RRosternomics

Rangers TEX

President of baseball ops: Jon Daniels

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 4 in this regime · payroll 1.16× league · TAB -14.8
-14.8TAB — talent above budget28th/30
-5.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)20th/30
7.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars11th/30
-7.3dead WAR — sub-replacement drag27th/30
36%dead money %14th/30
0.481win %16th/30
21.3roster fWAR26th/30
-79surplus $M (value vs cost)26th/30
$151Mpayroll $M12th/30

Roster

CFCarlos Gómez 102GDelino DeShields 51GJared Hoying 25G
LFDelino DeShields 60GNomar Mazara 47GRyan Rua 37G
RFNomar Mazara 92GShin-Soo Choo 77GJared Hoying 10G
SSElvis Andrus 157GPete Kozma 14GDrew Robinson 6G
2BRougned Odor 158GPhil Gosselin 16GDrew Robinson 7G
3BJoey Gallo 72GAdrian Beltré 65GDrew Robinson 20G
1BMike Napoli 95GJoey Gallo 59GRyan Rua 23G
STARTERSAndrew Cashner 2.2WARMartín Pérez 2.1WARCole Hamels 1.7WARNick Martinez 0.3WARA.J. Griffin 0.1WAR
CRobinson Chirinos 85GBrett Nicholas 19GA.J. Jimenez 5G
DHShin-Soo Choo 65GAdrian Beltré 28GMike Napoli 26G
BULLPEN Alex Claudio 11svKeone Kela 11hJosé Leclerc 10hMatt Bush 10hTony Barnette 4hJason Grilli 4hJhan Mariñez 3hDario Alvarez 3h
CRobinson Chirinos 85 · Brett Nicholas 19 · A.J. Jimenez 5
1BMike Napoli 95 · Joey Gallo 59 · Ryan Rua 23
2BRougned Odor 158 · Phil Gosselin 16 · Drew Robinson 7
3BJoey Gallo 72 · Adrian Beltré 65 · Drew Robinson 20
SSElvis Andrus 157 · Pete Kozma 14 · Drew Robinson 6
LFDelino DeShields 60 · Nomar Mazara 47 · Ryan Rua 37
CFCarlos Gómez 102 · Delino DeShields 51 · Jared Hoying 25
RFNomar Mazara 92 · Shin-Soo Choo 77 · Jared Hoying 10
DHShin-Soo Choo 65 · Adrian Beltré 28 · Mike Napoli 26
SPAndrew Cashner 2.2 · Martín Pérez 2.1 · Cole Hamels 1.7 · Nick Martinez 0.3 · A.J. Griffin 0.1
BP Alex Claudio 11 · Keone Kela 11 · José Leclerc 10 · Matt Bush 10 · Tony Barnette 4 · Jason Grilli 4 · Jhan Mariñez 3 · Dario Alvarez 3

