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Nationals WSN

200283–79 (0.512)
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GM: Larry Beinfest

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2002, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$42M
Surplus $M
+5
Win %
0.512
TAB
+1.1
WAB
+6.9
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
29.8
Dead money %
42%
Depth Players
5.0
Dead WAR
-6.1

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2002 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RMichael Barrett110
LBrian Schneider65

1B

RAndres Galarraga89
LLee Stevens⇄63
LBrad Wilkerson23
RWil Cordero⇄11
RMichael Barrett6
RChris Truby⇄2

2B

BJose Vidro152
BJose Macias⇄18
BWilton Guerrero⇄17
RMike Mordecai⇄4
BHenry Mateo3
RLou Collier2
RJamey Carroll1

3B

RFernando Tatis99
BJose Macias⇄23
RJamey Carroll13
BWilton Guerrero⇄5
RLou Collier1

SS

ROrlando Cabrera153
RJamey Carroll3
BJose Macias⇄3
BHenry Mateo2

LF

LBrad Wilkerson72
LTroy O'Leary69
RWil Cordero⇄28
LMatt Cepicky16
BWilton Guerrero⇄4
LHenry Rodriguez4
RLou Collier3
LBrian Schneider1
RChris Truby⇄1
RMike Mordecai⇄1

CF

LBrad Wilkerson73
BJose Macias⇄45
LEndy Chavez35
LPeter Bergeron31
BWilton Guerrero⇄5
RLou Collier3

RF

RVladimir Guerrero161
RWil Cordero⇄5
LBrad Wilkerson3
BWilton Guerrero⇄3
LBrian Schneider1
LMatt Cepicky1
RLou Collier1
LHenry Rodriguez1
LTroy O'Leary1

DH

RFernando Tatis4
LTroy O'Leary3
RWil Cordero⇄2

Starters

RJavier Vazquez4.6 WAR
RTomo Ohka3.2 WAR
RBartolo Colon⇄2.1 WAR
RMasato Yoshii1.4 WAR
RTony Armas Jr.1.0 WAR
RBritt Reames0.5 WAR
RTim Drew0.5 WAR
RSun-Woo Kim⇄0.5 WAR
RZach Day0.2 WAR
LBruce Chen⇄0.1 WAR
RCarl Pavano⇄-0.1 WAR

Bullpen

★ LScott Stewart17 sv
RT.J. Tucker15 h
LJoey Eischen10 h
RMatt Herges9 h
RJim Brower⇄6 h
RZach Day2 h
RDan Smith1 h
LGraeme Lloyd⇄0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2001)

PlayerfWAR
Bartolo Colon2.1
Sun-Woo Kim0.5
Tim Drew0.5
Jose Macias0.4
Endy Chavez0.4
T.J. Tucker0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2001)

Player2001 fWAR
Mike Thurman1.0
Tim Raines Sr.0.5
Hideki Irabu0.3
Darwin Cubillan0.3
Ugueth Urbina0.3
Troy Mattes0.2

