RRosternomics

Rangers TEX

President of baseball ops: Jon Daniels

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.93× league · TAB -12.9
-12.9TAB — talent above budget25th/30
-14.0WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)25th/30
5.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars21st/30
-5.9dead WAR — sub-replacement drag24th/30
25%dead money %5th/30
0.414win %23rd/30
20.5roster fWAR25th/30
-52surplus $M (value vs cost)24th/30
$122Mpayroll $M17th/30

Roster

CFDelino DeShields 102GCarlos Tocci 47GDrew Robinson 22G
LFJoey Gallo 85GRyan Rua 38GWillie Calhoun 27G
RFNomar Mazara 113GShin-Soo Choo 34GJoey Gallo 16G
SSElvis Andrus 97GJurickson Profar 68GHanser Alberto 5G
2BRougned Odor 127GIsiah Kiner-Falefa 20GJurickson Profar 10G
3BAdrian Beltré 70GJurickson Profar 51GIsiah Kiner-Falefa 46G
1BRonald Guzmán 117GJoey Gallo 35GJurickson Profar 24G
STARTERSMike Minor 2.6WARYovani Gallardo 0.5WARDoug Fister 0.4WARBartolo Colon 0.4WARAriel Jurado 0.3WAR
CRobinson Chirinos 108GIsiah Kiner-Falefa 35GCarlos Pérez 25G
DHShin-Soo Choo 85GAdrian Beltré 44GNomar Mazara 12G
BULLPEN José Leclerc 12svAlex Claudio 14hChris Martin 14hMatt Bush 3hKevin Jepsen 3hEddie Butler 2hJeffrey Springs 2hTony Barnette 1h
CRobinson Chirinos 108 · Isiah Kiner-Falefa 35 · Carlos Pérez 25
1BRonald Guzmán 117 · Joey Gallo 35 · Jurickson Profar 24
2BRougned Odor 127 · Isiah Kiner-Falefa 20 · Jurickson Profar 10
3BAdrian Beltré 70 · Jurickson Profar 51 · Isiah Kiner-Falefa 46
SSElvis Andrus 97 · Jurickson Profar 68 · Hanser Alberto 5
LFJoey Gallo 85 · Ryan Rua 38 · Willie Calhoun 27
CFDelino DeShields 102 · Carlos Tocci 47 · Drew Robinson 22
RFNomar Mazara 113 · Shin-Soo Choo 34 · Joey Gallo 16
DHShin-Soo Choo 85 · Adrian Beltré 44 · Nomar Mazara 12
SPMike Minor 2.6 · Yovani Gallardo 0.5 · Doug Fister 0.4 · Bartolo Colon 0.4 · Ariel Jurado 0.3
BP José Leclerc 12 · Alex Claudio 14 · Chris Martin 14 · Matt Bush 3 · Kevin Jepsen 3 · Eddie Butler 2 · Jeffrey Springs 2 · Tony Barnette 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2018 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
José Leclerc 24 pre-arb 592.6 0.5 +8.4
Mike Minor 30 FA-elig 282.6 8.3 +0.5
Rougned Odor 24 arb 1292.4 3.3 +4.8
Jurickson Profar 25 FA-elig 1462.2 1.1 +6.5
Joey Gallo 24 arb 1482.2 0.6 +6.8
Shin-Soo Choo 35 FA-elig 1461.9 20.0 -13.4
Adrian Beltré 39 FA-elig 1191.2 18.0 -14.1
Keone Kela↔ PIT 25 arb 381.1 0.8 +3.0
Alex Claudio 26 arb 661.0 0.6 +2.7
Robinson Chirinos 34 FA-elig 1130.9 2.2 +0.7
Elvis Andrus 29 FA-elig 970.8 15.2 -12.5
Jake Diekman↔ ARI 31 FA-elig 470.7 1.8 +0.7
Chris Martin 32 arb 460.7 1.8 +0.5
Delino DeShields 25 arb 1060.6 0.6 +1.5
Cole Hamels↔ CHC 34 FA-elig 200.6 14.7 -12.6
Nomar Mazara 23 pre-arb 1280.6 0.6 +1.3
Yovani Gallardo↔ CIN 32 FA-elig 180.5 1.0 +0.8
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 23 1110.5 0.5 +1.1
Ronald Guzmán 23 1230.4 0.5 +0.9
Doug Fister 34 FA-elig 120.4 3.5 -2.2
Bartolo Colon 45 FA-elig 280.4 1.8 -0.4
Cory Gearrin↔ OAK 32 FA-elig 210.4 0.6 +0.6
Tony Barnette 34 pre-arb 220.3 1.5 -0.4
Ariel Jurado 22 120.3 0.2 +0.9
Jeffrey Springs 25 180.2 0.2 +0.6
Jesse Chavez↔ CHC 34 FA-elig 300.2 0.5 +0.2
Austin Bibens-Dirkx 33 130.2 0.2 +0.5
Matt Moore 29 FA-elig 390.2 9.0 -8.4
Ricardo Rodríguez 25 pre-arb 40.1 0.2 +0.3
CD Pelham 23 100.1 0.1 +0.3
Nick Gardewine 24 pre-arb 30.1 0.1 +0.2
Yohander Méndez 23 pre-arb 80.0 0.1 +0.0
Connor Sadzeck 26 13-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Adrian Sampson 26 pre-arb 5-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Jose Trevino 25 3-0.1 0.0 -0.2
Brandon Mann 34 7-0.1 0.2 -0.5
Martín Pérez 27 FA-elig 22-0.1 6.0 -6.3
Matt Bush 32 pre-arb 21-0.1 0.6 -0.9
Zac Curtis↔ PHI 25 pre-arb 8-0.1 0.0 -0.4
Hanser Alberto 25 pre-arb 13-0.2 0.2 -0.7
Drew Hutchison↔ PHI 27 FA-elig 5-0.3 0.9 -1.8
Drew Robinson 26 pre-arb 47-0.3 0.3 -1.4
Juan Centeno 28 arb 10-0.5 0.6 -2.2
Renato Núñez↔ BAL 24 13-0.5 0.0 -1.6
Carlos Pérez↔ ATL 27 pre-arb 20-0.5 0.2 -2.0
Carlos Tocci 22 pre-arb 66-0.6 0.5 -2.5
Kevin Jepsen 33 21-0.6 0.4 -2.4
Willie Calhoun 23 pre-arb 35-0.6 0.2 -2.2
Ryan Rua 28 arb 61-0.6 0.9 -2.9
Eddie Butler↔ CHC 27 arb 22-0.9 0.4 -3.4

