Rosternomics

Orioles BAL

200074–88 (0.457)
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GM: Syd Thrift

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2000, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$76M
Win %
0.457
TAB
-11.0
WAB
-12.2
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
27.3
Dead money %
31%
Depth Players
6.0
Dead WAR
-7.5

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2000 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

LB.J. Surhoff102
RCharles Johnson84
RBrook Fordyce53
LGreg Myers28
RFernando Lunar9
RWillie Morales3

1B

LWill Clark73
LChris Richard55
RJeff Conine39
RRyan Minor5
RRich Amaral1
RMike Kinkade1

2B

LDelino DeShields96
RJerry Hairston Jr.49
RMark Lewis21
RJesse Garcia6
RMelvin Mora3

3B

RCal Ripken Jr.73
RJeff Conine44
RMark Lewis34
RRyan Minor26
LIvanon Coffie15

SS

RMike Bordick100
RMelvin Mora50
RMark Lewis14
RJesse Garcia5
LIvanon Coffie4

LF

LDelino DeShields39
RTrenidad Hubbard21
LBrady Anderson16
RJeff Conine7
RRich Amaral3
LKarim Garcia2
RLuis Matos1

CF

LBrady Anderson88
RLuis Matos44
BGene Kingsale24
RRich Amaral12
LDelino DeShields2

RF

RAlbert Belle110
RLuis Matos25
LBrady Anderson24
RJeff Conine12
RTrenidad Hubbard10
RRich Amaral4
LChris Richard3

DH

LHarold Baines72
RAlbert Belle31
RJeff Conine14
RCal Ripken Jr.10
LDelino DeShields9
LBrady Anderson8
LGreg Myers6
LWill Clark6
LKarim Garcia3
RMike Kinkade2
LB.J. Surhoff1
RCarlos Casimiro1
LChris Richard1

Starters

RMike Mussina6.4 WAR
RSidney Ponson3.2 WAR
RPat Rapp2.2 WAR
RJose Mercedes1.5 WAR
LChuck McElroy0.5 WAR
RScott Erickson0.3 WAR
RLesli Brea-0.1 WAR
LJohn Parrish-0.2 WAR
RJay Spurgeon-0.2 WAR
RJason Johnson-0.3 WAR
RCalvin Maduro-0.6 WAR

Bullpen

RRyan Kohlmeier13 sv
LBuddy Groom27 h
RMike Trombley19 h
RAlan Mills8 h
LB.J. Ryan6 h
LChuck McElroy2 h
RCalvin Maduro1 h
RMike Timlin0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 1999)

PlayerfWAR
Pat Rapp2.2
Jose Mercedes1.5
Buddy Groom1.1
Brook Fordyce1.0
Melvin Mora0.6
Chris Richard0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 1999)

Player1999 fWAR
Juan Guzman1.1
Doug Johns0.8
Scott Kamieniecki0.6
Jim Corsi0.1
Derrick May0.1
Jeff Reboulet0.1

