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Rays TBR

201668–94 (0.420)
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GM: Matt Silverman

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2016, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$58M
Surplus $M
+33
Win %
0.420
TAB
+3.1
WAB
-4.1
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
28.1
Dead money %
36%
Depth Players
4.0
Dead WAR
-5.4

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2016 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RCurt Casali76
BHank Conger47
RLuke Maile37
RBobby Wilson⇄28

1B

LLogan Morrison83
LBrad Miller39
RRichie Shaffer11
BNick Franklin9
RTim Beckham6
RLuke Maile4
RTaylor Motter1

2B

RLogan Forsythe118
RTim Beckham19
BNick Franklin8
RTaylor Motter6
BJuniel Querecuto2
RAlexei Ramirez⇄1

3B

REvan Longoria152
RMatt Duffy⇄17
RTim Beckham7
RTaylor Motter4
RRichie Shaffer4
RSteve Pearce⇄2
BJuniel Querecuto1

SS

LBrad Miller105
RTim Beckham25
RAlexei Ramirez⇄17
RTaylor Motter9
BNick Franklin5
RMatt Duffy⇄4
BJuniel Querecuto1

LF

LCorey Dickerson76
RDesmond Jennings33
RMikie Mahtook26
LOswaldo Arcia⇄19
BNick Franklin18
RTaylor Motter7
LJaff Decker3
LBrad Miller1

CF

LKevin Kiermaier104
RDesmond Jennings30
RMikie Mahtook23
RBrandon Guyer⇄18
RSteven Souza Jr.3
LJaff Decker2

RF

RSteven Souza Jr.111
RMikie Mahtook18
LJaff Decker13
BNick Franklin7
RTaylor Motter6
LCorey Dickerson2
RRichie Shaffer2

DH

LCorey Dickerson61
LLogan Morrison17
RBrandon Guyer⇄10
REvan Longoria8
RCurt Casali7
RLogan Forsythe7
LBrad Miller7
BNick Franklin6
RSteven Souza Jr.6
RRichie Shaffer5
LOswaldo Arcia⇄4
RTim Beckham3
RDesmond Jennings2
LJaff Decker1
RMatt Duffy⇄1
RLuke Maile1

Starters

RChris Archer2.9 WAR
RMatt Andriese1.9 WAR
RJake Odorizzi1.9 WAR
LDrew Smyly1.8 WAR
LBlake Snell1.8 WAR
LMatt Moore⇄1.0 WAR
RChase Whitley0.2 WAR
RAlex Cobb-0.1 WAR
RErasmo Ramirez-0.5 WAR

Bullpen

★ RAlex Colome37 sv
LXavier Cedeno19 h
RErasmo Ramirez15 h
RDanny Farquhar7 h
LEnny Romero6 h
LDana Eveland3 h
RRyan Garton2 h
RSteve Geltz1 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2015)

PlayerfWAR
Blake Snell1.8
Steve Pearce1.5
Brad Miller1.4
Logan Morrison0.7
Corey Dickerson0.6
Dylan Floro0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2015)

Player2015 fWAR
Asdrúbal Cabrera2.6
Nate Karns1.6
Jake McGee1.1
John Jaso0.7
J.P. Arencibia0.6
David DeJesus0.4

