RRosternomics
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Braves ATL

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President of baseball ops: John Hart · GM: John Coppolella

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 4 in this regime · payroll 0.95× league · TAB -10.4
-10.4TAB — talent above budget24th/30
-9.3WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)24th/30
3.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars26th/30
-6.7dead WAR — sub-replacement drag22nd/30
39%dead money %17th/30
0.444win %23rd/30
23.2roster fWAR25th/30
-46surplus $M (value vs cost)23rd/30
$125Mpayroll $M17th/30

Roster

CFEnder Inciarte 156GLane Adams 11GDanny Santana 3G
LFMatt Kemp 103GDanny Santana 38GLane Adams 27G
RFNick Markakis 156GDanny Santana 9GLane Adams 7G
SSDansby Swanson 142GJohan Camargo 26GJace Peterson 4G
2BOzzie Albies 57GJace Peterson 15GJohan Camargo 9G
3BJohan Camargo 43GRio Ruiz 41GAdonis García 39G
1BFreddie Freeman 105GMatt Adams 62GJace Peterson 7G
STARTERSR.A. Dickey 1.4WARMike Foltynewicz 1.3WARSean Newcomb 0.9WARJulio Teheran 0.9WARLuiz Gohara 0.9WAR
CTyler Flowers 85GKurt Suzuki 77GDavid Freitas 6G
DHMatt Kemp 5GDanny Santana 2GNick Markakis 2G
BULLPEN★ Jim Johnson 22svJosé Ramírez 27hArodys Vizcaíno 17hSam Freeman 12hJason Motte 5hIan Krol 3hRex Brothers 2hLuke Jackson 1h
CTyler Flowers 85 · Kurt Suzuki 77 · David Freitas 6
1BFreddie Freeman 105 · Matt Adams 62 · Jace Peterson 7
2BOzzie Albies 57 · Jace Peterson 15 · Johan Camargo 9
3BJohan Camargo 43 · Rio Ruiz 41 · Adonis García 39
SSDansby Swanson 142 · Johan Camargo 26 · Jace Peterson 4
LFMatt Kemp 103 · Danny Santana 38 · Lane Adams 27
CFEnder Inciarte 156 · Lane Adams 11 · Danny Santana 3
RFNick Markakis 156 · Danny Santana 9 · Lane Adams 7
DHMatt Kemp 5 · Danny Santana 2 · Nick Markakis 2
SPR.A. Dickey 1.4 · Mike Foltynewicz 1.3 · Sean Newcomb 0.9 · Julio Teheran 0.9 · Luiz Gohara 0.9
BP★ Jim Johnson 22 · José Ramírez 27 · Arodys Vizcaíno 17 · Sam Freeman 12 · Jason Motte 5 · Ian Krol 3 · Rex Brothers 2 · Luke Jackson 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2017 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Freddie Freeman 27 FA-elig 1174.5 20.5 -5.3
Tyler Flowers 31 FA-elig 994.3 3.0 +11.5
Ender Inciarte 26 arb 1584.0 2.7 +10.9
Johan Camargo 23 – 821.6 0.4 +5.1
Jaime García↔ MIN 30 FA-elig 181.6 8.0 -2.7
Ozzie Albies 20 – 571.5 0.2 +5.0
R.A. Dickey 42 FA-elig 311.4 7.5 -2.7
Mike Foltynewicz 25 arb 291.3 0.5 +4.0
Kurt Suzuki 33 FA-elig 811.1 1.5 +2.4
Julio Teheran 26 FA-elig 370.9 6.3 -3.1
Brandon Phillips↔ ANA 36 FA-elig 1200.9 12.1 -8.9
Sean Newcomb 24 – 190.9 0.3 +2.7
Luiz Gohara 20 pre-arb 50.9 0.1 +2.8
Nick Markakis 33 FA-elig 1600.7 11.0 -8.5
Lane Adams 27 pre-arb 850.7 0.3 +1.9
Arodys Vizcaíno 26 FA-elig 620.7 1.6 +0.6
Sam Freeman 30 pre-arb 580.6 0.4 +1.7
A.J. Minter 23 – 160.6 0.1 +1.9
Matt Adams↔ STL 28 arb 1000.5 2.1 -0.5
Dan Winkler 27 pre-arb 160.3 0.5 +0.4
Rex Brothers 29 arb 270.2 0.2 +0.4
Jim Johnson 34 FA-elig 610.2 5.0 -4.4
Akeel Morris 24 pre-arb 80.1 0.1 +0.3
Max Fried 23 – 100.1 0.1 +0.2
Chase d'Arnaud↔ BOS 30 FA-elig 110.1 0.2 +0.0
Luke Jackson 25 pre-arb 430.1 0.4 -0.2
Jason Hursh 25 pre-arb 90.0 0.1 -0.1
Lucas Sims 23 – 14-0.0 0.2 -0.3
Tony Sanchez 29 pre-arb 1-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Chaz Roe↔ TBR 30 arb 3-0.0 0.2 -0.3
Aaron Blair 25 pre-arb 1-0.1 0.0 -0.2
Bartolo Colon↔ MIN 44 FA-elig 13-0.1 5.8 -6.0
David Freitas 28 – 6-0.1 0.1 -0.4
Anthony Recker 33 FA-elig 6-0.1 0.8 -1.2
Danny Santana↔ MIN 26 arb 69-0.1 0.5 -0.9
Matt Wisler 24 pre-arb 20-0.1 0.2 -0.7
Sean Rodríguez↔ PIT 32 FA-elig 15-0.1 1.6 -2.1
Micah Johnson 26 pre-arb 18-0.1 0.5 -1.0
Eric O'Flaherty 32 FA-elig 22-0.2 1.2 -2.0
Ian Krol 26 arb 51-0.3 0.9 -1.8
Jason Motte 35 FA-elig 46-0.4 0.5 -1.9
José Ramírez 27 arb 68-0.4 0.5 -2.0
Dansby Swanson 23 pre-arb 144-0.4 0.5 -2.0
Josh Collmenter 31 FA-elig 11-0.5 1.2 -2.8
Rio Ruiz 23 pre-arb 53-0.6 0.3 -2.2
Jace Peterson 27 arb 89-0.6 0.6 -2.5
Emilio Bonifácio 32 FA-elig 38-0.6 1.2 -3.2
Adonis García 32 pre-arb 52-0.7 0.5 -3.0
Matt Kemp 32 FA-elig 115-1.0 21.8 -25.3

