RRosternomics

Padres SDP

GM: Joe McIlvaine

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 2 in this regime · payroll 0.88× league · TAB +8.9
+8.9TAB — talent above budget5th/26
+1.7WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)14th/26
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars14th/26
-4.5dead WAR — sub-replacement drag12th/26
12%dead money %3rd/26
0.506win %12th/26
41.6roster fWAR5th/26
+4surplus $M (value vs cost)6th/26
$26Mpayroll $M19th/26

Roster

CFDarrin Jackson 152GKevin Ward 9GJim Vatcher 1G
LFJerald Clark 115GKevin Ward 36GOscar Azocar 31G
RFTony Gwynn 127GJerald Clark 22GJim Vatcher 12G
SSTony Fernández 154GCraig Shipley 23GPaul Faries 1G
2BKurt Stillwell 111GTim Teufel 52GCraig Shipley 11G
3BGary Sheffield 144GTim Teufel 26GCraig Shipley 8G
1BFred McGriff 151GJerald Clark 11GPhil Stephenson 7G
STARTERSAndy Benes 5.0WARBruce Hurst 2.9WARJim Deshaies 1.2WARFrank Seminara 1.1WARGreg Harris 1.0WAR
CBenito Santiago 103GDan Walters 55GDann Bilardello 14G
BULLPEN Randy Myers 38svRich Rodriguez 0hJose Melendez 0hMike Maddux 0hLarry Andersen 0hTim Scott 0hJeremy Hernandez 0hGene Harris 0h
CBenito Santiago 103 · Dan Walters 55 · Dann Bilardello 14
1BFred McGriff 151 · Jerald Clark 11 · Phil Stephenson 7
2BKurt Stillwell 111 · Tim Teufel 52 · Craig Shipley 11
3BGary Sheffield 144 · Tim Teufel 26 · Craig Shipley 8
SSTony Fernández 154 · Craig Shipley 23 · Paul Faries 1
LFJerald Clark 115 · Kevin Ward 36 · Oscar Azocar 31
CFDarrin Jackson 152 · Kevin Ward 9 · Jim Vatcher 1
RFTony Gwynn 127 · Jerald Clark 22 · Jim Vatcher 12
SPAndy Benes 5.0 · Bruce Hurst 2.9 · Jim Deshaies 1.2 · Frank Seminara 1.1 · Greg Harris 1.0
BP Randy Myers 38 · Rich Rodriguez 0 · Jose Melendez 0 · Mike Maddux 0 · Larry Andersen 0 · Tim Scott 0 · Jeremy Hernandez 0 · Gene Harris 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1992 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Gary Sheffield 23 arb 1466.5 0.8 +4.3
Fred McGriff 28 FA-elig 1525.5 4.1 +0.2
Andy Benes 24 arb 345.0 0.5 +3.5
Darrin Jackson 28 FA-elig 1554.5 0.8 +2.7
Tony Gwynn 32 FA-elig 1284.4 2.0 +1.4
Bruce Hurst 34 FA-elig 332.9 3.0 -0.7
Benito Santiago 27 FA-elig 1061.7 3.3 -2.0
Mike Maddux 30 FA-elig 501.5 0.5 +0.6
Tony Fernandez 30 FA-elig 1551.5 2.1 -1.0
Craig Lefferts↔ BAL 34 FA-elig 271.4 1.7 -0.7
Jerald Clark 28 arb 1461.3 0.2 +0.8
Jim Deshaies 32 151.2
Jose Melendez 26 pre-arb 561.2 0.1 +0.8
Frank Seminara 25 191.1
Greg Harris 28 arb 201.0 1.0 -0.2
Rich Rodriguez 29 pre-arb 611.0 0.2 +0.6
Dan Walters 25 570.8
Larry Andersen 39 FA-elig 340.8 2.0 -1.4
Dave Eiland 25 arb 70.6 0.1 +0.3
Tim Teufel 33 FA-elig 1010.6 0.7 -0.2
Gene Harris↔ SEA 27 arb 150.4 0.1 +0.3
Randy Myers 29 FA-elig 660.3 0.5 -0.3
Tom Lampkin 28 arb 90.2 0.1 +0.1
Paul Faries 27 pre-arb 100.2 0.1 +0.0
Doug Brocail 25 30.2
Jim Vatcher 26 130.1
Guillermo Velasquez 24 150.1
Pat Clements↔ BAL 30 FA-elig 270.0 0.1 -0.0
Thomas Howard↔ CLE 27 pre-arb 50.0 0.0 -0.0
Jeremy Hernandez 25 pre-arb 26-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Jeff Gardner 28 15-0.1
Kevin Ward 30 pre-arb 81-0.2 0.1 -0.3
Gary Pettis↔ DET 34 30-0.2
Tim Scott 25 34-0.2
Craig Shipley 29 FA-elig 52-0.3 0.1 -0.3
Dann Bilardello 33 FA-elig 17-0.3 0.1 -0.3
Phil Stephenson 31 53-0.5
Oscar Azocar 27 pre-arb 99-0.7 0.1 -0.6
Kurt Stillwell 27 FA-elig 114-1.9 1.8 -3.3

Key additions (new vs 1991)

PlayerfWAR
Gary Sheffield6.5
Jim Deshaies1.2
Frank Seminara1.1
Dan Walters0.8
Dave Eiland0.6
Gene Harris0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 1991)

Player1991 fWAR
Bip Roberts2.2
Dennis Rasmussen1.8
Ricky Bones0.9
Jack Howell0.5
Ed Whitson0.2
John Costello0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

1992 payroll
$26.4M

What the front office was committed to as of 1992, 1992–1998. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (17)

PlayerAgeSvc1992199319941995199619971998
Fred McGriff286.000$4.1M$2.4MFREE AGENT
Benito Santiago276.000$3.3MFREE AGENT
Bruce Hurst3412.000$3.0M$1.8MFREE AGENT
Tony Fernandez309.000$2.1MFREE AGENT
Tony Gwynn3210.000$2.0M$4.3M$3.6M$4.7M$4.3M$4.6M$4.0M
Larry Andersen3917.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Kurt Stillwell276.000$1.8M$1.3MFREE AGENT
Craig Lefferts349.000$1.7MFREE AGENT
Darrin Jackson287.000$805kFREE AGENT
Tim Teufel339.000$688k$762kFREE AGENT
Randy Myers297.000$525kFREE AGENT$2.9M
Mike Maddux306.000$510kFREE AGENT
Dann Bilardello339.000$125kFREE AGENT
Craig Shipley296.000$118k$149k$275kFREE AGENT$500k$500k
Pat Clements307.000$78kFREE AGENT
Jim Deshaies328.000FREE AGENT
Gary Pettis3410.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (8)

PlayerAgeSvc1992199319941995199619971998
Greg Harris284.000$1.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Gary Sheffield234.000$750kARB 3FREE AGENT
Andy Benes243.000$475kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jerald Clark284.000$200kARB 3FREE AGENT
Dave Eiland254.000$135kARB 3FREE AGENT
Tom Lampkin284.000$116kARB 3FREE AGENT
Gene Harris273.000$85kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Phil Stephenson313.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (14)

PlayerAgeSvc1992199319941995199619971998
Rich Rodriguez292.000$172kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Melendez262.000$150kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Faries272.000$122kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Oscar Azocar272.000$120kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Ward301.000$114kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeremy Hernandez251.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Thomas Howard272.000$6kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Doug Brocail250.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Gardner281.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Scott251.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Frank Seminara250.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jim Vatcher262.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Guillermo Velasquez240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dan Walters250.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Padres 1992; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3