RRosternomics
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Padres SDP

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GM: Randy Smith

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 2 in this regime · payroll 0.47× league · TAB -0.3
-0.3TAB — talent above budget10th/28
-5.2WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)20th/28
4.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars17th/28
-6.9dead WAR — sub-replacement drag27th/28
29%dead money %13th/28
0.402win %28th/28
17.9roster fWAR20th/28
+6surplus $M (value vs cost)5th/28
$15Mpayroll $M28th/28

Roster

CFDerek Bell 108GBilly Bean 7GBip Roberts 5G
LFPhil Plantier 91GBilly Bean 17GBip Roberts 16G
RFTony Gwynn 105GBilly Bean 15GPhil Clark 5G
SSRicky Gutierrez 78GLuis Lopez 43GCraig Shipley 14G
2BBip Roberts 90GLuis Lopez 29GCraig Shipley 13G
3BCraig Shipley 53GScott Livingstone 51GArchi Cianfrocco 37G
1BEddie Williams 46GTim Hyers 41GPhil Clark 24G
STARTERSAndy Benes 4.1WARAndy Ashby 3.1WARScott Sanders 2.1WARJoey Hamilton 1.5WARBill Krueger 1.1WAR
CBrad Ausmus 99GBrian Johnson 24GPhil Clark 5G
BULLPEN★ Trevor Hoffman 20svPedro Martinez 0hJeff Tabaka 0hTim Mauser 0hDonnie Elliott 0hA.J. Sager 0hMark Davis 0hDoug Brocail 0h
CBrad Ausmus 99 · Brian Johnson 24 · Phil Clark 5
1BEddie Williams 46 · Tim Hyers 41 · Phil Clark 24
2BBip Roberts 90 · Luis Lopez 29 · Craig Shipley 13
3BCraig Shipley 53 · Scott Livingstone 51 · Archi Cianfrocco 37
SSRicky Gutierrez 78 · Luis Lopez 43 · Craig Shipley 14
LFPhil Plantier 91 · Billy Bean 17 · Bip Roberts 16
CFDerek Bell 108 · Billy Bean 7 · Bip Roberts 5
RFTony Gwynn 105 · Billy Bean 15 · Phil Clark 5
SPAndy Benes 4.1 · Andy Ashby 3.1 · Scott Sanders 2.1 · Joey Hamilton 1.5 · Bill Krueger 1.1
BP★ Trevor Hoffman 20 · Pedro Martinez 0 · Jeff Tabaka 0 · Tim Mauser 0 · Donnie Elliott 0 · A.J. Sager 0 · Mark Davis 0 · Doug Brocail 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1994 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Andy Benes 26 arb 254.1 3.0 +1.8
Tony Gwynn 34 FA-elig 1104.0 3.6 +1.0
Andy Ashby 26 arb 243.1 0.2 +3.4
Scott Sanders 25 pre-arb 232.1 0.1 +2.3
Bip Roberts 30 FA-elig 1051.6 1.6 +0.2
Trevor Hoffman 26 pre-arb 471.6 0.2 +1.6
Joey Hamilton 23 pre-arb 161.5 0.1 +1.6
Bill Krueger↔ DET 36 FA-elig 81.1 0.4 +0.8
Eddie Williams 29 FA-elig 491.0 0.1 +1.0
Craig Shipley 31 FA-elig 810.7 0.3 +0.5
Jeff Tabaka↔ PIT 30 pre-arb 340.7 0.1 +0.7
Tim Worrell 26 pre-arb 30.7 0.1 +0.6
Wally Whitehurst 30 arb 130.6 0.7 +0.0
Tim Mauser 27 arb 350.5 0.1 +0.4
Derek Bell 25 arb 1080.4 0.4 +0.1
A.J. Sager 29 pre-arb 220.3 0.1 +0.2
Brad Ausmus 25 pre-arb 1010.3 0.1 +0.2
Bryce Florie 24 pre-arb 90.2 0.1 +0.1
Brian Johnson 26 pre-arb 360.2 0.1 +0.1
Doug Brocail 27 pre-arb 140.1 0.1 -0.0
Scott Livingstone↔ DET 28 arb 570.0 0.3 -0.3
Melvin Nieves 22 pre-arb 100.0 0.1 -0.1
Ray McDavid 22 – 90.0 – –
Pedro Martinez 25 pre-arb 480.0 0.1 -0.1
Archi Cianfrocco 27 pre-arb 59-0.0 0.2 -0.2
Dave Staton 26 pre-arb 29-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Ray Holbert 23 pre-arb 5-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Kerry Taylor 23 – 1-0.1 – –
Donnie Elliott 25 pre-arb 30-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Jose Martinez 23 – 4-0.1 – –
Gene Harris↔ DET 29 arb 13-0.2 0.4 -0.6
Tim Hyers 22 pre-arb 52-0.2 0.1 -0.4
Phil Plantier 25 arb 96-0.4 0.5 -0.9
Mike Campbell 30 FA-elig 3-0.4 0.1 -0.5
Mark Davis 33 FA-elig 20-0.4 0.4 -0.9
Keith Lockhart 29 pre-arb 27-0.5 0.1 -0.7
Luis Lopez 23 pre-arb 77-0.7 0.1 -0.9
Phil Clark 26 pre-arb 61-0.7 0.2 -1.0
Billy Bean 30 FA-elig 84-1.0 0.1 -1.3
Ricky Gutierrez 24 pre-arb 90-2.0 0.2 -2.5

