RRosternomics
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Padres SDP

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GM: Kevin Towers

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 4 in this regime · payroll 0.63× league · TAB -6.6
-6.6TAB — talent above budget20th/30
-10.0WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)22nd/30
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars15th/30
-9.5dead WAR — sub-replacement drag25th/30
43%dead money %25th/30
0.407win %26th/30
21.9roster fWAR24th/30
-0surplus $M (value vs cost)10th/30
$42Mpayroll $M27th/30

Roster

CFMark Kotsay 147GGene Kingsale 18GTrenidad Hubbard 16G
LFRon Gant 78GRay Lankford 59GGene Kingsale 26G
RFBubba Trammell 104GGene Kingsale 51GBrian Buchanan 38G
SSDeivi Cruz 147GRamón Vázquez 41GJulius Matos 4G
2BRamón Vázquez 81GJulius Matos 49GSean Burroughs 13G
3BPhil Nevin 71GSean Burroughs 48GRamón Vázquez 20G
1BRyan Klesko 112GPhil Nevin 36GBrian Buchanan 15G
STARTERSBrian Lawrence 3.8WARJake Peavy 1.9WARBrett Tomko 1.4WAROliver Pérez 0.5WARKevin Jarvis 0.5WAR
CTom Lampkin 94GWiki Gonzalez 54GWil Nieves 27G
DHRon Gant 4GBubba Trammell 2GRyan Klesko 1G
BULLPEN★ Trevor Hoffman 38svJeremy Fikac 12hBrandon Villafuerte 8hMike Holtz 5hJason Boyd 4hTom Davey 2hJonathan Johnson 1hKevin Pickford 0h
CTom Lampkin 94 · Wiki Gonzalez 54 · Wil Nieves 27
1BRyan Klesko 112 · Phil Nevin 36 · Brian Buchanan 15
2BRamón Vázquez 81 · Julius Matos 49 · Sean Burroughs 13
3BPhil Nevin 71 · Sean Burroughs 48 · Ramón Vázquez 20
SSDeivi Cruz 147 · Ramón Vázquez 41 · Julius Matos 4
LFRon Gant 78 · Ray Lankford 59 · Gene Kingsale 26
CFMark Kotsay 147 · Gene Kingsale 18 · Trenidad Hubbard 16
RFBubba Trammell 104 · Gene Kingsale 51 · Brian Buchanan 38
DHRon Gant 4 · Bubba Trammell 2 · Ryan Klesko 1
SPBrian Lawrence 3.8 · Jake Peavy 1.9 · Brett Tomko 1.4 · Oliver Pérez 0.5 · Kevin Jarvis 0.5
BP★ Trevor Hoffman 38 · Jeremy Fikac 12 · Brandon Villafuerte 8 · Mike Holtz 5 · Jason Boyd 4 · Tom Davey 2 · Jonathan Johnson 1 · Kevin Pickford 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2002 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Mark Kotsay 26 arb 1534.9 3.0 +5.3
Ryan Klesko 31 FA-elig 1464.6 6.0 +1.8
Brian Lawrence 26 pre-arb 353.8 0.2 +6.3
Ramón Vázquez 25 pre-arb 1282.4 0.2 +4.0
Ron Gant 37 FA-elig 1022.3 0.5 +3.4
Trevor Hoffman 34 FA-elig 612.0 6.6 -3.1
Jake Peavy 21 – 171.9 0.2 +3.0
Brett Tomko 29 arb 321.4 1.1 +1.3
Tom Lampkin 38 FA-elig 1041.1 1.2 +0.6
Alan Embree↔ BOS 32 FA-elig 361.0 0.3 +1.4
Brian Buchanan↔ MIN 28 pre-arb 480.7 0.1 +1.1
Gene Kingsale↔ SEA 25 – 890.6 – –
Phil Nevin 31 FA-elig 1070.6 2.6 -1.5
Jason Middlebrook↔ NYM 27 – 120.6 – –
Steve Reed↔ NYM 37 FA-elig 410.6 0.3 +0.7
Kevin Jarvis 32 FA-elig 70.5 1.2 -0.4
Oliver Pérez 20 – 160.5 – –
Brandon Villafuerte 26 – 310.4 – –
Clay Condrey 26 – 90.4 – –
Bubba Trammell 30 arb 1330.4 1.5 -0.9
Bobby Jones 32 FA-elig 200.3 4.0 -3.5
Jonathan Johnson 27 – 160.2 – –
D'Angelo Jimenez↔ CHW 24 arb 870.1 0.2 +0.1
Jason Pearson 26 – 20.1 – –
Adam Eaton 24 pre-arb 60.1 0.3 -0.2
Sean Burroughs 21 pre-arb 630.0 0.2 -0.1
Tom Davey 28 arb 190.0 0.3 -0.2
Jose Nunez 23 pre-arb 1-0.0 0.2 -0.2
Rodney Myers 33 – 14-0.0 – –
Alex Pelaez 26 – 3-0.0 – –
Bobby Jones↔ NYM 30 – 4-0.0 – –
Matt DeWitt 24 – 5-0.0 – –
Wiki Gonzalez 28 arb 56-0.0 0.3 -0.4
Jason Shiell 25 – 3-0.0 – –
Eric Cyr 23 – 5-0.0 – –
Cesar Crespo 23 – 25-0.1 – –
Doug Nickle↔ PHI 27 – 10-0.1 – –
Kevin Walker 25 pre-arb 11-0.2 0.3 -0.5
Brian Tollberg 29 pre-arb 12-0.2 0.3 -0.5
Trenidad Hubbard 38 FA-elig 89-0.2 0.3 -0.6
Juan Moreno 27 – 4-0.2 – –
Kory DeHaan 25 – 12-0.2 – –
Mike Bynum 24 – 14-0.2 – –
David Lundquist 29 – 3-0.2 – –
Jason Kershner↔ TOR 25 – 15-0.2 – –
Kevin Pickford 27 – 16-0.2 – –
Kevin Barker 26 – 7-0.2 – –
J.J. Trujillo 26 – 4-0.3 – –
Mike Holtz↔ OAK 29 FA-elig 33-0.4 0.6 -1.2
Javier Cardona 26 – 15-0.4 – –
Ben Howard 23 – 3-0.4 – –
Deivi Cruz 29 arb 151-0.5 0.6 -1.4
Jason Boyd 29 arb 23-0.6 0.3 -1.3
Mark Sweeney 32 FA-elig 48-0.6 0.3 -1.4
Wil Nieves 24 – 28-0.6 – –
Dennis Tankersley 23 – 17-0.7 – –
Julius Matos 27 – 76-0.7 – –
Jeremy Fikac 27 pre-arb 65-0.8 0.2 -1.5
Ray Lankford 35 FA-elig 81-1.3 8.1 -10.3