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Orioles. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2000; everyone else is shown as a 2000 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Mike Mussina 2000 +6.4 +127.3 6.8 +120.5 $1.1M 2.50×
Sidney Ponson 2000 +3.2 +49.7 0.4 +49.3 $0.1M 1.96×
Pat Rapp 2000 +2.2 +26.2 0.8 +25.5 $0.3M 1.49×
Charles Johnson 2000 +3.1 +24.7 3.0 +21.6 $1.0M 1.00×
B.J. Surhoff 2000 +2.2 +18.0 2.9 +15.1 $1.3M 1.01×
Delino DeShields 2000 +2.5 +16.3 4.2 +12.1 $1.7M 0.82×
Mike Bordick 2000 +1.8 +12.9 1.9 +11.0 $1.1M 0.89×
Buddy Groom 2000 +1.1 +11.7 1.8 +9.9 $1.6M 1.34×
Will Clark 2000 +1.6 +12.9 3.6 +9.3 $2.3M 1.01×
Brady Anderson 2000 +1.7 +16.2 7.1 +9.1 $4.3M 1.22×
Jerry Hairston Jr. 2000 +1.0 +4.5 0.2 +4.3 $0.2M 0.56×
Ryan Kohlmeier 2000 +0.4 +4.3 0.2 +4.1 $0.5M 1.34×
Brook Fordyce 2000 +1.0 +4.3 0.4 +3.9 $0.4M 0.52×
Melvin Mora 2000 +0.6 +2.9 0.1 +2.8 $0.1M 0.61×
Luis Matos 2000 +0.4 +2.7 0.2 +2.5 $0.5M 0.83×
Chris Richard 2000 +0.5 +2.3 0.2 +2.1 $0.3M 0.56×
Chuck McElroy 2000 +0.5 +2.6 1.4 +1.2 $2.9M 0.67×
Willie Morales 2000 +0.1 +0.4 0.2 +0.2 $2.0M 0.52×
Luis Rivera 2000 -0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 0.67×
Cal Ripken Jr. 2000 +1.3 +6.0 6.3 -0.3 $4.9M 0.58×
Fernando Lunar 2000 -0.1 -0.3 0.1 -0.4 0.52×
Jesse Garcia 2000 -0.1 -0.2 0.2 -0.5 0.56×
Harold Baines 2000 +0.2 +0.9 1.5 -0.6 $9.6M 0.69×
Rich Amaral 2000 -0.0 -0.1 0.5 -0.6 0.83×
Jeff Conine 2000 +0.4 +1.7 2.5 -0.8 $6.8M 0.58×
Al Reyes 2000 -0.2 -0.9 0.4 -1.3 0.67×
B.J. Ryan 2000 -0.2 -1.0 0.2 -1.3 0.67×
Darren Holmes 2000 -0.2 -1.0 0.5 -1.5 0.67×
Greg Myers 2000 -0.2 -0.8 1.2 -2.0 0.52×
Karim Garcia 2000 -0.3 -1.7 0.3 -2.0 0.69×
Jay Spurgeon 2000 -0.2 -2.0 0.2 -2.2 1.02×
Tim Worrell 2000 -0.4 -2.1 0.1 -2.2 0.67×
Mark Lewis 2000 -0.4 -1.7 0.5 -2.3 0.58×
Jason Johnson 2000 -0.3 -2.2 0.3 -2.5 1.02×
Mike Timlin 2000 -0.1 -0.5 2.5 -3.1 0.67×
Calvin Maduro 2000 -0.6 -3.4 0.2 -3.6 0.67×
Trenidad Hubbard 2000 -0.5 -3.6 0.1 -3.7 0.83×
Scott Erickson 2000 +0.3 +2.4 6.6 -4.2 $22.5M 1.02×
Alan Mills 2000 -0.7 -3.6 1.3 -4.8 0.67×
Gene Kingsale 2000 -0.7 -4.6 0.2 -4.8 0.83×
Mike Trombley 2000 -0.4 -4.6 2.2 -6.9 1.34×
Albert Belle 2000 +0.9 +5.9 12.9 -7.0 $14.6M 0.83×
Carlos Casimiro 2000 -0.1 -0.6 0.69×
Gabe Molina 2000 -0.1 -0.4 0.67×
Ivanon Coffie 2000 -0.2 -1.0 0.58×
John Parrish 2000 -0.2 -1.6 1.02×
Jose Mercedes 2000 +1.5 +17.9 1.49×
Lesli Brea 2000 -0.1 -0.4 0.67×
Mike Kinkade 2000 +0.1 +0.5 0.69×
Ryan Minor 2000 -1.3 -5.8 0.58×
Total+27.4+331.076.2+245.8

Trades

Every graded 2000 deal involving the Orioles — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 10 total.

Current & Historical Payroll

2000 payroll
$76.4M

What the front office was committed to as of 2000, 2000–2006. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (25)

PlayerAgeSvc2000200120022003200420052006
Albert Belle3311.000$12.9MFREE AGENT
Brady Anderson3612.000$7.1M$7.2MFREE AGENT
Mike Mussina319.000$6.8MFREE AGENT
Scott Erickson3210.000$6.6MFREE AGENT$5.1M
Cal Ripken Jr.3919.000$6.3M$6.3MFREE AGENT
Delino DeShields3110.000$4.2M$2.3MFREE AGENT
Will Clark3614.000$3.6MFREE AGENT
Charles Johnson286.000$3.0MFREE AGENT
B.J. Surhoff3513.000$2.9MFREE AGENT$1.0M$800k$1.1M
Mike Timlin349.000$2.5MFREE AGENT
Jeff Conine3410.000$2.5M$3.0M$3.5M$3.5MFREE AGENT$1.4M
Mike Trombley338.000$2.2M$1.7MFREE AGENT
Mike Bordick3410.000$1.9M$4.5M$4.9MFREE AGENT
Buddy Groom348.000$1.8M$2.0M$2.5M$3.0M$3.0MFREE AGENT
Harold Baines4120.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Chuck McElroy3211.000$1.4M$962kFREE AGENT
Alan Mills3310.000$1.3M$3.0MFREE AGENT
Greg Myers3413.000$1.2M$683kFREE AGENT
Pat Rapp328.000$750kFREE AGENT
Darren Holmes3410.000$532kFREE AGENT
Mark Lewis309.000$520kFREE AGENT
Rich Amaral389.000$500kFREE AGENT
Trenidad Hubbard366.000$135kFREE AGENT
Tim Worrell327.000$59kFREE AGENT
Jose Mercedes296.000$2.8MFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (6)

PlayerAgeSvc2000200120022003200420052006
Al Reyes305.000$424kFREE AGENT
Brook Fordyce305.000$385kFREE AGENT
Karim Garcia245.000$350kFREE AGENT
Jason Johnson263.000$300kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Calvin Maduro254.000$205kARB 3FREE AGENT
Gene Kingsale234.000$204kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (19)

PlayerAgeSvc2000200120022003200420052006
Sidney Ponson232.000$400kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jerry Hairston Jr.242.000$205kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
B.J. Ryan241.000$204kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesse Garcia261.000$201kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Kohlmeier230.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Willie Morales270.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jay Spurgeon230.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Matos210.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Richard260.000$181kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Melvin Mora281.000$84kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Fernando Lunar230.000$58kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Rivera220.000$33kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Kinkade272.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Minor262.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Casimiro23
Ivanon Coffie23
Gabe Molina25
Lesli Brea26
John Parrish220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2000 acquisition stacked onto Orioles's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.