RRosternomics
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Padres SDP

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GM: Joe McIlvaine

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.58× league · TAB -13.2
-13.2TAB — talent above budget27th/28
-13.8WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)26th/28
3.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars27th/28
-9.1dead WAR — sub-replacement drag25th/28
33%dead money %19th/28
0.377win %27th/28
14.3roster fWAR28th/28
-6surplus $M (value vs cost)15th/28
$18Mpayroll $M25th/28

Roster

CFDerek Bell 119GJarvis Brown 40GBilly Bean 17G
LFPhil Plantier 134GDarrell Sherman 24GPhil Clark 22G
RFTony Gwynn 121GBilly Bean 32GPhil Clark 15G
SSRicky Gutierrez 117GCraig Shipley 38GJeff Gardner 1G
2BJeff Gardner 133GTim Teufel 52GLuis Lopez 15G
3BArchi Cianfrocco 64GCraig Shipley 37GDerek Bell 19G
1BArchi Cianfrocco 42GGuillermo Velasquez 38GPhil Clark 24G
STARTERSAndy Benes 3.5WARWally Whitehurst 1.0WARDoug Brocail 1.0WARScott Sanders 0.6WARTim Worrell 0.2WAR
CKevin Higgins 59GBob Geren 49GBrad Ausmus 49G
BULLPEN★ Gene Harris 23svTrevor Hoffman 0hMark Davis 0hTim Mauser 0hPedro Martinez 0hPat Gomez 0hMark Ettles 0hRudy Seanez 0h
CKevin Higgins 59 · Bob Geren 49 · Brad Ausmus 49
1BArchi Cianfrocco 42 · Guillermo Velasquez 38 · Phil Clark 24
2BJeff Gardner 133 · Tim Teufel 52 · Luis Lopez 15
3BArchi Cianfrocco 64 · Craig Shipley 37 · Derek Bell 19
SSRicky Gutierrez 117 · Craig Shipley 38 · Jeff Gardner 1
LFPhil Plantier 134 · Darrell Sherman 24 · Phil Clark 22
CFDerek Bell 119 · Jarvis Brown 40 · Billy Bean 17
RFTony Gwynn 121 · Billy Bean 32 · Phil Clark 15
SPAndy Benes 3.5 · Wally Whitehurst 1.0 · Doug Brocail 1.0 · Scott Sanders 0.6 · Tim Worrell 0.2
BP★ Gene Harris 23 · Trevor Hoffman 0 · Mark Davis 0 · Tim Mauser 0 · Pedro Martinez 0 · Pat Gomez 0 · Mark Ettles 0 · Rudy Seanez 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1993 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Andy Benes 25 arb 343.5 2.0 +0.8
Tony Gwynn 33 FA-elig 1223.3 4.3 -1.6
Phil Plantier 24 arb 1382.1 0.2 +1.5
Greg Harris↔ COL 29 arb 221.9 1.3 +0.3
Phil Clark 25 pre-arb 1021.8 0.1 +1.3
Fred McGriff↔ ATL 29 FA-elig 831.4 2.4 -1.2
Doug Brocail 26 pre-arb 301.0 0.1 +0.7
Wally Whitehurst 29 arb 211.0 0.5 +0.3
Tim Teufel 34 FA-elig 960.9 0.8 +0.0
Roger Mason↔ PHI 34 FA-elig 340.9 0.1 +0.6
Brad Ausmus 24 pre-arb 490.8 0.1 +0.5
Trevor Hoffman↔ MIA 25 pre-arb 390.7 0.1 +0.5
Scott Sanders 24 pre-arb 90.6 0.1 +0.4
Jeremy Hernandez↔ CLE 26 pre-arb 210.5 0.0 +0.4
Ricky Gutierrez 23 pre-arb 1330.5 0.1 +0.3
Rich Rodriguez↔ MIA 30 arb 340.5 0.1 +0.3
Tim Scott↔ WSN 26 pre-arb 240.4 0.1 +0.3
Jarvis Brown 26 – 470.4 – –
Dave Staton 25 – 170.3 – –
Tim Worrell 25 pre-arb 210.2 0.1 +0.1
Pedro Martinez 24 – 320.2 – –
Gene Harris 28 arb 590.1 0.2 -0.0
Dave Eiland 26 arb 100.1 0.1 -0.0
Pat Gomez 25 pre-arb 280.1 0.1 -0.0
Bruce Hurst↔ COL 35 FA-elig 20.1 1.2 -1.1
Frank Seminara 26 pre-arb 180.0 0.1 -0.1
Mark Davis↔ PHI 32 – 35-0.0 – –
Gary Sheffield↔ MIA 24 arb 68-0.0 1.5 -1.5
Tim Mauser↔ PHI 26 – 28-0.0 – –
Rudy Seanez 24 – 3-0.1 – –
Andy Ashby↔ COL 25 pre-arb 12-0.2 0.1 -0.2
Bob Geren 31 arb 58-0.2 0.1 -0.3
Mark Ettles 26 – 14-0.2 – –
Melvin Nieves 21 pre-arb 19-0.3 0.1 -0.3
Dan Walters 26 pre-arb 27-0.3 0.1 -0.4
Billy Bean 29 – 88-0.3 – –
Kerry Taylor 22 pre-arb 36-0.3 0.1 -0.4
Guillermo Velasquez 25 pre-arb 79-0.5 0.1 -0.5
Jeff Gardner 29 pre-arb 140-0.6 0.1 -0.6
Derek Bell 24 pre-arb 150-0.6 0.2 -0.7
Darrell Sherman 26 pre-arb 37-0.7 0.1 -0.7
Kevin Higgins 26 – 71-0.7 – –
Luis Lopez 22 – 17-0.8 – –
Craig Shipley 30 FA-elig 105-0.9 0.1 -0.9
Archi Cianfrocco↔ WSN 26 pre-arb 84-0.9 0.1 -0.9
Kurt Stillwell↔ ANA 28 FA-elig 57-1.4 1.3 -2.4

