015)

PlayerfWAR
Mark Trumbo1.9
Hyun Soo Kim1.5
Pedro Álvarez1.1
Wade Miley1.0
Dylan Bundy0.9
Yovani Gallardo0.8

Key subtractions (gone from 2015)

Player2015 fWAR
Wei-Yin Chen2.8
Rey Navarro0.1
Travis Snider0.0
Wesley Wright0.0
Cesar Cabral-0.0
Chris Parmelee-0.0

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Orioles. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2016; everyone else is shown as a 2016 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Manny Machado 2016 +5.7 +65.4 5.0 +60.4 $0.9M 1.43× Extension · 2023–2033 · $31.8M AAV
Kevin Gausman 2016 +3.1 +48.8 0.5 +48.3 $0.2M 1.96× Free Agent · 2022–2026 · $22.0M AAV
Zack Britton 2016 +2.5 +51.7 6.8 +44.9 $2.7M 2.57× –
Jonathan Schoop 2016 +3.5 +29.7 0.5 +29.2 $0.2M 1.07× –
Brad Brach 2016 +1.7 +26.0 1.2 +24.8 $0.8M 1.95× –
Chris Tillman 2016 +2.4 +29.0 6.2 +22.8 $2.5M 1.49× –
Adam Jones 2016 +2.6 +33.3 16.3 +16.9 $6.3M 1.60× –
Hyun Soo Kim 2016 +1.5 +14.9 2.8 +12.1 $1.8M 1.22× –
Mark Trumbo 2016 +1.9 +18.7 9.2 +9.5 $4.8M 1.22× –
Ubaldo Jiménez 2016 +1.6 +19.3 13.0 +6.3 $8.0M 1.49× –
Wade Miley↔ 2016 +1.0 +8.2 2.3 +5.9 $2.2M 1.02× –
Mychal Givens 2016 +1.2 +6.2 0.5 +5.7 $0.4M 0.67× –
Joey Rickard 2016 +0.7 +4.5 0.5 +4.0 $0.8M 0.83× –
Dylan Bundy 2016 +0.9 +5.0 1.8 +3.2 $1.9M 0.67× –
Michael Bourn↔ 2016 +0.5 +3.2 0.1 +3.1 $0.1M 0.83× –
Tyler Wilson 2016 +0.4 +3.4 0.4 +3.1 $0.9M 1.02× –
Trey Mancini 2016 +0.3 +1.9 0.0 +1.9 $0.1M 0.69× –
Mike Wright Jr. 2016 +0.2 +1.5 0.5 +1.0 $2.8M 1.02× –
Oliver Drake 2016 +0.2 +1.0 0.1 +0.9 $0.7M 0.67× –
Donnie Hart 2016 +0.2 +0.9 0.2 +0.8 $1.0M 0.67× –
Aríel Miranda↔ 2016 +0.1 +0.5 0.0 +0.5 $0.2M 0.67× –
Tommy Hunter↔ 2016 +0.2 +1.2 0.7 +0.5 $3.1M 0.67× –
Dariel Álvarez 2016 +0.1 +0.4 0.0 +0.4 $0.1M 0.83× –
Jayson Aquino 2016 +0.1 +0.4 0.1 +0.3 $1.4M 0.67× –
Pedro Álvarez 2016 +1.1 +6.1 5.8 +0.3 $5.2M 0.69× –
Ashur Tolliver 2016 -0.0 -0.2 0.0 -0.3 – 0.67× –
Francisco Peña 2016 -0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.3 – 0.52× –
Logan Ondrusek 2016 -0.1 -0.3 0.0 -0.3 – 0.67× –
Chaz Roe↔ 2016 -0.1 -0.4 0.2 -0.6 – 0.67× –
Odrisamer Despaigne↔ 2016 -0.1 -0.5 0.1 -0.6 – 0.67× –
Parker Bridwell 2016 -0.1 -0.7 0.0 -0.7 – 0.67× –
Paul Janish 2016 -0.1 -0.6 0.2 -0.8 – 0.58× –
Julio Borbon 2016 -0.1 -1.0 0.0 -1.0 – 0.83× –
Steve Pearce↔ 2016 +0.1 +0.3 1.4 -1.1 $18.4M 0.56× –
Drew Stubbs↔ 2016 -0.2 -1.1 0.2 -1.3 – 0.83× –
J.J. Hardy 2016 +1.5 +11.0 12.5 -1.5 $8.1M 0.89× –
Ryan Flaherty 2016 -0.0 -0.2 1.5 -1.7 – 0.58× –
Caleb Joseph 2016 -0.3 -1.3 0.5 -1.8 – 0.52× –
T.J. McFarland 2016 -0.3 -1.4 0.5 -1.9 – 0.67× –
Vance Worley 2016 +0.1 +0.4 2.6 -2.2 $35.2M 0.67× –
Yovani Gallardo 2016 +0.8 +6.6 9.0 -2.4 $11.1M 1.02× –
Nolan Reimold 2016 -0.2 -1.5 1.3 -2.8 – 0.83× –
Darren O'Day 2016 +0.1 +0.9 6.0 -5.1 $70.1M 1.34× –
Brian Matusz↔ 2016 -0.4 -2.2 3.4 -5.6 – 0.67× –
Matt Wieters 2016 +1.4 +5.7 15.8 -10.1 $11.5M 0.52× –
Chris Davis 2016 +1.6 +10.4 23.0 -12.6 $14.4M 0.81× –
Brian Duensing 2016 +0.1 +0.3 0.3 -0.0 $5.9M 0.67× –
Total—+37.4+405.3153.1+252.1—