Key additions (new vs 2016)

PlayerfWAR
Johan Camargo1.6
Jaime García1.6
Ozzie Albies1.5
R.A. Dickey1.4
Kurt Suzuki1.1
Brandon Phillips0.9

Key subtractions (gone from 2016)

Player2016 fWAR
Bud Norris1.1
Mallex Smith0.6
Lucas Harrell0.4
Jhoulys Chacín0.4
Brandon Snyder0.3
Gordon Beckham0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2017 payroll
$124.6M
2018 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2017, 2017–2023. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2017; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2017201820192020202120222023
Matt Kemp3210.049$21.8MFREE AGENT
Freddie Freeman276.033$20.5MFREE AGENT
Brandon Phillips3612.022$12.1MFREE AGENT
Nick Markakis3311.000$11.0MFREE AGENT
Jaime García308.047$8.0MFREE AGENT
R.A. Dickey4212.007$7.5MFREE AGENT
Bartolo Colon4418.061$5.8MFREE AGENT
Jim Johnson348.161$5.0MFREE AGENT
Sean Rodríguez327.133$1.6MFREE AGENT
Kurt Suzuki339.112$1.5MFREE AGENT
Emilio Bonifácio3210.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Eric O'Flaherty329.062$1.2MFREE AGENT
Jason Motte358.027$462kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2017201820192020202120222023
Julio Teheran264.062$6.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Flowers315.148$3.0MFREE AGENT
Matt Adams284.033$2.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Arodys Vizcaíno263.168$1.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Collmenter315.144$1.2MFREE AGENT
Anthony Recker334.000$800kARB 3FREE AGENT
José Ramírez273.000$536kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rex Brothers293.165$246kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (28)

PlayerAgeSvc2017201820192020202120222023
Ender Inciarte262.157$2.7MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ian Krol262.149$900kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jace Peterson272.031$555kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adonis García322.067$548kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dan Winkler272.000$545kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Foltynewicz251.163$544kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dansby Swanson230.044$540kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Micah Johnson261.046$535kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Danny Santana262.111$459kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sam Freeman302.050$441kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luke Jackson250.088$412kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Johan Camargo230.000$395kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lane Adams270.028$348kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Newcomb240.000$330kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rio Ruiz230.016$295kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Wisler241.092$216kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chase d'Arnaud302.045$189kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ozzie Albies200.000$181kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lucas Sims230.000$181kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chaz Roe301.136$180kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Max Fried230.000$143kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
A.J. Minter230.000$117kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Freitas280.000$96kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Hursh250.042$82kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luiz Gohara200.121$79kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Akeel Morris240.004$76kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Sanchez290.155$53kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Blair250.088$12kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Braves 2017; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.