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2017 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Elvis Andrus 28 FA-elig 1584.1 15.0 -1.0
Yu Darvish↔ LAD 30 arb 222.7 7.8 +1.2
Adrian Beltré 38 FA-elig 942.6 18.0 -9.4
Joey Gallo 23 pre-arb 1452.4 0.5 +7.6
Andrew Cashner 30 FA-elig 282.2 10.0 -2.5
Martín Pérez 26 arb 322.1 4.4 +2.8
Carlos Gómez 31 FA-elig 1052.0 11.5 -4.6
Robinson Chirinos 33 FA-elig 881.8 1.9 +4.1
Alex Claudio 25 arb 701.8 0.5 +5.4
Cole Hamels 33 FA-elig 241.7 23.5 -17.8
Delino DeShields 24 pre-arb 1201.2 0.5 +3.6
Keone Kela 24 pre-arb 390.8 0.5 +2.3
Matt Bush 31 pre-arb 570.7 0.5 +1.8
Tony Barnette 33 pre-arb 500.6 1.8 +0.1
Shin-Soo Choo 34 FA-elig 1490.4 20.0 -18.7
José Leclerc 23 pre-arb 470.3 0.5 +0.4
Nick Martinez 26 pre-arb 230.3 0.4 +0.5
Nomar Mazara 22 pre-arb 1480.2 0.5 +0.2
Jason Grilli↔ TOR 40 FA-elig 200.2 1.3 -0.7
Ernesto Frieri 31 60.1 0.0 +0.3
Dario Alvarez 28 arb 200.1 0.5 -0.2
Drew Robinson 25 pre-arb 480.1 0.5 -0.2
A.J. Griffin 29 arb 180.1 2.0 -1.8
Tanner Scheppers 30 arb 50.0 1.0 -0.8
Preston Claiborne 29 pre-arb 10.0 0.0 +0.1
Jhan Mariñez↔ MIL 28 FA-elig 40.0 0.1 +0.1
Jake Diekman 30 arb 11-0.0 2.5 -2.6
Will Middlebrooks 28 arb 22-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Paolo Espino↔ MIL 30 6-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Anthony Bass 29 pre-arb 2-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Phil Gosselin↔ PIT 28 arb 12-0.1 0.2 -0.4
Nick Gardewine 23 pre-arb 12-0.1 0.1 -0.4
Willie Calhoun 22 13-0.1 0.1 -0.4
Miguel González↔ CHW 33 arb 5-0.1 1.1 -1.5
Tyson Ross 30 FA-elig 12-0.1 6.0 -6.4
Yohander Méndez 22 pre-arb 7-0.1 0.1 -0.5
Ricardo Rodríguez 24 pre-arb 16-0.1 0.2 -0.6
Austin Bibens-Dirkx 32 24-0.2 0.4 -1.0
Dillon Gee↔ MIN 31 4-0.2 0.4 -1.2
A.J. Jimenez 27 7-0.3 0.1 -0.9
Jurickson Profar 24 arb 22-0.3 1.1 -1.9
Mike Hauschild 27 pre-arb 4-0.3 0.5 -1.6
Jared Hoying 28 pre-arb 36-0.4 0.2 -1.4
Jeremy Jeffress↔ MIL 29 FA-elig 39-0.5 1.3 -2.9
Pete Kozma↔ NYY 29 FA-elig 28-0.5 0.4 -2.1
Brett Nicholas 28 pre-arb 22-0.5 0.5 -2.4
Rougned Odor 23 arb 162-0.6 1.3 -3.3
Jonathan Lucroy↔ COL 31 FA-elig 77-0.6 3.3 -5.4
Ryan Rua 27 arb 63-0.6 0.5 -2.7
Mike Napoli 35 FA-elig 124-0.7 6.0 -8.3
Sam Dyson↔ SFG 29 arb 17-0.9 1.1 -4.2

Key additions (new vs 2016)

PlayerfWAR
Andrew Cashner2.2
Jason Grilli0.2
Ernesto Frieri0.1
Drew Robinson0.1
Preston Claiborne0.0
Jhan Mariñez0.0

Key subtractions (gone from 2016)

Player2016 fWAR
Ian Desmond3.4
Colby Lewis1.1
Carlos Beltrán0.2
Justin Ruggiano0.1
Chi Chi González0.0
Phil Klein0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

2017 payroll
$151.2M
2018 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2017, 2017–2023. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2017; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2017201820192020202120222023
Cole Hamels3310.143$23.5MFREE AGENT
Shin-Soo Choo349.119$20.0MFREE AGENT
Adrian Beltré3818.096$18.0MFREE AGENT
Elvis Andrus288.000$15.0MFREE AGENT
Carlos Gómez319.141$11.5MFREE AGENT
Andrew Cashner306.126$10.0MFREE AGENT
Tyson Ross307.000$6.0MFREE AGENT
Mike Napoli3510.151$6.0MFREE AGENT
Jonathan Lucroy316.136$3.3MFREE AGENT
Jason Grilli4010.016$1.3MFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2017201820192020202120222023
Yu Darvish305.000$7.8MFREE AGENT
Martín Pérez264.038$4.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Diekman304.050$2.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
A.J. Griffin294.034$2.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Robinson Chirinos334.102$1.9MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeremy Jeffress293.087$1.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel González335.084$1.1MFREE AGENT
Jurickson Profar243.124$1.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tanner Scheppers304.094$975kARB 3FREE AGENT
Dillon Gee315.108$444kFREE AGENT
Phil Gosselin284.000$168kARB 3FREE AGENT
Will Middlebrooks283.115$91kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
A.J. Jimenez273.036$91kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ernesto Frieri314.128$50kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (27)

PlayerAgeSvc2017201820192020202120222023
Tony Barnette331.000$1.8MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rougned Odor232.121$1.3MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sam Dyson292.142$1.1MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nomar Mazara221.000$546kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Claudio251.114$545kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Bush310.143$545kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Rua272.008$545kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Keone Kela242.000$543kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Delino DeShields241.116$540kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dario Alvarez280.151$539kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joey Gallo230.103$537kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brett Nicholas280.153$537kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Leclerc230.041$536kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Robinson250.000$535kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Hauschild270.000$535kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Bibens-Dirkx32$433k
Pete Kozma292.108$413kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Martinez262.045$366kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jared Hoying280.070$178kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ricardo Rodríguez240.138$161kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Gardewine230.083$96kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yohander Méndez220.031$82kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Willie Calhoun220.000$58kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jhan Mariñez281.095$50kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paolo Espino300.000$45kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony Bass292.148$26kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Preston Claiborne291.049$20kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Rangers 2017; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3