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Rays. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2016; everyone else is shown as a 2016 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Kevin Kiermaier 2016 +3.8 +55.1 0.5 +54.6 $0.1M 1.79× –
Chris Archer 2016 +2.9 +45.0 2.9 +42.1 $1.0M 1.96× –
Evan Longoria 2016 +4.2 +42.4 11.5 +30.9 $2.7M 1.25× –
Matt Andriese 2016 +1.9 +22.7 0.4 +22.3 $0.2M 1.49× –
Logan Forsythe 2016 +2.8 +24.3 2.2 +22.0 $0.8M 1.07× –
Jake Odorizzi 2016 +1.9 +22.2 0.5 +21.7 $0.3M 1.49× –
Blake Snell 2016 +1.8 +21.1 0.3 +20.8 $0.2M 1.49× Free Agent · 2030–2030 · $36.4M AAV
Drew Smyly 2016 +1.8 +21.3 3.8 +17.5 $2.1M 1.49× –
Alex Colomé 2016 +1.1 +11.3 0.5 +10.7 $0.5M 1.34× –
Xavier Cedeño 2016 +0.9 +9.5 0.5 +9.0 $0.6M 1.34× –
Steven Souza Jr. 2016 +1.1 +7.6 0.5 +7.1 $0.5M 0.83× –
Brad Miller 2016 +1.4 +6.7 0.5 +6.1 $0.4M 0.61× –
Matt Moore↔ 2016 +1.0 +8.4 3.2 +5.2 $3.1M 1.02× –
Corey Dickerson 2016 +0.6 +4.2 0.5 +3.7 $0.8M 0.83× –
Brandon Guyer↔ 2016 +0.7 +4.4 0.7 +3.6 $1.1M 0.83× –
Steve Pearce↔ 2016 +1.5 +6.8 3.4 +3.4 $2.3M 0.58× –
Tim Beckham 2016 +0.6 +3.0 0.5 +2.5 $0.8M 0.61× –
Nick Franklin 2016 +0.4 +2.6 0.2 +2.4 $0.5M 0.83× –
Curt Casali 2016 +0.6 +2.5 0.5 +2.0 $0.9M 0.52× –
Dylan Floro 2016 +0.4 +1.9 0.1 +1.8 $0.3M 0.67× –
Luke Maile 2016 +0.3 +1.3 0.2 +1.1 $0.7M 0.52× –
Bobby Wilson↔ 2016 +0.3 +1.0 0.1 +0.9 $0.5M 0.52× –
Tyler Sturdevant 2016 +0.2 +0.8 0.1 +0.7 $0.8M 0.67× –
Chase Whitley 2016 +0.2 +0.9 0.5 +0.4 $3.1M 0.67× –
Matt Duffy↔ 2016 +0.1 +0.3 0.1 +0.2 $2.1M 0.58× –
Ryan Garton 2016 +0.1 +0.5 0.3 +0.2 $3.1M 0.67× –
Richie Shaffer 2016 +0.1 +0.2 0.1 +0.1 $2.1M 0.56× –
Eddie Gamboa 2016 -0.0 -0.0 0.1 -0.1 – 0.67× –
Alexei Ramirez↔ 2016 +0.0 +0.1 0.4 -0.2 $14.9M 0.61× –
Jhan Mariñez↔ 2016 -0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.2 – 0.67× –
Juniel Querecuto 2016 -0.1 -0.4 0.0 -0.4 – 0.56× –
Justin Marks 2016 -0.1 -0.7 0.1 -0.8 – 0.67× –
Ryan Webb 2016 +0.0 +0.2 1.0 -0.8 $31.2M 0.67× –
Oswaldo Arcia↔ 2016 -0.1 -0.8 0.2 -1.0 – 0.83× –
Logan Morrison 2016 +0.7 +3.0 4.2 -1.2 $6.3M 0.56× –
Taylor Motter 2016 -0.2 -1.1 0.1 -1.2 – 0.61× –
Desmond Jennings 2016 +0.3 +1.8 3.3 -1.5 $12.1M 0.83× –
Enny Romero 2016 -0.2 -1.0 0.5 -1.5 – 0.67× –
Hank Conger 2016 -0.1 -0.3 1.5 -1.8 – 0.52× –
Brad Boxberger 2016 -0.3 -1.8 0.5 -2.3 – 0.67× –
Danny Farquhar 2016 -0.4 -2.1 0.5 -2.6 – 0.67× –
Jaff Decker 2016 -0.4 -2.7 0.1 -2.7 – 0.83× –
Dana Eveland 2016 -0.5 -2.4 0.9 -3.3 – 0.67× –
Alex Cobb 2016 -0.1 -0.9 4.0 -4.9 – 1.02× –
Steve Geltz 2016 -0.9 -4.6 0.5 -5.1 – 0.67× –
Kevin Jepsen↔ 2016 -0.4 -4.6 2.3 -6.9 – 1.34× –
Erasmo Ramírez 2016 -0.5 -5.1 2.4 -7.5 – 1.34× –
Mikie Mahtook 2016 -1.0 -7.0 0.5 -7.5 – 0.83× –
Total—+28.4+297.557.7+239.5—

Trades

Every graded 2016 deal involving the Rays — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 6 total.

