RRosternomics
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Mariners SEA

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GM: Jack Zduriencik

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 4 in this regime · payroll 0.76× league · TAB -5.0
-5.0TAB — talent above budget23rd/30
-7.3WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)22nd/30
4.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars23rd/30
-7.1dead WAR — sub-replacement drag24th/30
39%dead money %21st/30
0.438win %25th/30
25.9roster fWAR24th/30
-9surplus $M (value vs cost)16th/30
$79Mpayroll $M21st/30

Roster

CFMichael Saunders 78GDustin Ackley 50GEndy Chavez 24G
LFRaul Ibanez 99GJason Bay 38GMichael Saunders 24G
RFEndy Chavez 50GMichael Saunders 34GJason Bay 25G
SSBrad Miller 68GRobert Andino 18GCarlos Triunfel 10G
2BNick Franklin 96GDustin Ackley 53GBrad Miller 13G
3BKyle Seager 160GRobert Andino 4GBrad Miller 3G
1BJustin Smoak 125GKendrys Morales 31GMichael Morse 7G
STARTERSFélix Hernández 6.1WARHisashi Iwakuma 4.1WARJoe Saunders 0.4WARErasmo Ramírez 0.0WARBrandon Maurer -0.1WAR
CMike Zunino 50GHenry Blanco 47GHumberto Quintero 42G
DHKendrys Morales 122GRaul Ibanez 21GEndy Chavez 3G
BULLPEN★ Tom Wilhelmsen 24svCharlie Furbush 20hYoervis Medina 19hCarter Capps 9hOliver Pérez 8hDanny Farquhar 2hLucas Luetge 1hBlake Beavan 0h
CMike Zunino 50 · Henry Blanco 47 · Humberto Quintero 42
1BJustin Smoak 125 · Kendrys Morales 31 · Michael Morse 7
2BNick Franklin 96 · Dustin Ackley 53 · Brad Miller 13
3BKyle Seager 160 · Robert Andino 4 · Brad Miller 3
SSBrad Miller 68 · Robert Andino 18 · Carlos Triunfel 10
LFRaul Ibanez 99 · Jason Bay 38 · Michael Saunders 24
CFMichael Saunders 78 · Dustin Ackley 50 · Endy Chavez 24
RFEndy Chavez 50 · Michael Saunders 34 · Jason Bay 25
DHKendrys Morales 122 · Raul Ibanez 21 · Endy Chavez 3
SPFélix Hernández 6.1 · Hisashi Iwakuma 4.1 · Joe Saunders 0.4 · Erasmo Ramírez 0.0 · Brandon Maurer -0.1
BP★ Tom Wilhelmsen 24 · Charlie Furbush 20 · Yoervis Medina 19 · Carter Capps 9 · Oliver Pérez 8 · Danny Farquhar 2 · Lucas Luetge 1 · Blake Beavan 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2013 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Félix Hernández 27 FA-elig 316.1 19.9 -3.6
Kyle Seager 25 pre-arb 1604.2 0.5 +10.8
Hisashi Iwakuma 32 pre-arb 334.1 6.5 +4.4
Brad Miller 23 – 762.2 0.3 +5.6
Danny Farquhar 26 pre-arb 461.9 0.4 +4.7
Michael Saunders 26 arb 1321.7 0.5 +4.0
Nick Franklin 22 – 1021.4 0.3 +3.5
Kendrys Morales 30 FA-elig 1561.2 5.2 -2.0
Dustin Ackley 25 pre-arb 1131.2 1.5 +1.6
Charlie Furbush 27 pre-arb 711.1 0.5 +2.5
Mike Zunino 22 – 521.0 0.3 +2.4
Oliver Pérez 31 FA-elig 610.8 1.5 +0.5
Raul Ibanez 41 FA-elig 1240.8 2.8 -0.7
Franklin Gutierrez 30 FA-elig 410.7 7.0 -5.1
Justin Smoak 26 arb 1310.7 0.5 +1.4
Taijuan Walker 20 – 30.5 0.2 +1.2
Aaron Harang↔ NYM 35 FA-elig 220.5 5.9 -4.6
James Paxton 24 – 40.4 0.0 +1.2
Stephen Pryor 23 pre-arb 70.4 0.5 +0.7
Joe Saunders 32 FA-elig 330.4 6.5 -5.4
Yoervis Medina 24 – 630.3 0.0 +0.9
Humberto Quintero↔ PHI 33 FA-elig 220.3 0.4 +0.4
Tom Wilhelmsen 29 pre-arb 590.3 0.5 +0.2
Jason Bay 34 FA-elig 680.2 1.0 -0.4
Bobby LaFromboise 27 pre-arb 100.2 0.1 +0.4
Lucas Luetge 26 pre-arb 350.2 0.5 -0.0
Carlos Peguero 26 pre-arb 20.1 0.0 +0.2
Hector Noesí 26 pre-arb 120.1 0.2 -0.1
Erasmo Ramírez 23 pre-arb 140.0 0.2 -0.1
Brendan Ryan↔ NYY 31 FA-elig 870.0 2.7 -2.7
Jesús Sucre 25 – 80.0 0.2 -0.2
Abraham Almonte 24 – 250.0 0.1 -0.1
Brandon Bantz 26 – 1-0.1 0.0 -0.2
Brandon Maurer 22 pre-arb 22-0.1 0.5 -0.7
Jeremy Bonderman↔ DET 30 – 7-0.1 – –
Blake Beavan 24 pre-arb 12-0.2 0.5 -0.9
Robert Andino 29 – 29-0.2 1.1 -1.6
Alex Liddi 24 – 8-0.3 0.1 -0.8
Carter Capps 22 pre-arb 53-0.3 0.5 -1.3
Chance Ruffin 24 pre-arb 9-0.3 0.1 -0.9
Carlos Triunfel 23 pre-arb 17-0.6 0.2 -1.8
Kelly Shoppach↔ CLE 33 FA-elig 35-0.6 1.5 -3.2
Michael Morse↔ BAL 31 FA-elig 76-0.7 5.8 -7.7
Kameron Loe↔ ATL 31 FA-elig 4-0.8 0.2 -2.4
Henry Blanco↔ TOR 41 FA-elig 35-0.9 0.5 -3.0
Endy Chavez 35 FA-elig 97-1.0 0.5 -3.1
Jesus Montero 23 pre-arb 29-1.1 0.5 -3.3

