RRosternomics
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Orioles BAL

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GM: Syd Thrift

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.85× league · TAB -12.9
-12.9TAB — talent above budget27th/30
-16.4WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)30th/30
2.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars28th/30
-6.5dead WAR — sub-replacement drag22nd/30
49%dead money %27th/30
0.391win %28th/30
19.2roster fWAR25th/30
-21surplus $M (value vs cost)20th/30
$53Mpayroll $M17th/30

Roster

CFMelvin Mora 88GChris Richard 36GLuis Matos 23G
LFBrady Anderson 56GMike Kinkade 29GJay Gibbons 28G
RFChris Richard 69GBrady Anderson 66GLarry Bigbie 17G
SSMike Bordick 58GBrian Roberts 51GMelvin Mora 43G
2BJerry Hairston Jr. 156GBrian Roberts 12GMelvin Mora 1G
3BCal Ripken Jr. 111GTony Batista 101GJeff Conine 17G
1BJeff Conine 80GDavid Segui 65GChris Richard 18G
STARTERSJose Mercedes 2.5WARJosh Towers 1.4WARSidney Ponson 1.3WARJason Johnson 1.2WARWillis Roberts 1.2WAR
CBrook Fordyce 95GFernando Lunar 64GGeronimo Gil 17G
DHTony Batista 32GJay Gibbons 27GChris Richard 19G
BULLPEN★ Buddy Groom 11svB.J. Ryan 13hChad Paronto 5hJohn Wasdin 4hRyan Kohlmeier 3hJorge Julio 3hJohn Parrish 2hAlan Mills 1h
CBrook Fordyce 95 · Fernando Lunar 64 · Geronimo Gil 17
1BJeff Conine 80 · David Segui 65 · Chris Richard 18
2BJerry Hairston Jr. 156 · Brian Roberts 12 · Melvin Mora 1
3BCal Ripken Jr. 111 · Tony Batista 101 · Jeff Conine 17
SSMike Bordick 58 · Brian Roberts 51 · Melvin Mora 43
LFBrady Anderson 56 · Mike Kinkade 29 · Jay Gibbons 28
CFMelvin Mora 88 · Chris Richard 36 · Luis Matos 23
RFChris Richard 69 · Brady Anderson 66 · Larry Bigbie 17
DHTony Batista 32 · Jay Gibbons 27 · Chris Richard 19
SPJose Mercedes 2.5 · Josh Towers 1.4 · Sidney Ponson 1.3 · Jason Johnson 1.2 · Willis Roberts 1.2
BP★ Buddy Groom 11 · B.J. Ryan 13 · Chad Paronto 5 · John Wasdin 4 · Ryan Kohlmeier 3 · Jorge Julio 3 · John Parrish 2 · Alan Mills 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2001 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Jeff Conine 35 FA-elig 1392.7 3.0 +1.3
Jose Mercedes 30 FA-elig 332.5 2.8 +1.3
Buddy Groom 35 FA-elig 701.9 2.0 +1.1
Chris Richard 27 pre-arb 1361.8 0.2 +2.8
Tony Batista↔ TOR 27 arb 841.8 1.8 +1.2
Melvin Mora 29 pre-arb 1281.8 0.3 +2.6
David Segui 34 FA-elig 821.7 7.0 -4.2
Josh Towers 24 – 241.4 – –
Sidney Ponson 24 arb 231.3 2.1 -0.0
Willis Roberts 26 pre-arb 461.2 0.2 +1.8
Jason Johnson 27 arb 321.2 0.3 +1.6
Pat Hentgen 32 FA-elig 90.9 4.5 -3.1
Calvin Maduro 26 arb 220.8 0.2 +1.0
Jay Gibbons 24 pre-arb 730.7 0.2 +1.0
John Wasdin↔ COL 28 FA-elig 260.7 0.6 +0.5
Mike Trombley↔ LAD 34 FA-elig 500.6 1.7 -0.8
Mike Bordick 35 FA-elig 580.4 4.5 -3.8
Fernando Lunar 24 pre-arb 640.4 0.2 +0.4
Greg Myers↔ OAK 35 FA-elig 250.4 0.5 +0.1
Luis Matos 22 pre-arb 310.4 0.2 +0.4
Jorge Julio 22 – 180.3 – –
B.J. Ryan 25 pre-arb 610.3 0.2 +0.2
Jerry Hairston Jr. 25 arb 1590.2 0.2 +0.1
Sean Douglass 22 – 40.1 – –
Geronimo Gil 25 – 170.1 – –
Tim Raines Sr.↔ WSN 41 FA-elig 40.1 0.0 +0.1
John Bale 27 – 140.1 – –
Mike Kinkade 28 arb 61-0.0 0.2 -0.2
Rick Bauer 24 – 6-0.0 – –
Kris Foster 26 – 7-0.0 – –
Casey Blake↔ MIN 27 – 6-0.1 – –
Larry Bigbie 23 – 47-0.1 – –
Gene Kingsale↔ SEA 24 – 3-0.1 – –
Tim Raines Jr. 21 – 7-0.1 – –
Chad Paronto 25 – 24-0.3 – –
Delino DeShields↔ CHC 32 FA-elig 58-0.3 2.0 -2.5
Lesli Brea 27 – 2-0.3 – –
Brady Anderson 37 FA-elig 131-0.4 7.2 -7.8
John Parrish 23 – 16-0.4 – –
Willie Harris 23 – 9-0.4 – –
Chuck McElroy↔ SDP 33 FA-elig 18-0.5 0.6 -1.3
Cal Ripken Jr. 40 FA-elig 128-0.5 6.3 -7.1
Brian Roberts 23 – 75-0.6 – –
Brook Fordyce 31 FA-elig 95-0.6 0.8 -1.8
Alan Mills 34 FA-elig 15-0.7 3.0 -4.1
Ryan Kohlmeier 24 pre-arb 34-1.0 0.2 -1.9