Key additions (new vs 1993)

PlayerfWAR
Bip Roberts1.6
Joey Hamilton1.5
Bill Krueger1.1
Eddie Williams1.0
Jeff Tabaka0.7
A.J. Sager0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 1993)

Player1993 fWAR
Greg Harris1.9
Fred McGriff1.4
Tim Teufel0.9
Roger Mason0.9
Jeremy Hernandez0.5
Rich Rodriguez0.5

Current & Historical Payroll

1994 payroll
$15.1M

What the front office was committed to as of 1994, 1994–2000. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (8)

PlayerAgeSvc1994199519961997199819992000
Tony Gwynn3412.000$3.6M$4.7M$4.3M$4.6M$4.0M$4.4M$6.3M
Bip Roberts308.000$1.6M$2.3MFREE AGENT
Bill Krueger3611.000$433kFREE AGENT
Mark Davis3314.000$400kFREE AGENT
Craig Shipley318.000$275kFREE AGENT$500k$500k
Billy Bean307.000$145kFREE AGENT
Eddie Williams298.000$140k$230kFREE AGENT
Mike Campbell307.000$109kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (8)

PlayerAgeSvc1994199519961997199819992000
Andy Benes265.000$3.0MFREE AGENT
Wally Whitehurst305.000$695kFREE AGENT
Phil Plantier254.000$500kARB 3FREE AGENT
Gene Harris295.000$406kFREE AGENT
Derek Bell253.000$385kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Livingstone283.000$289kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andy Ashby263.000$225kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Mauser273.000$145kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (24)

PlayerAgeSvc1994199519961997199819992000
Ricky Gutierrez241.000$188kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Archi Cianfrocco272.000$185kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trevor Hoffman261.000$180kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Phil Clark262.000$155kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Doug Brocail272.000$150kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Worrell261.000$135kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Martinez251.000$135kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Ausmus251.000$134kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Melvin Nieves222.000$118kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Sanders251.000$115kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Donnie Elliott250.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryce Florie240.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joey Hamilton230.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Johnson260.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Hyers220.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ray Holbert230.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Lopez231.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Keith Lockhart290.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
A.J. Sager290.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dave Staton261.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Tabaka300.000$95kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Martinez23–—
Ray McDavid22–—
Kerry Taylor231.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Padres 1994; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.