2016 · TBR / SFG
TBR · Matt Silverman +$8.0M
Matt Duffy, Lucius Fox, Michael Santos
SFG · Bobby Evans −$8.0M
Matt Moore
TBR came out ahead by $8.0M
2016 · COL / TBR
COL · Jeff Bridich +$240.8M
Jake McGee, Germán Márquez
TBR · Matt Silverman −$240.8M
Corey Dickerson, Kevin Padlo
COL came out ahead by $240.8M
2016 · MIN / TBR
MIN · Rob Antony +$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
TBR · Matt Silverman −$0.8M
Oswaldo Arcia
MIN came out ahead by $0.8M
2016 · TBR / SEA
TBR · Matt Silverman +$11.2M
Dalton Kelly, Andrew Kittredge, Dylan Thompson
SEA · Jerry Dipoto −$11.2M
Richie Shaffer, Taylor Motter
TBR came out ahead by $11.2M
2016 · TBR / BAL
TBR · Matt Silverman +$5.6M
Jonah Heim
BAL · Dan Duquette −$5.6M
Steve Pearce
TBR came out ahead by $5.6M
2016 · CLE / TBR
CLE · Chris Antonetti +$1.6M
Brandon Guyer
TBR · Matt Silverman −$1.6M
Jhonleider Salinas, Nathan Lukes
CLE came out ahead by $1.6M

Current & Historical Payroll

2016 payroll
$58.0M
2017 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2016, 2016–2022. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2016; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (5)

PlayerAgeSvc2016201720182019202020212022
Evan Longoria307.170$11.5MFREE AGENT
Steve Pearce339.000$3.4MFREE AGENT
Desmond Jennings296.000$3.3MFREE AGENT
Ryan Webb307.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Alexei Ramirez348.000$352kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2016201720182019202020212022
Logan Morrison285.069$4.2MFREE AGENT
Alex Cobb284.061$4.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Smyly273.154$3.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Moore274.000$3.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Jepsen315.163$2.3MFREE AGENT
Logan Forsythe294.113$2.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Hank Conger284.051$1.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Dana Eveland324.164$895kARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Guyer303.066$739kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bobby Wilson334.058$115kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (33)

PlayerAgeSvc2016201720182019202020212022
Chris Archer272.156$2.9MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Erasmo Ramírez262.157$2.4MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Miller262.094$528kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Danny Farquhar292.080$527kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chase Whitley271.125$525kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Xavier Cedeño292.060$524kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Corey Dickerson272.101$523kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Colomé271.118$522kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Odorizzi262.042$521kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Geltz281.035$519kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Boxberger282.109$519kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steven Souza Jr.271.072$516kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Beckham261.145$514kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Kiermaier261.131$514kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Curt Casali271.014$514kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mikie Mahtook260.058$512kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Enny Romero250.072$510kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Andriese260.095$410kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Blake Snell230.000$305kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Garton260.000$275kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luke Maile250.034$222kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Franklin251.099$191kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Oswaldo Arcia252.020$163kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Taylor Motter260.000$136kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Sturdevant30–$130k
Matt Duffy250.021$124kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dylan Floro250.000$111kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Richie Shaffer250.062$111kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eddie Gamboa310.000$89kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jaff Decker260.098$86kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Marks280.031$75kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juniel Querecuto230.000$31kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jhan Mariñez271.095$26kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2016 acquisition stacked onto Rays's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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