Key additions (new vs 2000)

PlayerfWAR
Tony Batista1.8
David Segui1.7
Josh Towers1.4
Willis Roberts1.2
Pat Hentgen0.9
Jay Gibbons0.7

Key subtractions (gone from 2000)

Player2000 fWAR
Mike Mussina6.4
Charles Johnson3.1
B.J. Surhoff2.2
Pat Rapp2.2
Will Clark1.6
Albert Belle0.9

Current & Historical Payroll

2001 payroll
$53.1M

What the front office was committed to as of 2001, 2001–2007. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (16)

PlayerAgeSvc2001200220032004200520062007
Brady Anderson3713.000$7.2MFREE AGENT
David Segui3411.000$7.0M$6.8M$7.0M$7.0MFREE AGENT
Cal Ripken Jr.4020.000$6.3MFREE AGENT
Mike Bordick3511.000$4.5M$4.9MFREE AGENT
Pat Hentgen3210.000$4.5M$4.2M$1.2MFREE AGENT
Jeff Conine3511.000$3.0M$3.5M$3.5MFREE AGENT$1.4M
Alan Mills3411.000$3.0MFREE AGENT
Jose Mercedes307.000$2.8MFREE AGENT
Buddy Groom359.000$2.0M$2.5M$3.0M$3.0MFREE AGENT
Delino DeShields3211.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Mike Trombley349.000$1.7MFREE AGENT
Brook Fordyce316.000$825k$2.5M$3.5MFREE AGENT
John Wasdin286.000$576kFREE AGENT
Chuck McElroy3312.000$558kFREE AGENT
Greg Myers3514.000$517kFREE AGENT
Tim Raines Sr.4122.000$27kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (7)

PlayerAgeSvc2001200220032004200520062007
Sidney Ponson243.000$2.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Batista275.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
Jason Johnson274.000$350kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jerry Hairston Jr.253.000$235kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Kinkade283.000$215kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Calvin Maduro265.000$210kFREE AGENT
Gene Kingsale245.000—FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (23)

PlayerAgeSvc2001200220032004200520062007
Melvin Mora292.000$270kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Richard271.000$232kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Kohlmeier241.000$230kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Matos221.000$226kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
B.J. Ryan252.000$210kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Fernando Lunar241.000$205kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Willis Roberts262.000$200kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jay Gibbons240.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Bale272.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Casey Blake272.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kris Foster26–—
Lesli Brea27–—
Geronimo Gil250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Parrish231.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Douglass220.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Towers240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Paronto250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge Julio220.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Raines Jr.21–—
Brian Roberts230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Larry Bigbie230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rick Bauer240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Willie Harris230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Orioles 2001; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.