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Nationals. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2002; everyone else is shown as a 2002 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Vladimir Guerrero 2002 +7.1 +117.1 8.0 +109.1 $1.1M 2.05× –
Javier Vazquez 2002 +4.6 +80.4 4.7 +75.7 $1.0M 2.19× –
Tomo Ohka 2002 +3.2 +49.4 0.2 +49.1 $0.1M 1.96× –
Jose Vidro 2002 +4.3 +41.8 4.0 +37.8 $0.9M 1.20× –
Bartolo Colon↔ 2002 +2.1 +24.8 2.5 +22.2 $1.2M 1.49× –
Brad Wilkerson 2002 +1.8 +18.0 0.2 +17.8 $0.1M 1.22× –
Scott Stewart 2002 +1.5 +15.6 0.2 +15.4 $0.2M 1.34× –
Masato Yoshii 2002 +1.4 +11.1 0.3 +10.8 $0.2M 1.02× –
Orlando Cabrera 2002 +1.7 +12.3 2.4 +9.9 $1.4M 0.89× –
Tony Armas 2002 +1.0 +7.8 0.3 +7.5 $0.3M 1.02× –
Brian Schneider 2002 +1.3 +5.2 0.2 +5.0 $0.2M 0.52× –
Michael Barrett 2002 +1.2 +4.9 1.1 +3.8 $1.0M 0.52× –
T.J. Tucker 2002 +0.4 +4.0 0.2 +3.8 $0.5M 1.34× –
Jose Macias↔ 2002 +0.4 +2.8 0.3 +2.5 $0.6M 0.83× –
Britt Reames 2002 +0.5 +2.5 0.2 +2.2 $0.5M 0.67× –
Bruce Chen↔ 2002 +0.1 +0.3 0.1 +0.2 $1.4M 0.67× –
Scott Strickland↔ 2002 +0.0 +0.2 0.0 +0.2 $0.1M 0.67× –
Chris Truby↔ 2002 -0.0 -0.2 0.1 -0.2 – 0.56× –
Ed Vosberg 2002 -0.1 -0.6 0.4 -1.0 – 0.67× –
Carl Pavano↔ 2002 -0.1 -0.7 0.5 -1.2 – 1.02× –
Jim Brower↔ 2002 -0.2 -1.2 0.1 -1.3 – 0.67× –
Lou Collier 2002 -0.2 -1.2 0.2 -1.5 – 0.83× –
Peter Bergeron 2002 -0.2 -1.6 0.2 -1.9 – 0.83× –
Matt Herges 2002 -0.2 -1.8 0.4 -2.2 – 1.34× –
Henry Rodriguez 2002 -0.3 -2.3 0.3 -2.6 – 0.83× –
Wilton Guerrero↔ 2002 -0.5 -2.3 0.4 -2.6 – 0.56× –
Mike Mordecai↔ 2002 -0.6 -2.6 0.3 -2.9 – 0.56× –
Wil Cordero↔ 2002 +0.1 +0.9 3.8 -3.0 $29.4M 0.83× –
Andres Galarraga 2002 -0.7 -2.9 0.5 -3.4 – 0.56× –
Graeme Lloyd↔ 2002 -0.3 -1.5 1.9 -3.4 – 0.67× –
Cliff Floyd↔ 2002 -0.6 -4.1 0.7 -4.8 – 0.83× –
Lee Stevens↔ 2002 -0.6 -2.8 2.2 -5.0 – 0.56× –
Fernando Tatis 2002 -0.8 -3.5 4.5 -8.0 – 0.58× –
Dan Smith 2002 -0.1 -0.7 – – – 0.67× –
Endy Chavez 2002 +0.4 +2.7 – – – 0.83× –
Henry Mateo 2002 -0.3 -1.3 – – – 0.56× –
Jamey Carroll 2002 +0.2 +0.7 – – – 0.58× –
Joey Eischen 2002 +1.4 +7.2 – – – 0.67× –
Matt Cepicky 2002 -0.3 -1.7 – – – 0.83× –
Sun-Woo Kim↔ 2002 +0.5 +4.2 – – – 1.02× –
Tim Drew 2002 +0.5 +2.4 – – – 0.67× –
Troy O'Leary 2002 +0.2 +1.1 – – – 0.83× –
Zach Day 2002 +0.2 +1.3 – – – 0.67× –
Total—+30.0+385.741.4+328.0—

Trades

Every graded 2002 deal involving the Nationals — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 10 total.