Key additions (new vs 1992)

PlayerfWAR
Phil Plantier2.1
Phil Clark1.8
Wally Whitehurst1.0
Roger Mason0.9
Brad Ausmus0.8
Trevor Hoffman0.7

Key subtractions (gone from 1992)

Player1992 fWAR
Darrin Jackson4.5
Benito Santiago1.7
Mike Maddux1.5
Tony Fernandez1.5
Craig Lefferts1.4
Jerald Clark1.3

Current & Historical Payroll

1993 payroll
$18.4M

What the front office was committed to as of 1993, 1993–1999. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (9)

PlayerAgeSvc1993199419951996199719981999
Tony Gwynn3311.000$4.3M$3.6M$4.7M$4.3M$4.6M$4.0M$4.4M
Fred McGriff297.000$2.4MFREE AGENT
Kurt Stillwell287.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
Bruce Hurst3513.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Tim Teufel3410.000$762kFREE AGENT
Roger Mason349.000$150kFREE AGENT
Craig Shipley307.000$149k$275kFREE AGENT$500k$500k
Billy Bean296.000—$145kFREE AGENT
Mark Davis3213.000—$400kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc1993199419951996199719981999
Andy Benes254.000$2.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Gary Sheffield245.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Greg Harris295.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
Wally Whitehurst294.000$488kARB 3FREE AGENT
Phil Plantier243.000$245kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gene Harris284.000$155kARB 3FREE AGENT
Dave Eiland265.000$135kFREE AGENT
Rich Rodriguez303.000$129kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bob Geren315.000$125kFREE AGENT
Rudy Seanez244.000—ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (27)

PlayerAgeSvc1993199419951996199719981999
Derek Bell242.000$165kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Frank Seminara261.000$150kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dan Walters261.000$132kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Phil Clark251.000$122kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Archi Cianfrocco261.000$114kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Gardner292.000$112kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Guillermo Velasquez251.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Ausmus240.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Doug Brocail261.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darrell Sherman260.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pat Gomez250.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ricky Gutierrez230.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Worrell250.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kerry Taylor220.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Melvin Nieves211.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Sanders240.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trevor Hoffman250.000$63kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andy Ashby252.000$56kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Scott262.000$54kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeremy Hernandez262.000$37kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jarvis Brown262.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Ettles26–—
Kevin Higgins26–—
Luis Lopez220.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Martinez240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Mauser262.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dave Staton250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Padres 1993; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.