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Orioles BAL

201847–115 (0.290)
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GM: Dan Duquette

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2018, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$132M
Surplus $M
-89
Win %
0.290
TAB
-22.3
WAB
-35.0
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
12.0
Dead money %
66%
Depth Players
1.0
Dead WAR
-8.7

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2018 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RCaleb Joseph81
LChance Sisco55
RAustin Wynns41
RAndrew Susac7

1B

LChris Davis116
RTrey Mancini47
LCorban Joseph5
RMark Trumbo3
RCaleb Joseph2
RDanny Valencia2
LPedro Álvarez1

2B

RJonathan Schoop⇄85
BJonathan Villar⇄46
LJace Peterson⇄18
BBreyvic Valera⇄11
BStevie Wilkerson9
BLuis Sardinas8
BEngelb Vielma4
RTim Beckham3
LCorban Joseph2

3B

RManny Machado⇄96
RRenato Núñez⇄67
RTim Beckham40
RDanny Valencia39
LJace Peterson⇄35
LPedro Álvarez8
BStevie Wilkerson6

SS

RTim Beckham49
BJonathan Villar⇄8
LJace Peterson⇄3
BEngelb Vielma2
BBreyvic Valera⇄1
BStevie Wilkerson1

LF

RTrey Mancini98
RJoey Rickard36
RCraig Gentry31
LJace Peterson⇄23
RJohn Andreoli⇄14
LDJ Stewart9
LColby Rasmus4
RAdam Jones2
BAnthony Santander1
LCedric Mullins1

CF

RAdam Jones106
LCedric Mullins45
RCraig Gentry15
RJoey Rickard9
RJohn Andreoli⇄2
LColby Rasmus1

RF

RJoey Rickard40
RAdam Jones33
BAnthony Santander29
RCraig Gentry24
RMark Trumbo19
RDanny Valencia19
LJace Peterson⇄16
LColby Rasmus11
LDJ Stewart6
RJohn Andreoli⇄6

DH

RMark Trumbo65
LPedro Álvarez30
RTrey Mancini17
RDanny Valencia15
LChris Davis12
RTim Beckham7
RAdam Jones6
BAnthony Santander3
LChance Sisco2
RJohn Andreoli⇄2
LColby Rasmus2
LDJ Stewart2
LCorban Joseph1
RAustin Wynns1
LJace Peterson⇄1
RRenato Núñez⇄1

Starters

RAlex Cobb1.5 WAR
RKevin Gausman⇄1.5 WAR
RDylan Bundy1.0 WAR
RAndrew Cashner0.6 WAR
RYefry Ramirez0.3 WAR
RMike Wright Jr.0.1 WAR
RDavid Hess0.1 WAR
LJosh Rogers0.0 WAR
RLuis F. Ortiz-0.0 WAR
RJimmy Yacabonis-0.1 WAR
REvan Phillips⇄-0.2 WAR
RMiguel Castro-0.2 WAR
RRyan Meisinger-0.2 WAR
RChris Tillman-0.4 WAR

Bullpen

★ RMychal Givens9 sv
LPaul Fry9 h
LRichard Bleier9 h
RMiguel Castro5 h
LTanner Scott5 h
RDarren O'Day4 h
RMike Wright Jr.1 h
RBrad Brach⇄0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2017)

PlayerfWAR
Alex Cobb1.5
Jonathan Villar1.1
Renato Núñez0.7
Paul Fry0.7
Andrew Cashner0.6
DJ Stewart0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2017)

Player2017 fWAR
Welington Castillo1.9
Seth Smith0.9
Francisco Peña0.3
Ubaldo Jiménez0.1
Oliver Drake0.0
Stefan Crichton-0.0