2002 · CLE / WSN
CLE · Mark Shapiro +$386.4M
Lee Stevens, Brandon Phillips, Cliff Lee, Grady Sizemore
WSN · Larry Beinfest −$386.4M
Bartolo Colón, Tim Drew
CLE came out ahead by $386.4M
2002 · WSN / DET
WSN · Larry Beinfest +$1.6M
José Macias
DET · Randy Smith −$1.6M
Chris Truby
WSN came out ahead by $1.6M
2002 · MIA / WSN
MIA · Dave Dombrowski +$144.0M
Graeme Lloyd, Mike Mordecai, Carl Pavano, Justin Wayne, Don Levinski
WSN · Larry Beinfest −$144.0M
Cliff Floyd, Wilton Guerrero, Claudio Vargas
MIA came out ahead by $144.0M
2002 · WSN / NYM
WSN · Larry Beinfest +$8.8M
Bruce Chen, Dicky Gonzalez, Luis Figueroa, Saúl Rivera
NYM · Steve Phillips −$8.8M
Scott Strickland, Phil Seibel, Matt Watson
WSN came out ahead by $8.8M
2002 · LAD / WSN
LAD · Dan Evans +$12.8M
Guillermo Mota, Wilkin Ruan
WSN · Larry Beinfest −$12.8M
Matt Herges, Jorge Nunez
LAD came out ahead by $12.8M
2002 · PIT / WSN
PIT · Dave Littlefield +$0.0M
Matt Herges
WSN · Larry Beinfest +$0.0M
Chris Young, Jon Searles
Even trade
2002 · HOU / WSN
HOU · Gerry Hunsicker +$5.6M
Geoff Blum
WSN · Larry Beinfest −$5.6M
Chris Truby
HOU came out ahead by $5.6M
2002 · WSN / NYM
WSN · Larry Beinfest +$74.4M
Lou Collier
NYM · Steve Phillips −$74.4M
Jason Bay, Jimmy Serrano
WSN came out ahead by $74.4M
2002 · CIN / WSN
CIN · Jim Bowden +$0.0M
Bruce Chen
WSN · Larry Beinfest +$0.0M
Jim Brower
Even trade
2002 · WSN / BOS
WSN · Larry Beinfest +$8.8M
Sun-Woo Kim, Seung Song
BOS · Mike Port −$8.8M
Cliff Floyd
WSN came out ahead by $8.8M

Current & Historical Payroll

2002 payroll
$41.6M

What the front office was committed to as of 2002, 2002–2008. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
Vladimir Guerrero276.000$8.0M$11.5MFREE AGENT
Wil Cordero3010.000$3.8M$600kFREE AGENT$600k
Lee Stevens3412.000$2.2MFREE AGENT
Graeme Lloyd359.000$1.9MFREE AGENT
Cliff Floyd299.000$668kFREE AGENT
Andres Galarraga4117.000$500kFREE AGENT
Ed Vosberg4016.000$400kFREE AGENT
Wilton Guerrero276.000$363kFREE AGENT
Henry Rodriguez3410.000$300kFREE AGENT
Mike Mordecai348.000$296kFREE AGENT
Joey Eischen328.000—$750k$1.3M$1.0M$1.3MFREE AGENT
Troy O'Leary329.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (18)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
Javier Vazquez254.000$4.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Fernando Tatis275.000$4.5MFREE AGENT
Jose Vidro275.000$4.0MFREE AGENT
Bartolo Colon295.000$2.5MFREE AGENT
Orlando Cabrera275.000$2.4MFREE AGENT
Michael Barrett254.000$1.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Carl Pavano264.000$532kARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Herges323.000$370kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Armas243.000$335kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Masato Yoshii374.000$300kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Macias303.000$274kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lou Collier285.000$250kFREE AGENT
Peter Bergeron243.000$250kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tomo Ohka263.000$240kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jim Brower293.000$144kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bruce Chen254.000$82kARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Strickland263.000$5kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dan Smith263.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
Britt Reames282.000$235kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Stewart261.000$235kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Schneider252.000$212kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Wilkerson251.000$206kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
T.J. Tucker232.000$200kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Truby282.000$76kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sun-Woo Kim241.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Drew232.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Endy Chavez241.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Henry Mateo251.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zach Day240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Cepicky24–—
Jamey Carroll280.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2002 acquisition stacked onto Nationals's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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