RRosternomics
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Padres SDP

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GM: Joe McIlvaine

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.96× league · TAB +2.7
+2.7TAB — talent above budget10th/26
+2.5WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)10th/26
8.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars7th/26
-6.2dead WAR — sub-replacement drag20th/26
20%dead money %7th/26
0.519win %8th/26
36.5roster fWAR9th/26
-4surplus $M (value vs cost)15th/26
$22Mpayroll $M16th/26

Roster

CFDarrin Jackson 79GThomas Howard 41GBip Roberts 29G
LFJerald Clark 85GThomas Howard 34GKevin Ward 31G
RFTony Gwynn 134GThomas Howard 14GJerald Clark 13G
SSTony Fernández 145GCraig Shipley 19GPaul Faries 8G
2BBip Roberts 68GTim Teufel 66GPaul Faries 36G
3BJack Howell 62GScott Coolbaugh 54GTim Teufel 53G
1BFred McGriff 153GJerald Clark 16GBrian Dorsett 2G
STARTERSBruce Hurst 3.9WARAndy Benes 3.4WARGreg Harris 1.8WARDennis Rasmussen 1.8WARRicky Bones 0.9WAR
CBenito Santiago 151GDann Bilardello 13GTom Lampkin 11G
BULLPEN★ Craig Lefferts 23svMike Maddux 0hRich Rodriguez 0hLarry Andersen 0hJohn Costello 0hJim Lewis 0hPat Clements 0hSteve Rosenberg 0h
CBenito Santiago 151 · Dann Bilardello 13 · Tom Lampkin 11
1BFred McGriff 153 · Jerald Clark 16 · Brian Dorsett 2
2BBip Roberts 68 · Tim Teufel 66 · Paul Faries 36
3BJack Howell 62 · Scott Coolbaugh 54 · Tim Teufel 53
SSTony Fernández 145 · Craig Shipley 19 · Paul Faries 8
LFJerald Clark 85 · Thomas Howard 34 · Kevin Ward 31
CFDarrin Jackson 79 · Thomas Howard 41 · Bip Roberts 29
RFTony Gwynn 134 · Thomas Howard 14 · Jerald Clark 13
SPBruce Hurst 3.9 · Andy Benes 3.4 · Greg Harris 1.8 · Dennis Rasmussen 1.8 · Ricky Bones 0.9
BP★ Craig Lefferts 23 · Mike Maddux 0 · Rich Rodriguez 0 · Larry Andersen 0 · John Costello 0 · Jim Lewis 0 · Pat Clements 0 · Steve Rosenberg 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1991 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Tony Gwynn 31 FA-elig 1345.1 2.2 +0.9
Darrin Jackson 28 – 1224.0 – –
Bruce Hurst 33 FA-elig 313.9 1.9 +0.4
Fred McGriff 27 arb 1533.6 2.8 -0.6
Andy Benes 23 pre-arb 333.4 0.2 +1.8
Benito Santiago 26 arb 1522.6 1.6 -0.1
Tony Fernandez 29 FA-elig 1452.5 2.1 -0.6
Bip Roberts 27 arb 1172.2 0.7 +0.6
Thomas Howard 26 pre-arb 1061.9 0.1 +1.0
Greg Harris 27 – 201.8 – –
Dennis Rasmussen 32 FA-elig 251.8 0.8 +0.3
Larry Andersen 38 FA-elig 381.6 2.0 -1.0
Mike Maddux 29 – 641.4 – –
Craig Lefferts 33 FA-elig 541.3 2.6 -1.9
Tim Teufel↔ NYM 32 FA-elig 971.3 0.5 +0.2
Jerald Clark 27 arb 1181.0 0.1 +0.4
Ricky Bones 22 – 110.9 – –
Jose Melendez 25 pre-arb 310.8 0.1 +0.4
Jack Howell↔ ANA 29 FA-elig 580.5 0.4 -0.1
Kevin Ward 29 – 440.3 – –
Dann Bilardello 32 FA-elig 150.3 0.1 +0.1
Ed Whitson 36 FA-elig 130.2 1.3 -1.2
Jeremy Hernandez 24 pre-arb 90.2 0.1 -0.0
John Costello 30 – 270.1 – –
Phil Stephenson 30 pre-arb 110.1 0.1 -0.1
Pat Clements 29 – 120.0 – –
Tim Scott 24 – 20.0 – –
Atlee Hammaker 33 FA-elig 10.0 0.1 -0.1
Shawn Abner↔ ANA 25 arb 530.0 0.1 -0.1
Craig Shipley 28 – 37-0.1 – –
Marty Barrett 33 – 12-0.1 – –
Tom Lampkin 27 arb 38-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Wes Gardner↔ KCR 30 FA-elig 14-0.1 0.5 -0.5
Jim Vatcher 26 pre-arb 17-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Derek Lilliquist 25 pre-arb 6-0.1 0.2 -0.3
Brian Dorsett 30 – 11-0.2 – –
Paul Faries 26 pre-arb 57-0.2 0.1 -0.2
Jim Lewis 26 – 12-0.3 – –
Garry Templeton Sr.↔ NYM 35 FA-elig 32-0.3 0.2 -0.3
Steve Rosenberg 26 arb 10-0.3 0.1 -0.3
Adam Peterson 25 – 13-0.4 – –
Eric Nolte↔ TEX 27 arb 6-0.4 0.1 -0.3
Mike Aldrete↔ CLE 30 arb 12-0.4 0.1 -0.3
Jose Mota 26 – 17-0.4 – –
Scott Coolbaugh 25 – 60-0.5 – –
Oscar Azocar 26 – 38-0.5 – –
Rich Rodriguez 28 pre-arb 65-0.7 0.1 -0.5
Jim Presley 29 FA-elig 20-1.1 0.5 -1.1