Key additions (new vs 2017)

PlayerfWAR
Mike Minor2.6
Chris Martin0.7
Yovani Gallardo0.5
Isiah Kiner-Falefa0.5
Ronald Guzmán0.4
Doug Fister0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2017)

Player2017 fWAR
Yu Darvish2.7
Andrew Cashner2.2
Carlos Gómez2.0
Nick Martinez0.3
Jason Grilli0.2
Ernesto Frieri0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2018 payroll
$121.7M
2019 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2018, 2018–2024. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2018; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2018201920202021202220232024
Shin-Soo Choo3510.119$20.0MFREE AGENT
Adrian Beltré3919.096$18.0MFREE AGENT
Elvis Andrus299.000$15.2MFREE AGENT
Cole Hamels3411.143$14.7MFREE AGENT
Matt Moore296.000$9.0MFREE AGENT
Mike Minor306.138$8.3MFREE AGENT
Doug Fister347.158$3.5MFREE AGENT
Bartolo Colon4519.059$1.8MFREE AGENT
Yovani Gallardo3210.108$977kFREE AGENT
Jesse Chavez347.108$533kFREE AGENT
Kevin Jepsen337.163$363kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2018201920202021202220232024
Martín Pérez275.038$6.0MFREE AGENT
Rougned Odor243.121$3.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robinson Chirinos345.102$2.2MFREE AGENT
Jake Diekman315.050$1.8MFREE AGENT
Jurickson Profar253.165$1.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Hutchison273.165$938kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Keone Kela253.000$844kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cory Gearrin324.136$567kARB 3FREE AGENT
Ronald Guzmán234.090$501kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (30)

PlayerAgeSvc2018201920202021202220232024
Chris Martin320.133$1.8MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Barnette342.000$1.5MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Rua282.129$870kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Centeno281.140$600kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Claudio262.114$568kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nomar Mazara232.000$564kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Delino DeShields252.116$562kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joey Gallo241.103$560kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Bush321.143$556kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Tocci220.000$545kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Isiah Kiner-Falefa230.000$510kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Leclerc241.041$502kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eddie Butler271.141$419kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Robinson260.103$315kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ricardo Rodríguez250.138$237kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Pérez272.021$234kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Bibens-Dirkx33$199k
Brandon Mann34$193k
Ariel Jurado220.000$193kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeffrey Springs250.000$182kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hanser Alberto252.023$176kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Willie Calhoun230.020$158kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yohander Méndez230.059$129kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Gardewine240.083$117kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Connor Sadzeck262.047$91kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adrian Sampson260.107$79kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
CD Pelham230.000$79kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zac Curtis250.097$47kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Renato Núñez240.048$38kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Trevino250.000$9kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Rangers 2018; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3