Key additions (new vs 2001)

PlayerfWAR
Ramón Vázquez2.4
Ron Gant2.3
Jake Peavy1.9
Brett Tomko1.4
Tom Lampkin1.1
Alan Embree1.0

Key subtractions (gone from 2001)

Player2001 fWAR
Ben Davis1.9
Mike Darr1.3
Jay Witasick0.8
Woody Williams0.7
Damian Jackson0.6
Sterling Hitchcock0.5

Current & Historical Payroll

2002 payroll
$41.6M

What the front office was committed to as of 2002, 2002–2008. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
Ray Lankford3512.000$8.1MFREE AGENT
Trevor Hoffman349.000$6.6M$9.6M$2.5M$5.0M$4.5M$7.0M$7.5M
Ryan Klesko3110.000$6.0M$5.5M$6.0M$9.0M$9.0MFREE AGENT
Bobby Jones329.000$4.0MFREE AGENT
Phil Nevin317.000$2.6M$5.0M$8.5M$6.9MFREE AGENT
Tom Lampkin3814.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Kevin Jarvis328.000$1.2M$3.0MFREE AGENT
Mike Holtz296.000$556kFREE AGENT
Ron Gant3715.000$500kFREE AGENT
Steve Reed3710.000$315kFREE AGENT
Trenidad Hubbard388.000$300kFREE AGENT
Mark Sweeney327.000$300kFREE AGENT$575k
Alan Embree3210.000$265kFREE AGENT$850k
Gene Kingsale256.000—FREE AGENT
Rodney Myers336.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
Mark Kotsay265.000$3.0MFREE AGENT
Bubba Trammell305.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Brett Tomko295.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Deivi Cruz295.000$600kFREE AGENT
Wiki Gonzalez283.000$350kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tom Davey283.000$270kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Boyd293.000$253kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
D'Angelo Jimenez243.000$183kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bobby Jones305.000—FREE AGENT
Kevin Barker263.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Johnson274.000—ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Lundquist293.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (32)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
Brian Tollberg292.000$285kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Eaton242.000$280kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Walker252.000$267kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Nunez231.000$245kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Lawrence261.000$235kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeremy Fikac271.000$210kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ramón Vázquez251.000$205kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Burroughs210.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Peavy210.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Buchanan282.000$117kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Pickford27–—
Matt DeWitt24–—
Brandon Villafuerte262.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Javier Cardona262.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Doug Nickle27–—
Jason Middlebrook27–—
Kory DeHaan252.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Moreno27–—
Cesar Crespo231.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Bynum240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Cyr23–—
Ben Howard23–—
Dennis Tankersley23–—
Julius Matos27–—
Wil Nieves240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.J. Trujillo26–—
Alex Pelaez26–—
Jason Pearson26–—
Oliver Pérez200.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Kershner250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Clay Condrey260.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Shiell25–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Padres 2002; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.