Key additions (new vs 1990)

PlayerfWAR
Fred McGriff3.6
Tony Fernandez2.5
Larry Andersen1.6
Mike Maddux1.4
Tim Teufel1.3
Ricky Bones0.9

Key subtractions (gone from 1990)

Player1990 fWAR
Jack Clark4.3
Roberto Alomar3.0
Mike Pagliarulo0.8
Mark Parent0.2
Calvin Schiraldi0.2
Eddie Williams0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

1991 payroll
$22.1M

What the front office was committed to as of 1991, 1991–1997. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (17)

PlayerAgeSvc1991199219931994199519961997
Craig Lefferts338.000$2.6M$1.7MFREE AGENT
Tony Gwynn319.000$2.2M$2.0M$4.3M$3.6M$4.7M$4.3M$4.6M
Tony Fernandez298.000$2.1M$2.1MFREE AGENT
Larry Andersen3816.000$2.0M$2.0MFREE AGENT
Bruce Hurst3311.000$1.9M$3.0M$1.8MFREE AGENT
Ed Whitson3614.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
Dennis Rasmussen328.000$805kFREE AGENT
Tim Teufel328.000$529k$688k$762kFREE AGENT
Jim Presley297.000$500kFREE AGENT
Wes Gardner307.000$474kFREE AGENT
Jack Howell296.000$420kFREE AGENT
Garry Templeton Sr.3515.000$151kFREE AGENT
Dann Bilardello328.000$115k$125kFREE AGENT
Atlee Hammaker3310.000$100kFREE AGENT
Marty Barrett339.000—FREE AGENT
Pat Clements296.000—$78kFREE AGENT
Darrin Jackson286.000—$805kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (15)

PlayerAgeSvc1991199219931994199519961997
Fred McGriff275.000$2.8MFREE AGENT
Benito Santiago265.000$1.6MFREE AGENT
Bip Roberts275.000$675kFREE AGENT
Steve Rosenberg263.000$130kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jerald Clark273.000$128kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tom Lampkin273.000$108kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shawn Abner254.000$101kARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Nolte274.000$67kARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Aldrete305.000$63kFREE AGENT
John Costello303.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Dorsett304.000—ARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Harris273.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Maddux295.000—FREE AGENT
Adam Peterson254.000—ARB 3FREE AGENT
Craig Shipley285.000—FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (16)

PlayerAgeSvc1991199219931994199519961997
Andy Benes232.000$235kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Derek Lilliquist252.000$182kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Phil Stephenson302.000$130kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rich Rodriguez281.000$115kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jim Vatcher261.000$115kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Thomas Howard261.000$105kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Faries261.000$100kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeremy Hernandez240.000$100kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Melendez251.000$100kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Oscar Azocar261.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ricky Bones220.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Coolbaugh252.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jim Lewis26–—
Jose Mota260.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Scott240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Ward290.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Padres 1991; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.