Trades

Every graded 2016 deal involving the Orioles — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 8 total.

2016 · SEA / BAL
SEA · Jerry Dipoto +$0.8M
Aríel Miranda
BAL · Dan Duquette −$0.8M
Wade Miley
SEA came out ahead by $0.8M
2016 · TBR / BAL
TBR · Matt Silverman +$5.6M
Jonah Heim
BAL · Dan Duquette −$5.6M
Steve Pearce
TBR came out ahead by $5.6M
2016 · PIT / BAL
PIT · Neal Huntington +$0.0M
Zach Phillips
BAL · Dan Duquette +$0.0M
Kyle Lobstein
Even trade
2016 · PHI / BAL
PHI · Matt Klentak +$0.0M
Alfredo Marte
BAL · Dan Duquette +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Even trade
2016 · BAL / ATL
BAL · Dan Duquette +$0.0M
Brandon Barker, Trevor Belicek
ATL · John Hart +$0.0M
Brian Matusz
Even trade
2016 · CHC / BAL
CHC · Theo Epstein +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
BAL · Dan Duquette +$0.0M
Edgar Olmos
Even trade
2016 · SDP / BAL
SDP · AJ Preller +$0.8M
Jean Cosme
BAL · Dan Duquette −$0.8M
Odrisamer Despaigne
SDP came out ahead by $0.8M
2016 · ARI / BAL
ARI · Dave Stewart +$6.4M
Jason Heinrich
BAL · Dan Duquette −$6.4M
Michael Bourn
ARI came out ahead by $6.4M

Current & Historical Payroll

2016 payroll
$153.3M
2017 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2016, 2016–2022. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2016; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2016201720182019202020212022
Chris Davis306.061$23.0MFREE AGENT
Adam Jones308.139$16.3MFREE AGENT
Matt Wieters306.129$15.8MFREE AGENT
Ubaldo Jiménez328.087$13.0MFREE AGENT
J.J. Hardy3312.164$12.5MFREE AGENT
Yovani Gallardo308.108$9.0MFREE AGENT
Darren O'Day337.103$6.0MFREE AGENT
Steve Pearce339.000$1.4MFREE AGENT
Tommy Hunter296.090$727kFREE AGENT
Brian Duensing336.104$341kFREE AGENT
Drew Stubbs316.005$172kFREE AGENT
Michael Bourn339.028$64kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2016201720182019202020212022
Mark Trumbo305.027$9.2MFREE AGENT
Zack Britton283.158$6.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Tillman284.113$6.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Álvarez295.085$5.8MFREE AGENT
Manny Machado233.056$5.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Matusz295.156$3.4MFREE AGENT
Vance Worley283.112$2.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wade Miley294.044$2.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Flaherty294.000$1.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Nolan Reimold325.113$1.3MFREE AGENT
Brad Brach303.063$1.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Janish334.156$175kARB 3FREE AGENT
Logan Ondrusek314.125$42kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (22)

PlayerAgeSvc2016201720182019202020212022
Hyun Soo Kim282.000$2.8MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dylan Bundy230.026$1.8MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Gausman251.151$532kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
T.J. McFarland272.061$524kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Caleb Joseph301.145$524kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Schoop242.027$522kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mychal Givens260.069$511kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Wright Jr.260.100$510kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joey Rickard250.000$507kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Wilson261.037$386kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chaz Roe291.041$216kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Donnie Hart250.000$172kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Oliver Drake290.048$128kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Francisco Peña260.070$122kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Odrisamer Despaigne292.075$117kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jayson Aquino230.034$94kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trey Mancini240.000$42kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ashur Tolliver280.000$36kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Julio Borbon302.105$22kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aríel Miranda271.061$14kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Parker Bridwell240.104$11kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dariel Álvarez270.045$8kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2016 acquisition stacked onto Orioles's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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