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Orioles. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2018; everyone else is shown as a 2018 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Manny Machado↔ 2018 +4.5 +45.2 9.5 +35.7 $2.1M 1.25× Extension · 2023–2033 · $31.8M AAV
Mychal Givens 2018 +1.8 +28.7 0.6 +28.1 $0.3M 1.95× –
Kevin Gausman↔ 2018 +1.5 +11.9 3.7 +8.2 $2.5M 1.02× Free Agent · 2022–2026 · $22.0M AAV
Joey Rickard 2018 +1.0 +6.7 0.3 +6.3 $0.3M 0.83× –
Dylan Bundy 2018 +1.0 +7.9 1.6 +6.2 $1.7M 1.02× –
Jonathan Villar↔ 2018 +1.1 +5.1 1.0 +4.2 $0.9M 0.56× –
Alex Cobb 2018 +1.5 +18.0 14.0 +4.0 $9.2M 1.49× –
Richard Bleier 2018 +0.8 +4.4 0.6 +3.9 $0.7M 0.67× –
Paul Fry 2018 +0.7 +3.9 0.3 +3.6 $0.4M 0.67× –
Craig Gentry 2018 +0.7 +4.4 0.9 +3.5 $1.4M 0.83× –
Renato Núñez↔ 2018 +0.7 +3.5 0.2 +3.3 $0.2M 0.58× –
Tanner Scott 2018 +0.7 +3.6 0.4 +3.1 $0.7M 0.67× Free Agent · 2029–2029 · $18.0M AAV
DJ Stewart 2018 +0.4 +2.5 0.1 +2.5 $0.2M 0.83× –
Yefry Ramírez 2018 +0.3 +2.2 0.3 +1.9 $1.0M 1.02× –
Jace Peterson↔ 2018 +0.3 +1.5 0.5 +1.0 $1.4M 0.58× –
Trey Mancini 2018 +0.2 +1.2 0.6 +0.6 $3.2M 0.83× –
Breyvic Valera↔ 2018 +0.1 +0.4 0.0 +0.3 $0.4M 0.56× –
Cedric Mullins 2018 +0.1 +0.4 0.2 +0.2 $3.6M 0.83× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $7.0M AAV
David Hess 2018 +0.1 +0.5 0.3 +0.2 $5.1M 1.02× –
John Means 2018 +0.0 +0.1 0.0 +0.1 $1.5M 0.67× –
Josh Rogers 2018 +0.0 +0.2 0.1 +0.1 $4.7M 1.02× –
Luis Ortiz 2018 -0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.2 – 1.02× –
Mike Wright Jr. 2018 +0.1 +0.3 0.6 -0.2 $9.5M 0.67× –
Donnie Hart 2018 -0.0 -0.2 0.2 -0.3 – 0.67× –
Engelb Vielma 2018 -0.1 -0.3 0.0 -0.4 – 0.56× –
Corban Joseph 2018 -0.1 -0.6 0.1 -0.7 – 0.56× –
Jimmy Yacabonis 2018 -0.1 -0.6 0.1 -0.7 – 1.02× –
Brad Brach↔ 2018 +0.4 +2.3 3.1 -0.8 $7.2M 0.67× –
Jonathan Schoop↔ 2018 +1.1 +4.7 5.5 -0.8 $5.3M 0.56× –
Sean Gilmartin 2018 -0.1 -0.7 0.1 -0.9 – 0.67× –
John Andreoli↔ 2018 -0.1 -0.9 0.1 -1.0 – 0.83× –
Jhan Mariñez 2018 -0.2 -1.0 0.2 -1.1 – 0.67× –
Evan Phillips↔ 2018 -0.2 -1.1 0.0 -1.2 – 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $6.5M AAV
Luis Sardinas 2018 -0.3 -1.1 0.2 -1.4 – 0.56× –
Andrew Susac 2018 -0.3 -1.4 0.0 -1.5 – 0.52× –
Danny Valencia 2018 -0.1 -0.3 1.2 -1.5 – 0.58× –
Pedro Álvarez 2018 -0.1 -0.5 1.0 -1.5 – 0.69× –
Ryan Meisinger 2018 -0.2 -1.3 0.2 -1.5 – 0.67× –
Andrew Cashner 2018 +0.6 +4.9 6.5 -1.6 $10.7M 1.02× –
Miguel Castro 2018 -0.2 -1.3 0.6 -1.8 – 0.67× –
Nestor Cortes 2018 -0.3 -1.4 0.5 -1.9 – 0.67× –
Chance Sisco 2018 -0.4 -1.5 0.5 -2.1 – 0.52× –
Cody Carroll 2018 -0.4 -2.4 0.1 -2.5 – 0.67× –
Anthony Santander 2018 -0.3 -2.1 0.5 -2.6 – 0.83× Free Agent · 2030–2030 · $18.5M AAV
Caleb Joseph 2018 -0.4 -1.5 1.2 -2.7 – 0.52× –
Pedro Araújo 2018 -0.6 -3.1 0.5 -3.6 – 0.67× –
Darren O'Day 2018 +0.4 +2.2 6.0 -3.8 $14.4M 0.67× –
Tim Beckham 2018 -0.2 -0.8 3.4 -4.2 – 0.61× –
Zack Britton↔ 2018 +0.0 +0.1 4.7 -4.6 $295.4M 0.67× –
Colby Rasmus 2018 -0.4 -2.8 3.0 -5.8 – 0.83× –
Chris Tillman 2018 -0.4 -3.3 3.0 -6.3 – 1.02× –
Mark Trumbo 2018 +0.3 +1.7 12.5 -10.8 $41.4M 0.69× –
Adam Jones 2018 +0.3 +1.7 17.3 -15.6 $66.0M 0.83× –
Chris Davis 2018 -2.5 -11.3 23.0 -34.3 – 0.56× –
Austin Wynns 2018 +0.1 +0.3 0.3 +0.0 $3.8M 0.52× –
Stevie Wilkerson 2018 -0.6 -2.6 – – – 0.56× –
Total—+12.2+126.3131.5-2.9—

Trades

Every graded 2018 deal involving the Orioles — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 9 total.