Key additions (new vs 2012)

PlayerfWAR
Brad Miller2.2
Danny Farquhar1.9
Nick Franklin1.4
Kendrys Morales1.2
Mike Zunino1.0
Raul Ibanez0.8

Key subtractions (gone from 2012)

Player2012 fWAR
Kevin Millwood2.6
John Jaso2.4
Jason Vargas1.7
Ichiro Suzuki1.5
Casper Wells1.0
Shawn Kelley0.5

Current & Historical Payroll

2013 payroll
$78.7M

What the front office was committed to as of 2013, 2013–2019. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2013201420152016201720182019
Félix Hernández277.060$19.9M$22.9M$24.9M$25.9M$26.9M$26.9M$27.9M
Franklin Gutierrez306.080$7.0MFREE AGENT$286k$1.5M
Joe Saunders326.013$6.5MFREE AGENT
Aaron Harang3510.061$5.9MFREE AGENT
Michael Morse318.000$5.8MFREE AGENT
Raul Ibanez4115.020$2.8MFREE AGENT
Oliver Pérez318.144$1.5MFREE AGENT
Kelly Shoppach338.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Jason Bay3410.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Henry Blanco4114.136$525kFREE AGENT
Endy Chavez359.012$461k$333kFREE AGENT
Humberto Quintero337.085$430kFREE AGENT
Kameron Loe319.000$210kFREE AGENT
Jeremy Bonderman3010.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (3)

PlayerAgeSvc2013201420152016201720182019
Kendrys Morales305.057$5.2MFREE AGENT
Brendan Ryan315.082$2.7MFREE AGENT
Robert Andino294.094$1.1MARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (30)

PlayerAgeSvc2013201420152016201720182019
Hisashi Iwakuma321.000$6.5MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dustin Ackley251.105$1.5MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Smoak262.113$514kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Saunders262.138$513kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Seager251.085$510kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tom Wilhelmsen291.106$509kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Blake Beavan242.069$507kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Charlie Furbush271.121$504kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesus Montero231.167$503kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lucas Luetge261.000$496kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Stephen Pryor231.144$492kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carter Capps220.065$492kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Maurer220.000$490kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Danny Farquhar260.022$364kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Franklin220.000$337kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Zunino220.000$297kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Miller230.000$252kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesús Sucre250.000$228kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hector Noesí261.096$220kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Taijuan Walker200.000$206kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Erasmo Ramírez230.126$179kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Triunfel230.030$161kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bobby LaFromboise270.111$115kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Abraham Almonte240.000$86kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chance Ruffin240.066$75kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Liddi241.130$56kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yoervis Medina242.079$48kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Bantz26–$21k
Carlos Peguero261.008$16kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
James Paxton240.000$13kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Mariners 2013; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.