Rosternomics
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Nationals WSN

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GM: Larry Beinfest (since 2002)

2002 roster — every player, value & surplus

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+7.0
WAB — wins above budget
+1.1
TAB — roster Talent above budget
83–79 (0.512)
record
+5M
surplus $M (value/$)
29.8
roster fWAR
$41.6M
payroll
PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Vladimir Guerrero 27 FA-elig 161 7.1 8.0 +4.2
Javier Vazquez 25 arb 34 4.6 4.7 +3.1
Jose Vidro 27 arb 152 4.3 4.0 +3.4
Tomo Ohka 26 arb 32 3.2 0.2 +5.2
Bartolo Colon↔ CLE 29 arb 17 2.1 2.5 +1.0
Brad Wilkerson 25 pre-arb 153 1.8 0.2 +3.0
Orlando Cabrera 27 arb 153 1.7 2.4 +0.5
Scott Stewart 26 pre-arb 67 1.5 0.2 +2.3
Masato Yoshii 37 arb 31 1.4 0.3 +2.0
Joey Eischen 32 – 59 1.4 – –
Brian Schneider 25 pre-arb 73 1.3 0.2 +1.9
Michael Barrett 25 arb 117 1.2 1.1 +0.9
Tony Armas 24 arb 29 1.0 0.3 +1.3
Sun-Woo Kim↔ BOS 24 – 4 0.5 – –
Britt Reames 28 pre-arb 42 0.5 0.2 +0.6
Tim Drew 23 – 7 0.5 – –
Jose Macias↔ DET 30 arb 90 0.4 0.3 +0.4
Endy Chavez 24 – 36 0.4 – –
T.J. Tucker 23 pre-arb 58 0.4 0.2 +0.4
Zach Day 24 – 19 0.2 – –
Troy O'Leary 32 – 97 0.2 – –
Jamey Carroll 28 – 16 0.2 – –
Wil Cordero↔ CLE 30 FA-elig 66 0.1 3.8 -3.6
Bruce Chen↔ CIN 25 arb 15 0.1 0.1 +0.0
Scott Strickland↔ NYM 26 arb 1 0.0 0.0 +0.1
Chris Truby↔ DET 28 pre-arb 35 -0.0 0.1 -0.1
Carl Pavano↔ MIA 26 arb 15 -0.1 0.5 -0.7
Ed Vosberg 40 FA-elig 4 -0.1 0.4 -0.6
Dan Smith 26 – 33 -0.1 – –
Matt Herges 32 arb 62 -0.2 0.4 -0.7
Lou Collier 28 arb 13 -0.2 0.2 -0.6
Jim Brower↔ CIN 29 arb 30 -0.2 0.1 -0.5
Peter Bergeron 24 arb 31 -0.2 0.2 -0.7
Matt Cepicky 24 – 32 -0.3 – –
Graeme Lloyd↔ MIA 35 FA-elig 41 -0.3 1.9 -2.4
Henry Mateo 25 – 22 -0.3 – –
Henry Rodriguez 34 FA-elig 20 -0.3 0.3 -0.9
Wilton Guerrero↔ CIN 27 FA-elig 44 -0.5 0.4 -1.2
Mike Mordecai↔ MIA 34 FA-elig 55 -0.6 0.3 -1.3
Cliff Floyd↔ BOS 29 FA-elig 15 -0.6 0.7 -1.7
Lee Stevens↔ CLE 34 FA-elig 63 -0.6 2.2 -3.3
Andres Galarraga 41 FA-elig 104 -0.7 0.5 -1.6
Fernando Tatis 27 arb 114 -0.8 4.5 -5.8

43 players appeared (WAR is complete); salary & surplus are on record for 33 of them (77%). Players without a salary show "–" — no single historical salary source is fully complete (especially 2020–2022).

WAR = FanGraphs (fWAR). Green = produced more value than paid (bargain); red = paid more than produced. Service: pre-arb (<3 yr) / arb (3–6) / FA-eligible (6+). Click headers to sort.

History: front-office performance & develop-vs-buy (1985–2024)

Trade ledger (realized WAR, all-time)

Best acquisitions
PlayerYearWAR for WSN
Dennis Martínez198622.5
Gio Gonzalez201120.8
Trea Turner201519.4
Liván Hernández200317.2
Bryn Smith197716.4
Moisés Alou199013.8
Tanner Roark201012.8
Mike Lansing199112.0
Ones that got away
PlayerYear tradedWAR elsewhere
Grady Sizemore200230.3
Cliff Lee200214.7
Tim Raines199014.5
Lucas Giolito201613.5
Cliff Floyd199713.2
Gary Carter198412.8
Maicer Izturis200412.2
Carl Pavano20028.1
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.