2018 · SFG / BAL
SFG · Brian Sabean +$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
BAL · Dan Duquette −$0.8M
Engelb Vielma
SFG came out ahead by $0.8M
2018 · PHI / BAL
PHI · Matt Klentak +$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
BAL · Dan Duquette −$0.8M
Drew Jackson
PHI came out ahead by $0.8M
2018 · MIL / BAL
MIL · David Stearns +$1.6M
cash / PTBNL
BAL · Dan Duquette −$1.6M
Andrew Susac
MIL came out ahead by $1.6M
2018 · ARI / BAL
ARI · Mike Hazen +$2.4M
Stefan Crichton
BAL · Dan Duquette −$2.4M
cash / PTBNL
ARI came out ahead by $2.4M
2018 · BAL / NYY
BAL · Dan Duquette +$36.0M
Dillon Tate, Cody Carroll, Josh Rogers
NYY · Brian Cashman −$36.0M
Zack Britton
BAL came out ahead by $36.0M
2018 · ATL / BAL
ATL · Alex Anthopoulos +$0.0M
Brad Brach
BAL · Dan Duquette +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Even trade
2018 · BAL / LAD
BAL · Dan Duquette +$10.4M
Breyvic Valera, Yusniel Díaz, Zach Pop, Dean Kremer, Rylan Bannon
LAD · Andrew Friedman −$10.4M
Manny Machado
BAL came out ahead by $10.4M
2018 · BAL / MIL
BAL · Dan Duquette +$26.4M
Jonathan Villar, Luis Ortiz, Jean Carmona
MIL · David Stearns −$26.4M
Jonathan Schoop
BAL came out ahead by $26.4M
2018 · ATL / BAL
ATL · Alex Anthopoulos +$4.0M
Kevin Gausman, Darren O'Day
BAL · Dan Duquette −$4.0M
JC Encarnación, Brett Cumberland, Evan Phillips, Bruce Zimmermann
ATL came out ahead by $4.0M

Current & Historical Payroll

2018 payroll
$131.7M
2019 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2018, 2018–2024. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2018; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2018201920202021202220232024
Chris Davis328.061$23.0MFREE AGENT
Adam Jones3210.139$17.3MFREE AGENT
Alex Cobb306.061$14.0MFREE AGENT
Mark Trumbo327.027$12.5MFREE AGENT
Andrew Cashner317.126$6.5MFREE AGENT
Darren O'Day359.103$6.0MFREE AGENT
Colby Rasmus318.103$3.0MFREE AGENT
Chris Tillman306.113$3.0MFREE AGENT
Danny Valencia338.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Pedro Álvarez316.116$1.0MFREE AGENT
Craig Gentry346.065$900kFREE AGENT
Nestor Cortes236.094$545kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2018201920202021202220232024
Manny Machado255.056$9.5MFREE AGENT
Jonathan Schoop264.027$5.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Zack Britton305.158$4.7MFREE AGENT
Kevin Gausman273.151$3.7MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Beckham283.134$3.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Brach325.063$3.1MFREE AGENT
Caleb Joseph323.145$1.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Villar273.113$977kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jace Peterson283.033$454kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Fry254.114$275kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (34)

PlayerAgeSvc2018201920202021202220232024
Dylan Bundy252.026$1.6MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mychal Givens282.069$566kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trey Mancini261.015$556kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Richard Bleier311.074$556kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Wright Jr.281.111$554kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Castro231.079$553kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony Santander231.000$546kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chance Sisco230.031$546kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Araújo240.000$545kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tanner Scott230.015$434kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joey Rickard271.168$349kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Hess240.000$343kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Wynns270.000$305kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yefry Ramírez240.000$272kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Sardinas251.141$234kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cedric Mullins230.000$196kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Renato Núñez240.048$176kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Donnie Hart271.049$166kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Meisinger240.000$164kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jhan Mariñez291.095$152kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Gilmartin281.073$149kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cody Carroll250.000$144kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Andreoli280.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jimmy Yacabonis260.039$105kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Rogers230.000$100kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Corban Joseph290.027$85kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Ortiz220.000$79kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
DJ Stewart240.000$59kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Engelb Vielma24–$50k
Evan Phillips230.000$49kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Susac281.164$47kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Breyvic Valera260.018$36kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Means250.000$21kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Stevie Wilkerson26–—

Graphs

How each 2018 acquisition stacked onto Orioles's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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